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18:45
Jun 03
Jun 03
HYPE 1ST
▾
HIGH
Hyperliquid ETF inflows strong, narrative compelling.
Hyperliquid's ETF launch has been the most successful in crypto since Solana/XRP ETFs, with over $141 million in inflows in less than a month. The narrative of fee burn/buyback mechanism is easy for traditional investors to understand, and the token supply is being bought back and taken off market, creating a share-buyback-like effect. Despite the broader crypto bear market, Hyperliquid has seen persistent inflows and outperformance.
HYPE LONG
HIGH
18:45
Jun 02
Jun 02
BTC
NEO 1ST
ZEC 1ST
DERIVE 1ST
▾
HIGH
Accumulate Bitcoin in 60k range
Bitcoin is in a bear market but the 60,000s price range is an amazing accumulation zone for long-term investors. The weekly trend needs a break above 85k to confirm reversal, but any dip to 60k provides a strong risk/reward for accumulation.
BTC LONG
NEO positioned for agentic future
NEO (the NE protocol) is positioned for the agentic future with its Intents product solving blockchain interoperability. The team is AI-centric, they have pivoted successfully, cut inflation, turned on a fee switch, and are seeing growth in onchain activity. Despite recent price run, it deserves reconsideration as a long-term holding.
NEO LONG
Zcash benefits from AI security needs
Zcash is a de facto AI play because as AI scales, security and privacy on-chain become paramount. Zcash is at the forefront of privacy-focused blockchains and has seen huge growth in activity, which correlates to price. It benefits from the broader agentic/AI narrative.
ZEC LONG
On-chain options leader Derive
Derive is a small-cap on-chain options platform that has cracked the code with a central limit order book engine run by ex-options traders from Susquehanna. It commands 70% of on-chain options volumes and is taking market share from Deribit. The token aligns incentives with 35% fee buyback and an insurance fund. Highly speculative but worth sizing appropriately.
DERIVE LONG
HIGH
19:00
Jun 01
Jun 01
BTC
ETH
SOL 1ST
NEAR 1ST
▾
MED
Bottoms near 70K, accumulate for multi-year.
Bitcoin is approaching strong support near 70K amid headwinds from Middle East conflict, Fed uncertainty, and capital flows into AI and mega IPOs. However, fundamentals remain strong and sentiment is overly bearish, making this dip a generational buying opportunity for long-term investors. Accumulate on weakness.
BTC LONG
ETH undervalued, accumulate for rebound.
Ethereum is undervalued due to negative sentiment and lack of attention, while its value proposition as global decentralized infrastructure remains intact. Macro reacceleration and a potential Fed pivot could drive a rebound, and new all-time highs are still possible before year-end. Accumulate on dips.
ETH LONG
SOL oversold, recovery opportunity.
Solana is extremely oversold and beat down relative to its strength as a leading Layer 1 chain. He sees a recovery opportunity as attention eventually rotates back to fundamentally strong assets that are out of favor.
SOL LONG
NEAR fundamentally strong, hold long-term.
Near Protocol has strong fundamental value from its technology (Near Intents) and product-market fit. He allocated capital and staked it, expecting the market to eventually recognize the value. Long-term bullish regardless of short-term price action.
NEAR LONG
MED
13:19
May 31
May 31
WTI 1ST
BTC
▾
HIGH
Oil likely to go higher.
Oil prices are rising due to the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz, causing a global energy and food crisis, supply shortages, and inflation spikes. CPI and PPI data came in hotter than expected, and oil is likely to keep going higher because the conflict persists and speculation of resolution keeps failing.
WTI LONG
Bitcoin benefits from liquidity injection.
Governments will likely have to inject massive liquidity to manage the bond market crisis, as the current fiscal path is unsustainable and the risk of inaction is unacceptable. Historically, Bitcoin and crypto act as the excess liquidity release valve and have performed very well in such environments, making them key beneficiaries of the expected policy response.
BTC LONG
HIGH
13:00
May 30
May 30
SOL 1ST
VVV 1ST
▾
MED
Overindexed on small users, avoid.
Solana overindexed on small retail users with small capital, which is not suitable for institutional adoption – the key driver of sustainable growth in decentralized finance. Kyle sold his Solana position and believes it has been stagnant, and that Hyperliquid could surpass it if it gains institutional trust.
SOL AVOID
Growth justifies Venice price rise.
Venice (VVV) has actual growth in subscriptions, revenues, and users, unlike other crypto movers like Hyperliquid and Zcash. This real usage growth justifies its price appreciation, making it a more fundamentally supported asset.
VVV LONG
MED
18:45
May 29
May 29
BTC
SKY 1ST
DAVE 1ST
ETH
TAO
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin to $50M in 15 years
Bitcoin will reach $50 million in 15 years driven by mainstream adoption of agentic AI, which will increase reliance on AI agents for financial tasks and trust in digital assets, leading to massive crypto adoption and price appreciation.
BTC LONG
Sky stablecoin with innovative mortgage partnerships
Sky is a decentralized stablecoin that offers a 100 basis point advantage over traditional mortgage rates through its partnership with Better, making it an innovative and underfollowed crypto asset with strong growth potential.
SKY LONG
Dave AI lending growing fast
Dave is an AI-driven lending platform targeting lower-credit consumers with short-term loans based on cash flow analysis, boasting very low default rates, rapid growth, and a new credit card product, with significant upside remaining even after a 50x run from $5 to $270.
DAVE LONG
Ethereum to $1.5M in 15 years
Ethereum will reach $1.5 million in 15 years driven by the same agentic AI adoption thesis, with Ethereum serving as a foundational layer for decentralized applications and smart contracts in an AI-driven world.
ETH LONG
Bittensor decentralized AI network token
Bittensor is a decentralized AI network token that Eric Jackson likes after studying its white paper, seeing potential for growth as AI and crypto converge, though he provides less detail on specific catalysts.
TAO LONG
Peloton undervalued with steady subs
Peloton is a beaten-down former COVID darling with 2 million steady subscribers providing recurring cash flow, a smart new CEO, and a path to growth; Eric bought around $4 and sees the stock potentially reaching high teens in a couple of years as a turnaround story.
PTON LONG
HIGH
18:45
May 28
May 28
HYPE
ANTHROPIC 1ST
▾
HIGH
Hyperliquid still undervalued, only 5% done.
Hyperliquid is still massively undervalued; despite its recent surge to all-time highs, the world is only 5% done realizing its potential. It dominates the perpetual futures market and is expanding into spot trading and prediction markets. Its tokenomics with 99% buyback and value capture represent a Gen2 token and it now has an ETF with staking, attracting new institutional demand. The addressable market is not just crypto but all global assets ($600 trillion).
HYPE LONG
Anthropic undervalued at $1.4 trillion.
Anthropic at $1.4 trillion valuation is undervalued. It has strong talent, is gaining market share from OpenAI with its Claude model, and has fewer organizational distractions. On a risk-adjusted basis, it is a better bet than SpaceX or OpenAI among pre-IPO AI companies available on Hyperliquid.
ANTHROPIC LONG
HIGH
18:45
May 27
May 27
BTC 1ST
▾
MED
Earn 2% yield on Bitcoin via Kraken Vault.
Bitcoin holders can now earn approximately 2% yield on their Bitcoin by depositing into Kraken's Bitcoin Vault. The vault wraps BTC into KBTC (ERC20), uses it as collateral to borrow stablecoins, yield farms those stablecoins, converts the yield back to Bitcoin, and distributes it to users. The process is on-chain, over-collateralized, and transparent, solving the long-standing problem of earning yield on Bitcoin without giving up price exposure.
BTC LONG
MED
18:45
May 26
May 26
ETH
BTC
▾
HIGH
Ethereum is bullish long-term
Ethereum is very bullish long-term despite the current price struggles and negative sentiment. The network is at all-time high usage with low fees, the staking queue is rising, and major holders like Tom Lee are accumulating. These fundamentals will ultimately drive the price higher.
ETH LONG
Accumulate Bitcoin below 70K
Bitcoin below $70K is a great accumulation opportunity because it is back at its previous all-time high from 2021 and will participate in the ongoing bull run and agentic economy. The longer-term thesis for Bitcoin remains intact, and any dip below 70K is a buying opportunity.
BTC LONG
HIGH
18:45
May 25
May 25
ETH
HYPE 1ST
▾
HIGH
Bearish signal from Vitalik's statement
Vitalik Buterin's recent statement doubling down on Ethereum's core values (decentralization, censorship resistance) while explicitly stating the Ethereum Foundation will not be a 'number go up' organization is bearish for ETH. It signals the EF is stepping back from commercial and price-focused efforts, creating uncertainty. However, it may open the door for a second foundation focused on growth and adoption, but it is too early to make a definitive call.
ETH WATCH
Front-run institutional demand on HYPE
Hyperliquid (HYPE) represents a great risk-adjusted investment for those with higher risk appetite. It trades at an attractive multiple relative to its earnings, and the regulatory uncertainty that keeps institutions away today will likely resolve over time (e.g., via the Clarity Act). Once institutional demand arrives, multiple expansion will boost HYPE's valuation. Crypto-native capital is already front-running this demand.
HYPE LONG
HIGH
13:00
May 24
May 24
Milk Road Macro
10d
ETH
crypto altcoins
LINK
BTC
▾
HIGH
ETH is a core digital asset holding
Ethereum is not an altcoin but an alternative part of the digital asset market that needs to be in a portfolio alongside Bitcoin. John has a sizable allocation to Ethereum and considers it a core holding.
ETH LONG
Altcoins will outperform after BTC confirmation
John has high confidence in altcoins and expects significant outperformance, but he is waiting for a decisive Bitcoin breakout above 85k (confirmed by a retest) before committing more capital. The fundamental setup is strong, but he prefers confirmation to avoid front-running a potential bear market rally.
crypto altcoins LONG
LINK is a fundamentally strong bridge asset
Chainlink is one of the strongest examples of a fundamentally sound, long-lasting business that bridges TradFi and digital assets. It has stable cash flows, a moat, and hasn't been wildly overvalued. John has been bullish for years.
LINK LONG
BTC is a fundamentally sound store of value
Bitcoin is fundamentally sound with market adoption, network effects, and integration into the financial ecosystem. It is a stable store of value and the bedrock of a portfolio. Despite volatility, it offers strong performance as a safer bet than speculative altcoins.
BTC LONG
HIGH
13:00
May 23
May 23
Milk Road Macro
11d
HYPE 1ST
COIN 1ST
▾
MED
HYPE near $50: take profits.
Hyperliquid's recent price spike to over $50 is driven by the Coinbase/Circle treasury partnership, but buyer enthusiasm may not be sustainable without actual volume increases. I sold a portion of my HYPE holdings to lock in 70% gains and reduce risk, while still maintaining a long position.
HYPE AVOID
COIN long-term bullish.
Coinbase has a strong brand, diversified business lines, and a great team. The upcoming regulatory clarity from the Clarity Act will further benefit Coinbase and open the door for more competition, but Coinbase is well-positioned to succeed in that environment. I am very bullish on Coinbase long-term.
COIN LONG
MED
18:45
May 20
May 20
Milk Road Macro
14d
BTC 1ST
CANTON 1ST
▾
MED
Buy Bitcoin when nobody talks about it.
When retail interest in crypto is low (Uber drivers not pitching coins), it is a good time to buy Bitcoin because that typically precedes a bull market surge. The current phase is between 'nobody talking about crypto' and 'people talking about Bitcoin', suggesting Bitcoin is still attractively positioned.
BTC LONG
Canton benefits from institutional adoption.
Canton Network is seeing deep institutional adoption, with many institutions becoming validators and engaging in the ecosystem, as evidenced by public governance forum activity. This positions Canton as a key infrastructure for tokenized finance, likely accruing value to token holders.
CANTON LONG
MED
18:45
May 19
May 19
Milk Road Macro
15d
ZEC 1ST
HYPE 1ST
▾
HIGH
Privacy narrative outperforming in bear market.
Zcash is outperforming in the current downtrend due to its strong privacy narrative, especially as Bitcoin loses its cypherpunk identity to institutional adoption. The coin's high volatility allows for frequent swing trades with quick double-digit gains, and Farokh actively trades it in and out using a 'singles and doubles' approach, entering at $501 and exiting near $600 recently.
ZEC LONG
Apps over blockchains, HYPE is best.
Hyperliquid is the best application in crypto and should be valued more than the underlying blockchains because it provides real utility (trading stocks as derivatives, picks-and-shovels play). Farokh owns HYPE and believes apps will capture more value than chains, making Hyperliquid a core long-term holding.
HYPE LONG
HIGH
18:45
May 18
May 18
Milk Road Macro
16d
SPY 1ST
BTC
▾
MED
S&P 500 continues its uptrend
The S&P 500 is supported by economic reacceleration, strong ISM manufacturing data, AI capex, and a pickup in the business cycle. While pullbacks are normal, the overall trajectory remains higher, making the index a long-term hold despite short-term volatility.
SPY LONG
Dip to 70K is buying opportunity
Bitcoin's recent rally was driven by leverage and speculation with low spot volume, making a pullback likely to the 70K support level. However, the Clarity Act passing would be very bullish for crypto, so any dip represents a strong long-term accumulation opportunity. The combination of a near-term correction and a positive regulatory catalyst creates an asymmetric setup for patient buyers.
BTC WATCH
MED
13:00
May 17
May 17
Milk Road Macro
17d
BTC
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin becoming normal portfolio asset.
Bitcoin is increasingly being recommended by major financial institutions such as Charles Schwab (2-7% allocation), Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs. This normalizes Bitcoin as a portfolio asset, reduces its risk profile, and signals sustained institutional demand, supporting higher allocations over time.
BTC LONG
HIGH
13:00
May 16
May 16
Milk Road Macro
18d
BTC
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin bottom likely in, asymmetric opportunity.
Bitcoin has likely bottomed because the bear market relative to assets like silver has already been severe (down 80%), long-term holder supply is over 80%, institutions are accumulating via ETFs while retail shorts are extreme, and the asymmetric opportunity around current levels (near short-term holder realized price and 200 DMA) is too large to ignore. The traditional 4-year cycle may no longer apply due to changed supply dynamics and institutional buying.
BTC LONG
HIGH
18:45
May 14
May 14
Milk Road Macro
20d
SKY 1ST
GLXY 1ST
FIGR 1ST
HYPE
BTC 1ST
▾
HIGH
Bet on stablecoins and yield.
For crypto portfolio managers, owning Sky and Hype is essential because they are easy to pitch to traditional funds, their businesses are growing, and they attract institutional capital. Hype is pumping due to USDC partnership and additional revenue.
SKY LONG
HYPE WATCH
Undervalued AI data center play.
Galaxy Digital is undervalued because the market sees it as a crypto company, but it has significant AI data center exposure. A potential approval of additional 1.8 GW power could drive high double-digit growth. It is my biggest position.
GLXY LONG
Blockchain loan marketplace growth.
Figure uses blockchain to simplify loan origination, driving costs down 90%. Revenue grew 92% YoY, adjusted EBITDA grew 192%. The marketplace volume is growing rapidly.
FIGR LONG
Hedge as digital gold.
Bitcoin is a hedge against uncertainty, a better version of digital gold. I hold a significant portion as a portfolio hedge, expecting allocation when markets turn bearish.
BTC LONG
HIGH
18:45
May 13
May 13
Milk Road Macro
21d
BTC
▾
HIGH
Bear market rally likely ending shortly.
Bitcoin's recent rally from $60K to $82K is a bear market rally, not the start of a new bull market. Multiple on-chain and technical indicators converge to suggest a local top: rejection at the 200-day moving average, high unrealized profit margins comparable to March 2022, a spike in realized profit-taking (14,000+ BTC in one day), negative Coinbase premium indicating fading US demand, and rally primarily driven by speculative (perpetual futures) demand rather than spot demand. Julio expects a correction with first support near the trader on-chain realized price of ~$70K.
BTC WATCH
HIGH
18:45
May 12
May 12
Milk Road Macro
22d
BTC 1ST
▾
MED
Bitcoin bullish institutional adoption catalysts
Alex Thorn believes Bitcoin may have bottomed at $58k in February and could rally higher given accelerating institutional adoption, exemplified by Morgan Stanley recommending a 2-4% Bitcoin allocation and launching its own Bitcoin ETF. Additional catalysts include the potential passage of the Clarity Act and a forthcoming strategic Bitcoin reserve announcement. However, macro uncertainty (inflation, oil markets, geopolitical fragmentation) adds risk, so he is cautiously bullish but not fully committed.
BTC LONG
MED
18:45
May 11
May 11
Milk Road Macro
23d
BTC
ETH
LINK
▾
HIGH
Wait for Bitcoin breakout confirmation.
Bitcoin needs to show a decisive breakout above $85,000 and hold that level as support to confirm a bull run continuation. Until then, the current price action is a wall of worry without confirmation, and committing more capital to altcoins is premature. He is watching closely for a strong flip of resistance and sustained holding before adding to altcoins.
BTC WATCH
Ethereum is core portfolio asset.
Ethereum is not an altcoin but an alternative part of the digital asset market that belongs in every portfolio alongside Bitcoin. He already has a sizable allocation to Ethereum and considers it a core holding that will benefit from the macro cycle and crypto adoption.
ETH LONG
Chainlink is fundamentally strong and growing.
Chainlink is a fundamentally sound, long-lasting business that straddles TradFi and digital assets with a growing moat. It has benefited from DeFi security migrations and projects adopting its services. Despite market apathy, the price is now responding to positive news and fundamentals, making it a strong long-term holding.
LINK LONG
HIGH
13:00
May 10
May 10
Milk Road Macro
24d
BTC
▾
MED
Short-term bullish on Bitcoin liquidity.
Bitcoin is likely to rally in the short term (next few weeks) as the US Treasury spends down its General Account balance, injecting liquidity into the system, which historically benefits risk assets and crypto. This is reinforced by long-term holders accumulating and institutional demand from products like Strategy's stretch product and digital asset credit. However, risks remain from geopolitical headlines (Iran).
BTC LONG
MED
13:00
May 09
May 09
Milk Road Macro
25d
BTC
ETH
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin bottom sooner than expected
John expects Bitcoin to bottom sooner than the consensus expectation of October/November, driven by heavy accumulation from long-term holders, whales, and institutional inflows (e.g., Strategy, ETFs). He sees a setup for a short squeeze that could flip resistance into support and start a bull market sooner than anticipated. He is leaning bullish and accumulating Bitcoin.
BTC LONG
Ethereum will eventually go up
John holds a strong long-term thesis on Ethereum, believing its value will increase over time despite short-term price volatility. He is a large ETH holder and is willing to be patient, viewing recent price action as not invalidating his fundamental view.
ETH LONG
HIGH
18:45
May 08
May 08
Milk Road Macro
26d
BTC 1ST
▾
HIGH
BTC asymmetric opportunity at current levels
Bitcoin (BTC) has an asymmetric upside opportunity around current levels (~$80k) because the supply is shrinking (over 80% held by long-term holders, 95% already in circulation), institutional demand via ETFs is strong (ETF holdings have recovered to near all-time highs despite the 50% drawdown), retail sentiment is extremely bearish (a contrarian bullish signal), and global monetary expansion (Fed balance sheet, rising M2) provides tailwinds. Price capitulation has already occurred relative to silver and gold. The probability of a lower low below $60k is less than 50%, and any pullback to the $70-75k range is an aggressive buying opportunity. He targets Bitcoin at $103,321 by November 2026.
BTC LONG
HIGH
18:45
May 07
May 07
Milk Road Macro
27d
PENDLE 1ST
WU 1ST
BTC 1ST
▾
HIGH
Avoid Pendle until fundamentals improve.
Pendle token surged 88% in 30 days, but revenues and fundamentals have not improved; the business is operating at a loss. The price move is driven by speculation, not business growth. Therefore, avoid buying at the current valuation until real growth materializes.
PENDLE AVOID
Western Union benefits from stablecoin growth.
Western Union is distressed with a $2.6B market cap and over 10% dividend yield. The company is pivoting to digital assets and stablecoins to leverage its global payout network. As stablecoin adoption grows, WU could benefit from last-mile cash-out demand. The market misprices this pivot, providing upside with limited downside due to the dividend.
WU LONG
Buy Bitcoin if breakout holds.
Bitcoin is in a range since February, repeatedly failing to break out. If it can break out and hold above the top of the range, that signals continuation and he plans to buy. If it fails to break out again, he expects a move back to the bottom of the range.
BTC LONG
HIGH
18:45
May 06
May 06
Milk Road Macro
28d
BTC 1ST
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin bullish, sentiment low, fundamentals strong.
Ali believes Bitcoin is extremely bullish because sentiment is at near all-time lows while fundamentals (infrastructure maturity, institutional adoption, regulatory progress) are at all-time highs, making it an undervalued category of technology. He explicitly says 'extremely bullish' when asked about Bitcoin's short-term outlook.
BTC LONG
HIGH
18:45
May 05
May 05
Milk Road Macro
29d
BTC
SOL
POL 1ST
LINK 1ST
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin bottom at $60k, likely higher
Bitcoin found a fundamental bottom around $60k and is likely to move higher into the 80-100 channel, conditional on risk assets holding steady and the Clarity Act passing. The uptrend is intact despite short-term noise.
BTC LONG
Solana and Polygon benefit from stablecoin adoption
Stablecoin adoption via edge cases like Meta paying creators and DoorDash paying gig workers will drive usage of the underlying blockchains. Solana and Polygon are direct beneficiaries because Meta uses USDC on Solana and Polygon, making them attractive investments as stablecoin usage scales.
SOL LONG
POL LONG
Chainlink gains from tokenization and stablecoin growth
Chainlink is critical middleware infrastructure for tokenization, stablecoins, DeFi, and cross-chain interoperability. It has a dominant market share and a strong moat as the first mover. As tokenization and stablecoin usage grow, Chainlink's network will become more valuable.
LINK LONG
HIGH
18:45
May 04
May 04
Milk Road Macro
1mo
BTC
ETH
LINK 1ST
▾
HIGH
Bullish long-term on Bitcoin and Ethereum.
I'm extremely bullish on both Bitcoin and Ethereum. They're both long-term buy and holds for me. There are different theses behind both assets, but they are both strong. I'm comfortable waiting for the thesis to play out.
BTC LONG
ETH LONG
Chainlink is extremely underpriced infrastructure.
Chainlink will be an essential part of global information infrastructure and various other infrastructure related to digital assets. It is extremely misunderstood and extremely underpriced. Institutions like Bitwise and Grayscale are beginning to educate people about its value.
LINK LONG
HIGH
13:00
May 03
May 03
Milk Road Macro
1mo
BTC
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin is two bets in one.
Bitcoin is a store of value (digital gold) with an out-of-the-money call option on becoming a global currency. Geopolitical volatility increases the value of that call option, as seen during the Iran conflict. Bitwise's price target of $1.3M by 2035 may be too low; it could be $2.3M.
BTC LONG
HIGH
14:00
May 02
May 02
Milk Road Macro
1mo
ETH 1ST
▾
HIGH
ETH is productive money outperforming Bitcoin and gold.
Ethereum is primed to have an Nvidia-like moment as the universal backbone for the global financial system. All regulatory and technological headwinds have turned to tailwinds. ETH the asset is one of the most convex plays, superior to Bitcoin and gold as 'productive money' that compounds yield, with asymmetric upside as blockchain adoption accelerates.
ETH LONG
HIGH
18:45
May 01
May 01
Milk Road Macro
1mo
ETH
▾
MED
Ethereum narrative improving, good trajectory.
Ethereum's narrative has shifted from concerns about L2 extraction and high fees to a more constructive trajectory: L1 fees have decreased, quantum readiness is being addressed, and Ethereum is leaning into the AI agent commerce narrative via EIPs like ERC-402. This positions ETH as undervalued with a positive path forward.
ETH LONG
MED
18:45
Apr 30
Apr 30
Milk Road Macro
1mo
SOL 1ST
▾
MED
Solana benefits from mobile and developer growth
Emmett argues that Solana's fast, cheap, and high-capacity network makes it the natural platform for crypto-mobile integration, and he sees strong developer momentum with the app store growing from 25 to over 800 apps, indicating real product-market fit and a resilient ecosystem that should drive value for SOL.
SOL LONG
MED
18:45
Apr 29
Apr 29
Milk Road Macro
1mo
BTC 1ST
HYPE
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin breakout to triple digits likely.
Our base case is that Bitcoin breaks out of the current range and returns to triple digits (above 100K) by mid-2026. The market is consolidating with higher highs and higher lows, on-chain data shows healthy distribution between cohorts, and Bitcoin wants to go up despite near-term macro uncertainty.
BTC LONG
Hyperliquid has durable scale advantage.
Hyperliquid has built a durable competitive moat through scale, liquidity, and vertical integration across products. It is the market leader in perpetual futures and is well positioned to maintain its lead as more entrants and partnerships emerge, including through HIP-3 economics sharing.
HYPE WATCH
HIGH
18:45
Apr 28
Apr 28
Milk Road Macro
1mo
BTC 1ST
▾
MED
Bullish on Bitcoin and top coins
I remain super bullish on crypto. Once Bitcoin breaks out of its current range, top 5-10 coins will reaccelerate. Tailwinds from regulation and institutionalization support this view. High-quality projects with real business models will outperform.
BTC LONG
MED
18:45
Apr 27
Apr 27
Milk Road Macro
1mo
BTC
ETH
▾
HIGH
Setup for short squeeze, flip 80k resistance.
Bitcoin is setting up for a potential short squeeze and breakout if it can flip $80k from resistance to support. Over 300,000 coins have moved from short-term to long-term holders, Strategy (Saylor) is buying, and spot ETF inflows totaled $1.2 billion. This accumulation by major players increases the risk of a bullish reversal sooner than most expect, but confirmation is needed.
BTC WATCH
Accumulate Ethereum long-term regardless of price.
Ethereum is a core long-term holding that John accumulates regardless of short-term Bitcoin price action. He believes the thesis for ETH is very strong and is willing to be patient, buying during fear and holding through bearish periods. This is a simple accumulate-and-hold strategy.
ETH LONG
HIGH
13:00
Apr 26
Apr 26
Milk Road Macro
1mo
BTC
▾
MED
Bitcoin likely to see further weakness
Michael Nadeau is bearish on Bitcoin in the near term, expecting further weakness because key on-chain cycle indicators (realized price, 200-week moving average, percentage of network in profit) have not been hit during the recent drawdown, market structure has not fully turned over from weak to strong hands, global liquidity has already peaked, and the fiscal impulse is rolling over. He believes the current grind-up is causing late bears to capitulate and chase, which sets up for another leg down.
BTC AVOID
MED
13:00
Apr 25
Apr 25
Milk Road Macro
1mo
BTC
▾
HIGH
Liquidity expansion will drive Bitcoin higher.
The US government faces a four-door problem of unsustainable debt, deficits, and unfunded liabilities. The only viable door is to print more money (fiscal dominance/QE), which increases liquidity and drives asset prices higher, including Bitcoin. Over time, this liquidity expansion is inevitable and will push Bitcoin higher.
BTC LONG
HIGH
18:45
Apr 24
Apr 24
Milk Road Macro
1mo
BTC 1ST
▾
MED
Avoid Bitcoin now, buy lower later.
Near-term bearish on Bitcoin due to macro risks from the Strait of Hormuz closure, potential equity market crash, and historical bear market patterns suggesting the bottom is not yet in. She expects Bitcoin to decline further into the 30s-40k range (Q3/Q4) and is keeping dry powder to deploy at that lower level.
BTC AVOID
MED
18:45
Apr 23
Apr 23
Milk Road Macro
1mo
CHIP
AAVE
ETH
BTC
▾
HIGH
CHIP DeFi GPU financing token watch
Chip (CHIP) is the token of USDA, a DeFi platform financing GPU purchases on-chain. The business model is promising because it brings real-world asset financing to DeFi, generating yield from GPU lending. Kyle plans to buy CHIP eventually but considers the current $1B valuation too high after just 24 hours of trading. It remains on his watchlist.
CHIP WATCH
AAVE buying opportunity on sentiment dip
Aave (AAVE) is experiencing a sentiment-driven sell-off after the recent hack and capital flight, but the underlying product is robust and the leading DeFi lending platform. John sees this as a good buying opportunity at a local bottom, as the market has stabilized and the token is holding support.
AAVE LONG
Ethereum benefits from tokenization growth
Ethereum is extremely bullish due to tokenization of real-world assets, growth of stablecoins, and the agentic economy driving users and activity to the network. These forces increase economic activity and value accrual to ETH. John holds a large position and believes the setup is ideal.
ETH LONG
Bitcoin poised for short squeeze higher
Bitcoin is at a major decision point near the top of a trading range. Negative funding rates and heavy short positioning set up a potential short squeeze. Institutional accumulation via ETFs and companies like Strategy adds demand. John is bullish and has been buying Bitcoin on dips, expecting a breakout higher.
BTC LONG
HIGH
18:45
Apr 22
Apr 22
Milk Road Macro
1mo
RWA
AVAX
AI TOKENS
BTC
▾
HIGH
Tokenization of real-world assets is early and growing.
Tokenization of real-world assets is growing rapidly, from $2 billion in 2024 to nearly $30 billion now, and is still early compared to the $600 trillion of global assets. The categories are broadening beyond treasuries and gold to include asset-backed credit, commodities, real estate, venture capital, etc. This trend is expected to continue and accelerate.
RWA WATCH
Avalanche has unique architecture and RWA traction.
Avalanche has a unique architecture (customizable L1s for corporations) and is showing real traction in real-world assets (RWA on Avalanche up almost 1000% year-over-year). It is one of the few L1s with a differentiated architecture and real-world traction, making it a legitimate shot in the growing L1 space.
AVAX LONG
AI and token framework will drive alt season.
The combination of regulatory compliance (new token framework), highly performant blockchains, and more capable AI will lead to a new wave of innovative token projects, similar to an ICO boom but with more legitimate projects. This will create opportunities in AI tokens and token projects.
AI TOKENS WATCH
Bitcoin is digital gold and a future settlement asset.
Bitcoin is two bets in one: a store of value (digital gold) and a future global settlement asset (apolitical currency). The recent geopolitical conflict (Iran) has increased the volatility of the global monetary order, making the call option on Bitcoin as a settlement asset more valuable, increasing its probability and thus its value. This could lead to Bitcoin reaching $1.3 million by 2035, and possibly more.
BTC LONG
HIGH
18:45
Apr 21
Apr 21
Milk Road Macro
1mo
ETH 1ST
▾
HIGH
ETH is productive money with asymmetric upside.
Since the merge, Ethereum (ETH) possesses superior monetary attributes (scarcity, fungibility, divisibility, portability) compared to Bitcoin and gold, and it uniquely compounds via staking yield, making it a productive asset. It is more secure due to proof-of-stake scaling security with market cap, and it is transitioning from being valued as a technology to being valued as money. The total addressable market for money is tens of trillions, and ETH capturing even a fraction implies massive price appreciation (e.g., to $250K). Institutional adoption (e.g., BlackRock staked ETH ETF, Harvard allocations) and regulatory tailwinds support this repricing.
ETH LONG
HIGH
18:45
Apr 20
Apr 20
Milk Road Macro
1mo
AAVE 1ST
CRAK
▾
HIGH
Aave is a buy after hack-induced fear-driven selloff.
The hack on Kelp DAO created a $300M bad debt on Aave and caused fear-driven withdrawals, leading to a large drop in Aave's TVL and token price to multi-year lows. However, Aave itself was not hacked, its safety protocols (the umbrella module) contained the issue, and the fundamental value of the Ethereum/DeFi ecosystem and Aave's position within it have grown significantly since the token was last at this price. The price drop is driven by fear and lack of attention, not a deterioration in fundamentals, creating a buying opportunity for those who believe in the long-term DeFi thesis. The protocol is growing, innovating, and bringing in new capital and products.
AAVE LONG
Diesel and jet fuel shortages pose economic risk.
The price of diesel and jet fuel is at all-time highs due to the closed Strait of Hormuz, and Europe is weeks away from running out of jet fuel. This will lead to rationing, price hikes, and inflation as the economic impact filters through to consumers via transported goods and travel, representing an economic 'sword of Damocles' hanging over the current market rally.
CRAK WATCH
HIGH
14:00
Apr 19
Apr 19
Milk Road Macro
1mo
BTC
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin to $95K on catalysts by year-end.
Bitcoin's price performance is conditional on several factors including macro settlement, regulatory clarity, institutional demand, and resolution of quantum risk; if all factors turn positive, Bitcoin could end much higher, if mixed, sideways, and if negative, much lower, with quantum resolution being a key additional catalyst.
BTC WATCH
HIGH
14:00
Apr 18
Apr 18
18:45
Apr 17
Apr 17
Milk Road Macro
1mo
N/A
SOL 1ST
▾
HIGH
Prediction markets a high-growth new financial primitive.
Prediction markets are a new, rapidly growing financial primitive with high accuracy, serving as outcome-based financial instruments and risk-hedging tools. They are seeing massive growth (13x in 6 months, over 150B notional volume) and are expected to reach trillions as more capital and institutional adoption flows in, driven by events like elections and sports. While Solana is currently slower in this sector, its infrastructure readiness for high-volume, low-fee trading positions it to compete.
N/A WATCH
Solana positioned as infrastructure for X financial super app.
Solana is expected to reach its all-time high price by 2028, around the time of the next U.S. election. The near-to-medium term (2026-2027) may see sideways movement around $100, but the long-term outlook is positive due to growing institutional adoption, infrastructure improvements, and the broader momentum of capital deployment into the crypto industry.
SOL LONG
HIGH
18:43
Apr 16
Apr 16
Milk Road Macro
1mo
ETH 1ST
LIT 1ST
TSLA 1ST
HYPE 1ST
TSM 1ST
▾
HIGH
Ethereum accumulation and financial engineering bullish.
Ethereum is being accumulated by entities like Tom Lee, and similar financial engineering as with Bitcoin could unlock value, with supply on exchanges near historic lows, leading to potential price appreciation.
ETH LONG
Lighter has better product and security.
Lighter is a better product than Hyperliquid because it's built on Ethereum with zero trust assumptions, no bridge risk, and is backed by reputable founders like Vlad from Robinhood and Tom Lee, trading at a discount to previous funding rounds.
LIT LONG
Tesla technical breakout and catalyst potential.
Tesla's chart shows a technical breakout from a long-term trend line, and potential robo-taxi announcements could drive price higher, despite earnings concerns being already priced in.
TSLA LONG
Hyperliquid growth stalled, better alternatives exist.
Hyperliquid is the market leader in perps with buybacks and exposure outside crypto, but growth is stalling and it has trust assumptions compared to Lighter, so not increasing position despite holding.
HYPE AVOID
TSMC earnings show strong chip demand.
TSMC reported huge margins and revenue, indicating tons of demand for chips, which is bullish for the AI sector and TSMC specifically.
TSM LONG
Saylor's Bitcoin buying supports price.
Bitcoin is in a bullish setup long-term due to Saylor's accumulation and financial engineering forcing Wall Street to create competing products, but short-term confirmation is needed above $80k for a clear bull market signal.
BTC LONG
HIGH
18:45
Apr 15
Apr 15
Milk Road Macro
1mo
ETH
BTC 1ST
▾
HIGH
Ethereum's low inflation and yield are attractive.
Ethereum's net dilution rate is at or below Bitcoin's inflation rate, it offers a stable yield through staking, and it is the most secure smart contract network even in a risk-off environment. This makes it an attractive store of value with utility and yield, which could appeal to institutional investors and change the narrative from being just 'silver to gold'.
ETH WATCH
Bitcoin likely to see further weakness.
The speaker believes the probabilities point to further Bitcoin weakness because many cycle indicators (realized price, 200-week moving average, percentage of network in profit) have not been hit, market structure hasn't turned over, global liquidity and fiscal impulse are rolling over, and there hasn't been enough time for a typical bear market capitulation. He expects a potential move down to 57-58K after a possible rise to 85-90K.
BTC AVOID
HIGH
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