Oil Stabilizes As Trump Says Iran Strikes To Be Short | The Opening Trade 9/3/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 03, 2026 at 11:21  |  1:35:29  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Nanette — CIO EMEA, Lombard Odier
Emmanuel Cote — Head of European Equity Strategy, Barclays
Matt Bloxham — Head of Research, The Block
Katherine McLellan — CFO, M&G
Skyler Montgomery Koning — Macro Strategist
Anthony DiPaola — Reporter, Bloomberg (Energy)
Guy Johnson — Anchor, Bloomberg
Alex Morgan — Bloomberg Reporter
Andrew Sheets — Chief Cross-Asset Strategist, Morgan Stanley
Paul Dobson — Executive Editor, Bloomberg
Martin Blessing — German Chancellor's Personal Envoy for Investments

Summary

Markets opened modestly higher as President Trump said renewed Iran strikes would be short-lived, easing oil and supporting bonds. The yen rallied on BOJ hike and intervention speculation, while Broadcom's AI chip forecast lifted European semiconductor suppliers. Energy supply constraints and Europe's low gas storage remain key risks.

  • Oil comes off a three-day rally but remains elevated; Strait of Hormuz flows are still constrained.
  • Yen jumps about 1% on BOJ quarter-point hike speculation and intervention risks.
  • Broadcom sees AI chip sales surge; Soitec and Nokia rally on AI/photonics demand.
  • European equities are flat; strategists favor utilities and financials.
  • Barclays likes utilities as an energy hedge and dislikes consumer discretionary/staples.
  • Lombard Odier is overweight equities and emerging market equities.
  • Europe's gas storage remains low, pointing to higher winter energy costs.
  • Deutsche Telekom and Watches of Switzerland are in focus on activist and guidance news.
Ideas
Guy Johnson Anchor, Bloomberg 4:39
European gas prices likely stay high.
Europe faces a race to rebuild low gas storage, especially Germany at 53%, forcing spot purchases and competition with Asia; this points to elevated European gas prices over the winter even if shortages are avoided.
Nanette CIO EMEA, Lombard Odier 17:16
European financials benefit from steeper yields.
European equity indices have large financial sector exposure, and steeper yield curves and higher average yields should boost bank interest income, supporting European financials and the broader European equity market.
Nanette CIO EMEA, Lombard Odier 19:52
Overweight emerging market equities for growth.
Lombard Odier is overweight equities and sees emerging market equities as attractive given lower valuations and stronger earnings, offering a way to capture resilient global growth and a pro-risk stance.
M&G has record earnings and momentum.
M&G reported record first-half results with adjusted operating income up 15%, growth across asset management and life, and visible catalysts including BPA Plus, private markets and cost/income improvement.
Alex Morgan Bloomberg Reporter 41:45
Activist pressure unlocks Deutsche Telekom value.
Elliott has built a sizable stake in Deutsche Telekom and wants management to drop a T-Mobile merger and instead boost shareholder value through larger buybacks, creating activist-driven pressure.
Alex Morgan Bloomberg Reporter 42:23
Eni adds major Venezuelan oil field.
Eni is starting to drill a new Venezuelan oil field with 25 years exclusive access and nearly 35 billion barrels of certified oil, a long-term resource upside despite short-term market pressures.
Alex Morgan Bloomberg Reporter 43:26
Watches of Switzerland guidance on track.
Watches of Switzerland reiterated full-year guidance, recovering from luxury sector worries and remaining on track with its Rolex showroom pipeline.
Emmanuel Cote Head of European Equity Strategy, Barclays 59:06
Utilities hedge energy scarcity risk.
Utilities have been beaten down by higher interest rates but are a useful way to hedge renewed energy and gas market tension and the broader energy scarcity theme in Europe.
Emmanuel Cote Head of European Equity Strategy, Barclays 59:21
Avoid European consumer sectors.
Barclays does not like consumer discretionary or consumer staples because higher energy prices, higher inflation and higher rates are squeezing consumers, so it prefers the investment/CapEx side of the economy.
Matt Bloxham Head of Research, The Block 62:22
Soitec benefits from AI photonics demand.
Soitec raised revenue guidance and is leveraged to photonics, which is an early-stage shift from electrical to optical transmission and is seeing huge incremental demand from AI data centers.
Matt Bloxham Head of Research, The Block 63:25
Nokia exposed to AI optics demand.
Nokia has large exposure to the same photonics/optics layer in AI data centers, with an encouraging share price run and AI-related data center connectivity demand.
Matt Bloxham Head of Research, The Block 64:08
Broadcom AI chip sales accelerating.
Broadcom's AI revenue trajectory is supported by its large customers diversifying AI chip supply; the 2028 revenue outlook is roughly 10-15% above consensus, with OpenAI and Anthropic expected to overtake Google as demand drivers.
Anthony DiPaola Reporter, Bloomberg (Energy) 67:54
Hormuz supply keeps oil elevated.
Strait of Hormuz crude flows are only about 7 million barrels a day, enough to avoid $100 but not enough to meet all demand, with vessel availability and product constraints keeping crude and US diesel prices elevated.
Skyler Montgomery Koning Macro Strategist 92:16
Yen set for sharp appreciation.
The yen is trading far below model fair value around 140; the divergence is sustained by a Japan term premium, and if that premium unwinds or BOJ/intervention catalysts hit, the move can be very large.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published September 03, 2026, features Guy Johnson, Nanette, Katherine McLellan, Alex Morgan, Emmanuel Cote, Matt Bloxham, Anthony DiPaola, Skyler Montgomery Koning discussing UNG, European financials, EEM, M&G, DTEGY, E, WOSG, IEUS, XLY, KXI, SOITEC, NOK, AVGO, BNO, US retail diesel, FXY. 14 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Guy Johnson, Nanette, Katherine McLellan, Alex Morgan, Emmanuel Cote, Matt Bloxham, Anthony DiPaola, Skyler Montgomery Koning  · Tickers: UNG, European financials, EEM, M&G, DTEGY, E, WOSG, IEUS, XLY, KXI, SOITEC, NOK, AVGO, BNO, US retail diesel, FXY