Hungarian assets to benefit from reduced risk premium.
New leadership in Hungary may lead to warmer relations with the EU, potentially unfreezing EU funds (adding 1-1.5% to GDP growth) and steps toward euro adoption, reducing the risk premium in Hungarian assets. Morgan Stanley strategists expect further interest rate declines (0.5-1%), currency appreciation (2-4%), and are overweight Hungarian equities.
Due to energy uncertainty, relative earnings, and relative monetary policy, Morgan Stanley continues to prefer US equities and government bonds over their European counterparts.
Due to energy uncertainty, relative earnings, and relative monetary policy, Morgan Stanley continues to prefer US equities and government bonds over their European counterparts.