#799 Alpha Score 23.6

Paul Dobson

Executive Editor, Bloomberg
@paul_dobson · tracked since Feb 2026
799
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Alpha Score 23.6
Calls
10
Win Rate
40.0%
return
-6.1%
Calls 10 23 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 4
90d 6
Best Calls
EPU Long +4.1%
IGOV Short +3.1%
XLE Long +2.3%
Worst Calls
BNO Short -23.2%
EWY Long -18.3%
000660.KS Long -17.1%
Most Mentioned
EWY ×2
TLT ×1
DXY ×1
Recent Calls
Zhipu Long 2 weeks ago
000660.KS Long 2 weeks ago
BNO Short 3 weeks ago
Win Rate 40% Long 6 Short 4
Win Rate
7d 40%
30d 50%
90d 75%
Average Return -6.1% Long Return -6.5% Short Return -5.5%
Average Return
7d -3.7%
30d -0.8%
90d +2.2%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 30
$196.74
-18.3%
Bullish on Japan and Korea equity momentum
Asian equities, particularly Japan's Nikkei and South Korea's KOSPI, have had record or near-record quarters, driven by confidence in the growth and AI story, large investment plans, and bullish analyst calls like JP Morgan forecasting further gains. Momentum is expected to continue despite volatility.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jul 09
$2190000.00
-17.1%
SK Hynix AD sale shows huge demand
SK Hynix's massive US AD sale, worth around $25 billion and seven times oversubscribed, demonstrates strong investor appetite for the stock and for the large South Korean memory chip makers.
AI Memory
Short
Jul 08
$84.56
+1.0%
Oil reignites inflation fears, hurting bonds
Renewed US-Iran tensions and the resulting rise in oil prices are reigniting inflation fears, which triggered a sharp jump in US Treasury yields across the curve and follow-through into European bonds. The bond market is repricing for higher-for-longer US interest rates, leaving government bonds vulnerable to further yield increases.
Bonds & Rates
Short
Jul 06
$39.67
-23.2%
Bearish crude on OPEC supply and contango
Crude oil sentiment is strongly bearish. OPEC is discussing increasing production, ample supply from the Strait of Hormuz and elsewhere has pushed the front end of the curve into contango, and Citigroup has a radical call for $60 Brent by year-end, providing plenty of fodder for bears.
Commodities
Long
Jun 18
$55.00
-7.1%
Favor China AI startups over consumer platforms
China's equity market is K-shaped: AI and technology exports are booming, while the domestic consumer remains weak, pressuring large platform companies. This divergence makes the STAR 50 (tech startups linked to the AI trade) a better bet than MSCI China, which is heavy in struggling consumer internet names like Alibaba and Tencent and is on the cusp of a bear market.
Equity Indexes
Short
Jun 18
$52.78
-3.1%
Favor China AI startups over consumer platforms
China's equity market is K-shaped: AI and technology exports are booming, while the domestic consumer remains weak, pressuring large platform companies. This divergence makes the STAR 50 (tech startups linked to the AI trade) a better bet than MSCI China, which is heavy in struggling consumer internet names like Alibaba and Tencent and is on the cusp of a bear market.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 27
$108.17
-3.0%
ECB hike telegraph to boost euro, hurt bonds
Christine Lagarde is likely to telegraph a rate hike at the upcoming ECB meeting, which would support the euro and weigh on European government bonds that have been underperforming under pressure.
FX & Currencies
Short
Apr 27
$41.83
+3.1%
ECB hike telegraph to boost euro, hurt bonds
Christine Lagarde is likely to telegraph a rate hike at the upcoming ECB meeting, which would support the euro and weigh on European government bonds that have been underperforming under pressure.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Apr 24
$81.80
+4.1%
EM energy producers for carry trade
Higher-yielding emerging market energy producers are attractive for carry trades given lower volatility and stable interest rates. This trade is safe unless there is another flare-up in the Middle East.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 24
$57.05
+2.3%
Consider higher yielding EM and energy carry.
Lower volatility and stable interest rates are making the FX carry trade attractive again. Investors should look at higher yielding emerging markets and energy producers to pick up yield, as these appear safe as long as there is no new flare-up in the Middle East.
Thematic ETFs
Showing 10 of 10 calls · sorted by mentions

Paul Dobson has 10 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 10 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #799 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: EWY, TLT, DXY.