Calls
14
#1193
Alpha Score 12.7
Paul Dobson
Executive Editor, Bloomberg
Win Rate
28.6%
return
-4.7%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 30
$196.74
-4.0%
Asian equities, particularly Japan's Nikkei and South Korea's KOSPI, have had record or near-record quarters, driven by confidence in the growth and AI story, large investment plans, and bullish analyst calls like JP Morgan forecasting further gains. Momentum is expected to continue despite volatility.
Equity Indexes
Long
Sep 04
$105.50
-0.9%
The Norwegian sovereign wealth fund is looking to scale back its government-debt holdings, especially US Treasuries, and shift toward corporate bonds and other bond markets. The fund believes it can take on more risk while keeping the same liquidity, and there is a broader declining appetite for government bonds as investors seek more yield or equities.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Jul 09
$2190000.00
-17.3%
SK Hynix's massive US AD sale, worth around $25 billion and seven times oversubscribed, demonstrates strong investor appetite for the stock and for the large South Korean memory chip makers.
AI Memory
Short
Jul 08
$84.56
+4.3%
Renewed US-Iran tensions and the resulting rise in oil prices are reigniting inflation fears, which triggered a sharp jump in US Treasury yields across the curve and follow-through into European bonds. The bond market is repricing for higher-for-longer US interest rates, leaving government bonds vulnerable to further yield increases.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Sep 01
$765.01
-0.0%
Equities can probably withstand gradually rising yields because the economy is in a faster-growth, technological-revolution phase. The real risk to the stock market is a much more rapid rise in yields, not slow and steady increases.
Equity Indexes
Long
Aug 20
$267000.00
-2.8%
Korean stocks are getting support from buybacks by Samsung and SK hynix, which are significant enough to put a floor under their stocks. The strength of the Korean won is also lending confidence, with overseas investors now putting more money into Korean stocks.
AI Memory
Long
Aug 17
$25.55
-0.5%
Soft US data including retail sales and the University of Michigan survey is causing doubts over how far the Fed can hike, pressuring the dollar. At the same time, other central banks may act more, making emerging market and Asian currencies more attractive; EM currencies have risen for seven straight weeks and the dollar can continue to weaken.
Bonds & Rates
Short
Jul 06
$39.67
-54.5%
Crude oil sentiment is strongly bearish. OPEC is discussing increasing production, ample supply from the Strait of Hormuz and elsewhere has pushed the front end of the curve into contango, and Citigroup has a radical call for $60 Brent by year-end, providing plenty of fodder for bears.
Commodities
Long
Jun 18
$55.00
-15.8%
China's equity market is K-shaped: AI and technology exports are booming, while the domestic consumer remains weak, pressuring large platform companies. This divergence makes the STAR 50 (tech startups linked to the AI trade) a better bet than MSCI China, which is heavy in struggling consumer internet names like Alibaba and Tencent and is on the cusp of a bear market.
Equity Indexes
Short
Jun 18
$52.78
-0.3%
China's equity market is K-shaped: AI and technology exports are booming, while the domestic consumer remains weak, pressuring large platform companies. This divergence makes the STAR 50 (tech startups linked to the AI trade) a better bet than MSCI China, which is heavy in struggling consumer internet names like Alibaba and Tencent and is on the cusp of a bear market.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 27
$108.17
-1.1%
Christine Lagarde is likely to telegraph a rate hike at the upcoming ECB meeting, which would support the euro and weigh on European government bonds that have been underperforming under pressure.
FX & Currencies
Short
Apr 27
$41.83
+1.9%
Christine Lagarde is likely to telegraph a rate hike at the upcoming ECB meeting, which would support the euro and weigh on European government bonds that have been underperforming under pressure.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Apr 24
$81.80
+10.9%
Higher-yielding emerging market energy producers are attractive for carry trades given lower volatility and stable interest rates. This trade is safe unless there is another flare-up in the Middle East.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 24
$57.05
+14.2%
Lower volatility and stable interest rates are making the FX carry trade attractive again. Investors should look at higher yielding emerging markets and energy producers to pick up yield, as these appear safe as long as there is no new flare-up in the Middle East.
Thematic ETFs
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Paul Dobson has 14 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 14 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #1193 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: EWY, TLT, LQD.
