#476 Alpha Score 63.2

Seema Shah

Chief Global Strategist, Principal Asset Management
· tracked since Mar 2026
476
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Alpha Score 63.2
Calls
15
Win Rate
73.3%
return
+3.8%
Calls 15 12 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 1
90d 7
Best Calls
DBC Long +15.4%
XLE Long +15.3%
XLV Long +7.4%
Worst Calls
XLI Long -4.6%
PAVE Long -1.5%
HYG Long -0.8%
Most Mentioned
XLF ×4
FXI ×2
XLV ×2
Recent Calls
LQD Long 2 weeks ago
XLI Long 1 month ago
XLV Long 1 month ago
Win Rate 73% Long 14 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 53%
30d 50%
90d 88%
Average Return +3.8% Long Return +3.7% Short Return +5.5%
Average Return
7d +0.2%
30d -0.3%
90d +1.8%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jul 13
$55.91
+3.2%
Financials and healthcare are attractive
Beyond AI, sectors like financials and healthcare are good plays in the current environment, offering resilience and diversification.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 13
$161.49
+7.4%
Financials and healthcare are attractive
Beyond AI, sectors like financials and healthcare are good plays in the current environment, offering resilience and diversification.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jun 02
$51.65
+6.8%
Oil to stay above $80 through year-end
Even with a resolution to the Iran conflict and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices will remain elevated above $80 a barrel through the end of the year due to infrastructure damage and supply-side constraints, unless significant demand destruction occurs.
Commodities
Long
May 22
$35.51
+0.2%
China as diversifier, less conflict exposure.
China is a preferred portfolio diversifier because it has its own ecosystem, is less exposed to the Iran conflict, and has lower correlation to the U.S. market compared to Europe. It offers a way to reduce concentration risk in a market dominated by AI and U.S. tech.
Equity Indexes
Long
Aug 18
$105.78
-0.6%
Favor global AI infrastructure, financials, and credit.
Equities remain attractive, particularly in global AI infrastructure layers and choke points outside the US, as well as in financials and banks which offer good valuation opportunities in a strong growth environment. High quality credit is preferred within fixed income.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Jul 23
$181.30
-4.6%
Overweight non-AI sectors, attractive valuations.
Many strong companies outside the AI complex have been punished simply for not being attached to AI. There are attractive valuation opportunities across industrials and healthcare, which can continue to perform well if the macro backdrop stays constructive.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 13
$27.52
+15.4%
Real assets are good hedge now
In an inflationary dynamic with geopolitical concerns, real assets are a really good play. They provide diversification and hedge against inflation, complementing equity exposure.
Commodities
Long
Jul 13
$79.71
-0.8%
High yield credit is attractive
High yield credit quality is much higher than in the past, and there is opportunity within the credit space. While investment-grade spreads are very tight and not compelling, high yield offers attractive returns and resilience.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Jun 12
$741.09
+3.2%
Fundamentals support risk-on positioning.
Despite geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict, the fundamental economic picture is strongly supported by AI capex and resilient consumer spending, allowing investors to remain risk-on and invest through the noise.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 13
$61.58
+1.8%
Tech is a secular safe haven.
Investors will stay focused on technology because AI companies have strong balance sheets, positive cash flow, and a moat, making them a safe haven for growth and earnings. Despite cyclical vulnerabilities from geopolitical conflict, the secular AI theme will persist for years, and any dip is an opportunity to build exposure.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 22
$12.98
+2.7%
Lower middle market private credit attractive.
Lower middle market lending within private credit is attractive due to its lower exposure to software and low leverage, and Principal Asset Management continues to favor this segment.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 22
$217.84
+3.5%
Defense, infrastructure, energy security themes reinforced.
Geopolitical events have reinforced investment themes in defense, infrastructure spending, and energy security, making them attractive areas for investment.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 22
$55.06
-1.5%
Defense, infrastructure, energy security themes reinforced.
Geopolitical events have reinforced investment themes in defense, infrastructure spending, and energy security, making them attractive areas for investment.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 22
$56.45
+15.3%
Defense, infrastructure, energy security themes reinforced.
Geopolitical events have reinforced investment themes in defense, infrastructure spending, and energy security, making them attractive areas for investment.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Mar 13
$86.71
+5.5%
You see oil prices remaining over $100 a barrel for a while and that feeding through to inflation. If things progress in a negative way, we would probably take those rate cuts off of the forecast. Energy-driven inflation acts as a tax on the economy while simultaneously forcing central banks to abandon planned rate cuts. Higher-for-longer interest rates directly suppress the value of long-duration government bonds. SHORT. Sticky, supply-driven inflation removes the Federal Reserve's ability to ease monetary policy, driving yields higher across the curve. A severe macroeconomic recession caused by the energy shock could eventually force a flight to safety, bidding up long-term Treasuries despite inflation.
You see oil prices remaining over $100 a barrel for a while and that feeding through to inflation. If things progress in a negative way, we would probably take those rate cuts off of the forecast. Energy-driven inflation acts as a tax on the economy while simultaneously forcing central banks to abandon planned rate cuts. Higher-for-longer interest rates directly suppress the value of long-duration government bonds. SHORT. Sticky, supply-driven inflation removes the Federal Reserve's ability to ease monetary policy, driving yields higher across the curve. A severe macroeconomic recession caused by the energy shock could eventually force a flight to safety, bidding up long-term Treasuries despite inflation.
Bonds & Rates
Showing 15 of 15 calls · sorted by mentions

Seema Shah has 15 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 15 tickers since March 2026. Win rate 73% across 15 evaluated calls, average return +3.8%. Ranked #476 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: XLF, FXI, XLV.