Calls
13
#415
Alpha Score 59.1
Seema Shah
Chief Global Strategist, Principal Asset Management
Win Rate
61.5%
return
+0.6%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 02
$51.65
-5.3%
Even with a resolution to the Iran conflict and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices will remain elevated above $80 a barrel through the end of the year due to infrastructure damage and supply-side constraints, unless significant demand destruction occurs.
Commodities
Long
May 22
$35.51
-4.0%
China is a preferred portfolio diversifier because it has its own ecosystem, is less exposed to the Iran conflict, and has lower correlation to the U.S. market compared to Europe. It offers a way to reduce concentration risk in a market dominated by AI and U.S. tech.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jul 13
$27.52
+7.5%
In an inflationary dynamic with geopolitical concerns, real assets are a really good play. They provide diversification and hedge against inflation, complementing equity exposure.
Commodities
Long
Jul 13
$79.71
+0.0%
High yield credit quality is much higher than in the past, and there is opportunity within the credit space. While investment-grade spreads are very tight and not compelling, high yield offers attractive returns and resilience.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Jul 13
$55.91
+0.9%
Beyond AI, sectors like financials and healthcare are good plays in the current environment, offering resilience and diversification.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 13
$161.49
-0.3%
Beyond AI, sectors like financials and healthcare are good plays in the current environment, offering resilience and diversification.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jun 12
$741.09
+0.2%
Despite geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict, the fundamental economic picture is strongly supported by AI capex and resilient consumer spending, allowing investors to remain risk-on and invest through the noise.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 13
$61.58
-4.1%
Investors will stay focused on technology because AI companies have strong balance sheets, positive cash flow, and a moat, making them a safe haven for growth and earnings. Despite cyclical vulnerabilities from geopolitical conflict, the secular AI theme will persist for years, and any dip is an opportunity to build exposure.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 22
$12.98
-1.5%
Lower middle market lending within private credit is attractive due to its lower exposure to software and low leverage, and Principal Asset Management continues to favor this segment.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 22
$217.84
+5.9%
Geopolitical events have reinforced investment themes in defense, infrastructure spending, and energy security, making them attractive areas for investment.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 22
$55.06
+3.1%
Geopolitical events have reinforced investment themes in defense, infrastructure spending, and energy security, making them attractive areas for investment.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 22
$56.45
+2.5%
Geopolitical events have reinforced investment themes in defense, infrastructure spending, and energy security, making them attractive areas for investment.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Mar 13
$86.71
+2.6%
You see oil prices remaining over $100 a barrel for a while and that feeding through to inflation. If things progress in a negative way, we would probably take those rate cuts off of the forecast. Energy-driven inflation acts as a tax on the economy while simultaneously forcing central banks to abandon planned rate cuts. Higher-for-longer interest rates directly suppress the value of long-duration government bonds. SHORT. Sticky, supply-driven inflation removes the Federal Reserve's ability to ease monetary policy, driving yields higher across the curve. A severe macroeconomic recession caused by the energy shock could eventually force a flight to safety, bidding up long-term Treasuries despite inflation.
You see oil prices remaining over $100 a barrel for a while and that feeding through to inflation. If things progress in a negative way, we would probably take those rate cuts off of the forecast. Energy-driven inflation acts as a tax on the economy while simultaneously forcing central banks to abandon planned rate cuts. Higher-for-longer interest rates directly suppress the value of long-duration government bonds. SHORT. Sticky, supply-driven inflation removes the Federal Reserve's ability to ease monetary policy, driving yields higher across the curve. A severe macroeconomic recession caused by the energy shock could eventually force a flight to safety, bidding up long-term Treasuries despite inflation.
Bonds & Rates
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Seema Shah has 13 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 13 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #415 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: FXI, BNO, ITA.
