#539 Alpha Score 36.1

Pablo Gil

Head of Research, 21Shares
· tracked since Apr 2026
539
BUZZBERG Alpha Score combines three things: realized average return, confidence in the sample size, idea volume, and speaker reputation. Speakers with only a few calls are pulled closer to the platform average; speakers with many evaluated ideas keep more of their own return. Reputation only boosts: 5.0 or lower is neutral, while scores above 5 add weight. Scores are normalized to 0-100; 100 is best. Read the FAQ
Alpha Score 36.1
Calls 7 13 Posts tracked · 0.2/day
Calls
7d 1
30d 1
90d 7
Best Calls
JETS long +19.7%
EWJ long +6.7%
EEM long +4.3%
Worst Calls
BTC long -21.0%
GLD long -12.4%
XLE long -5.6%
Most Mentioned
BTC ×1
ITA ×1
XLE ×1
Recent Calls
EEM long 6 days ago
BTC long 1 month ago
EWJ long 2 months ago
Win Rate 57% Long 7 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 33%
30d 50%
90d
Average Return -0.6% Long Return -0.6% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -0.9%
30d -5.1%
90d
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 14
$67.88
+4.3%
Emerging markets provide diversification from US tech
Emerging markets can serve as a valuable diversification tool to reduce the risk of excessive dependence on a single region or a narrow group of US mega-cap tech companies. All-time highs do not necessarily mean overvaluation; relative valuations should be analyzed, and emerging markets currently offer a way to build a more balanced portfolio without relying on one story functioning forever.
Macro
Long
May 10
$81410.10
-21.0%
Buy Bitcoin at 50k-40k for next cycle.
Based on the historical pattern of crypto winters, Bitcoin is expected to continue its decline to around 35,000-40,000 by October-November 2026. Pablo Gil plans to accumulate Bitcoin at 50,000, 45,000, and 40,000, completing his position below 40,000. This strategy aims to achieve a 3:1 risk/reward ratio, targeting a return to the 125,000+ level in the next cycle.
Crypto
Long
Apr 19
$90.19
+6.7%
Japanese equities as relative alternative.
Japanese equities are a preferred alternative to US stocks in relative terms, as the US loses its market leadership and Japan offers a better relative risk-reward for international diversification.
Macro
Long
Apr 19
$442.09
-12.4%
Central banks shift to gold.
Central banks are rapidly shifting reserves from US Treasuries to gold as a safe haven due to loss of confidence in the US dollar and geopolitical uncertainty, supporting further gold price appreciation.
Macro
Long
Apr 12
$229.64
+4.1%
Defense sector wins from military spending.
The defense sector is a winner because the conflict is driving massive increases in military spending globally, including a $1.5 trillion extra defense request in the US and similar pressures in Europe and Asia.
NatSec
Long
Apr 12
$25.89
+19.7%
Airlines rebound strongly on ceasefire.
Airlines are one of the most affected sectors by the conflict and would experience a strong rebound if a credible ceasefire and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz materializes, as travel demand and fuel costs normalize.
Other
Long
Apr 12
$56.94
-5.6%
US energy sector benefits from conflict.
The US energy sector (oil and gas producers) is a clear beneficiary because it is not dependent on the Strait of Hormuz, it is the world's largest LNG exporter, and it gains pricing power from higher energy prices caused by the conflict.
Energy
Showing 7 of 7 picks · sorted by mentions

Pablo Gil has 7 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 7 tickers since April 2026. Ranked #539 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BTC, ITA, XLE.