Calls
5
#899
Alpha Score 34.3
Ira Jersey
Bloomberg Intelligence Chief US Interest Rate Strategist
Win Rate
60.0%
return
-0.4%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Aug 13
$82.57
-2.0%
30-year Treasury yields are likely to fall to around 4.75% over the next six months, as real yields on 30-year TIPS appear capped at 3% and there is no expectation for a significant increase in long-term inflation expectations.
Bonds & Rates
Short
Sep 11
$91.18
+0.1%
A Fed hold next week would be the big surprise and would likely hit the bond market negatively. In that scenario, the recent curve flattening would reverse, and the 10-year Treasury yield could make new highs and test the 5.02% level, implying lower 10-year Treasury prices.
Bonds & Rates
Short
Sep 03
$41.39
+0.9%
The Bank of Japan's balance-sheet rolloff and move from deeply negative to positive interest rates is forcing a synchronized repricing across developed market yields. The U.S. is no longer pricing in a vacuum, so global developed sovereign yields are rising together in a fundamental shift.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Aug 31
$92.72
-1.8%
If the Fed delivers a serious commitment to 2% with additional hikes, the market will price slower economic activity and yields should eventually move lower; 5% on the 10-year is not the end of the world, and after a near-term high, Treasury prices are expected to rally with yields falling over the next two to three months.
Bonds & Rates
Short
Aug 18
$81.68
+0.9%
Kevin Warsh's non-incremental change in Fed communications, cutting the post-meeting statement from about 400 words to 100 words with no forward guidance, has left the market confused and is increasing risk premium across the Treasury curve, especially in 10- and 30-year maturities.
Bonds & Rates
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Ira Jersey has 5 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 3 tickers since April 2026. Ranked #899 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: TLT, IEF, US10Y.
