Thread Guy 4.3 426 ideas
Crypto influencer, independent
After 1 day
49%winrate
+0.1% avg
117W / 121L · 238/278 ideas
After 1 week
53%winrate
-0.1% avg
123W / 111L · 234/278 ideas
After 1 month
40%winrate
-2.0% avg
76W / 114L · 190/278 ideas
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
By sector
Stock
195 ideas
-0.4%
Crypto
93 ideas
-5.0%
ETF
79 ideas
-2.8%
Commodity
34 ideas
-3.4%
sector
9 ideas
unresolved
7 ideas
private
6 ideas
cryptocurrency
2 ideas
index
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
BTC
41 ideas
60% W
-1.1%
WTI
18 ideas
—
—
USO
16 ideas
100% W
+20.2%
PLTR
15 ideas
69% W
+2.1%
NVDA
13 ideas
20% W
-5.9%
Best and worst calls
Best calls
COIN LONG
+44.1%
During the earnings call, Coinbase management discusses "AI agents... spinning up" and providing tools for agents to hav...
Feb 12
HIMS LONG
+42.0%
"The obvious take is him looks maxing people want to look good long hymns." If the cultural zeitgeist is shifting toward...
Feb 16
USO LONG
+27.7%
"Crude oil not looking good... getting ready to just break out. There's such a thing as a quad top." Later notes traffic...
Mar 06
Worst calls
PUMP LONG
-43.8%
Pump.fun bought back $2M worth of their token yesterday (a record since Sept 2025). Hyperliquid (HYPE) is up ~20% with s...
Jan 27
ZEC LONG
-40.2%
Zcash is up ~9% and trading with strength. This fits the "Ideology" side of the Barbell Thesis. If the market isn't buyi...
Jan 27
SOL LONG
-32.5%
A viral TikTok meme ("The Penguin") launched on Solana and hit ~$150M market cap, generating six-figure profits for trad...
Jan 27
SNAP up on activist invest and layoffs.
Snapchat stock rose significantly after activist investment from Irenic Capital and layoffs that aim to reduce costs and achieve profitability, making it an attractive trade despite Thread Guy not taking it.
Crypto influencer, independent
Hims gains from FDA peptide reclassification.
Hims stock rallied due to FDA reclassifying peptides, positioning Hims as a key beneficiary in the looks maxing trend, and Thread Guy has a long position in it, citing the FDA announcement as a catalyst.
Crypto influencer, independent
Allbirds AI pivot is frothy.
Allbirds stock pumped excessively after rebranding as an AI company without substantive changes, indicating market frothiness and a potential top in such speculative moves, serving as a warning sign for similar dead companies.
Crypto influencer, independent
SEC rule change boosts retail brokers.
HOOD stock surged due to the SEC eliminating the 25k minimum equity requirement for day trading, which lowers the barrier for retail traders and increases activity on platforms like Robin Hood, with similar benefits for other brokers like Interactive Brokers.
Crypto influencer, independent
Long HIMS on FDA peptide approval momentum.
I took a long position in HIMS because the FDA is removing peptides from category 2, allowing HIMS to sell peptide-based treatments. HIMS is a direct-to-consumer platform for medications and peptides, and this announcement is a bullish catalyst for revenue acceleration, trading the momentum and mega church narrative around looks‑maxing.
Crypto influencer, independent
Long broker stocks on PDT rule change.
The SEC approved ending the pattern day trader rule, eliminating the $25k minimum for day trading. This lowers the barrier for retail traders and will increase trading activity on platforms like Robin Hood, Weeble, and Interactive Brokers, making it a bullish catalyst for these broker stocks as part of the broader thesis that the entire world is going to trade.
Crypto influencer, independent
Long SPY as market breaks to ATH.
The S&P 500 just hit all‑time highs, showing resilience despite geopolitical tensions. Stocks want to go up, and you can't fight this market, especially with Trump's pro‑market policies; the trend is up and likely to continue higher.
Crypto influencer, independent
Microsoft chart looks terrible.
Microsoft's chart looks terrible, indicating weakness and poor technical structure.
Crypto influencer, independent
Netflix chart looks insane.
Netflix's chart looks insane, indicating strong performance and momentum, favored by chat.
Crypto influencer, independent
AMD chart looks insane.
AMD's chart looks insane, showing strong upward momentum and performance.
Crypto influencer, independent
Intel chart almost there.
Intel's chart shows strong momentum, almost reaching a key level, indicating potential breakout.
Crypto influencer, independent
Tesla chart looks terrible.
Tesla's chart looks terrible despite being up 4%, indicating underlying weakness or poor technical structure.
Crypto influencer, independent