Jayati Bharadwaj

TD Securities Head of FX Strategy
· tracked since Mar 2026
Calls 1 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
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WTI long +23.2%
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30d 100%
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Average Return +23.2% Long Return +23.2% Short Return -
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7d +10.9%
30d +17.6%
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Long
Mar 24
$114.54
+23.2%
Speaker stated oil markets may have a permanent risk premium embedded due to destroyed energy infrastructure, with a new baseline price closer to $80 instead of $60. Destroyed infrastructure takes years to rebuild, and Iran's emboldened risk persists even with a ceasefire, sustaining higher prices. This implies a structural upward shift in oil prices, justifying a LONG view. A rapid resolution or ceasefire that reduces geopolitical tensions could lower the risk premium.
Speaker stated oil markets may have a permanent risk premium embedded due to destroyed energy infrastructure, with a new baseline price closer to $80 instead of $60. Destroyed infrastructure takes years to rebuild, and Iran's emboldened risk persists even with a ceasefire, sustaining higher prices. This implies a structural upward shift in oil prices, justifying a LONG view. A rapid resolution or ceasefire that reduces geopolitical tensions could lower the risk premium.
Energy
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