Calls
17
#957
Alpha Score 25.0
Ven Ram
Markets Live Reporter/Strategist, Bloomberg
Win Rate
35.3%
return
-1.5%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Apr 30
$85.81
+4.6%
The path of least resistance for US Treasury yields is higher because the Fed is underpricing the risk of having to raise rates due to the energy shock, and the market is still not pricing in a sufficiently hawkish Fed. Therefore, long-duration bonds should decline.
Bonds & Rates
Short
Aug 04
$58.14
+1.4%
The yen is unlikely to strengthen sustainably because the Bank of Japan is keeping rates artificially low. Intervention cannot fix the fundamental problem, so the yen is headed for further depreciation.
FX & Currencies
Long
Feb 23
$481.28
-17.5%
Gold is up nearly 1% on trade uncertainty and the threat of a US military strike on Iran. Gold is benefiting from a dual tailwind: 1) Haven demand due to Middle East war risk, and 2) A weakening US Dollar caused by the Supreme Court limiting Trump's economic leverage. Momentum is strong (up 6% in 4 sessions). LONG Gold as a hedge against geopolitical escalation and dollar debasement. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough in Geneva talks or a de-escalation in rhetoric.
Gold is up nearly 1% on trade uncertainty and the threat of a US military strike on Iran. Gold is benefiting from a dual tailwind: 1) Haven demand due to Middle East war risk, and 2) A weakening US Dollar caused by the Supreme Court limiting Trump's economic leverage. Momentum is strong (up 6% in 4 sessions). LONG Gold as a hedge against geopolitical escalation and dollar debasement. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough in Geneva talks or a de-escalation in rhetoric.
Commodities
Short
Jun 26
$369.50
-7.5%
Gold, like Bitcoin, has been caught in the same vicious rotational play after its earlier frenzy. By calculation, gold is now trading as if the US CPI index were already at 2030 levels, leaving a lot of air underneath. In the short term gold will be tested and is likely to fall to 2,800 or even 2,600 levels.
Commodities
Short
Jun 17
$94.52
+2.5%
The Fed cannot cut rates because the US economy is growing resiliently above trend and inflation is staying higher for longer. Markets are underpriced for this inflation overshoot and are oblivious to the risk that Chair Warsh will reduce forward guidance and the dot plot, creating a less dovish, Greenspan-style Fed. The ten-year yield below 4.50% does not reflect this hawkish risk.
Bonds & Rates
Short
May 26
$749.75
-1.6%
U.S. equity markets, particularly the S&P 500, are overripe for a correction because they have run up too much and froth is considerable relative to fair value.
Equity Indexes
Long
Aug 26
$82.10
-0.5%
The current Treasury rally is supported for now by tumbling oil prices and Scott Bessent's buyback announcement, which took out market shorts; the short-term sentiment is real even if longer-term risks remain.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Aug 26
$49.17
-2.0%
Europe and the UK look compelling on valuations, with UK and European equity earnings yields near 6%, UK P/E below historical averages, and elevated equity risk premiums over bond yields; regardless of Nvidia's result, Europe works either as a semiconductor/tech catch-up play or as a defensive diversification away from stretched US tech.
Equity Indexes
Long
Aug 26
$92.96
-2.4%
Europe and the UK look compelling on valuations, with UK and European equity earnings yields near 6%, UK P/E below historical averages, and elevated equity risk premiums over bond yields; regardless of Nvidia's result, Europe works either as a semiconductor/tech catch-up play or as a defensive diversification away from stretched US tech.
Equity Indexes
Short
Aug 21
$27.91
-1.3%
Treasury debt buyback plans are just tinkering at the margins; without meaningful deficit reduction they will not assuage investors, and fiscal indiscipline combined with unchecked inflation is driving dollar depreciation.
FX & Currencies
Long
Aug 03
$58.57
-2.1%
The Bank of Japan needs to raise rates at a faster pace because it is behind the curve in fighting inflation. Once the BOJ shows intent to push real rates into positive territory, the yen will strengthen far more than intervention alone can achieve.
FX & Currencies
Short
Jul 31
$164.11
-6.5%
The Korean market's rebound is temporary and positional; the market behaves like a casino, the AI story is overpriced, and more compression is coming in the weeks and months ahead.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jun 26
$731.20
+4.2%
US stocks will decouple from the brutal meltdown in South Korea. The Korean selloff is mainly about two names (Samsung and SK Hynix) and the immense leverage in single-stock ETFs, making it an idiosyncratic problem that should not drag US equities lower for long.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jun 25
$67.01
+0.6%
A rotational trade out of overextended chip stocks into banks will continue, supported by the Federal Reserve's stress test results, dividend increases, and banks' year-to-date underperformance.
Thematic ETFs
Long
May 19
$83.41
-1.9%
At current 30-year yield levels near 2007 highs, long-dated US Treasuries represent bargain levels because yields are unlikely to persist over the life of the bond, so investors should scale into duration.
Bonds & Rates
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Ven Ram has 17 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 13 tickers since February 2026. Win rate 35% across 17 evaluated calls, average return -1.5%. Ranked #957 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: TLT, FXY, GOLD.
