CM CME CME Group Inc. Loading... : Bullish and Bearish Analyst Opinions

CME is cheap after being crushed.

CME, ICE undervalued speculation plays

Goldman cut price target on CME Group to $245, reflecting bearish analyst action.

CME Group reports June average daily volume of 30.6 million contracts, up 19% year-over-year.

CME Group is launching trading contracts for beef products used in hamburgers and meatballs as prices surge amid a shrinking US cattle herd.

CME stock pressured by perp competition.

CME lawsuit could backfire and harm CME.

CME selloff overdone, buy the king.

Speaker notes CME's move into GPU futures, highlighting development in compute market structure.

CME is suing a U.S. regulator to block Kalshi from offering perpetual futures, a regulatory dispute with no directional trade call from the author.

CME Group well-positioned for continued growth.

Watch CME — author frames its lawsuit against perp futures access as monopoly entrenchment rather than legitimate regulation, implying competitive and reputational risk as decentralized venues gain ground.

Reports CEO succession at CME Group; no directional view.

CME Group CEO Terry Duffy is stepping down, a leadership transition that may introduce near-term uncertainty but does not signal a directional trade.

Watch CME as context suggests leverage/liquidation dynamics, but no directional stance from author.

Perpetual futures threaten CME's fees.

CME CEO Terry Duffy expressed concern about the rise of perpetual futures contracts after they received key US regulatory approval.

Buy high-moat financial compounders (exchanges, payment networks, data/analytics) into recent weakness; speaker calculates attractive IRRs at current prices and is steadily adding, with CME, CBOE, and ICE specifically flagged for recent selloff-driven entry.

The author offers a humorous title for a note on CME and CBOE price action without expressing any personal position or directional view.

The author notes significant declines in CBOE, CME, and ICE amid competition from decentralized crypto platform Hyperliquid, but does not express a personal position.

CME Group announces the launch of 24/7 cryptocurrency futures and options trading, expanding access to digital asset derivatives.

Interactive Brokers expands prediction-market offerings with Kalshi and CME for elections, climate, and economy, but the tweet is a factual report without a directional view.

CME announces plans to launch a futures market for AI computing power, marking a new financial product for the sector.

Reports on CME and Silicon Data partnership to launch compute futures, a new asset class. No directional view from speaker.

The author expresses a bearish view on CME, stating it is not a screaming buy, while noting OTCM is interesting but requires further research.

COMEX (owned by CME) gold open interest is at a decade low, and its delivery structure (NY to Swiss to London to Asia) is highly inefficient. As Asian physical demand rotates to Abaxx's streamlined Singapore delivery, COMEX will hemorrhage liquidity and lose its benchmark status. Short or avoid CME as its COMEX division faces an existential threat and potential billions in market cap losses to Abaxx. Abaxx fails to gain critical mass, or CME updates its delivery mechanisms to remain competitive.

"I've been buying the exchange stocks, you know, such as the exchanges that own the New York Stock Exchange... think about it as owning the roads and the toll booths, rather than owning the cars." Retail investors constantly try to pick winning stocks or cryptocurrencies, which is highly risky. Financial exchanges operate the underlying infrastructure of the market. They generate revenue from trading volume, data services, and transaction fees regardless of whether the broader market is going up or down. Long financial exchange operators to profit from overall market participation and volatility without taking single-asset directional risk. Prolonged bear markets or low-volatility environments can lead to decreased trading volumes, which compresses exchange revenues.

The Fed put out a paper called Catching the Rise of Macro Markets... this is the most accurate gauge we have as the highest economic authority on the planet to what's going on... on GDP, unemployment, fed interest rates, inflation... we will always be committed to this and we'll be working with regulators for rulemaking. The Federal Reserve and CFTC are explicitly validating event contracts and macro prediction markets as legitimate, highly accurate financial instruments. As this asset class gains regulatory clarity and institutional acceptance, established regulated derivatives exchanges and brokers that offer event contracts will capture significant new trading volume and expand their Total Addressable Market. LONG. Regulatory validation of macro prediction markets creates a massive new revenue vertical for established derivatives exchanges and forward-thinking brokers. The CFTC could still impose strict position limits or ban certain high-volume event contracts (like political elections), severely capping the growth potential of the asset class.

"I'd love to see blockchain based exchanges here in the United States. I think the potential of on chain markets is huge... we're modernizing and upgrading our rules and regulations so that the exchange that wants to put their markets on a blockchain can do so here in the United States." The regulatory posture in the US has shifted from hostile to highly accommodative regarding blockchain infrastructure. If the CFTC is actively upgrading rules to keep on-chain markets onshore, US-regulated crypto exchanges and forward-thinking traditional derivative exchanges will be the primary beneficiaries. They will be able to launch decentralized, on-chain derivative products without the fear of enforcement actions that plagued the previous administration. LONG. A friendly CFTC actively courting blockchain exchanges provides a massive regulatory moat and growth vector for established US digital asset platforms (COIN) and traditional exchanges adopting blockchain tech (CME). Legislative gridlock (failure to pass the Clarity Act) could leave regulatory gray areas, or overlapping jurisdiction battles with the SEC could stall the rollout of new on-chain derivative products.

"We really think that prediction markets will be bigger than the stock market. And I think the reason for that is that what prediction markets are is markets on anything that happens in the future... anyone in the world will have some opinion." Kalshi's landmark legal victory against the US government (CFTC) has officially de-risked and legalized event-based contracts as a financial asset class. While Kalshi is a private startup, this regulatory breakthrough creates a massive new Total Addressable Market (TAM) for public financial infrastructure companies. Forward-thinking brokerages (like Interactive Brokers, which recently launched its own prediction market, ForecastEx) and legacy derivative exchanges (CME, CBOE) are perfectly positioned to monetize this new retail and institutional demand by integrating event contracts into their existing platforms. LONG. The mainstreaming of prediction markets creates a net-new, high-margin revenue vertical for established public exchanges and brokerages that adapt to the event-trading boom. Private pure-play platforms (like Kalshi or crypto-native Polymarket) could monopolize the liquidity and volume, preventing legacy public exchanges from capturing meaningful market share. Additionally, future administrations could attempt to introduce new restrictive legislation against event betting.