BarbarianCap 5.0 59 ideas

After 1 day
64%winrate
+0.9% avg
34W / 19L · 53/57 ideas
After 1 week
63%winrate
+1.9% avg
31W / 18L · 49/57 ideas
After 1 month
56%winrate
+1.0% avg
20W / 16L · 36/57 ideas
20 winning  /  16 losing  ·  36 positions (30d)
Net: +1.0%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
CAG SHORT $14.55 Apr 14
SPY SHORT $680.65 Apr 11
QQQ SHORT $612.49 Apr 11
SLNO LONG $52.30 Apr 07
NBIX LONG $132.48 Apr 07
AVGO LONG $322.06 Apr 07
XHB SHORT $98.22 Apr 05
BIRD SHORT $2.89 Apr 01
XLY SHORT $105.68 Mar 30
MOO LONG $82.65 Mar 29
SPY SHORT $634.09 Mar 29
PSP LONG $55.16 Mar 21
XLRE SHORT $40.69 Mar 20
SPY SHORT $661.10 Mar 20
SMCI SHORT $27.14 Mar 20
NKLA SHORT Mar 19
JHG SHORT $51.36 Mar 19
IGV SHORT $85.50 Mar 18
By sector
ETF
29 ideas +4.6%
Stock
29 ideas -1.9%
equity
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
SPY 5 ideas
100% W +4.3%
XLY 3 ideas
100% W +9.7%
QQQ 3 ideas
100% W +5.0%
XLE 2 ideas
100% W +5.7%
XBI 2 ideas
0% W -5.4%
Best and worst calls
Short CAG as the incoming CEO is highly likely to implement a dividend cut and significantly rebase earnings expectations downward to reset the baseline.
CAG HIGH Apr 14, 02:26
"CAG new CEO, would NOT be surprised at all with a divvy cut and a major rebase"
𝕏 @BarbarianCap ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 14, 2026 at 02:26
The analyst's stark statement suggests a severe market downturn is underway, indicating broad negative sentiment across major indices.
QQQ SPY Apr 11, 22:24
April 11, 2026 at 22:24
Buyout announcement creates a clear, immediate arbitrage opportunity to go long SLNO as it will trade up toward the acquisition price.
SLNO HIGH Apr 07, 01:26
"Neurocrine to Buy Soleno, Nabbing Drug for Relentless Hunger Disorder $NBIX $SLNO"
𝕏 @BarbarianCap ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 07, 2026 at 01:26
Neurocrine's acquisition of Soleno adds a promising late-stage asset, providing strategic long-term growth for NBIX.
NBIX MED Apr 07, 01:26
"Neurocrine to Buy Soleno, Nabbing Drug for Relentless Hunger Disorder $NBIX $SLNO"
𝕏 @BarbarianCap ⏲ long-term Source ↗
April 07, 2026 at 01:26
Securing major AI chip supply deals with Google and Anthropic strengthens AVGO's competitive position and drives forward revenue growth in AI infrastructure.
AVGO MED Apr 07, 01:22
"Broadcom to Supply AI Chips to Google, Computing Capacity to Anthropic in Expanded Collaboration $AVGO"
𝕏 @BarbarianCap ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 07, 2026 at 01:22
The US housing market is structurally unsound because it is driven by an aging demographic bubble, implying a future downturn for homebuilders and related equities.
XHB MED Apr 05, 16:15
"median home buyer age is 59 ... it's (mostly) just boomers selling overpriced cardboard boxes to boomers?"
𝕏 @BarbarianCap ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 05, 2026 at 16:15
Short Allbirds (BIRD) as the company faces continued pressure after a 99% drawdown and previous SEC regulatory action.
BIRD MED Apr 01, 00:13
"99% drawdown - remember how the SEC dropped the hammer on their 'sustainable IPO'?"
𝕏 @BarbarianCap ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 01, 2026 at 00:13
High oil prices will erode the defensive appeal and profitability of fast fashion retailers, suggesting a short position in the consumer discretionary sector.
XLY HIGH Mar 30, 01:54
"In a world of $100 oil, fast fashion loses its defensive charms"
𝕏 @BarbarianCap ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 30, 2026 at 01:54
Rising feedstock costs (30-118%) are a fundamental driver for higher fertilizer prices and company profits, suggesting a long position in the fertilizer sector.
MOO HIGH Mar 29, 14:08
"fertilizers"
𝕏 @BarbarianCap ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 29, 2026 at 14:08
The author is implicitly short the S&P 500, arguing that the current >100% rise in fuel/oil prices (as stated in their connected tweets) will lead to a substantial market correction based on historical precedent.
SPY HIGH Mar 29, 14:06
"When oil prices rise more than 100%, the S&P 500 index typically suffers substantial corrections."
𝕏 @BarbarianCap ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 29, 2026 at 14:06
The Invesco Global Private Equity ETF has drawn down 34% from its 2021 peak, presenting an attractive valuation to begin scaling into a long position.
PSP MED Mar 21, 16:13
"I should probably just put in a buy order not too far from here"
𝕏 @BarbarianCap ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 21, 2026 at 16:13
The author predicts a strong negative reaction from real estate interests to rising interest rates, implying a bearish outlook for the real estate sector.
XLRE MED Mar 20, 23:47
"Donnie, the real estate guy from Queens, is going to go apeshit"
𝕏 @BarbarianCap ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 23:47
The author sarcastically highlights a forward-looking economic report ("Forecast Further Slowdown") to imply a bearish view on the broader market.
SPY MED Mar 20, 01:52
"probably nothing U.S. Leading Indicators Forecast Further Slowdown"
𝕏 @BarbarianCap ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 01:52
The tweet references the historical volatility and significant price collapse of Super Micro Computer, implying a negative outlook for the stock's future performance.
SMCI Mar 20, 01:15
March 20, 2026 at 01:15
BarbarianCap | 59 trade ideas tracked | SPY, XLY, QQQ, XLE, XBI | Twitter | Buzzberg