#667 Alpha Score 11.4

BarbarianCap

Twitter Analyst
@BarbarianCap · tracked since Feb 2026
667
BUZZBERG Alpha Score combines three things: realized average return, confidence in the sample size, idea volume, and speaker reputation. Speakers with only a few calls are pulled closer to the platform average; speakers with many evaluated ideas keep more of their own return. Reputation only boosts: 5.0 or lower is neutral, while scores above 5 add weight. Scores are normalized to 0-100; 100 is best. Read the FAQ
Alpha Score 11.4
Calls 20 3017 Posts tracked · 26.2/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 1
90d 10
Best Calls
AVGO long +48.8%
USO long +35.2%
NBIX long +24.6%
Worst Calls
BZFD short -116.4%
ESLOF long -37.3%
ACN long -20.6%
Most Mentioned
XLE ×2
SPY ×1
AVGO ×1
Recent Calls
MOS long 3 weeks ago
SLNO long 1 month ago
NBIX long 1 month ago
Win Rate 60% Long 17 Short 3
Win Rate
7d 55%
30d 53%
90d 60%
Average Return -1.5% Long Return +5.6% Short Return -41.5%
Average Return
7d +1.5%
30d +0.6%
90d -5.0%
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 14
$54.35
+8.0%
The author reiterates a long-held thesis that the failure of the EV/ESG narrative will be a long-term tailwind for the traditional energy sector.
The author reiterates a long-held thesis that the failure of the EV/ESG narrative will be a long-term tailwind for the traditional energy sector.
Energy
Long
May 12
$21.88
+6.5%
Structural phosphate supply deficit drives fertilizer prices higher, benefiting Mosaic as a key producer with reduced spending and guidance withdrawal.
Structural phosphate supply deficit drives fertilizer prices higher, benefiting Mosaic as a key producer with reduced spending and guidance withdrawal.
Other
Long
Apr 07
$132.48
+24.6%
Neurocrine's acquisition of Soleno adds a promising late-stage asset, providing strategic long-term growth for NBIX.
Neurocrine's acquisition of Soleno adds a promising late-stage asset, providing strategic long-term growth for NBIX.
Healthcare
Long
Apr 07
$52.30
+1.4%
Buyout announcement creates a clear, immediate arbitrage opportunity to go long SLNO as it will trade up toward the acquisition price.
Buyout announcement creates a clear, immediate arbitrage opportunity to go long SLNO as it will trade up toward the acquisition price.
Healthcare
Long
Apr 07
$322.06
+48.8%
Securing major AI chip supply deals with Google and Anthropic strengthens AVGO's competitive position and drives forward revenue growth in AI infrastructure.
Securing major AI chip supply deals with Google and Anthropic strengthens AVGO's competitive position and drives forward revenue growth in AI infrastructure.
AI/Semi
Long
Mar 29
$82.65
-3.0%
Rising feedstock costs (30-118%) are a fundamental driver for higher fertilizer prices and company profits, suggesting a long position in the fertilizer sector.
Rising feedstock costs (30-118%) are a fundamental driver for higher fertilizer prices and company profits, suggesting a long position in the fertilizer sector.
Other
Long
Mar 21
$55.16
+4.5%
The Invesco Global Private Equity ETF has drawn down 34% from its 2021 peak, presenting an attractive valuation to begin scaling into a long position.
The Invesco Global Private Equity ETF has drawn down 34% from its 2021 peak, presenting an attractive valuation to begin scaling into a long position.
Fintech
Long
Mar 14
$12.48
-0.5%
Business Development Companies (BDCs) are trading at valuation discounts to NAV not seen since the COVID-19 crisis lows, implying a significant potential buying opportunity.
Business Development Companies (BDCs) are trading at valuation discounts to NAV not seen since the COVID-19 crisis lows, implying a significant potential buying opportunity.
Fintech
Short
Mar 13
$665.84
-13.4%
Barbarian Capital (@BarbarianCap) this should be a SPY -5% event zerohedge (@zerohedge) Pete Hegseth has approved a request from U.S. Central Command for an element of an amphibious ready group and a
Barbarian Capital (@BarbarianCap) this should be a SPY -5% event zerohedge (@zerohedge) Pete Hegseth has approved a request from U.S. Central Command for an element of an amphibious ready group and a
Macro
Short
Mar 12
$0.67
-116.4%
The company is a short candidate as it has issued a "going concern" warning and stated it lacks sufficient liquidity for the next 12 months, signaling severe financial distress.
The company is a short candidate as it has issued a "going concern" warning and stated it lacks sufficient liquidity for the next 12 months, signaling severe financial distress.
Consumer
Long
Mar 09
$104.33
+35.2%
The author suggests the current oil market is experiencing a structural dislocation inverse to the April 2020 price collapse, implying a potential for an extreme, parabolic move to the upside.
The author suggests the current oil market is experiencing a structural dislocation inverse to the April 2020 price collapse, implying a potential for an extreme, parabolic move to the upside.
Energy
Long
Mar 01
$483.75
-15.8%
The author suggests gold is poised for a significant price increase, as even a marginal 1 basis point rise in currently tiny allocations would result in a 1.5% price appreciation.
The author suggests gold is poised for a significant price increase, as even a marginal 1 basis point rise in currently tiny allocations would result in a 1.5% price appreciation.
Macro
Long
Feb 23
$637.25
-2.4%
Facebook's new automated ad creation and distribution tools will be a net positive for the company by capturing more revenue from small advertisers.
Facebook's new automated ad creation and distribution tools will be a net positive for the company by capturing more revenue from small advertisers.
AI/Semi
Short
Feb 21
$46.33
+5.5%
The author predicts a collapse in the utilities sector, prompted by political movements towards government seizure of electricity infrastructure.
The author predicts a collapse in the utilities sector, prompted by political movements towards government seizure of electricity infrastructure.
Energy
Long
Feb 16
$25.14
+4.4%
The company's decision to build a new pork plant is a bullish signal, indicating strong demand and a commitment to future growth.
The company's decision to build a new pork plant is a bullish signal, indicating strong demand and a commitment to future growth.
Consumer
Showing 15 of 20 picks · sorted by mentions