#1161 Alpha Score 10.1

Peter L. Brandt

Commodity trader / author
@PeterLBrandt · tracked since Nov 2025
1161
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Alpha Score 10.1
Calls
42
Win Rate
40.0%
return
-3.8%
Calls 42 2022 Posts tracked · 7.2/day Posted today
Calls
7d 3
30d 5
90d 11
Best Calls
USO Long +56.4%
IYM Long +15.5%
NVDA Long +14.7%
Worst Calls
LULU Long -41.7%
BIDU Long -37.8%
MSFT Short -31.5%
Most Mentioned
SILVER ×14
BTC ×12
BNO ×10
Recent Calls
ZF Short 1 day ago
HO Long 2 days ago
ZW Long 3 days ago
Win Rate 40% Long 32 Short 10
Win Rate
7d 70%
30d 50%
90d 41%
Average Return -3.8% Long Return -2.0% Short Return -9.3%
Average Return
7d +0.5%
30d +2.1%
90d -4.1%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Dec 26
$25.97
-17.7%
1. THE FACT: If we were to think "log" scale, then the move in Silver is in its infancy. PSLV is my choice. 2. THE BRIDGE: Viewing Silver's price action on a logarithmic scale suggests the current rally is just beginning, implying significant long-term upside. PSLV is a recommended vehicle. 3. THE VERDICT: Long PSLV (Silver) for a long-term move.
1. THE FACT: If we were to think "log" scale, then the move in Silver is in its infancy. PSLV is my choice. 2. THE BRIDGE: Viewing Silver's price action on a logarithmic scale suggests the current rally is just beginning, implying significant long-term upside. PSLV is a recommended vehicle. 3. THE VERDICT: Long PSLV (Silver) for a long-term move.
Commodities
Long
Nov 27
$90429.90
-14.8%
1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt tells crypto traders not to despair and states there are two coins he thinks could do quite well in the months to come. 2. THE BRIDGE: This indicates a bullish outlook on specific, unnamed cryptocurrencies, suggesting potential for significant gains. 3. THE VERDICT: Long specific, unnamed cryptocurrencies that Peter Brandt believes will perform well.
1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt tells crypto traders not to despair and states there are two coins he thinks could do quite well in the months to come. 2. THE BRIDGE: This indicates a bullish outlook on specific, unnamed cryptocurrencies, suggesting potential for significant gains. 3. THE VERDICT: Long specific, unnamed cryptocurrencies that Peter Brandt believes will perform well.
Crypto Assets
Long
Mar 03
$90.20
+56.4%
A long position on crude oil is warranted as prices are at the mid-point of a 20-year range, with a potential target of $150 within the next couple of years.
A long position on crude oil is warranted as prices are at the mid-point of a 20-year range, with a potential target of $150 within the next couple of years.
Commodities
Long
Feb 20
$468.70
-14.2%
The new all-time high weekly close for Gold is a significant technical breakout, suggesting the uptrend will continue and that short positions are vulnerable.
The new all-time high weekly close for Gold is a significant technical breakout, suggesting the uptrend will continue and that short positions are vulnerable.
Commodities
Long
Jul 26
$738.66
+3.6%
Peter Brandt explicitly recommends most people allocate to SPY rather than trade; this is a broad long-term bullish allocation call, not merely neutral market commentary.
Peter Brandt explicitly recommends most people allocate to SPY rather than trade; this is a broad long-term bullish allocation call, not merely neutral market commentary.
Equity Indexes
Short
Jan 12
$87.31
+6.2%
1. THE FACT: Most U.S. speculators are betting on either lower or unchanged rates ahead. The speaker is willing to take the other side of that bet, staking money on higher rates, especially on the long side of the yield curve. 2. THE BRIDGE: A contrarian view against the majority of speculators, betting on higher long-term interest rates. This implies a short position in long-term bonds (ZB_F) or a long position in instruments that benefit from rising rates (e.g., short TLT, or direct long on rates). 3. THE VERDICT: Contrarian long position on higher long-term U.S. interest rates.
1. THE FACT: Most U.S. speculators are betting on either lower or unchanged rates ahead. The speaker is willing to take the other side of that bet, staking money on higher rates, especially on the long side of the yield curve. 2. THE BRIDGE: A contrarian view against the majority of speculators, betting on higher long-term interest rates. This implies a short position in long-term bonds (ZB_F) or a long position in instruments that benefit from rising rates (e.g., short TLT, or direct long on rates). 3. THE VERDICT: Contrarian long position on higher long-term U.S. interest rates.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Mar 03
$27.46
+2.6%
The author is signaling a strong bullish conviction on the US Dollar, likely based on a technical chart pattern indicating continued strength.
The author is signaling a strong bullish conviction on the US Dollar, likely based on a technical chart pattern indicating continued strength.
FX & Currencies
Long
Apr 27
$18.49
+9.2%
Peter Brandt outlines three ways to play the ongoing bull market in U.S. grain prices, signaling a sustained bullish outlook for corn, soybeans, and rapeseed.
Peter Brandt outlines three ways to play the ongoing bull market in U.S. grain prices, signaling a sustained bullish outlook for corn, soybeans, and rapeseed.
Commodities
Long
Jan 05
$156.26
-28.4%
1. THE FACT: $BABA is set for a breakout from a falling wedge. 2. THE BRIDGE: A falling wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern, suggesting potential for an upward price movement after a period of decline. 3. THE VERDICT: Long BABA based on a bullish chart pattern.
1. THE FACT: $BABA is set for a breakout from a falling wedge. 2. THE BRIDGE: A falling wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern, suggesting potential for an upward price movement after a period of decline. 3. THE VERDICT: Long BABA based on a bullish chart pattern.
Retail & Mobility
Long
Aug 28
$11.68
+0.3%
Long NY sugar in commodity basket
Author discloses a long position in NY Sugar as part of a broader commodity portfolio, indicating a directional bullish view.
Commodities
Long
Aug 28
$26.72
+3.4%
Long soybeans in heavy grain basket
Author discloses a large existing long position in Soybeans as part of a heavy overall grain basket, expressing strong conviction in the trade.
Commodities
Long
Aug 28
$27.19
+2.5%
Heavy grain long with extreme conviction
Author discloses a large existing long position across grain markets including KC Wheat, citing the positioning as one of his heaviest ever, indicating strong conviction in continued upside.
Commodities
Long
Aug 09
$499.38
-0.2%
PeterLBrandt discloses current MSFT long
Author discloses a current long position in MSFT; no specific catalyst stated beyond the ownership disclosure made in the context of defending his posting methodology.
Hyperscalers
Short
Aug 04
$17.71
-14.0%
Corn seasonal analog signals hard move lower
Short corn as a historical seasonal analog — corn made important annual highs in summer months (May/June/August) in 2008, 2011, 2019, 2021, and 2022 — strongly suggests a top is in and prices move lower from here.
Commodities
Short
Jul 21
$105.23
-1.6%
Short euro via spot position, aligned with long dollar thesis; expects euro weakness on technical breakout pattern.
Short euro via spot position, aligned with long dollar thesis; expects euro weakness on technical breakout pattern.
FX & Currencies
Showing 15 of 42 calls · sorted by mentions

Peter L. Brandt has 42 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 34 tickers since November 2025. Win rate 40% across 40 evaluated calls, average return -3.8%. Ranked #1161 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SILVER, BTC, BNO.