#736
Alpha Score 2.3
Peter L. Brandt
Commodity trader / author
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Dec 26
$25.97
-10.6%
1. THE FACT: If we were to think "log" scale, then the move in Silver is in its infancy. PSLV is my choice.
2. THE BRIDGE: Viewing Silver's price action on a logarithmic scale suggests the current rally is just beginning, implying significant long-term upside. PSLV is a recommended vehicle.
3. THE VERDICT: Long PSLV (Silver) for a long-term move.
1. THE FACT: If we were to think "log" scale, then the move in Silver is in its infancy. PSLV is my choice.
2. THE BRIDGE: Viewing Silver's price action on a logarithmic scale suggests the current rally is just beginning, implying significant long-term upside. PSLV is a recommended vehicle.
3. THE VERDICT: Long PSLV (Silver) for a long-term move.
Other
Long
Nov 27
$90429.90
-28.0%
1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt tells crypto traders not to despair and states there are two coins he thinks could do quite well in the months to come.
2. THE BRIDGE: This indicates a bullish outlook on specific, unnamed cryptocurrencies, suggesting potential for significant gains.
3. THE VERDICT: Long specific, unnamed cryptocurrencies that Peter Brandt believes will perform well.
1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt tells crypto traders not to despair and states there are two coins he thinks could do quite well in the months to come.
2. THE BRIDGE: This indicates a bullish outlook on specific, unnamed cryptocurrencies, suggesting potential for significant gains.
3. THE VERDICT: Long specific, unnamed cryptocurrencies that Peter Brandt believes will perform well.
Crypto
Long
Mar 03
$90.20
+56.4%
A long position on crude oil is warranted as prices are at the mid-point of a 20-year range, with a potential target of $150 within the next couple of years.
A long position on crude oil is warranted as prices are at the mid-point of a 20-year range, with a potential target of $150 within the next couple of years.
Energy
Long
Feb 20
$468.70
-13.1%
The new all-time high weekly close for Gold is a significant technical breakout, suggesting the uptrend will continue and that short positions are vulnerable.
The new all-time high weekly close for Gold is a significant technical breakout, suggesting the uptrend will continue and that short positions are vulnerable.
Macro
Long
Mar 03
$27.46
+1.4%
The author is signaling a strong bullish conviction on the US Dollar, likely based on a technical chart pattern indicating continued strength.
The author is signaling a strong bullish conviction on the US Dollar, likely based on a technical chart pattern indicating continued strength.
Macro
Short
Jan 12
$87.31
+2.3%
1. THE FACT: Most U.S. speculators are betting on either lower or unchanged rates ahead. The speaker is willing to take the other side of that bet, staking money on higher rates, especially on the long side of the yield curve.
2. THE BRIDGE: A contrarian view against the majority of speculators, betting on higher long-term interest rates. This implies a short position in long-term bonds (ZB_F) or a long position in instruments that benefit from rising rates (e.g., short TLT, or direct long on rates).
3. THE VERDICT: Contrarian long position on higher long-term U.S. interest rates.
1. THE FACT: Most U.S. speculators are betting on either lower or unchanged rates ahead. The speaker is willing to take the other side of that bet, staking money on higher rates, especially on the long side of the yield curve.
2. THE BRIDGE: A contrarian view against the majority of speculators, betting on higher long-term interest rates. This implies a short position in long-term bonds (ZB_F) or a long position in instruments that benefit from rising rates (e.g., short TLT, or direct long on rates).
3. THE VERDICT: Contrarian long position on higher long-term U.S. interest rates.
Macro
Long
Jan 05
$156.26
-18.6%
1. THE FACT: $BABA is set for a breakout from a falling wedge.
2. THE BRIDGE: A falling wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern, suggesting potential for an upward price movement after a period of decline.
3. THE VERDICT: Long BABA based on a bullish chart pattern.
1. THE FACT: $BABA is set for a breakout from a falling wedge.
2. THE BRIDGE: A falling wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern, suggesting potential for an upward price movement after a period of decline.
3. THE VERDICT: Long BABA based on a bullish chart pattern.
Consumer
Short
May 25
$140.92
-0.1%
Short crude oil based on completed rising wedge pattern and gap down, indicating bearish technical breakdown despite potential near-term political noise.
Short crude oil based on completed rising wedge pattern and gap down, indicating bearish technical breakdown despite potential near-term political noise.
Energy
Long
May 10
$68.10
+2.1%
Peter Brandt endorses Aksel Kibar's bullish chart analysis on EEM, expecting further upside in emerging markets.
Peter Brandt endorses Aksel Kibar's bullish chart analysis on EEM, expecting further upside in emerging markets.
Macro
Long
Apr 30
$34.83
+7.3%
Long Yen based on historical Plaza Accord precedent, unfilled gaps, and completed H&S bottom pattern, indicating potential sustained upside against USD.
Long Yen based on historical Plaza Accord precedent, unfilled gaps, and completed H&S bottom pattern, indicating potential sustained upside against USD.
Macro
Short
Apr 29
$709.56
-6.4%
Sell SPY into strength due to personal risk management and expectation of a lost decade, implying bearish view on broad equity market.
Sell SPY into strength due to personal risk management and expectation of a lost decade, implying bearish view on broad equity market.
Macro
Long
Apr 27
$18.49
-5.4%
Peter Brandt outlines three ways to play the ongoing bull market in U.S. grain prices, signaling a sustained bullish outlook for corn, soybeans, and rapeseed.
Peter Brandt outlines three ways to play the ongoing bull market in U.S. grain prices, signaling a sustained bullish outlook for corn, soybeans, and rapeseed.
Other
Long
Apr 22
$655.06
+12.9%
Buy QQQ because a rare second V-extended bottom pattern in the Nasdaq within one year signals a bullish reversal, with a defined initial price target.
Buy QQQ because a rare second V-extended bottom pattern in the Nasdaq within one year signals a bullish reversal, with a defined initial price target.
Macro
Long
Apr 15
$196.12
+9.5%
Buy NVDA as an 8-month head and shoulders top pattern has failed, creating a bear trap that projects an upside target around 236.
Buy NVDA as an 8-month head and shoulders top pattern has failed, creating a bear trap that projects an upside target around 236.
AI/Semi
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