Calls
22
#91
Alpha Score 91.1
Arthur Hayes
CIO, Maelstrom
Win Rate
45.5%
return
+7.3%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 07
$31.73
+89.8%
Long HYPE — 'Long live $HYPE' continued bullish conviction.
Crypto Assets
Long
Jan 01
$88749.90
-27.1%
Long BTC — 'Let's stack some sats' bullish accumulation language for new year.
Crypto Assets
Long
Feb 23
$243.71
+119.9%
Portfolio disclosure — long ZEC as part of his crypto holdings.
Crypto Assets
Long
Jun 03
$0.52
-28.4%
Long WLD — 'going to moon ... cause AI'; taunts the bears and tells holders not to mid-curve it. Yachtzee celebration confirms position.
Long WLD — 'going to moon ... cause AI'; taunts the bears and tells holders not to mid-curve it. Yachtzee celebration confirms position.
Crypto Assets
Long
Feb 23
$481.28
-23.5%
Portfolio disclosure — long gold (incl. physical gold) and gold miners as part of stonks portfolio.
Commodities
Long
May 12
$1.56
+24.0%
NEAR's integration with shielded Zcash via intents enables anonymous swaps to any crypto. Each transaction pays a fee to the NEAR protocol. If volumes grow, NEAR could become deflationary, driving the price up significantly.
Crypto Assets
Long
Mar 09
$106.25
+21.8%
"It's not about the big banks. JP Morgan is going to be fine. JP Morgan and City with a government guarantee." When regional banks collapse due to consumer credit defaults, panic will ensue. Depositors and capital will flee to systematically important financial institutions (SIFIs) that have implicit government backing, increasing their market share and deposit base. LONG mega-cap banks as a safe haven and market-share winner during the upcoming regional banking crisis. Broad market contagion drags down all financial equities, or regulators impose stricter capital requirements on SIFIs.
"It's not about the big banks. JP Morgan is going to be fine. JP Morgan and City with a government guarantee." When regional banks collapse due to consumer credit defaults, panic will ensue. Depositors and capital will flee to systematically important financial institutions (SIFIs) that have implicit government backing, increasing their market share and deposit base. LONG mega-cap banks as a safe haven and market-share winner during the upcoming regional banking crisis. Broad market contagion drags down all financial equities, or regulators impose stricter capital requirements on SIFIs.
Banks
Long
Mar 09
$289.52
+17.9%
"It's not about the big banks. JP Morgan is going to be fine. JP Morgan and City with a government guarantee." When regional banks collapse due to consumer credit defaults, panic will ensue. Depositors and capital will flee to systematically important financial institutions (SIFIs) that have implicit government backing, increasing their market share and deposit base. LONG mega-cap banks as a safe haven and market-share winner during the upcoming regional banking crisis. Broad market contagion drags down all financial equities, or regulators impose stricter capital requirements on SIFIs.
"It's not about the big banks. JP Morgan is going to be fine. JP Morgan and City with a government guarantee." When regional banks collapse due to consumer credit defaults, panic will ensue. Depositors and capital will flee to systematically important financial institutions (SIFIs) that have implicit government backing, increasing their market share and deposit base. LONG mega-cap banks as a safe haven and market-share winner during the upcoming regional banking crisis. Broad market contagion drags down all financial equities, or regulators impose stricter capital requirements on SIFIs.
Banks
Long
Mar 03
$62.90
+26.6%
Hayes observes, "Block last week firing 40% of the staff... stock pumped 20%." He notes that management is rewarded for replacing humans with AI. As AI tools become proficient, CEOs will aggressively cut "knowledge work" costs to boost margins. The market currently interprets these mass firings as bullish for profitability, incentivizing companies to accelerate this trend. LONG (Play the "AI Efficiency" narrative). Regulatory backlash or operational failure due to over-firing.
Hayes observes, "Block last week firing 40% of the staff... stock pumped 20%." He notes that management is rewarded for replacing humans with AI. As AI tools become proficient, CEOs will aggressively cut "knowledge work" costs to boost margins. The market currently interprets these mass firings as bullish for profitability, incentivizing companies to accelerate this trend. LONG (Play the "AI Efficiency" narrative). Regulatory backlash or operational failure due to over-firing.
Payments & Fintech
Long
Jan 13
$532.00
-56.2%
Key Q1 degen trade: LONG Metaplanet (3350) as levered play on BTC getting its groove back.
Crypto Treasuries
Long
Jun 29
$0.38
-39.4%
Buy SYN as an asymmetric play on the Hyperliquid ecosystem; Hypercall (SYN-owned options DEX) is positioned to challenge Deribit's dominance in crypto options, offering leveraged upside if it gains traction.
Buy SYN as an asymmetric play on the Hyperliquid ecosystem; Hypercall (SYN-owned options DEX) is positioned to challenge Deribit's dominance in crypto options, offering leveraged upside if it gains traction.
Crypto Assets
Short
Jun 18
$69.52
-8.5%
Hyperliquid is the number one decentralized exchange, the best business in crypto. Solana lacks a new growth catalyst after the memecoin craze died, and the institutional adoption narrative has historically failed to generate meaningful volume. HYPE will outperform SOL.
Crypto Assets
Short
Jun 18
$3.14
-12.1%
Uniswap token will only go up when protocol revenue and profit flow to token holders via the fee switch, which hasn't happened yet. Without that, the current pump is unfounded and should be faded.
Crypto Assets
Long
Jun 18
$191.20
-8.3%
All available risk capital is flowing to AI trades while crypto struggles for liquidity. Fiat debasement forces investors to chase the highest volatility themes, so even though an AI bubble will eventually burst, one must participate now and should never short anything AI.
Thematic ETFs
Short
May 13
$84.99
+0.6%
The Iran war and physical supply disruptions (e.g., Australia's jet fuel crisis) are causing sovereign nations to realize that holding US Treasuries and dollar assets does not guarantee access to physical goods when trade routes are blocked. As a result, nations will structurally shift their savings away from Treasuries toward physical commodities, infrastructure, and gold, leading to a secular decline in demand for US Treasuries. This will force the Fed to print money to absorb the selling.
Bonds & Rates
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Arthur Hayes has 22 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 22 tickers since January 2026. Win rate 45% across 22 evaluated calls, average return +7.3%. Ranked #91 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: HYPE, BTC, ZEC.
