|
Feb 18
|
|
$5001
$5001
-0.0%
|
LONG
|
Stefan Rust
Guest, CEO of Trueflation
|
While general CPI is trending down (<1% per Trueflation), specific categories like "rare earths, energy, battery materials, gold, and silver" are moving upwards drastically. The AI and tech build-out requires massive physical resources (energy for compute, metals for hardware). Even in a deflationary consumer environment, the industrial input costs for the next tech cycle are rising. LONG. Hard assets hedge against both monetary debasement and the specific supply chain demands of the AI boom. A global recession suppresses industrial demand. |
Unchained (Chopping Block)
Why $700 Billion in AI CapEx Could Be the Nex...
|
|
Feb 18
|
|
$5001
$5001
-0.0%
|
NEUTRAL
|
George Cheveley
Portfolio Manager, Ninety One
|
Metals have sold off recently (Silver -12%, Copper -4%). US Copper inventories are at highs. The inventory spike is artificial—it is a result of importers front-running potential tariffs, not a collapse in demand. However, this "inventory overhang" creates a short-term price ceiling until the stockpile is digested. The long-term rotation into "real assets" is valid, but the short-term setup is messy due to the tariff-induced inventory glut. Wait for the overhang to clear. If US manufacturing data weakens, the inventory pile becomes a structural problem rather than a temporary logistics quirk. |
Bloomberg Markets
Geneva Diplomacy: US-Iran Hail Progress in Nu...
|
|
Feb 18
|
|
$5001
$5001
-0.0%
|
LONG
|
@FirstSquawk
|
Gold is showing a technical recovery, suggesting upward momentum. |
@FirstSquawk
OpenAI hires Peter Steinberger, creator of Op...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$4882
$5001
+2.4%
|
LONG
|
Thread Guy
Crypto influencer, independent
|
"Long gold as a proxy for atoms, as a proxy for physical goods... I still stand by long Bitcoin as a mega trend." As AI models become open-source and cheap ("Bits are free"), the economic moat of pure software erodes. Value transfers to scarce, hard assets (Gold) and digital scarcity (Bitcoin) that cannot be commoditized by AI. Long as the ultimate "Mega Trend" hedge against software commoditization and fiat debasement. Regulatory crackdowns or shifts in macro liquidity. |
Thread Guy
China is DOMINATING the US in EVERY statistic...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$4882
$5001
+2.4%
|
LONG
|
Dan Skelly
Head of Digital Assets, Coinbase
|
Skelly states, "We have been recommending Gold for over two years and we like that trade." Yardeni notes Gold is a "very good diversifier." In a "global reflation" environment with geopolitical instability and doubts about US fiscal health/tech valuations, Gold acts as the ultimate non-correlated hedge. LONG GOLD. Real rates rising significantly or a strong dollar. |
Bloomberg Markets
Bloomberg Surveillance 2/17/2026
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$4882
$5001
+2.4%
|
SHORT
|
zerohedge
|
Gold has completed a corrective rising wedge pattern, suggesting a textbook outcome of |
@zerohedge
Trump Calls In FEMA To Respond To Sewage Disa...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$4882
$5001
+2.4%
|
LONG
|
Ben Gutteridge
Market Insights Strategist, Invesco
|
Gold has been volatile (down $82 recently) but central bank buying remains a structural constant. Despite short-term fluctuations driven by rate cut repricing, the "debt monetization" and "central bank diversification" themes are unchanged. The dip is viewed as technical noise within a structural bull market targeting $5,000+. LONG Gold on dips. High real rates in the US persist longer than expected, increasing the opportunity cost of holding zero-yield assets. |
Bloomberg Markets
Anthropic’s Pentagon Talks Snag, Pound Falls ...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$4882
$5001
+2.4%
|
NEUTRAL
|
Joumanna Bercetche
Anchor, Bloomberg
|
Gold failed to stay above $5,000, selling off after a soft CPI print. However, it has rallied 50% in recent weeks. The asset is in a hyper-volatile state ($5,000 price tag implies extreme fiat debasement scenario in 2026). The immediate price action is "sell the news" on rate cuts, despite the long-term bullish driver of interest rate cuts. NEUTRAL short-term due to profit-taking volatility. Re-acceleration of inflation. |
Bloomberg Markets
Futures Slip Ahead of US Return; Iran-US Talk...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$4882
$5001
+2.4%
|
LONG
|
Joumanna Bercetche
Anchor, Bloomberg
|
US and Iran are holding indirect talks while simultaneously conducting military drills/buildups in the Strait of Hormuz. Russia-Ukraine talks are stalling with Russia demanding territory. The "Talk and Fight" dynamic creates asymmetric upside for volatility. While talks are happening (dovish), the military buildup (hawkish) ensures that any diplomatic failure results in an immediate kinetic spike. JPY and Gold are explicitly cited as capturing "haven plays" amidst this uncertainty. LONG defensive assets as a hedge against negotiation failures in Geneva. A surprise diplomatic breakthrough (Peace Deal) would crush the geopolitical premium in Oil and Gold. |
Bloomberg Markets
US-Iran Nuclear Talks in Geneva; Trump Will B...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$4882
$5001
+2.4%
|
SHORT
|
@FirstSquawk
|
Gold is declining due to subdued trading volumes during China's holidays, suggesting a temporary downward pressure. |
@jimcramer
Here we go again with the attacks on Nvidia b...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$4882
$5001
+2.4%
|
LONG
|
Bobby Lee
Founder, Ballet Crypto
|
"Gold... easily could go to $10,000 in the next few years." Gold is performing its historic role as a store of value. The speaker draws a direct parallel between Bitcoin and Gold, suggesting that while Bitcoin is volatile, Gold has entered a structural uptrend that could see it double from current highs. LONG. A strengthening US Dollar or rising real interest rates dampening demand for non-yielding assets. |
Bloomberg Markets
Bitcoin Bull Bobby Lee Warns Bitcoin Could Br...
|
|
Feb 16
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
SHORT
|
Zach Pandl
Grayscale
|
"We probably overshoot shot by a significant margin on speculative capital inflows... my own view would be precious metals trade kind of weak for the short term." The recent parabolic move in metals was driven by a temporary "squeeze" (tariff threats moving inventory from London to NY) rather than pure fundamental demand. As this squeeze dissipates, prices will revert. SHORT (or AVOID) Precious Metals in the immediate term. A sudden geopolitical escalation or rapid currency debasement could reignite the squeeze. |
Unchained (Chopping Block)
Does Bitcoin Win or Lose In The Great AI-Tech...
|
|
Feb 16
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
LONG
|
Grace Peters
|
Central Banks continue to be heavy buyers of Gold. Despite the recent pullback (volatility), the structural bid from Central Banks diversifying reserves remains. It acts as a hedge against the "AI Bubble" risk and geopolitical instability. LONG Gold (buy the dip). High real rates persist, making non-yielding assets less attractive. |
Bloomberg Markets
'Shared Values' discussed in Munich; RAM Conc...
|
|
Feb 16
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
LONG
|
Guy Wolf
Global Head of Market Analytics
|
Gold has dipped below $5,000 due to profit-taking, but "drivers behind the multiyear rally remain in place including geopolitical tensions" and fears regarding fiscal debt/deficits. The current price drop is technical (profit-taking), not fundamental. The macro environment (debasement of currency, debt spirals) continues to force capital into hard assets. LONG. Treat the dip as a buying opportunity. A recession or a "crack in the debt market" which leads to capital destruction/deflation. |
Bloomberg Markets
Bonds Rise on Rate-Cut Bets; Gold Dips Below ...
|
|
Feb 16
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
NEUTRAL
|
Joumanna Bercetche
Anchor, Bloomberg
|
Gold has slipped below $5,000/oz, down about 1% on the day. Traders are using the benign inflation print to "trim some of the profits." The inflation hedge trade is unwinding slightly as inflation cools. NEUTRAL/WATCH. The asset is seeing profit-taking after a massive run-up (to $5k). Geopolitical escalation (Russia/Ukraine) could drive safe-haven flows back in. |
Bloomberg Markets
Rubio Warns Europe & Warner Bros. Mulls New P...
|
|
Feb 16
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
LONG
|
Stephanie Leung
CIO, StashAway
|
Leung states, "Gold is a replacement for the US dollar... we don't need to further beta by adding silver." Gold is being treated as a core sovereign asset and hedge against US fiscal/political instability. Unlike Silver, which is retail-driven and speculative, Gold has institutional and central bank support. LONG. Stick to Gold for the macro hedge; avoid Silver's volatility. A sudden strengthening of the USD or a rise in real rates. |
Bloomberg Markets
Laopu Gold, CATL Added to Hang Seng Index | T...
|
|
Feb 14
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
LONG
|
@FirstSquawk
|
Mali renews Barrick Mining's Loulo license for ten more years |
@FirstSquawk
Mali renews Barrick Mining's Loulo license fo...
|
|
Feb 14
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
LONG
|
Joe Mathieu
Host, Bloomberg Radio
|
"Gold is up more than 2% today. Topping the $5,000 level... Silver at about $77 per ounce." Treasury yields (2-year) fell to 3.4% on cool CPI data. The inverse correlation between real rates and precious metals is driving a historic breakout. Lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. The breakout above $5,000 signals strong momentum. LONG. The macro environment (falling yields + geopolitical fear) is the perfect storm for metals. A resurgence in inflation data forcing the Fed to hold rates higher for longer. |
Bloomberg Markets
Clock Ticks Down to Partial Shutdown Deadline...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
LONG
|
Chamath Palihapitiya
Host, All-In Podcast / CEO, Social Capital
|
"The general trend since 1700 to now [for Debt to GDP] is up and to the right... You got to find ways of hedging and owning real durable assets because the underlying currency... will fluctuate wildly and just fall off of a cliff." Fiscal discipline is politically impossible. Governments will continue to print money to service debt, leading to currency debasement. To protect purchasing power, investors must own assets with finite supply that cannot be inflated away by central banks. Long Hard Assets (Gold and Bitcoin) as a hedge against fiscal dominance and currency erosion. A "black swan" deflationary event or radical government austerity that strengthens the dollar. |
All-In Podcast
Debt Spiral or NEW Golden Age? Super Bowl Ins...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
SHORT
|
Mike McGlone
Senior Macro Strategist (Implied Role based on context)
|
"It runs into that number one risk in all commodities up too much... Stock market volatile is going to go up and that might be another one pressure factor on gold as we have potentially hit margin call." While Gold is often a safe haven, the speaker argues it is currently driven by speculation ("China and speculation"). The specific risk mechanism identified is a "margin call" event: if the stock market volatility spikes (normalizes from 8-year lows), investors will be forced to sell liquid winners (Gold) to cover losses elsewhere. Short or Sell Gold as it is technically overextended and vulnerable to a liquidity crunch/volatility spike. Geopolitical escalation driving safe-haven flows regardless of equity market volatility. |
Bloomberg Markets
Aluminum Drops as Trump Moves to Narrow Levie...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
LONG
|
@unusual_whales
|
Analysts have hiked their 2026 forecasts for gold, per Reuters: https://t.co/dqxZLKbmdC |
@unusual_whales
Analysts have hiked their 2026 forecasts for ...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
SHORT
|
@unusual_whales
|
Capital Economics says China’s gold rally is increasingly appearing speculative rather than a defensive move. |
@unusual_whales
Capital Economics says China’s gold rally is ...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
LONG
|
Alaa Busada
Head of Fixed Income, BNY Investments (Newton)
|
Gold dropped recently but remains near $5,000/oz. China is signaling a reduction in US Treasury holdings. Structural diversification by central banks (specifically China) away from US Treasuries creates a permanent bid for hard assets like Gold. The "scare trade" and geopolitical instability (Munich conference) reinforce the safe-haven status. LONG. Buy the dip (recent 4% drop) as the structural trend remains intact. A sharp rise in real yields if inflation data surprises to the upside could temporarily hurt gold. |
Bloomberg Markets
L'Oreal Falls, Kongsberg Sees Air Defense Sys...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
LONG
|
Mixo Das
Asia Equity Strategist, J.P. Morgan
|
J.P. Morgan has a price target of 6,300 on Gold (likely non-USD denomination or index value given context, but direction is explicit). Supply is constrained while demand from central bankers and individuals is "so strong that physical supply and deliveries is just very, very constrained." LONG. Structural supply/demand imbalance supports higher prices despite short-term volatility from systematic selling. Crowded positioning and volatility selling from systematic investors. |
Bloomberg Markets
Chinese Stocks Can't Wait for Holiday Break, ...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
LONG
|
Grace Tam
Chief Investment Adviser, BNP Paribas Wealth Management
|
Gold has seen a sell-off recently, which Tam attributes to short-term sentiment and rate adjustments. The long-term drivers—de-dollarization and geopolitical risks—remain intact. She views the current dip as a consolidation phase before a retest of lower levels, which she identifies as a buying opportunity. LONG Gold on dips. Sustained high interest rates or a strengthening US Dollar. |
Bloomberg Markets
How AI Is Proving to Be a Double-Edged Sword ...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$5022
$5001
-0.4%
|
LONG
|
Veronica Willis
Global Investment Strategist, Wells Fargo Investment Institute
|
Wells Fargo advocates using volatility to buy into sectors outside of big tech, specifically naming Industrials, Utilities, and Precious Metals (Gold/Silver). The tech trade is "stretched." Diversification into real assets (metals) and defensive/cyclical equity sectors offers protection against volatility and inflation stickiness. LONG Defensives and Real Assets. Tech rally resumes, leaving diversified portfolios underperforming. |
Bloomberg Markets
Stocks Lower as Tech Selloff Deepens Ahead of...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$4923
$5001
+1.6%
|
LONG
|
Richard Teng
Co-CEO, Binance
|
"We started offering precious metals perpetual contracts... in a short span of one month the volume just skyrocketed... because for precious metals the information come in at night during the weekend and you need to be able to hedge." Traditional commodity markets (COMEX/LBMA) are archaic because they close. In a volatile geopolitical environment, risk happens 24/7. There is massive pent-up demand for tokenized or crypto-derivative exposure to hard assets that can be traded instantly when news breaks on a Sunday. This drives volume to crypto-native commodity derivatives. LONG. Decoupling of "paper gold" (derivatives) prices from physical spot prices during extreme volatility. |
CoinDesk
The $300M Move: Richard Teng on Tokenizing Wa...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$4923
$5001
+1.6%
|
LONG
|
Julian Emanuel
Evercore ISI
|
"The FOMO over the last two months has been anywhere but stocks. It's been in gold and silver." Market participants are chasing momentum in precious metals as a hedge or alternative to equities. The speaker identifies this as the primary locus of current market exuberance. LONG. Follow the identified momentum/FOMO flow. If the "FOMO" breaks or yields spike unexpectedly, these crowded trades could unwind. |
Bloomberg Markets
Julian Emanuel Sees FOMO Driving Market Stapl...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$4923
$5001
+1.6%
|
LONG
|
Amrita Sen
Founder/Director of Research, Energy Aspects (Implied based on context/voice match for "Guest" discussing oil)
|
"The big new player is Tether... they were the biggest buyers in the market [last two quarters]." Demand for Gold is evolving from just a "fear trade" to a "diversification trade" for the digital economy. Stablecoins and non-US central banks are systematically dumping US Treasuries for Gold to sanction-proof their reserves. Long Gold targeting $6,000/oz. Strong US Dollar or high real rates making non-yielding assets less attractive. |
Bloomberg Markets
Nuveen to Buy Schroders in £10B Deal | The Pu...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$4923
$5001
+1.6%
|
WATCH
|
Parker White
COO and Chief Investment Officer at Defi Development Corp
|
"Metals are ripping, which is like the debasement trade. Like, this is supposed to be Bitcoin. What's going on?" Gold is serving as the "truth" for the macro environment (debasement/liquidity). The divergence between Gold (up) and Bitcoin (down) was the signal of a forced seller in crypto. Watching Gold continues to be the benchmark; if Gold remains strong, it confirms the macro tailwind for Bitcoin is intact now that the seller is dead. WATCH (Use as a leading indicator for BTC's recovery target). Gold prices collapsing would invalidate the "debasement trade" thesis for Bitcoin. |
Unchained (Chopping Block)
Is Bitcoin Underperforming Because a Hedge Fu...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$5071
$5001
-1.4%
|
LONG
|
Ed Yardeni
President, Yardeni Research
|
Yardeni observes that despite the stock market rising, bond yields are holding steady (around 4.2%) and Gold is moving higher toward $3,000+. Investors are taking profits from the tech/AI run-up and "rebalancing" into defensive assets (Gold and Bonds) to find "AI Immunity." LONG. The "Galloping Horse" economy (stimulus + rate cuts) combined with a desire for non-AI correlated assets favors hard assets and sovereign debt. A resurgence in inflation could hurt nominal bond returns; Gold is technically overbought in the short term. |
Bloomberg Markets
Stocks Steady After Strong Jobs Data Dims Rat...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$5071
$5001
-1.4%
|
LONG
|
Carol Massar
Anchor, Bloomberg
|
Ed Yardeni calls the current market environment a "scramble for immunity," noting Gold is recouping losses and back in an upward trajectory. As "AI scare" trades hit specific sectors and rates stay high, capital is rotating into non-correlated, hard assets for safety. Gold is acting as the hedge against both tech volatility and geopolitical risk. LONG. A sharply strengthening US Dollar or rising real yields. |
Bloomberg Markets
Stocks Little Changed as Yields Climb on Stro...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$5071
$5001
-1.4%
|
LONG
|
Lisa Shalett
Chief Investment Officer, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
|
Central banks are diversifying reserves, and non-dollar stablecoin issuers are buying gold to collateralize tokens. Gold is effectively diversifying portfolios against stocks (unlike Treasuries recently). The structural bid from de-dollarization and crypto-collateralization provides a floor. LONG Gold. High real rates usually pressure gold, though that correlation has broken recently. |
Bloomberg Markets
Bloomberg Surveillance 02/11/2026
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$5071
$5001
-1.4%
|
LONG
|
Bob Elliott
Substack author, Nonconsensus
|
After a period of significant volatility and retail-driven froth, short-term flows into the gold market have normalized. Indicators such as ETF flows, Chinese premium, futures positioning, and options volatility have returned to subdued or normal levels, and the market appears to have sustainably bottomed. The removal of speculative excesses, combined with persistent favorable long-term structural and policy dynamics, creates an "all clear" signal for investors to re-enter the gold market, anticipating a more sustainable and gentle upward trend. Go long gold, as the market has cleared its recent speculative froth, and underlying fundamentals are now supported by normalized short-term flows, suggesting a stable appreciation for investors with a medium to long-term horizon. A sudden resurgence of unsustainable speculative interest leading to another sharp correction; unexpected shifts in global monetary or fiscal policy that undermine gold's appeal; a significant strengthening of the US dollar or a sharp rise in real interest rates. |
Nonconsensus
All Clear To Dive Back Into Gold
|
|
Feb 10
|
|
$5003
$5001
-0.0%
|
LONG
|
@briantycangco
|
Gold prices holding above a significant level (5,000) indicates underlying strength and potential for further upside. |
@briantycangco
Gold prices holding above 5,000 is a big deal...
|
|
Feb 10
|
|
$5003
$5001
-0.0%
|
LONG
|
Will Rhind
Founder and CEO, GraniteShares
|
Gold has broken out to $5,000/oz, hitting all-time highs while crypto collapses. The "Safe Haven" rotation. Investors are fleeing risk and seeking true stores of value. The correlation between Bitcoin and Gold has broken, with capital favoring physical gold as the reliable hedge in this cycle. Gold at $5,000 vs. Bitcoin down 50%. Overbought conditions in gold; a potential mean reversion if risk-on sentiment returns. |
CNBC
ETF Edge on how bitcoin’s 2026 slide is throw...
|
|
Feb 09
|
|
$5050
$5001
-1.0%
|
LONG
|
Ruchir Sharma
Chairman, Rockefeller International
|
Central banks globally are actively diversifying away from US Treasuries and the US Dollar. While private investors are buying stocks, sovereign entities (Central Banks) are moving reserves into hard assets like Gold to reduce reliance on the US financial system. Sharma confirms central banks are "principally buying gold" while cutting Treasury exposure. A reversal in geopolitical tensions or higher real yields on Treasuries could make bonds attractive again. |
CNBC
Rockefeller International’s Ruchir Sharma exp...
|
|
Feb 09
|
|
$5050
$5001
-1.0%
|
LONG
|
Christian Lopez
Head of Blockchain and Digital Assets at Cohen & Company Capital Markets
|
"Central banks around the world had started to accumulate gold... in the face of the US government having a $37 trillion debt... spending more dollars paying interest on their debt than they are for their military budget." The fiscal situation (Debt spiral) forces the US to devalue the currency (print money). Central banks recognize this and are front-running the devaluation by hoarding gold. Long Gold as the ultimate hedge against the inevitable monetary debasement required to service US debt. Deflationary crash where cash becomes king temporarily. |
The Block
From Coinbase Superbowl ad to upcoming earnin...
|
|
Feb 09
|
|
$5050
$5001
-1.0%
|
WATCH
|
Jay Woods
Chief Global Strategist at Freedom Capital Markets
|
There is a "flight to hard assets" occurring, with Gold holding up well and Central Banks buying. Investors are seeking safety, but they are choosing physical assets over digital ones (Bitcoin is not participating in this rally). Gold prices holding firm despite a massive rally; Silver has pulled back from highs. The price action is described as "wild" and "crazy," implying a high risk of a drawdown if entering late. |
CNBC
Market rotation holds as AI uncertainty keeps...
|
|
Feb 07
|
|
$4951
$5001
+1.0%
|
LONG
|
Laura Shin
Host of Unchained
|
Shin notes significant geopolitical uncertainty (e.g., Venezuela) and explicitly states that central banks are buying gold, driving the price up. Gold is acting as the primary hedge against the destabilization of the current world order. As AI disrupts economies and geopolitics fragment, the "flight to safety" trade into hard assets strengthens. LONG as a macro hedge against the "chaos" phase of the AI transition. Stabilization of geopolitical conflicts or a shift of liquidity solely into digital store-of-value assets (Bitcoin). |
Unchained (Chopping Block)
What Do Jobs and Money Look Like in a Post-Hu...
|
|
Feb 06
|
|
$4951
$5001
+1.0%
|
LONG
|
Ed Yardeni
President, Yardeni Research
|
Yardeni observes that "Happy days are here again" and investors are buying everything, specifically highlighting Gold and Bitcoin alongside stocks. The combination of massive corporate spending (stimulus) and large government tax refund checks is creating a liquidity-rich environment. This money is flowing into alternative assets, driving prices up across the board. Both asset classes are performing "extremely well" in the current environment. Not explicitly mentioned, but generally tied to liquidity drying up or a shift in economic sentiment. |
CNBC
Market bounce back has to do with spending hy...
|
|
Feb 06
|
|
$4951
$5001
+1.0%
|
LONG
|
Joshua Lim
Global Co-Head of Markets at Falcon X
|
Gold and Silver are seeing "GameStop-style" retail price action (30%+ moves) and massive Central Bank accumulation (China adding thousands of kilograms). Capital is rotating *out* of digital stores of value (Bitcoin) and *into* analog stores of value (Metals). The retail speculative fervor usually reserved for Altcoins has migrated to Silver. Momentum trade driven by both sovereign floors and retail speculation. Overbought conditions (blow-off top signals mentioned). |
Unchained (Chopping Block)
'No More Dry Powder to Come Into Tokens': Why...
|
|
Feb 05
|
|
$4861
$5001
+2.9%
|
NEUTRAL
|
Katie Stockton
Founder, Fairlead Strategies
|
Gold has triggered a monthly sell signal per DeMark indicators after a parabolic move. It is showing "upside exhaustion." Assets that go parabolic often face a long period of digestion (sideways or gradual correction) rather than an immediate crash. The "safe haven" narrative is currently failing as Gold correlates with risk assets. NEUTRAL. The easy money has been made; expect a trading range rather than a new trend. A deepening liquidity crisis could force the sale of winners (Gold) to cover margin calls in other assets. |
Unchained (Chopping Block)
Bitcoin Is Deeply Oversold. Does That Mean th...
|
|
Feb 05
|
|
$4861
$5001
+2.9%
|
AVOID
|
Haseeb Qureshi
Managing Partner at Dragonfly
|
Haseeb observes that metals had a "blowoff top" and are now "trading like meme stocks," exhibiting extreme volatility (up to highs, then pulling all the way back). Gold is typically a safe-haven asset. When it begins trading with meme-stock volatility, it loses its utility as a stabilizer in a portfolio. The "blowoff top" technical pattern suggests a period of distribution and downward consolidation is likely. Step aside until volatility dampens; the asset class is currently behaving irrationally. Geopolitical shocks could force a bid regardless of technical structure. |
Unchained (Chopping Block)
Epstein's Crypto Ties Revealed + Why Everyone...
|
|
Feb 04
|
|
$4920
$5001
+1.7%
|
LONG
|
Mando
Professional Trader / Macro Analyst
|
Gold is breaking out to ATHs despite US equity weakness. Mando cites massive Asian buying (Japan/China) due to currency debasement and rising Japanese bond yields. This is a "flight to safety" trade driven by sovereign debt issues in Asia, not just US inflation. As the Yen weakens and yields spike, capital flees to hard assets. Gold is the "momentum" trade of the moment. LONG. Mando prefers Gold over Silver (which he views as a retail meme/bubble). A liquidity crunch in global markets (margin calls) could cause a temporary sell-off in gold to cover losses elsewhere. |
Thread Guy
Crypto has CRASHED. Is it OVER? Will it bounc...
|
|
Feb 03
|
|
$4903
$5001
+2.0%
|
LONG
|
Thread Guy
Crypto Commentator / Streamer
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Silver volume hit 1.2 billion (massive), and Gold/Copper are "ripping." The speaker notes Chinese retail traders are aggressively speculating here. The "speculative hot ball of money" that usually pumps crypto or tech has moved to metals. This is not just a "debasement trade" but a "momentum/gambling trade." You follow the liquidity. Long (Momentum). The move is driven by leverage (Chinese retail), making it susceptible to sharp liquidation wicks (as seen in the anecdote about the trader losing 84%). |
Thread Guy
Trump RUINED Crypto..? + Market Updates & New...
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Feb 03
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$4903
$5001
+2.0%
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LONG
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Thiccy
Quant Trader / Crypto Analyst
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"The marginal bidder, the marginal demand is not flowing into Bitcoin, it's flowing into gold right now instead... The Chinese have realized... they need to escape their currency... shoving it into gold and silver." Western investors are tapped out (already allocated to equities). The massive liquidity injection is coming from the East (China). Because Chinese investors cannot access US equities and their domestic market is suppressed, precious metals are the *only* viable escape valve for Yuan capital flight. Long Precious Metals as the primary beneficiary of Chinese capital flight, displacing Bitcoin's former role. A sudden stabilization of the Chinese equity market or strict capital controls preventing metal purchases. |
Thread Guy
The New Age of Crypto ft. Thiccy
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Feb 03
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$4903
$5001
+2.0%
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LONG
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Jordi Alexander
Founder/CIO, Seleni Capital
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"We're getting a bit of a commodity super cycle." Retail participation in China and global markets is driving massive volatility in precious metals. Crypto traders are volatility junkies. Currently, crypto is flat/down, but metals are volatile. Liquidity is flowing from Crypto -> Metals. The trade is to follow the volatility, even if it means leaving the crypto asset class temporarily (or trading metals via crypto rails). LONG. Mean reversion if the Dollar strengthens significantly or the "war premium" fades. |
The Block
Is crypto dead, or is there hope for 2026? Wi...
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Feb 03
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$4903
$5001
+2.0%
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LONG
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Tim Copeland
Co-host, Head of Growth at The Block
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Crypto realized volatility is dead. Retail traders are "touristing" into physical metals because that is where the standard deviation moves are happening. Capital in this cycle is mercenary and chases volatility, not ideology. If Crypto remains flat/boring, liquidity will continue to drain from Crypto into Commodities (Metals) to chase the momentum there. LONG Metals (as a volatility play). The "generational rally" in metals may have already peaked (crowded trade). |
The Block
Prediction markets and permissionless perps o...
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Feb 03
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$4903
$5001
+2.0%
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AVOID
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Jonah Van Bourg
Global Head of Trading at Cumberland (Implied role based on context/history)
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Gold fell ~22% in weeks; Silver crashed harder. Volatility has exploded. Second-Order Thinking regarding CTAs (Commodity Trading Advisors). CTAs target specific volatility levels. When Gold was slow/steady, they sized up massively. Now that volatility has spiked, their risk models force them to sell to reduce variance. Jonah estimates they are only "25% of the way" through their forced selling. Do not catch the falling knife. The "unwind" will take weeks as quants systematically reduce exposure. Central banks could step in aggressively to buy the dip earlier than expected. |
1000x Podcast
Is BTC A Buy, Metals Crash, Hyperliquid RWAs,...
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