| Ticker | Direction | Speaker | Thesis | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHORT/AVOID |
Thread Guy
Crypto influencer, independent |
Since the release of Claude Code on Feb 24, 2025, software stocks are down minimum 15-20%. Mando states his team has already replicated paid SaaS tools using Claude Code and cancelled subscriptions. The market is realizing that "Seat-based" B2B software pricing models are obsolete. AI agents (like Claude) can replicate the utility of these platforms without the recurring revenue per user. This is a fundamental repricing of the entire sector. SHORT or AVOID. The "uncertainty" in this sector is structural, not cyclical. Oversold bounce; AI integration by these legacy companies stabilizes churn. | 19:48 | |
| LONG |
Mando
Professional Trader / Macro Analyst |
Mando identifies Google as the "most valuable company in the world" long-term. Cites DeepMind's "World Building" AI tool (released recently in this timeline) as a game-changer. Trading at ~26x earnings with massive cash flow. Unlike SaaS companies being disrupted, Google owns the disruption (DeepMind/Gemini). The market is underpricing the consumer application of their "World Builder" (gaming/metaverse creation) and their vertical integration (TPUs). LONG. Mando is holding unless it breaks technical support at 315/320. Regulatory breakup; loss of search monopoly. | — | |
| LONG |
Mando
Professional Trader / Macro Analyst |
Gold is breaking out to ATHs despite US equity weakness. Mando cites massive Asian buying (Japan/China) due to currency debasement and rising Japanese bond yields. This is a "flight to safety" trade driven by sovereign debt issues in Asia, not just US inflation. As the Yen weakens and yields spike, capital flees to hard assets. Gold is the "momentum" trade of the moment. LONG. Mando prefers Gold over Silver (which he views as a retail meme/bubble). A liquidity crunch in global markets (margin calls) could cause a temporary sell-off in gold to cover losses elsewhere. | 11:11 | |
| LONG |
Thread Guy
Crypto influencer, independent |
Sentiment is dead ("Infra is dead"). However, ThreadGuy posits that if "Agentic Commerce" (AI agents using crypto wallets) is real, it happens on Solana due to speed/cost. The market is pricing Solana as a "memecoin casino," ignoring the potential pivot to AI agent rails. If AI agents need to transact autonomously, they will use the most performant chain. LONG. A bet on the intersection of the AI bubble and Crypto utility. Solana is technically breaking down; "The FOMO App" (cross-chain trading) eroding L1 moats. | — | |
| WATCH |
Thread Guy
Crypto influencer, independent |
ThreadGuy analyzed the charts live. XLE (Energy ETF), Exxon, and Chevron have been ranging since 2022 and look identical technically—coiling for a breakout. If the "AI/Tech" trade unwinds (SaaS destruction), capital often rotates into value/commodities. The technical structure suggests a multi-year consolidation is nearing resolution to the upside. WATCH. Look for a confirmed breakout of the 2022-2025 range. Global recession crushing oil demand. | 129:11 | |
| WATCH |
Mando
Professional Trader / Macro Analyst |
HYPE is the "only place people are hiding" in crypto. It is a crowded trade. Mando took profits but wants to rebuy below 30. Because it is the consensus "safe haven" in crypto, it is prime for a "hunter" liquidation event. Market makers will likely flush the weak longs hiding there before the next leg up. WATCH. Wait for a flush (sub-30) to re-enter. Platform risk; regulatory crackdown on DEXs. | 45:23 | |
| WATCH |
Mando
Professional Trader / Macro Analyst |
Bitcoin is trading at 73k. It showed "no reaction" at the Michael Saylor entry level (75k). Mando believes there is "air" until the mid-60s. The market needs to flush out leverage. The 69k level (2021 ATH) is the logical technical support. Mando suggests waiting for a liquidation wick into the 60s rather than catching the falling knife at 73k. WATCH. Set bids in the 60k-69k range. Loss of 60k support could trigger a deeper "crypto winter" sentiment; macro correlation with a falling Nasdaq. | 5:45 |