|
Feb 18
|
|
$303.33
$303.33
-0.0%
|
LONG
|
Thread Guy
Crypto influencer, independent
|
The speaker highlights a clip where the OpenAI CFO suggests a "government backstop" is needed for their trillion-dollar spending commitments, and explicitly states, "The United States government... is going to categorize AI as a military proxy... and throw infinite money at compute." If the US views AI as a Cold War-style arms race, fiscal constraints on AI spending will vanish. The government will subsidize the "ecosystem of banks" and tech giants to ensure the US reaches AGI first. This guarantees revenue for the infrastructure providers and model builders regardless of immediate commercial viability. LONG US AI infrastructure and Hyperscalers as beneficiaries of unlimited government defense spending. Political gridlock preventing subsidies; US actually losing the technical race despite spending. |
Thread Guy
It's Time To Start Chinamaxxing..
|
|
Feb 18
|
|
$303.33
$303.33
-0.0%
|
LONG
|
Ryan
Market Analyst / Commentator
|
"Multiyear agreement with Alphabet for Google to basically run the AI tech on Apple devices, including Siri." There was a risk that Apple would develop a proprietary "Siri LLM" that excluded Google. By partnering, Google secures its distribution on the world's most valuable hardware ecosystem, mitigating the risk of losing mobile search/query volume. Long Google on the confirmation of its mobile distribution moat. Regulatory scrutiny over the Apple/Google search and AI partnership. |
Bloomberg Markets
Apple Seems to Be Sidestepping AI Landmines i...
|
|
Feb 18
|
|
$303.33
$303.33
-0.0%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Tesla Begins Production of Cybercab. What It ...
|
|
Feb 18
|
|
$303.33
$303.33
-0.0%
|
WATCH
|
Jay Clayton
U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York / Former SEC Chair
|
"The platforms are not the town square anymore. The platforms they own the car dealership, they own the brokerage... It's time to recognize the functions that they play and regulate them accordingly." Clayton argues that Big Tech has moved beyond "platform" status to vertical integration, directing user traffic to their own services. His call to "regulate them accordingly" suggests a shift away from Section 230 protections toward antitrust or utility-style regulation, which would compress margins and force divestitures. Watch for regulatory headwinds; the "town square" defense is eroding among top legal minds. These companies have massive cash piles and lobbying power to delay enforcement; the "Winner Take All" AI dynamic (also mentioned by Clayton) might overpower regulatory drag. |
CNBC
Watch CNBC’s full interview with U.S. Attorne...
|
|
Feb 18
|
|
$303.33
$303.33
-0.0%
|
LONG
|
Jay Clayton
U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York / Former SEC Chair
|
"Is this a winner take all market? Or maybe a two winners take all? And do we end up with AI driving... thought and opinion to one pole?" Despite his regulatory warnings, Clayton acknowledges the economic reality of AI: it is a natural monopoly. If the market is "Winner Take All," the Hyperscalers with the most data and compute (Microsoft/Google) will capture the vast majority of value, rendering smaller competitors irrelevant. Long the inevitable winners of the AI consolidation phase. Government intervention (breakups) to prevent the exact "Winner Take All" scenario he describes. |
CNBC
Watch CNBC’s full interview with U.S. Attorne...
|
|
Feb 18
|
|
$303.33
$303.33
-0.0%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Tesla Stock Pops After Musk Delivers on Cyber...
|
|
Feb 18
|
|
$303.33
$303.33
-0.0%
|
LONG
|
@FirstSquawk
|
Alphabet's partnership with the Indian government and Google DeepMind, along with a $30 million pledge for AI research, signals significant investment and expansion in AI, a key growth driver. |
@business
Verizon Communications Inc. is looking to sel...
|
|
Feb 18
|
|
$303.33
$303.33
-0.0%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Passes Key Peter Lync...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$302.02
$303.33
+0.4%
|
LONG
|
Nikesh Arora
CEO, Palo Alto Networks
|
When discussing a "popular LLM" customer, Arora notes, "The usage continues to double almost every quarter." While Arora is pitching his security product, the second-order inference is that the underlying AI Model Providers (likely OpenAI/Microsoft, Anthropic/Amazon, or Google) are seeing exponential volume growth ("doubling quarterly"). This confirms the AI infrastructure bull case is not slowing down. LONG. Confirms the "Hypergrowth" thesis for the Hyperscalers hosting these models. AI monetization saturation or regulatory hurdles for model providers. |
Bloomberg Markets
Palo Alto Networks CEO Says Markets 'Have It ...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$302.02
$303.33
+0.4%
|
WATCH
|
Georgia
Host
|
"I switched from chatbt and Gemini to Claude Code and I have not looked back. I have not opened ChachiBT in weeks. The model is just that much better..." In the high-value vertical of "AI Coding/Development," Anthropic (Claude) is winning market share from the incumbents (Google/Gemini and Microsoft/OpenAI). If developers—the power users of AI—are churning away from Gemini/ChatGPT, these platforms lose critical data feedback loops and subscription revenue in the developer segment. Watch for slowing growth in Gemini/ChatGPT developer adoption; Anthropic is emerging as the superior "coding brain." Google or OpenAI could release a model update (e.g., GPT-5) that leapfrogs Claude immediately. |
CNBC
Figma CEO Dylan Field on the software reckoni...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$302.02
$303.33
+0.4%
|
LONG
|
Joe Terranova
Senior Managing Director, Virtus Investment Partners
|
"Hyperscalers, the big four, they're increasing their capex by 40% year on year... They will put a tangible product in the hands of consumers." While questioning the efficiency of the spend, Terranova contrasts these firms against Apple, implying they are the ones actively building the Generative AI future and delivering tangible utility to consumers, whereas Apple is retrenching. LONG (Relative strength vs AAPL). Over-spending on CapEx without immediate ROI ("Is all this spending actually necessary?"). |
CNBC
Trade Tracker: Joe Terranova sells Apple
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$302.02
$303.33
+0.4%
|
LONG
|
Neil Campling
Tech/TMT Analyst
|
Campling argues the key differentiator in AI is data ownership. "Alphabet... owns the data. Microsoft doesn't own the data [mainly through OpenAI JV]." In the long-term AI race, margins and capability will accrue to those who control the feedstock (data). Google's ownership of DeepMind and Search data gives it a structural margin advantage over Microsoft, which relies on a partnership model. LONG GOOG/GOOGL (Data Owner) vs. WATCH MSFT (Data Renter). Regulatory breakup of Google; OpenAI achieves AGI faster than Google despite data disadvantage. |
Bloomberg Markets
India Seeks Role in AI Future As Modi Hosts F...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$302.02
$303.33
+0.4%
|
LONG
|
Tom Mackenzie
Anchor, Bloomberg
|
"Anthropic... hitting a snag... trying to put a guard rail to stop it to be used for... mass surveillance... or autonomous weapon systems. The Pentagon seems to be pushing back hard... opens the door for OpenAI, Gemini or Grok to get a piece of the action." The Department of Defense has a mandate for lethal/surveillance AI. If Anthropic refuses on ethical grounds, the massive government contracts will flow to competitors who are willing to comply (OpenAI/Microsoft, Google/Gemini, xAI). The Pentagon views ethical restrictions as a "supply chain risk." LONG the "compliant" AI providers (GOOGL, MSFT) and private equity exposure to SpaceX/xAI. AVOID Anthropic-linked vehicles for defense exposure. Public backlash against "killer AI" developers; changes in Pentagon procurement policy. |
Bloomberg Markets
Stock Futures Slide; US, Iran Hold Talks in G...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$302.02
$303.33
+0.4%
|
LONG
|
Neil Campling
Tech/TMT Analyst
|
"I think at this point there are three or four platforms that had the scale that could be an alternative source... And, of course, the Pentagon has had some deep relationships with of the big tech companies for a number of years." Anthropic's ethical hesitation ("safeguards against basically mass surveillance") creates a friction point in securing government defense contracts. The Pentagon's demand for AI capability is urgent. If Anthropic stalls, the capital and contracts will flow to the "alternative sources" — the legacy Hyperscalers (Microsoft, Google, Amazon) who already possess the required scale and deep, existing security clearances/relationships with the DoD. LONG US Big Tech as the default beneficiary of defense AI spending when ethical pure-plays (like Anthropic) decline participation. Regulatory pressure on Big Tech regarding AI safety could increase; Anthropic might eventually concede to secure revenue. |
Bloomberg Markets
Anthropic in Disagreement With Pentagon Over ...
|
|
Feb 16
|
|
$305.72
$303.33
-0.8%
|
WATCH
|
Mark Cranfield
Cross Asset Strategist, Bloomberg
|
Hyperscalers are issuing record amounts of debt to fund the "biggest year of spending" for AI. Hedge funds are buying Credit Default Swaps (CDS) to hedge this exposure. If AI revenue figures ("the income generated from all these huge investments") do not materialize, credit spreads will widen, creating a "downward spiral" that feeds back into equities. WATCH credit spreads on Big Tech. If CDS costs rise, it is a leading indicator for an equity correction. AI revenue could surprise to the upside, rendering the hedges useless. |
Bloomberg Markets
Rubio Warns Europe & Warner Bros. Mulls New P...
|
|
Feb 15
|
|
$305.72
$303.33
-0.8%
|
AVOID
|
Paul Krugman
Nobel Prize-winning Economist, Distinguished Professor, Publisher of the Paul Krugman Substack
|
Krugman compares the current AI spending to the late 1990s Telecom boom. He notes that while the internet was real, "the companies that did the big spending in many cases did not survive." He describes current tech giants as "aging behemoths... spending vast amounts... to dig their moats deeper." The "Hyperscalers" are the ones laying out massive Capex ($500-600B). If this parallels the Telecom boom, the *spenders* of capital are at risk of poor ROI and financial distress, even if the technology (AI) eventually changes the world. AVOID the massive spenders (Hyperscalers) due to risk of capital destruction. AI generates immediate, high-margin revenue that justifies the Capex (unlike the dark fiber glut of the 90s). |
Monetary Matters
“A Huge Problem for Everybody” | Paul Krugman...
|
|
Feb 14
|
|
$305.72
$303.33
-0.8%
|
NEUTRAL
|
Synoptic
|
TeamYouTube (@teamyoutube) replying to @rac_playz
@rac_playz We know that it's concerning that your videos aren't performing as expected. Many factors play into YouTube's search and discovery system: |
Synoptic - Finance News
TeamYouTube (@teamyoutube) replying to @rac_p...
|
|
Feb 14
|
|
$305.72
$303.33
-0.8%
|
LONG
|
Steve Rattner
Economic Analyst / CEO of Willett Advisors
|
"I do believe AI is a potential gamechanger. I do believe we could get to... GDP growth because of productivity growth... It could be three. It could be three and a half percent." The speaker argues that labor force growth is flat, so the *only* way to achieve the promised economic growth is through a massive spike in productivity (efficiency). AI is the only tool capable of delivering this 13%+ efficiency gain needed to meet growth targets. LONG. AI is not just a tech trade; it is a macroeconomic necessity for US GDP growth. AI models plateauing or failing to deliver enterprise ROI. |
Bloomberg Markets
Is Trump’s Manufacturing Comeback Real?
|
|
Feb 14
|
|
$305.72
$303.33
-0.8%
|
LONG
|
Narrator
Video Narrator
|
The narrator reports that Google's processor is exponentially faster than existing technology and states, "Google, IBM and others predict there could be a quantum computer solving real world problems by the end of the decade." These companies are explicitly named as the leaders in this technological shift. If they successfully navigate the engineering challenges (cooling, error rates), they will own the foundational infrastructure for the next era of high-performance computing. Long the primary hardware developers driving the quantum breakthrough. Technical hurdles regarding error correction and power consumption may delay commercialization beyond the 2030 target. |
Bloomberg Markets
Can Quantum Computing Power the AI Boom?
|
|
Feb 14
|
|
$305.72
$303.33
-0.8%
|
LONG
|
Erik Brynjolfsson
Professor, Stanford University
|
Brynjolfsson is betting that productivity will be significantly higher than CBO predictions due to AI. He references the "Digitalist Papers" and the massive investment by tech giants to build out capabilities. The "San Francisco consensus" (mentioned by Eric Schmidt in the papers) suggests that the Hyperscalers are the gatekeepers of this productivity boom. They own the models and the infrastructure required to capture the economic value of the 3.5% GDP growth Rattner predicts. LONG the owners of the AI infrastructure. Regulatory breakup or failure to monetize AI capex. |
Bloomberg Markets
Wall Street Week | Rattner on Manufacturing, ...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$305.72
$303.33
-0.8%
|
LONG
|
—
|
"A front end of the issuance is actually doing quite well. You take Google, for example, they issued... at 27 basis points... and now it's trading at 20 basis points over." Investors are rushing into the "front end" (short duration) of high-quality tech balance sheets because they view it as "money good." This demand compresses spreads, increasing the price of these bonds. Long short-duration investment-grade corporate bonds (specifically Big Tech) as a safe harbor. A sudden spike in short-term treasury yields or a deterioration in tech credit ratings (highly unlikely for Google). |
Bloomberg Markets
Is a 100-Year Bond Worth Buying?
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$305.72
$303.33
-0.8%
|
AVOID
|
—
|
"In the instance of the UK sterling bond for Google... it was a 60 basis point spread pick up, but uniquely enough is only a ten basis point yield pick up because the 3050 gilt curve is heavily inverted." While a 100-year bond sounds attractive for locking in rates, the "spread duration" risk is massive. Because the UK curve is inverted due to pension demand, you are taking on 100 years of risk for only 10 basis points of extra yield compared to shorter duration. Avoid ultra-long duration tech bonds (100-year) in the current inverted yield environment; the compensation for the risk is insufficient. If the yield curve steepens rapidly, these bonds would become attractive, but currently, they are a "bull trap" due to the inversion. |
Bloomberg Markets
Is a 100-Year Bond Worth Buying?
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$305.72
$303.33
-0.8%
|
LONG
|
Holden Spaht
Managing Partner, Thoma Bravo
|
"We view them [Anthropic/OpenAI]... as a great route to market for them because they don't understand these domains... We started with Claude's MCP embedded into all of our software tools." The relationship between Big Tech AI (Hyperscalers/Model Builders) and Vertical SaaS is symbiotic, not adversarial. The Model Builders (Amazon/Anthropic, Microsoft/OpenAI, Google) provide the engine, while the SaaS companies provide the distribution and domain context. This confirms the "AI Infrastructure" long thesis remains intact as the enterprise layer adopts their models. LONG AI Model Providers. Regulatory crackdowns on AI model dominance or commoditization of the model layer itself. |
Bloomberg Markets
Software Is AI, If You Do It Right: Spaht
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$305.72
$303.33
-0.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
SpaceX Reportedly Considering Dual Class Shar...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$305.72
$303.33
-0.8%
|
LONG
|
John Micklethwait
Editor-in-Chief, Bloomberg
|
Micklethwait observes, "Americans are winning white-collar AI, ChatGPT, Anthropic and Gemini." The geopolitical landscape is splitting technology stacks. The US has a distinct lead in the "brain" of AI (LLMs and software). As global instability rises, capital will flow to the winners of the "White Collar" AI race for safety and growth. Long US Big Tech (specifically Model Providers) as the dominant force in generative AI. Regulatory crackdown; AI capex bubble. |
Bloomberg Markets
Poland’s Sikorski Says Europe Deserves Role i...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$305.72
$303.33
-0.8%
|
LONG
|
Doug
Antitrust Policy Expert
|
The DOJ Antitrust Chief has resigned, and the expert states, "They probably won't block any mergers... You will see Live Nation potentially settle favorably... Paramount has a chance to steal this one." The "decapitation" of the antitrust division removes the primary overhang on large-cap M&A and monopolistic tech behavior. If the government stops blocking deals, acquisition targets (Paramount) and platform monopolies (Google) re-rate higher as regulatory risk premiums evaporate. LONG. The regulatory "put" is back; M&A animal spirits will return. Public backlash or state-level attorneys general continuing the fight despite federal withdrawal. |
Bloomberg Markets
Trump Agrees to End Minnesota Immigration Sur...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
LONG
|
Hardika Singh
Economic Strategist, Fundstrat
|
Google's 100-year bond was "10 times" oversubscribed. Hardika notes, "Investors haven't completely given up on these big tech players yet." She also highlights Amazon and Oracle raising $25B-$30B. The bond market is effectively funding the AI capex war chest. The massive oversubscription validates the "Green Light" for AI spend. Unlike JCPenney (which failed after its 100-year bond), Google is younger (28 years) and viewed as a diversified "little Berkshire Hathaway," suggesting it has the resilience to navigate the 100-year duration. LONG. The credit market's vote of confidence suggests the equity pullback is a buying opportunity for the Hyperscalers. Execution risk similar to JCPenney or Motorola (who issued century bonds at their peaks and subsequently failed or stagnated); failure to monetize AI spend. |
CNBC
Alphabet 100-year bond concerns revolve on co...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Google Tests AI Search Ads as Big Tech AI Spe...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Google targeted by EU over online ad price pr...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Tom Russo's Strategic Moves: Alphabet Inc. Se...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Paramount CEO & Trump, Google Gemini 3 upgrad...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Google’s Waymo Rolls Out Robotaxis with China...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
LONG
|
Mark Gurman
Chief Correspondent, Bloomberg News
|
"Their models are being improved by the Google Gemini team as part of that collaboration." Apple—historically self-reliant—is forced to lean on Google's infrastructure to ship its core AI product. This validates Google's Gemini models as best-in-class and indispensable, even to its largest mobile OS rival. Bullish for Google's technical leadership and potential licensing revenue. Regulatory scrutiny over the Apple/Google partnership. |
Bloomberg Markets
Apple's Planned Upgrades to Siri Runs Into Sn...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Google Hit by EU Antitrust Probe Over Search ...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
SHORT
|
Finnhub News
|
Google is facing a new antitrust probe from the EU concerning its search ad pricing. |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Google hit by fresh EU antitrust probe over s...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
LONG
|
Finnhub News
|
Alphabet's stock is performing well and rising, surpassing the tech sector, due to its Gemini AI update. |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Alphabet stock rises, outperforming tech sect...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
The Agentic AI Revolution: Fastly's Moment
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
LONG
|
Jonny Fine
Head of Investment Grade Credit at Goldman Sachs
|
Oracle raised $25B with the "largest order book in our market in history," and Alphabet successfully issued a 100-year bond. CapEx plans are up $120-$150B across the sector. The bond market has explicitly "drawn a line in the sand," validating these companies' balance sheets despite the massive spending. The ability to lock in long-term capital (even 100-year duration) at tight spreads proves that institutional investors see the AI build-out as a credible, high-ROI endeavor, removing liquidity risks for these hyperscalers. LONG (Buy the spenders who have secured the funding). Failure of AI monetization to materialize within the 2-5 year "payoff" window expected by bondholders. |
CNBC
Goldman Sachs’ Jonny Fine: We will see four r...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Why 1 Analyst Is Betting on 30% Upside for Th...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Zhipu Surges 30% on AI Upgrade
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Street Reassesses Microsoft (MSFT) Amid Azure...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Bigcommerce Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
IDrive Launches Google Classroom Backup to Pr...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Waymo eyes 1 million paid rides per week as e...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Driverless cars take black cabs’ charging bay...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Entergy Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings: Here'...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Neural Processors Market Forecast 2025-2035: ...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
Tesla vs. Nvidia: Which Is the Better AI Stoc...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
2 Biotech Stocks to Buy as AI Drug Discovery ...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$309.00
$303.33
-1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - GOOGL
My Top Quantum Pick: The Only Stock I’d Buy
|