Optics scarcity is real; execution now decides the winners
ParadisLabs reads LITE, COHR and AAOI earnings as capacity-limited, with long-term agreements reducing cyclicality and buyers funding expansion. The same analysis warns AAOI's target requires consecutive flawless capacity, qualification and component-allocation quarters. Serenity's point is that July liquidations changed prices, not the underlying bottleneck. The re-rating is credible, but supplier execution is now the differentiator.