TheValueist 5.0 465 ideas

Disc L/S | TMT+Energy. Creator: CRAVE Thesis of GAI
After 1 day
23%winrate
+8.4% avg
80W / 268L · 348/367 ideas
After 1 week
18%winrate
+15.9% avg
61W / 278L · 339/367 ideas
After 1 month
N/A
11/15 min ideas
9 winning  /  2 losing  ·  11 positions (30d)
Net: +11.1%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
APO LONG $122.21 Apr 16
LSCC LONG $110.57 Apr 16
SMTC LONG $99.43 Apr 16
AEHR LONG $84.45 Apr 16
CRDO LONG $154.39 Apr 16
ORCL LONG $178.26 Apr 16
COHR LONG $312.00 Apr 16
HIMS SHORT $26.40 Apr 16
MPWR LONG $1415.00 Apr 16
NVDA LONG $198.50 Apr 16
TSM LONG $376.95 Apr 16
MU LONG $453.32 Apr 16
NVDA LONG $198.50 Apr 16
SNDK LONG $891.90 Apr 16
LITE LONG $820.50 Apr 16
ORCL LONG $171.09 Apr 15
SPY LONG $693.74 Apr 14
SPY LONG $687.80 Apr 14
GSAT LONG $73.23 Apr 14
AMKR LONG $61.82 Apr 14
ALMU LONG $15.52 Apr 13
FORM LONG $135.16 Apr 13
SNDK LONG $912.94 Apr 13
SNDK LONG $910.53 Apr 13
TSM LONG — — Apr 11
SMCI LONG $25.43 Apr 10
CVLT LONG $88.08 Apr 10
COHR LONG $308.98 Apr 10
OWL SHORT $8.11 Apr 10
AAOI LONG $136.40 Apr 10
By sector
Stock
452 ideas +11.1%
ETF
10 ideas
Crypto
2 ideas
equity
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
NVDA 82 ideas
75% W +0.7%
LITE 69 ideas
100% W +33.5%
MU 66 ideas
100% W +0.5%
SNDK 63 ideas
100% W +30.0%
CIEN 12 ideas
— —
Best and worst calls
Best calls
FORM LONG +34.8%
FormFactor shows strong margin recovery potential and growth opportunities driven by HBM4 test demand.
Mar 11
LITE LONG +33.5%
The author expresses a positive outlook on Perplexity AI's performance, implying potential growth for the associated sem...
Mar 11
SNDK LONG +30.0%
The author expresses a positive outlook on Perplexity AI's performance, implying potential growth for the associated sem...
Mar 11
Worst calls
ORCL LONG -14.6%
Oracle delivered a strong earnings beat driven by accelerating cloud infrastructure growth and AI demand.
Mar 10
NVDA SHORT -1.4%
The author expects a short-term price drop for NVDA despite a strong long-term outlook.
Mar 11
MU LONG +0.5%
The author expresses a positive outlook on Perplexity AI's performance, implying potential growth for the associated sem...
Mar 11
Go long Apollo as its Athene subsidiary is positioned as a highly valuable asset to capitalize on the massive upcoming boom in generative AI infrastructure capex financing and private credit.
APO HIGH Apr 16, 17:13
"This could be the biggest boom for project finance bankers. Athene is a diamond for Apollo."
𝕏 @thevalueist ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 16, 2026 at 17:13
𝕏 @thevalueist
Disc L/S | TMT+Energy....
Buy LSCC calls as unmodeled margin expansion and strong revenue growth in AI infrastructure will compress the forward multiple, supported by a technical breakout.
LSCC HIGH Apr 16, 16:24
"I would expect margin expansion, which the Street is not modeling, given their revenue growth."
𝕏 @thevalueist ⏲ long-term Source ↗
April 16, 2026 at 16:24
𝕏 @thevalueist
Disc L/S | TMT+Energy....
Buy SMTC based on a strong technical breakout and the fundamental view that consensus street estimates for revenue and margin growth remain too low.
SMTC HIGH Apr 16, 15:23
"Trading well and a great-looking breakout chart. Street revenue and margin growth still feel light."
𝕏 @thevalueist ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 16, 2026 at 15:23
𝕏 @thevalueist
Disc L/S | TMT+Energy....
Accumulate shares as the recent $41mm deal signals the start of massive, frequent contracts driven by optical networking and HBM/HBF installations over the next decade.
AEHR HIGH Apr 16, 14:40
"The deals will simply get bigger and more frequent."
𝕏 @thevalueist ⏲ long-term Source ↗
April 16, 2026 at 14:40
𝕏 @thevalueist
Disc L/S | TMT+Energy....
Go long Credo as the DustPhotonics acquisition provides tighter control over the silicon photonics PIC layer and strengthens its high-speed pluggable optics positioning.
CRDO HIGH Apr 16, 14:10
"What is evidenced today is tighter control of the silicon photonics PIC layer, better DSP-PIC co-design, stronger 800G and 1.6T pluggable optics positioning"
𝕏 @thevalueist ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 16, 2026 at 14:10
𝕏 @thevalueist
Disc L/S | TMT+Energy....
Go long Oracle due to accelerating bullish momentum, tightening credit default swaps, and recent neocloud GPU deals strengthening the fundamental case.
ORCL HIGH Apr 16, 14:04
"Recent CDS tightening and neocloud GPU deals help the case."
𝕏 @thevalueist ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 16, 2026 at 14:04
𝕏 @thevalueist
Disc L/S | TMT+Energy....
Go long COHR as the market is underpricing the margin expansion from its upgraded Sherman facility, supplemented by catch-up momentum from LITE's recent rally.
COHR HIGH Apr 16, 13:43
"I don't believe the market is giving them credit for the upgraded six-inch facility in Sherman, Texas."
𝕏 @thevalueist ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 16, 2026 at 13:43
𝕏 @thevalueist
Disc L/S | TMT+Energy....
HIMS posted a quarter that preserved the long-duration growth story but materially raised the burden of proof on near-term earnings quality."
HIMS HIGH Apr 16, 13:17
"Thesis: HIMS posted a quarter that preserved the long-duration growth story but materially raised the burden of proof on near-term earnings quality."
𝕏 @thevalueist ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 16, 2026 at 13:17
𝕏 @thevalueist
Disc L/S | TMT+Energy....
Go long MPWR via LEAPS as the market underestimates its critical role in Nvidia's roadmap and the broader AI ecosystem, justifying its premium valuation.
MPWR HIGH Apr 16, 12:26
"I am long 1/21/28 calls. Spendy on a mutiples basis, and I still don't believe people understand how critical MPWR is to the $NVDA roadmap and ecosystem."
𝕏 @thevalueist ⏲ long-term Source ↗
April 16, 2026 at 12:26
𝕏 @thevalueist
Disc L/S | TMT+Energy....
Jane Street's massive $6 billion compute commitment and equity investment in CoreWeave serves as a high-quality demand signal, explicitly reserving Vera Rubin capacity and validating strong ongoing AI infrastructure needs.
NVDA HIGH Apr 16, 05:25
"It combines approximately $6 billion of consumption with a $1 billion equity purchase at $109.00 per share, explicitly reserves NVIDIA Vera Rubin-based capacity across multiple facilities"
𝕏 @thevalueist ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 16, 2026 at 05:25
𝕏 @thevalueist
Disc L/S | TMT+Energy....
TSMC's COUPE platform acts as a critical control point for optical AI interconnects, positioning the foundry to capitalize on solving severe industry constraints in bandwidth density, power, and latency.
TSM HIGH Apr 16, 05:25
"TSMC's COUPE should be understood as a foundry-and-packaging platform for optical AI interconnect... places COUPE at the control point where AI infrastructure is now running into its hardest constraints"
𝕏 @thevalueist ⏲ long-term Source ↗
April 16, 2026 at 05:25
𝕏 @thevalueist
Disc L/S | TMT+Energy....
The tweet highlights a bullish basket of semiconductor stocks including Nvidia and Micron, suggesting a positive outlook for the broader chip sector.
NVDA MU SNDK LITE Apr 16, 05:25
𝕏 @thevalueist Source ↗
April 16, 2026 at 05:25
𝕏 @thevalueist
Disc L/S | TMT+Energy....
TheValueist (Disc L/S | TMT+Energy. Creator: CRAVE Thesis of GAI) | 465 trade ideas tracked | NVDA, LITE, MU, SNDK, CIEN | Twitter | Buzzberg