EMB iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF Загрузка... : Бычьи и медвежьи мнения аналитиков
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Лучшие сигналы
Лента
22:01
02 сен
02 сен
Prefer high yield and EM debt
For fixed-income-only investors, strong fundamentals still give more buffer in riskier credit, so he prefers high-yield and emerging-market debt over investment-grade credit.
Сред.
16:30
02 сен
02 сен
El Nino hurts emerging markets most.
El Nino is not primarily a US inflation story but will create severe droughts and floods in Australia, Brazil, the Mediterranean and parts of Asia. Emerging markets are almost certain to face more inflation and worse economic outcomes, making the bigger trade an emerging market currency and debt trade rather than commodities.
Сред.
15:06
01 сен
01 сен
Emerging markets debt has structural tailwinds.
Emerging markets debt is a structural overweight theme: post-April trade policy, the dollar weakened and capital flowed into EM; many EM countries have better balance sheets and inflation dynamics than developed markets, with focus on policy direction and idiosyncratic opportunities.
Выс.
12:43
01 сен
01 сен
Favor quality income and emerging debt.
Despite the preference for equities over credit and government bonds, there are good income opportunities in fixed income and beyond. Wei Li specifically prefers quality income in credit, is overweight emerging market debt, and also sees interesting income strategies in infrastructure debt and private credit.
Сред.
06:15
31 авг
31 авг
Diversify from dollar into alternative assets.
Perceived erosion of U.S. institutional credibility and dollar debasement is pushing investors to diversify away from the dollar into gold, Bitcoin, emerging market debt and non-dollar currencies such as the Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar and euro.
Сред.
22:45
25 авг
25 авг
Brazilian credit spreads look too low
Credit investors systematically underestimate default risk, so Brazilian credit spreads stay very low until problems appear and then blow out 500-1000 bps; today's spread level looks underestimated.
Выс.
17:30
20 авг
20 авг
Favor income credit over duration bonds
With bonds no longer diversifying as they once did, portfolios should shift toward stable income from corporate credit, emerging market credit, and private credit and infrastructure across public and private markets.
Выс.
23:00
14 авг
14 авг
High yields make diversified fixed income attractive
Rieder argues high real rates let investors build a diversified fixed-income portfolio with almost 7% yield at an average A- rating and less than three years of interest-rate exposure, without stretching credit risk. He says high yield should be trading 150-200 basis points lower in yield, and he owns high yield, emerging markets, securitized assets, and more Europe than the U.S.
Выс.
13:21
13 авг
13 авг
Emerging market debt provides diversified fixed-income opportunities.
There are attractive opportunities across fixed income, including emerging market debt, providing a more diversified set of options compared to the AI-dominated equity market.
Сред.
10:22
13 авг
13 авг
Emerging markets offer high real yields.
He likes emerging markets because some opportunities offer high real yields and central banks that have built credibility by keeping rates elevated relative to inflation; investors are under-allocated and can shift away from the dollar.
Сред.
17:32
07 авг
07 авг
EM debt attractive, stable dollar.
Emerging markets debt is interesting, particularly because the U.S. dollar is not expected to move aggressively.
Выс.
14:44
07 авг
07 авг
Emerging markets debt attractive.
Emerging market debt offers good opportunities, especially if the dollar does not move aggressively. It fits the strategy of achieving higher yields without excessive risk.
Сред.
10:19
05 авг
05 авг
Emerging market debt attractive versus equities.
Emerging market debt can provide equity-like returns with less downside, making it a preferred risk asset.
Сред.
11:45
22 июл
22 июл
Long EM debt on credible policies
Emerging market economies have pursued more credible policies, making EM debt attractive. She warns that passive EM equities are highly correlated with the AI trade, so debt offers a better diversification vehicle.
Сред.
10:36
08 июл
08 июл
Buy emerging market debt
For those wanting exposure to emerging markets, emerging market debt is also attractive as a diversification away from concentrated tech exposure; previously they profited from long EM commodity exporter debt versus importers.
Низ.
22:24
06 июл
06 июл
Go long emerging market debt
Core inflation is decelerating; real rates at generational highs provide a tether, and there are great opportunities in emerging markets today as disparate locations trade on incremental inputs.
Низ.
14:39
02 июл
02 июл
Long EM debt for yield pickup
Emerging markets debt offers attractive yield opportunities as part of a global income strategy.
Сред.
17:16
09 июн
09 июн
EM debt higher yields strong fundamentals
Emerging market debt still offers much higher yields and a more positive fundamental backdrop than developed-market bonds. EM bond markets have been making new highs while rich-country bonds make new lows, and this trend should continue.
Сред.
04:57
28 мая
28 мая
EM dollar debt outperformance sustainable
Emerging-market dollar-denominated debt has outperformed similarly rated US credit over the long term and benefits from fundamental improvements, positive technicals (limited net supply), and strong demand. The asset class should continue to show resilience even during stress periods.
Сред.
15:01
22 мая
22 мая
Long emerging markets for diversification.
Emerging markets, including EM debt, offer a margin of safety and global diversification tailwind given a strong US economy. The firm likes emerging markets quite a bit.
Сред.
14:28
23 апр
23 апр
EM debt offers broadening opportunity.
Clients are also focused on emerging market debt as part of the broadening opportunity in global markets.
Сред.
03:54
23 апр
23 апр
EM debt offers opportunities.
Emerging market debt is another area of opportunity for investors seeking diversification and yield in a broadening market environment.
Низ.
20:39
21 апр
21 апр
EM energy exporters outperform importers.
Within Emerging Markets, energy exporters should outperform energy importers in an $80 oil price environment, which is a sweet spot for EM sovereign dollar bonds. Differentiation will pick up, and policy space varies significantly among importers.
Сред.
07:55
14 апр
14 апр
Asian credit markets are attractive.
The credit market in Asia offers attractive opportunities due to supply-demand imbalances, with high demand for flexible capital from growing businesses and less developed banking sectors, leading to potential mispricings, especially in Southeast Asia and Australia.
Выс.
22:20
10 апр
10 апр
Speaker stated they are "underweight" and "a bit more cautious in those areas with higher spread volatility like high-yield [and] emerging markets." The current environment of military conflict and macroeconomic uncertainty magnifies spread volatility, making lower-quality credit segments particularly risky. Avoid these asset classes due to elevated volatility and unpredictability driven by geopolitical events. A rapid and sustained de-escalation of geopolitical tensions, which would reduce market volatility and credit spreads.
11:45
09 апр
09 апр
A pause in US-Iran hostilities is increasing risk appetite.
A pause in US-Iran hostilities is increasing risk appetite, leading to demand for new issuance from riskier sovereign borrowers like Congo, signaling a bullish environment for emerging market debt.
Сред.
13:01
07 апр
07 апр
The speaker states EM debt indices have "done more damage to emerging market investors than any idiosyncratic event," citing examples where they forced ownership of Argentina pre-default (18% weight) and Russia/Ukraine pre-war. Index construction (often market-cap weighted) over-allocates to the most indebted or largest debt stock countries, conflating size with risk. Mandating benchmark neutrality or low tracking error forces low-conviction ownership and creates vintage risk. AVOID because a passive, index-replicating approach is a "very low conviction approach" that systematically exposes investors to concentrated, predictable risks and misses the alpha from active underwriting and avoidance. An index-led rally in a heavily weighted, risky country could cause short-term underperformance for an active manager avoiding it.
00:47
02 апр
02 апр
Long Malaysian bonds (via EMB) as the Iran conflict-driven rise in oil prices improves.
Long Malaysian bonds (via EMB) as the Iran conflict-driven rise in oil prices improves the fiscal and economic outlook for the energy-exporting country, attracting capital flows.
Сред.
11:04
30 мар
30 мар
Wei Li states BlackRock has a "modest overweight" in US dollar-denominated emerging market debt, citing the structural improvement in the quality of the asset class and favorable exposure to Latin America and energy exporters/importers. Despite being caught in recent market reversals (dollar strength, curve shifts), the underlying credit quality improvement provides a longer-term positive basis. The asset class is seen as positively positioned for the longer term, warranting attention, though it may face near-term volatility from broader market flows. A severe, prolonged risk-off event or a significant further strengthening of the US dollar.
16:22
27 мар
27 мар
Lupin said duration is going to be hard, and being long duration is a difficult trade due to stagflationary impacts from the oil price shock, with EM central banks likely needing to hike rates. In a stagflationary environment, inflation shocks may force EM central banks to hike more than priced in to anchor second-round effects, leading to bond price declines. AVOID long duration positions in EM bonds as the risk-reward is unfavorable. The Middle East war ends quickly, reducing inflationary pressures and allowing central banks to pause or cut rates.
Об аналитическом покрытии EMB
Buzzberg отслеживает EMB (iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF) в 9 источниках. Бычьих сигналов: 24, медвежьих: 1, от 26 аналитиков. Сентимент преимущественно бычий (68%). Всего отслеживаются 34 торговые идеи. За последние 7 дней: бычьих: 4, наблюдение: 1. Последние спикеры: Alessio de Longis, Marvin Barth, Jeff Mueller.