Lupin Rahman

ex-Head of Sovereign Credit, PIMCO
· tracked since Mar 2026
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EMLC long +2.0%
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EMLC long 2 months ago
Win Rate 100% Long 1 Short 0
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7d 100%
30d 100%
90d —
Average Return +2.0% Long Return +2.0% Short Return -
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7d +1.0%
30d +3.1%
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EMLC VanEck J... VanEck J.P. Morgan ...
Long
Mar 27
$24.90
+2.0%
Lupin said Brazilian real rates are still very high (nominal rates at 15%), the central bank is anchored, and it has room to cut, making local currency bonds attractive, especially compared to other EMs. Brazil is a commodity exporter sheltered from Middle East shocks, with high real rates providing carry and potential for easing cycles, supported by credible monetary policy. LONG due to high yields, strong fundamentals, and relative safety in the current geopolitical environment. Central bank fails to anchor inflation, geopolitical spillovers affect all EM, or domestic political issues arise.
Lupin said Brazilian real rates are still very high (nominal rates at 15%), the central bank is anchored, and it has room to cut, making local currency bonds attractive, especially compared to other EMs. Brazil is a commodity exporter sheltered from Middle East shocks, with high real rates providing carry and potential for easing cycles, supported by credible monetary policy. LONG due to high yields, strong fundamentals, and relative safety in the current geopolitical environment. Central bank fails to anchor inflation, geopolitical spillovers affect all EM, or domestic political issues arise.
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