Michael Ashby 3.2 840 ideas

CEO, AlgoQuant
After 1 day
51%winrate
+0.1% avg
337W / 327L · 664/802 ideas
After 1 week
48%winrate
+0.3% avg
311W / 338L · 649/803 ideas
After 1 month
47%winrate
+0.9% avg
211W / 238L · 449/803 ideas
211 winning  /  238 losing  ·  449 positions (30d)
Net: +0.9%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
IWM SHORT $268.51 Apr 15
USO LONG $124.10 Apr 15
USO LONG $127.30 Apr 14
USO LONG $128.70 Apr 14
SPY LONG $683.11 Apr 13
USO LONG $129.79 Apr 13
USO LONG $131.03 Apr 13
USO LONG $124.57 Apr 13
USO LONG $124.57 Apr 12
FXI SHORT $36.33 Apr 10
LITE LONG $896.50 Apr 10
CATL LONG — — Apr 10
SMH LONG $429.51 Apr 09
SPY SHORT $674.42 Apr 09
SPY LONG $673.36 Apr 09
EMB LONG $94.96 Apr 09
TLT SHORT $86.90 Apr 09
EUR SHORT — — Apr 09
GBP SHORT — — Apr 09
WBD LONG $27.50 Apr 08
SMH LONG $422.06 Apr 08
MXN SHORT — — Apr 08
FXI LONG $36.28 Apr 07
EWJ LONG $88.00 Apr 07
SPY LONG $653.62 Apr 07
XLU LONG $46.12 Apr 07
CNY LONG — — Apr 06
USD LONG $51.22 Apr 06
TLT LONG $86.67 Apr 06
SPY LONG $657.48 Apr 06
By sector
ETF
425 ideas +0.5%
Stock
314 ideas -0.3%
currency
63 ideas +1.0%
Commodity
21 ideas +23.9%
Crypto
8 ideas -0.6%
index
4 ideas
sector
4 ideas
private
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
USO 62 ideas
75% W +18.8%
SPY 42 ideas
44% W +0.3%
TLT 32 ideas
58% W +1.1%
ITA 22 ideas
0% W -9.3%
USD 19 ideas
55% W +1.6%
Best and worst calls
Best calls
USO LONG +57.3%
Reduced drilling activity from a major producer like Russia points to constrained future supply, which is fundamentally ...
Feb 18
WTI LONG +44.3%
Refiners in China and Japan that depend on Middle East oil have halted fuel exports to protect domestic supplies https:/...
Mar 05
Worst calls
USO SHORT -58.4%
Short oil in anticipation of an OPEC+ agreement to increase production this weekend, which would increase supply and put...
Feb 27
WTI SHORT -51.7%
Oil producers across the Middle East face a tense countdown as the Iran war blocks the region’s main export artery, fill...
Mar 04
HIMS LONG -26.9%
The strategic hire of a senior communications executive from market-leader Lilly signals a strong commitment to successf...
Mar 11
Short small-cap indices or meme stocks benefiting from AI hype, as the described arbitrage of buying legacy tickers pre-announcement and selling post-rebrand represents an unsustainable, speculative flow that will reverse.
IWM MED Apr 15, 17:44
"An investor is essentially buying $50 million worth of stock at the old, defunct-sneaker-company price, and selling it at the new, AI-neocloud-company price."
𝕏 @business ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 15, 2026 at 17:44
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz fundamentally disrupts global oil supply, creating a massive upside catalyst for crude prices.
USO MED Apr 15, 16:18
"US-Iranian peace talks appear closer to restarting, but the US blockade of Hormuz is angering China"
𝕏 @business ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 15, 2026 at 16:18
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
Unprecedented geopolitical escalation involving a US Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz will severely disrupt global energy markets and drive crude prices higher.
USO MED Apr 14, 13:16
"the US announced its plan for opening the Strait of Hormuz: the Navy would blockade the Strait of Hormuz."
𝕏 @business ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 14, 2026 at 13:16
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
A US naval blockade of Iran represents an unprecedented geopolitical escalation that fundamentally threatens global oil supply and market structure.
USO MED Apr 14, 08:17
"President Trump has began a US naval blockade of Iran"
𝕏 @business ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 14, 2026 at 08:17
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
Overweight US equities via SPY because BlackRock's strategists assess the negative economic impact from Middle East tensions as limited, suggesting a contained risk-off environment favorable for stocks.
SPY MED Apr 13, 19:32
"BlackRock strategists have returned to an overweight view on US stocks as they see the damage to global economic growth from the Middle East conflict 'likely contained.'"
𝕏 @business ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 13, 2026 at 19:32
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
A US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz fundamentally disrupts global energy markets, creating an immediate supply shock that drives crude oil prices higher.
USO MED Apr 13, 17:48
"US began a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz in the war’s seventh week"
𝕏 @business ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 13, 2026 at 17:48
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
A US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz represents an unprecedented geopolitical escalation that fundamentally disrupts global energy supply chains, necessitating a long position in oil.
USO MED Apr 13, 14:12
"Trump’s deadline passed for the US to begin a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, testing the durability of a fragile ceasefire with Iran and intensifying a global energy crisis"
𝕏 @business ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 13, 2026 at 14:12
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
An unprecedented US military blockade of the Strait of Hormuz will severely disrupt global energy supply chains and exacerbate oil shortages, driving crude prices higher.
USO MED Apr 13, 07:27
"President Donald Trump said the US will blockade the Strait of Hormuz following the failure of peace talks with Iran in Islamabad, a move that will likely exacerbate oil and fuel shortages globally."
𝕏 @business ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 13, 2026 at 07:27
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
A full US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz creates an unprecedented supply shock to global energy markets, driving crude oil prices significantly higher.
USO MED Apr 12, 14:46
"President Donald Trump said the US will begin a full naval blockade of the strategic Strait of Hormuz"
𝕏 @business ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 12, 2026 at 14:46
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
Escalating geopolitical tensions between China and the US over Taiwan increase regional risk and could lead to capital outflows or negative sentiment towards Chinese equities.
FXI HIGH Apr 10, 10:45
"China’s President Xi Jinping welcomed the leader of Taiwan’s biggest opposition party to a landmark meeting, reaffirming Beijing’s claim to sovereignty over the self-governing democracy and giving a thinly veiled warning against interference from the US."
𝕏 @business ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 10, 2026 at 10:45
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
The company reports accelerating demand and a multi-year filled order book, signaling sustained revenue visibility and bullish fundamentals.
LITE HIGH Apr 10, 04:36
"Lumentum said demand from US hyperscalers for its optical components is accelerating and on track to fill its order book through 2028"
𝕏 @business ⏲ long-term Source ↗
April 10, 2026 at 04:36
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
A potential earnings beat could trigger a short squeeze in CATL shares, driven by existing positive momentum from rising energy prices.
CATL MED Apr 10, 00:41
"An earnings beat by CATL next week may set the stage for a short squeeze, after a surge in the battery maker’s shares on bets tied to soaring energy prices"
𝕏 @business ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 10, 2026 at 00:41
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
The AI infrastructure buildout continues to be a tailwind for semiconductor/tech hardware companies as leading AI firms aggressively compete for compute resources.
SMH MED Apr 09, 20:21
"OpenAI told investors this week that its early push to dramatically increase computing resources gives it a key advantage over Anthropic PBC at a moment when its longtime rival is gaining ground and mulling a potential public offering."
𝕏 @business ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 09, 2026 at 20:21
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
Short US equities because they are overvalued, independent of current geopolitical fears.
SPY HIGH Apr 09, 15:02
"Even after stripping away all of the angst involving the geopolitical situation, US equities aren’t a compelling buy from a valuation perspective."
𝕏 @business ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 09, 2026 at 15:02
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
Upcoming earnings season provides a catalyst for investors to re-enter the equity market, reversing prior risk-off positioning driven by geopolitical events.
SPY MED Apr 09, 11:46
"Investors that slashed their stock exposure as war flared in the Middle East may soon have a fresh reason for piling back into equities: the upcoming earnings season"
𝕏 @business ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 09, 2026 at 11:46
𝕏 @business
CEO, AlgoQuant
Michael Ashby (CEO, AlgoQuant) | 840 trade ideas tracked | USO, SPY, TLT, ITA, USD | Twitter | Buzzberg