#461
Alpha Score 38.8
John Davies
CIO, Astoria Portfolio Advisors
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 22
$95.03
+0.9%
Emerging markets, including EM debt, offer a margin of safety and global diversification tailwind given a strong US economy. The firm likes emerging markets quite a bit.
Macro
Long
May 19
$1285.00
+5.1%
Broad-based commodities (via CER) are trending due to higher inflation and the Middle East conflict. Commodities can lead for multi-year periods, and we are roughly five years into an inflation cycle that could continue for another 2-3 years, making commodities an attractive diversifier.
Other
Long
May 19
$21.56
+0.4%
Real assets (via the PPI fund) provide inflation protection and have outperformed the S&P 500 by 25% since 2021. Real assets have been the leading asset class in six of the last seven years. Inflation is structurally higher and unlikely to return to 2% soon, supporting a long-term allocation to real assets.
Other
Long
Mar 11
$49.68
+4.4%
"Some of these sectors like industrials, energy materials sectors that you know, can benefit from like an elevated, you know, let's say, stagflation environment..." A strong US economy fueled by tax cuts and tariff cuts, combined with an elevated stagflation environment, creates a perfect storm for hard assets and cyclical sectors. Industrials benefit from reshoring and protectionist tariffs, while energy and materials possess inherent pricing power when inflation runs hot alongside stagnant broader growth. LONG industrials, energy, and materials as a strategic play on a resilient US economy and persistent stagflationary pressures. A severe recession or a sudden deflationary shock would destroy demand for commodities and severely crush cyclical equities.
"Some of these sectors like industrials, energy materials sectors that you know, can benefit from like an elevated, you know, let's say, stagflation environment..." A strong US economy fueled by tax cuts and tariff cuts, combined with an elevated stagflation environment, creates a perfect storm for hard assets and cyclical sectors. Industrials benefit from reshoring and protectionist tariffs, while energy and materials possess inherent pricing power when inflation runs hot alongside stagnant broader growth. LONG industrials, energy, and materials as a strategic play on a resilient US economy and persistent stagflationary pressures. A severe recession or a sudden deflationary shock would destroy demand for commodities and severely crush cyclical equities.
Other
Long
Mar 11
$56.73
+3.5%
"Some of these sectors like industrials, energy materials sectors that you know, can benefit from like an elevated, you know, let's say, stagflation environment..." A strong US economy fueled by tax cuts and tariff cuts, combined with an elevated stagflation environment, creates a perfect storm for hard assets and cyclical sectors. Industrials benefit from reshoring and protectionist tariffs, while energy and materials possess inherent pricing power when inflation runs hot alongside stagnant broader growth. LONG industrials, energy, and materials as a strategic play on a resilient US economy and persistent stagflationary pressures. A severe recession or a sudden deflationary shock would destroy demand for commodities and severely crush cyclical equities.
"Some of these sectors like industrials, energy materials sectors that you know, can benefit from like an elevated, you know, let's say, stagflation environment..." A strong US economy fueled by tax cuts and tariff cuts, combined with an elevated stagflation environment, creates a perfect storm for hard assets and cyclical sectors. Industrials benefit from reshoring and protectionist tariffs, while energy and materials possess inherent pricing power when inflation runs hot alongside stagnant broader growth. LONG industrials, energy, and materials as a strategic play on a resilient US economy and persistent stagflationary pressures. A severe recession or a sudden deflationary shock would destroy demand for commodities and severely crush cyclical equities.
Energy
Long
Mar 11
$169.50
+2.8%
"Some of these sectors like industrials, energy materials sectors that you know, can benefit from like an elevated, you know, let's say, stagflation environment..." A strong US economy fueled by tax cuts and tariff cuts, combined with an elevated stagflation environment, creates a perfect storm for hard assets and cyclical sectors. Industrials benefit from reshoring and protectionist tariffs, while energy and materials possess inherent pricing power when inflation runs hot alongside stagnant broader growth. LONG industrials, energy, and materials as a strategic play on a resilient US economy and persistent stagflationary pressures. A severe recession or a sudden deflationary shock would destroy demand for commodities and severely crush cyclical equities.
"Some of these sectors like industrials, energy materials sectors that you know, can benefit from like an elevated, you know, let's say, stagflation environment..." A strong US economy fueled by tax cuts and tariff cuts, combined with an elevated stagflation environment, creates a perfect storm for hard assets and cyclical sectors. Industrials benefit from reshoring and protectionist tariffs, while energy and materials possess inherent pricing power when inflation runs hot alongside stagnant broader growth. LONG industrials, energy, and materials as a strategic play on a resilient US economy and persistent stagflationary pressures. A severe recession or a sudden deflationary shock would destroy demand for commodities and severely crush cyclical equities.
Other
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