Ideas
Treasuries tactical buy into stock selloff
With yields at multi-decade highs and extreme bearishness, long-term Treasuries offer a tactical countertrend long as a hedge against a sharp stock market sell-off. However, any rally is to be sold, so this is a short-term trade, not a long-term hold.
EM debt higher yields strong fundamentals
Emerging market debt still offers much higher yields and a more positive fundamental backdrop than developed-market bonds. EM bond markets have been making new highs while rich-country bonds make new lows, and this trend should continue.
Energy sector XLE mispriced amid crisis
Energy stocks (XLE) have barely risen despite the worst energy crisis in history, because the market is ignoring the supply shock. This complacency means the sector is mispriced and offers a great opportunity.
Oil underpriced amid severe supply shock
The Iran conflict caused the most severe energy supply shock ever, removing 13-15% of global oil supply (1-1.5 billion barrels lost). Inventories are collapsing, with tanks possibly running dry. Yet oil futures price only $80 for Dec 2026, far below the $120-$150+ that experts like Cornerstone and Exxon signal. This massive mispricing creates a great opportunity.
US natural gas heavily discounted demand surge
US natural gas trades at a 90% discount to international LNG prices. Huge new demand from AI data centers, rising electricity prices, massive LNG export capacity buildout, and low European gas storage will close this arbitrage. Sentiment is bearish and positioning is low, setting up a major rally.
Expand Energy cheap natural gas breakout
Expand Energy is a cheap natural gas producer trading at about 10x earnings and 1.5x sales. It broke out and pulled back, offering an attractive entry in a dirt-cheap sector poised to benefit from surging gas demand.
Range Resources cheap multi-year breakout
Range Resources is a natural gas producer that recently broke out to a new multi-year high, trades at just 9x earnings, and benefits from the same deeply undervalued natural gas backdrop.
New Hope Mining coiled spring coal play
Coal prices are set to spike as Indonesia bans exports and Asia faces an LNG shortage. New Hope Mining, a large Australian coal miner, trades at only 14x depressed earnings, and its chart looks like a coiled spring ready to break higher.
Short-term treasuries for safety optionality
Prefer short-term Treasuries as a place to park money. They roughly keep pace with inflation and provide optionality to redeploy quickly without worrying about big mark-to-market losses if long-end yields rise further.
Financials XLF corrected uptrend intriguing
Financials have sold off hard after an initial breakout but remain in a multi-year uptrend. The correction looks like a good entry point in a sector that has been lagging the market.
China FXI bounce after correction
Chinese stocks broke out of a long downtrend and then corrected hard. When peace eventually comes to the Middle East, China should have a very big bounce back. FXI is a good way to play it.
Nutrien fertilizer shortage rally potential
Fertilizer stocks have been disappointing and are being abandoned, but a major fertilizer shortage is underway due to the Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Nutrien should see a strong rally once the shortage becomes apparent.
Silver washout value play strong demand
Silver has washed out to the upper $60s area, sentiment is very negative, open interest is extremely low, and demand drivers from AI/data centers, defense, and monetary debasement remain strong. At these levels silver is a decent value play.
US midcap IJH diversification value discount
In a dangerously concentrated US market, midcaps offer diversification away from bubble stocks. The midcap index trades at a big valuation discount (15-17x earnings) and is outperforming the S&P, making it a good overweight.
This The David Lin Report video, published June 09, 2026,
features David Hay
discussing TLT, EMB, XLE, WTI, Natural Gas (Henry Hub), EXE, RRC, NHC.AX, SHY, XLF, FXI, NTR, SLV, IJH.
14 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
David Hay
· Tickers:
TLT,
EMB,
XLE,
WTI,
Natural Gas (Henry Hub),
EXE,
RRC,
NHC.AX,
SHY,
XLF,
FXI,
NTR,
SLV,
IJH
