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12:30
Jul 21
Jul 21
EWY
KS 1ST
Korea Semiconductor Equipment Sector
▾
HIGH
KOSPI rebound from oversold, bottom forming.
The KOSPI market is bottoming after a brutal selloff driven by ETF leverage unwinding and credit liquidation. Foreign investors have accumulated over 7 trillion won in futures since mid-June and have started buying spots since July 8th. With ETF volatility subsiding and credit balances falling to safe levels, the market is poised for a significant rebound. The index could recover toward 7,500–7,900 as the 'real game' begins.
EWY LONG
SK Hynix technical bounce to 230k won.
SK Hynix has broken the 30% decline level from its high, but the sharp one-way selling without any bounce is abnormal. A volume spike last week acted as a brake, and the stock is now forming a triple bottom near 180,000 won. A technical rebound to the 50% retracement around 230,000 won is likely, offering about 30% upside. This is a tactical trade within a still-intact downtrend.
KS LONG
Semiconductor equipment sector leads KOSDAQ rebound.
On KOSDAQ, the only investable sector is semiconductor equipment and materials. These stocks are already near new highs, and the newly launched DS KOSDAQ Active ETF is heavily overweight them (TSE, PSK, VM, etc.), with zero biotech or battery names. As the market rebound unfolds, this sector will likely lead, making it the core play for KOSDAQ exposure.
Korea Semiconductor Equipment Sector LONG
HIGH
12:00
Jul 21
Jul 21
ILTB Podcast
1h
EXE 1ST
UNG
RRC 1ST
XPLR 1ST
Split away energy
▾
HIGH
Deeply undervalued gas producer with top assets
Expand Energy controls ~70% of remaining core Haynesville wells and has some of the highest quality rock in the country. Despite its assets being unchanged, the stock has plummeted over the last six months due to a CEO search and is trading at 4x EBITDA on a forward curve that ignores the coming gas shortage. Modeling the facts suggests a much higher gas price, making Expand Energy the biggest winner.
EXE LONG
Historic US natural gas shortage by 2028
The US is heading for a historic natural gas deficit starting in 2028, driven by LNG export capacity growing from 15 to 35 BCF/day and AI compute demand adding ~5 BCF/day of incremental gas demand in the base case, while domestic supply growth is capped at ~20 BCF/day due to well productivity, processing, gathering, and pipeline constraints. Storage draws will break historical lows by 2028-2029, creating unbounded and convex upside price risk for natural gas, with price potentially doubling or tripling structurally.
UNG LONG
High-quality Appalachian gas producer with upside
Range Resources has significant room to grow production and materially grow returns to investors as natural gas prices rise into the supply shortage later this decade.
RRC LONG
Solar yieldco benefits from rising power prices
As natural gas sets the marginal price of power, rising gas prices will drive electricity prices higher. Solar assets, especially utility-scale yieldcos, will experience a windfall because they sell power at market prices with no incremental capital cost. XPLR (formerly NextEra Yield Co) will see material margin expansion in the late 2020s and early 2030s as it marks PPAs to market at higher values.
XPLR LONG
Solar yieldco gains from higher power prices
Similar to XPLR, Split away energy is a solar yieldco that will benefit from higher electricity prices as gas costs rise, without requiring additional capex.
Split away energy LONG
Residential solar booms on expensive power
Residential solar will grow exponentially as one of the only ways for consumers to protect themselves from soaring peak electricity prices driven by the natural gas shortage. Even without tax incentives, it becomes very economic to install solar, especially paired with batteries, given where electricity prices are likely to go.
Residential Solar LONG
Nuclear supplier BWXT gains from reactor buildout
BWXT is the primary nuclear supplier for the US Navy and has significant dollar content in the AP1000 reactor supply chain. It will benefit substantially from the required scale-up of large-scale nuclear construction as the gas crisis forces the US to build new reactors.
BWXT LONG
Cameco undervalued on nuclear buildout necessity
Large-scale nuclear is the only viable long-term solution to the gas deficit in the 2030s. Cameco, which owns 49% of Westinghouse, is deeply undervalued as Westinghouse's AP1000 reactors become essential. The US government is lining up procurement, and Cameco will benefit significantly from the coming nuclear cycle.
CCJ LONG
Caterpillar overinvests in turbines near gas crisis
Caterpillar is doubling its solar turbine capacity between now and the end of 2029, exactly when natural gas may become too expensive and buyers may question deploying new gas-fired assets. This expansion resembles the early 2000s overbuild that led to a bust, positioning Caterpillar poorly as orders for gas generation could slow meaningfully.
CAT AVOID
Bloom Energy faces gas supply constraints
Bloom Energy's fuel cell assets at 2 GW or more of manufacturing capacity will struggle to secure natural gas in competition with all other gas-consuming assets as the shortage emerges. The market is assigning high probability to volumes that cannot be fueled, and fuel cells at scale are more likely backup generation than baseload, leaving Bloom poorly positioned beyond 2028-2029.
BE AVOID
HIGH
11:57
Jul 21
Jul 21
UKGILT 1ST
EWU 1ST
AI 1ST
Hyperscalers / AI capex spenders
BAESY 1ST
▾
MED
UK gilts attractive if fiscal rules upheld.
If the new Chancellor continues to demonstrate he is taking fiscal rules seriously, there are opportunities in UK gilts, as the bond market has already priced in fiscal constraints and the relative yield looks attractive.
UKGILT LONG
UK equities hedge and diversify AI.
UK equities serve as a hedge against further Middle East escalation and offer diversification from AI-heavy markets; a new prime minister providing more clarity could be a catalyst for international flows to return.
EWU LONG
Buy AI capex beneficiaries over spenders.
Beneficiaries of the $700 billion AI capex spend have more stable earnings visibility than the spenders whose ROI remains uncertain; the next step for the semi story requires hyperscaler commitments to rise, but recipients are better positioned.
AI LONG
Avoid AI capex spenders.
The ROI on massive AI capex spend by hyperscalers remains as unanswerable as a year ago, so investors are better off avoiding the spenders and favoring the beneficiaries of that spend.
Hyperscalers / AI capex spenders AVOID
BAE Systems wins from defence spending.
BAE Systems is right in the target zone as a prime defence contractor that will benefit from increased defence spending and the push for European collaboration to keep budgets within the region.
BAESY LONG
China AI stocks undervalued and promising.
Chinese AI and semiconductor companies are making progress in sophistication and cost, with reasonable valuations, and have not kept up with the rally in Korea and Taiwan, making them worth a look for the next leg of the AI trade.
China AI/semiconductor equities LONG
Watch UK homebuilders if rates fall.
UK housing is currently depressed by high interest rates and weak demand, but if rates come down, homebuilders would benefit greatly from government plans to build more homes.
UK homebuilders WATCH
TSMC price hikes boost revenue momentum.
TSMC's price increases for next year amid supply-demand imbalance should drive upward revenue momentum beyond consensus, supporting the stock.
TSM LONG
MED
11:52
Jul 21
Jul 21
CNBC
2h
GM 1ST
▾
HIGH
GM stock a bargain, aggressive buybacks.
GM has delivered consistent strong financial performance, with inventory and incentive discipline, resilient consumer demand, a strong balance sheet, and aggressive share buybacks (retired over 35% of diluted shares since 2023). The stock trades at a low P/E and high free cash flow yield, making it a great bargain.
GM LONG
HIGH
11:37
Jul 21
Jul 21
TSM
MU 1ST
SPY
TLT FLIP
LMT 1ST
▾
MED
Supply-demand imbalance drives chipmaker gains.
The supply-demand imbalance in semiconductors remains intact, as shown by TSMC planning to raise chipmaking prices by 10%, supporting chipmakers like SK hynix and TSMC.
TSM LONG
000660.KS LONG
TSMC and Micron benefit from pricing power.
TSMC and Micron have strong pricing power in a market with massive supply-demand imbalance, and their shareholders will benefit as prices continue to rise.
MU LONG
Strong earnings and capex support equities.
Strong earnings and the continued build-out of AI and EV technology are driving growth, and the positive risk bias will be maintained through the summer despite choppiness.
SPY LONG
Long-end Treasuries face headwinds from issuance.
The ramp-up in Treasury issuance and uncertainty about the correct neutral rate are discouraging investors; the long end of the curve remains concerning and is unlikely to perform well.
TLT AVOID
F-35 demand and production speed drive LMT.
The F-35 is the most advanced fighter jet, its production system runs at five times the speed of competitors, and global demand is growing, supported by expanding European partnerships and UK defense spending.
LMT LONG
New UK chancellor boost BAE on defense.
The appointment of John Healy, a former defense secretary who wants higher defense spending, as UK chancellor bodes well for defense stocks like BAE Systems.
BAESY LONG
Rotation into financials on capital demand.
Financials are showing the demand for capital, and industries that have been left behind for years are starting to percolate, benefiting from the broader capex-driven rotation.
XLF LONG
MED
11:35
Jul 21
Jul 21
11:30
Jul 21
Jul 21
KS 1ST
EWY
▾
HIGH
Samsung, SK Hynix benefit from open-weight AI.
Open-weight AI models (like Kimi K3) allow enterprises to download and run models on their own servers, driving incremental demand for HBM, server DRAM, and SSDs. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, the dominant memory producers, will capture this demand. Their stocks trade at cheap valuations (5-7x forward P/E) and could rally sharply if upcoming catalysts (big tech capex, LTA clarification) turn positive.
KS LONG
KOSPI to 7700 if catalysts confirm.
If major US big tech companies report strong capex plans and RPO growth in late July, and Samsung/SK Hynix clarify that LTA pricing fears are overblown, then the KOSPI index could swiftly rally to 7,500-7,700 as fundamental worries ease.
EWY LONG
HIGH
11:02
Jul 21
Jul 21
005930.KS
009150.KS
005380.KS
229200.KS 1ST
108490.KQ FLIP
▾
HIGH
Kimi K3 boosts memory demand.
Kimi K3’s open-weight model drives memory demand growth because each customer must independently host the model, requiring HBM and DRAM at every endpoint. Even though per-unit efficiency improves, the sheer number of parameters (2.8T) and concurrent users forces total memory usage higher, benefiting Korean memory suppliers like Samsung Electronics and SK hynix.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Cheap with strong earnings growth ahead.
Samsung Electro-Mechanics (삼성전기) looks undervalued. Two analyst reports differ on target price (175k vs 300k won), but both project huge earnings growth (90%+ next year). Adding foreign buying and cautious capex plans supports a valuation re-rating. Fair value around 200k won gives room above the current 130k range.
009150.KS LONG
Oversold Hyundai, strong bounce potential.
Hyundai Motor has fallen ~50% from its high without any fundamental deterioration. The stock dropped merely on market-wide selling and negative auto headlines; nothing about its robotics/Boston Dynamics plans has changed. Technically, it is at a level where a bounce attempt is likely, and the stock is a strong bounce candidate for patient money.
005380.KS LONG
KOSDAQ oversold, policy rebound likely.
KOSDAQ index has suffered heavy losses, credit balances have been flushed, and sentiment is at an extreme. Future policy announcements targeting KOSDAQ (expected in September) could trigger a sharp, fast rebound. The speaker is personally accumulating the KOSDAQ index despite being underwater, anticipating a strong policy-led reversal.
229200.KS LONG
Samsung robotics push benefits Rainbow Robotics.
Samsung’s new robotics division and its announced focus on physical AI data give a direct catalyst to Rainbow Robotics, a key KOSDAQ robotics name and supplier to Tesla Optimus. After a massive correction from its June high, the stock is in a position for a technical bounce and has a differentiated connection to both Samsung and Tesla robotics pipelines.
108490.KQ LONG
Dalba Global cheap, exports strong, supply cleared.
Dalba Global is attractively cheap (8.75x P/E) and cosmetics exports remain at record highs. VC overhang was absorbed by long-term investors (Fidelity, National Pension), removing a supply risk and providing a catalyst for the stock to rise.
900270.KQ LONG
DS ETF bets on semiconductor equipment rebound.
DS Asset Management, a highly respected institutional house, just launched its first public ETF—a KOSDAQ Active ETF—and filled it with ~80% Korean semiconductor equipment names (TES, PSK, PSK Holdings, etc.). This reveals where smart institutional money sees the next KOSDAQ leadership and indicates semiconductor equipment will be the first leg of a KOSDAQ recovery.
DS KOSDAQ Active ETF LONG
NAVER AI factory deal could re-rate stock.
NAVER is finally taking concrete steps toward becoming “Asia’s CoreWeave.” Its delegation met with Brookfield, a major alternative asset manager, to discuss funding for an AI data center factory. If a big AI deal materializes, NAVER could re-rate significantly from current levels.
035420.KS WATCH
HIGH
11:00
Jul 21
Jul 21
AAPL FLIP
GOOGL
META
NVDA FLIP
AMZN
▾
HIGH
Conservative hardware play wins AI race.
Apple's conservative approach avoids massive AI capex, preserving high free cash flow and margins, while the market rewards its safety and it benefits from hardware demand for AI models. This positions Apple as a potential winner in the AI race despite lacking its own AI model.
AAPL LONG
Hyperscalers' capex binge erodes cash flow.
Google, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft are burning cash on AI data centers, increasing debt, and seeing margins fall, while the return on these investments remains uncertain, making them less attractive.
GOOGL AVOID
META AVOID
AMZN AVOID
MSFT AVOID
Nvidia's valuation unlikely to last.
Nvidia's valuation above $5 trillion may not be sustained after a potential AI bubble burst, according to the speaker.
NVDA AVOID
HIGH
11:00
Jul 21
Jul 21
Korean semiconductor materials and equipment sector
EWY
000250.KQ FLIP
Korean defense stocks
950160.KQ 1ST
▾
HIGH
Rotate into semiconductor materials and equipment
If Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix enter a period of consolidation after a short-term bounce, undervalued small- and mid-cap semiconductor materials and equipment stocks (소부장) that have not rallied as much as front-end process names are attractive. Target-price upgrades are emerging, and the post-process and materials segments offer a cheaper, catch-up opportunity. The speaker recommends studying and gradually buying these names on dips.
Korean semiconductor materials and equipment sector LONG
Leveraged ETF unwind near end, foreign inflows surge
Leveraged single-stock ETF liquidation has reached about 75%, sharply reducing remaining forced selling pressure. Combined with record foreign inflows of $2.2B–$3B into the MSCI Korea ETF (EWY) over two days and a JPMorgan note declaring the tech sell-off largely over, the worst of the Korean equity sell-off is likely behind, creating a positive near-term catalyst for a rebound or sideways consolidation with upward bias.
EWY LONG
Avoid small volatile biotech stocks completely
Small-cap biotech stocks that move violently on news-driven catalysts are extremely dangerous for retail investors, as seen with Samcheondang Pharm and TissueGene crashing from upper limit to lower limit in a single day. The speaker explicitly advises avoiding such noisy, speculative biotech names entirely and instead only considering large-cap biotechs with real revenue, or staying away from biotech altogether.
000250.KQ AVOID
950160.KQ AVOID
Defense stocks oversold, plan recovery buy
Korean defense stocks have fallen excessively and are deeply oversold. The speaker plans to buy into the defense sector once the broader market environment improves. This positions defense as a recovery play to accumulate later, not an immediate trade.
Korean defense stocks WATCH
HIGH
10:08
Jul 21
Jul 21
UK Long-End Gilts
FXI 1ST
QQQ
VGK FLIP
EUFN
▾
HIGH
Long UK long-dated gilts
UK long-dated gilts offer attractive yields with inflation cooling, no wage spiral, and a wide spread over bunds. The market has already priced in a lot of risk, and long-term fundamentals support duration exposure.
UK Long-End Gilts LONG
Long Chinese equities
Chinese equities have underperformed and are showing a reversal in performance, with recent AI model innovations underscoring the shift. The manager is redeploying capital from Korea into China and other underperforming markets, viewing this as part of a rotation out of momentum trades.
FXI LONG
Long US hyperscaler stocks
US hyperscalers have a low bar to surprise positively on both earnings and narrative. CapEx estimates have already been raised 30% this year, so any indication they won't keep upgrading, or that free cash flow will turn positive sooner, could boost the stocks. The sell-off in the Mag 7 is overdone, favoring hyperscalers over semis.
QQQ LONG
Long European equities
European equities have been upgraded to overweight as a way to play the broadening trade away from momentum. The region offers similar performance to the equal-weight S&P 500 and benefits from rotation into value and out of tech concentration.
VGK LONG
Long European banks
European banks are the best sector, as earnings revisions held up even when yield curves flattened. Any renewed steepening would propel banks higher, and the earnings trajectory can re-accelerate.
EUFN LONG
Watch for S&P 500 correction
Ahead of the midterms, stretched positioning, fading fiscal impulse, and negative seasonal factors could drive a 5-10% correction in US equities. This would be a buying opportunity after the midterms, not the start of a bear market.
SPY WATCH
Short-term bearish UK gilts
Short-term UK gilts face headwinds from fiscal angst. The new UK government is signaling higher defense spending and energy bill tax cuts, which may be funded in ways that raise yields. Elevated energy prices add to the negative backdrop.
UKGILT AVOID
HIGH
09:59
Jul 21
Jul 21
005930.KS
000660.KS
KOSDAQ Index
KOSPI Small Cap Index
▾
HIGH
Semiconductor stocks attractive after price correction
Semiconductors overheated and corrected by 35-40%, bringing prices to attractive levels. Memory makers are in a strong 'gap' position with clients directly begging for supply, chip shortage persists, and SK Group chairman confirmed tightness will continue. The recent sharp decline has made valuations reasonable, creating a buying opportunity in Korean semiconductor stocks.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
KOSDAQ small caps severely undervalued, buy now
Forced selling from margin calls and institutional stop-losses has dragged KOSDAQ and KOSPI small caps to excessive lows. KOSDAQ fell from 1200 to 750, valuations are dirt cheap, foreigners are buying quality Korean assets at bargain prices amid weak won, and the market stabilization fund's inaction highlights the extreme undervaluation. This creates a strong buying opportunity in beaten-down small-cap and KOSDAQ indices.
KOSDAQ Index LONG
KOSPI Small Cap Index LONG
HIGH
09:07
Jul 21
Jul 21
EWY
005930.KS
000660.KS
Korean Robotics / Physical AI
▾
HIGH
KOSPI to rebound from oversold drop.
The KOSPI has corrected excessively from 9,000 to 6,000 in a month due to ETF overheating, leveraged product disruptions, and policy uncertainty. This is an oversold, abnormal decline. Institutional and foreign investors will shift to buying, driving a rebound from current levels. He is buying into the market in tranches.
EWY LONG
Must hold semiconductors for index rebound.
Semiconductors must be held because any index rebound starts with the sector; historically the strongest sector leads the initial bounce. Without a semiconductor recovery, the index cannot rebound. Ownership of Samsung Electronics and SK hynix is essential to capture the recovery.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Physical AI stocks show absolute resilience.
Physical AI stocks (robotics) showed zero downside during the market crash and even rose today. They were already beaten down earlier and now display absolute resilience and secular strength, making them safe havens within the downtrend.
Korean Robotics / Physical AI LONG
HIGH
09:00
Jul 21
Jul 21
000660.KS FLIP
DS KOSDAQ Active ETF
KQ
▾
HIGH
Use any bounce to trim SK Hynix.
SK Hynix has fallen excessively without any meaningful bounce, which historically has not happened. A short-term technical rebound is highly likely on any positive catalyst such as its upcoming detailed earnings or Alphabet's results, but heavy overhead supply from recently trapped retail investors and forced credit/unwind selling will cap the upside. The correct strategy is to use any bounce to reduce exposure rather than buy.
000660.KS AVOID
Watch KOSDAQ active ETFs for equipment rebound.
When the KOSDAQ market eventually stabilizes and sentiment improves, semiconductor equipment stocks are likely to lead the recovery. Newly launched KOSDAQ active ETFs, especially the first public fund from DS Asset Management, are heavily concentrated in beaten-down equipment names like TES, PSK, and VM. These ETFs provide a practical watchlist of candidates that will attract flows once a rebound takes hold, even though trends are broken now and entry is premature.
DS KOSDAQ Active ETF WATCH
KQ WATCH
HIGH
08:48
Jul 21
Jul 21
069500.KS
▾
HIGH
KOSPI correction creates buying opportunity
KOSPI has corrected sharply, with PBR down to 1.4x near historical support, and no U.S. recession. The sell-off is excessive, and historical patterns show that without a recession, the Korean market never falls 50% alone. At 6,800 or below, the probability of a rebound is high, making it a good time to deploy cash aggressively.
069500.KS LONG
HIGH
08:26
Jul 21
Jul 21
Samchundang Pharm
DALBOD 1ST
000660.KS
009150.KS
005380.KS
▾
HIGH
Avoid single-drug biotechs, binary risk
Kolon TissueGene and Samchundang Pharm are extremely risky because their entire valuation hangs on a single drug approval; recent FDA rejections/delays expose the binary downside — retail investors should avoid these names.
Samchundang Pharm AVOID
950160.KQ AVOID
Cosmetics stocks cheap, strong exports, buy now
K-beauty / cosmetics stocks are cheap with valuations around 7-9x despite record exports; strategic buying by Fidelity and National Pension Service into Dalbod Global signals institutional confidence, and the sector is set up for a rebound when macro uncertainty eases.
DALBOD LONG
Cosmecca Korea LONG
Korean memory stocks rebound on AI demand
Korean memory semiconductor stocks Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are rebounding from oversold levels as US and Japan peers (Micron, Kioxia) rallied first, and AI competition (Kimi K3) will raise memory demand per server, benefiting domestic memory makers; foreign buying confirms a turning point forming.
000660.KS LONG
005930.KS LONG
Samsung Electro-Mechanics earnings explosion, buy now
Samsung Electro-Mechanics will see earnings surge with 90%+ utilization in Q4, no capacity additions, escalating content in AI servers (MLCC, flip-chip BGA); foreign investors keep buying and capex growth signals management confidence; target prices range from 175,000 to 300,000 won, providing attractive upside from 130,000 won.
009150.KS LONG
Hyundai Motor oversold, robotics catalyst ahead
Hyundai Motor has fallen to 390,000 won from 780,000 with no fundamental deterioration; it traded without volume, oversold to extreme levels, and upcoming robotics catalysts (Atlas update, Tesla Optimus build) can restart momentum — this is a bottom-building opportunity to add positions.
005380.KS LONG
KOSPI to 7,000 then 8,000 in August
KOSPI will climb to 7,000 points soon on expected strong big-tech earnings and then reach 8,000 in August, driven by a calm rally as event fears fade, supported by oversold conditions and institutional buying.
EWY LONG
Micron strong FCF, undervalued, buy now
Micron Technology is undervalued with strong free cash flow that will force dividend increases, making it more attractive than cash-poor big tech; this supports a tactical buy now.
MU LONG
Naver AI factory funding positive but watch
Naver snapped its losing streak on news that the chairman and CEO met Brookfield for AI factory funding; Naver Cloud's 1 GW data center plan positions it as a potential Asia CoreWeave, a positive narrative change despite past disappointments.
035420.KS LONG
Buy Rainbow Robotics on Samsung robot push
Rainbow Robotics is the key beneficiary of Samsung's newly announced robot business push (DX division, data factory for physical AI); the news marks a bottoming signal for the oversold robotics sector, and Rainbow Robotics specifically is tied to Samsung supply and upcoming Optimus production.
277810.KQ LONG
HIGH
08:05
Jul 21
Jul 21
UKGILT 1ST
VGK FLIP
SMH
Hyperscaler Stocks
▾
HIGH
Gilts underperform on renewed fiscal uncertainty
Renewed UK fiscal uncertainty from a new chancellor expected to favor higher defense spending, looser fiscal rules, and unfunded energy bill tax cuts is negative for gilts, especially against a backdrop of already high yields near 5% and a soft US CPI report, making UK paper likely to underperform US Treasuries in the short term.
UKGILT SHORT
European stocks resilient, strong earnings, deal optimism
European equities, represented by the STOXX 600, are resilient and near all-time highs despite multi-month high natural gas prices and geopolitical headwinds. Optimism for an eventual deal, a high bar to price a growth shock from the conflict, strong Q2 earnings, and rising PMIs support outperformance over US and Asian stocks, and Europe also offers an offset for tech-related angst.
VGK LONG
Watch chip-to-hyperscaler rotation from tech earnings
Tech earnings season is a threaded needle: too-high capex (like TSMC's) was negative for chip stocks. The key focus is whether earnings and capex numbers trigger a rotation out of chip stocks into hyperscalers, or whether good earnings lift all boats. This dynamic needs close watching for market direction.
SMH WATCH
Hyperscaler Stocks WATCH
HIGH
08:00
Jul 21
Jul 21
005930.KS
000660.KS
Korean Power Supply and Equipment Stocks
EWY
GOOGL 1ST
▾
HIGH
Buy undervalued Korean semiconductor stocks.
Korean semiconductor stocks such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are deeply undervalued and have corrected significantly from their highs. The Kimi K3 shock is merely noise and does not fundamentally threaten US/Korean semiconductor demand, because China’s AI ecosystem remains isolated and relies mainly on its own supply. The US-China tech decoupling ensures continued demand for Korean chips.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Buy Korean power supply equipment stocks.
The US-China tech rivalry creates opportunities for Korean power supply and equipment companies, as they become alternative suppliers and capture revenue that would otherwise go to Chinese or US firms.
Korean Power Supply and Equipment Stocks LONG
Korean market bottom on record ETF inflows.
Massive foreign inflows into Korean equity ETFs, including about $3 billion into EWY over two days representing 30% of its AUM, signal institutional conviction that the Korean market has bottomed and is poised for recovery.
EWY LONG
Long Google on AI capex catalyst.
Google (Alphabet) is expected to announce increased AI investment and positive forward guidance during its upcoming earnings. This will provide a clear catalyst confirming robust semiconductor demand, remove market uncertainty, and support both Google and the broader AI supply chain.
GOOGL LONG
Buy China tech on government pullbacks.
China's STAR 50 and ChiNext indices have rallied on strong earnings and the AI boom, but the government deliberately slows the uptrend to prevent overheating. Buying on these government-induced pullbacks offers attractive entry points for long-term exposure.
STAR 50 Index LONG
CNXT LONG
HIGH
07:26
Jul 21
Jul 21
BNO
SHY 1ST
EWL
SPY
▾
HIGH
Oil to $100, higher on blockade.
Oil prices are artificially low relative to physical market tightness; physical gasoline and diesel are already trading as if oil is above $100 due to refining shortages in Europe and destroyed Russian refineries. With geopolitical risks including potential Houthi blockade of the Red Sea, oil should be much higher—around $100 per barrel, and $150 if the straits close.
BNO LONG
Short-term bonds for safety.
Short-term bonds provide safety and low volatility, helping to shield capital during a period of escalating Middle East conflict and potential market turbulence fueled by overvaluation.
SHY LONG
Swiss equities as defensive haven.
Swiss equities are a low-volatility, decorrelated defensive rotation that can protect portfolios from escalating geopolitical risk and a sell-off in overvalued assets, particularly those tied to energy sector volatility.
EWL LONG
Avoid overvalued US stocks.
U.S. equities are overvalued and are the most vulnerable to sharp drawdowns when volatility rises; reducing exposure now avoids outsized losses during geopolitical shocks.
SPY AVOID
HIGH
07:11
Jul 21
Jul 21
JSTL.IS (NSE: JSWSTEEL)
▾
HIGH
Indian steel demand strong, costs declining.
JSW Steel posted better-than-expected quarterly results driven by strong Indian steel demand growth of 7-9%, sustainable domestic prices, declining raw material costs (coal and iron ore), increased volumes from blast furnace restart, and cost efficiencies from greater domestic coal usage. The company is on track to expand capacity to 62 million tons in India by 2032.
JSTL.IS (NSE: JSWSTEEL) LONG
HIGH
07:00
Jul 21
Jul 21
CNBC
6h
COW 1ST
▾
MED
Tight cattle supplies push beef higher.
Tight cattle supplies continue pushing beef prices higher.
COW LONG
MED
06:57
Jul 21
Jul 21
BA.L 1ST
BAB.L 1ST
TW.L 1ST
PSN.L 1ST
▾
HIGH
UK defense spending boost benefits BAE, Babcock
The surprise appointment of former Defense Secretary John Healey as Chancellor signals a stronger commitment to increasing UK defense spending. The UK's defense investment program was previously underfunded; more money will directly benefit UK prime contractors. BAE Systems is a key contractor on submarines, the sixth-generation fighter, and naval programs, making it a prime beneficiary. JP Morgan sees Babcock as another potential winner. If European defense collaboration expands, BAE would gain even more.
BA.L LONG
BAB.L LONG
UK housebuilders Taylor Wimpey, Persimmon set to disappoint
The UK housing market is currently weak and further disappointments are likely because interest rates remain high. Additionally, policy uncertainty around possible wealth taxes and local property taxes adds risk. The analyst has two negative focus ideas on the sector: Taylor Wimpey (a builder) and Persimmon (a supplier), both set to underperform.
TW.L AVOID
PSN.L AVOID
HIGH
06:15
Jul 21
Jul 21
EWY FLIP
005930.KS FLIP
000660.KS FLIP
277810.KQ
214450.KQ
▾
HIGH
KOSPI massively undervalued, EWY inflows record high
KOSPI is extremely undervalued at a forward P/E of 5.5x, lower than during the 2008 financial crisis, with no systemic risk. Record weekly inflows into the US-listed EWY ETF (nearly $3 billion, the highest since 2000) indicate foreign investors are starting to buy the dip. Technicals show a double bottom near 6,400–6,500 points with defined resistance levels. The speaker expects a meaningful rebound as sentiment and supply-demand improve, warning that selling now would likely be a mistake.
EWY LONG
Memory chip rebound on record DRAM prices
Korean memory semiconductor stocks (Samsung Electronics, SK hynix) are set for a rebound. DRAM export unit prices just hit record highs, AI models like Kimi K3 require substantial memory, and big-tech capex is expected to remain strong. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index historically averages +8% one month and +11.4% two months after a 20%+ drawdown. Spot DRAM prices are surging while stock prices have decoupled sharply, creating a catch-up opportunity. Foreign futures/options positioning suggests a near-term upside bias.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Robotics stocks watched on Samsung RX news
Korean robotics stocks are attracting attention after news that Samsung Electronics established a direct-reporting RX (robotics) business division. The move signals strategic focus and could drive interest in the domestic robotics sector, though the rally is not yet aggressive and KOSDAQ liquidity remains weak.
277810.KQ WATCH
Yujin Robot WATCH
K-beauty export stocks surging strongly
Korean consumer stocks, especially cosmetics/beauty device exporters, are performing very well. Dalba Global is surging and Pharma Research is showing strong price action. Both export-oriented and domestic consumption plays (including department stores like Shinsegae) are favourable, supported by strong overseas demand for K-beauty and medical devices.
214450.KQ LONG
483650.KS LONG
KOSDAQ weak, biotech sentiment broken
KOSDAQ is under heavy pressure, hitting new 52-week lows intraday. The biotech and pharmaceutical sector — a major part of the index — is seeing very poor sentiment and continued selling by both foreign and institutional investors. Until the biotech overhang clears, the index is likely to remain weak and unattractive.
KOSDAQ Index AVOID
HIGH
05:29
Jul 21
Jul 21
WTI
▾
MED
Houthi blockade may disrupt Saudi oil exports.
The Houthi threat to blockade Saudi Arabian shipping in the Red Sea could paralyze oil exports, crimping Saudi Arabia's ability to get millions of barrels to global markets, and represents a potential supply disruption that markets should monitor closely.
WTI WATCH
MED
05:02
Jul 21
Jul 21
BABA 1ST
HK 1ST
EWY 1ST
MCHI 1ST
MSCI Korea Index
▾
HIGH
Rotation into cheap Chinese tech platforms.
China's tech platform companies (the 'tech eight', notably Alibaba and Tencent) are undergoing a valuable rotation. With the global AI selloff pressuring hardware names in the region, funds are rotating into China's unloved platform stocks, which are trading at historical low valuations, seeing sentiment recovery from moderating competitive AI spending, and a focus shift from build-at-all-costs to monetization.
BABA LONG
HK LONG
Korea still has room to deleverage.
South Korean equities face further downside risk from ongoing deleveraging. Margin balances surged from Q3 last year, and only about one-third of that leverage has been unwound, with the market still experiencing extreme monthly volatility. This leaves room for more selling pressure as the deleveraging continues.
EWY AVOID
Rotation into cheap Chinese tech platforms.
Global portfolios are dangerously under-exposed to China's increasingly competitive and profitable tech/AI ecosystem. The world is becoming bipolar with two distinct tech systems, and investors currently have almost everything in the US-centric ecosystem. Chinese models are closing the performance gap while being significantly cheaper, offering massive growth potential and a compelling valuation entry point, making a core allocation to Chinese tech a strategic necessity.
MCHI LONG
Korea memory chip boom beats Taiwan.
Korean memory chip makers are in an acute demand-supply crunch driven by the AI inference buildout. MSCI Korea's EPS has multiplied several times over Taiwan's, and the next 3-4 years of free cash flow for leading Korean memory names could equal their current market caps. This overwhelming earnings and cash flow advantage makes Korea strongly preferred over Taiwan for AI hardware exposure.
MSCI Korea Index LONG
Asian high-yield bond market revival.
Asian high-yield bonds are becoming the next big trend after years of absence. Robust issuer pipelines in mining/metals, India non-bank financials, and Japanese tech are meeting a market increasingly receptive to higher-yielding paper, especially as investment-grade credit spreads remain at all-time tights. The search for yield will drive a pickup in high-yield volumes.
Asian High Yield Bond Index LONG
HIGH
05:00
Jul 21
Jul 21
005930.KS
000660.KS
329180.KS
077970.KS
082740.KS
▾
HIGH
Buy Korean memory on AI capex
Korean memory chipmakers Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are poised for a rebound as AI Capex remains robust. Big Tech earnings this week (Google, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft) are expected to show continued investment increases, and the absence of pre-announcements suggests results may be solid. The stocks are considered cheap after heavy sell-offs, and buying on dips is recommended.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Shipbuilders and engines are undervalued
Korean shipbuilding and marine engine stocks are significantly undervalued after giving back all their recent gains. Order books remain strong and earnings are robust: Hanwha Ocean's operating margin is projected to rise from 13% this year to 15-16% next year, HD Hyundai Heavy Industries is forecast to hit 20%. The sharp sell-off creates an attractive entry, and the sector should eventually re-rate upwards.
329180.KS LONG
077970.KS LONG
082740.KS LONG
042660.KS LONG
M&A expands GLP-1 CDMO capacity
Samsung Biologics' acquisition of the Polypeptide Group for 2.7 trillion won is a strategically positive move. The target is a 70-year-old CDMO with approved manufacturing facilities in five countries, producing peptide-based active ingredients for GLP-1 drugs. The deal expands Samsung Biologics' capabilities and positions it well in the growing obesity/diabetes drug supply chain, warranting a bullish view.
207940.KS LONG
Micron dividend hike and strong FCF
Micron Technology is emerging as a favored memory play, driven by expectations of a massive dividend increase and strong free cash flow. Amid market uncertainty, investors may rotate from Big Tech into Micron for its cash‑rich profile and shareholder returns, making it a compelling long.
MU LONG
HIGH
04:41
Jul 21
Jul 21
SMH 1ST
BABA 1ST
FXY 1ST
KRW 1ST
Australian thermal coal producers
▾
MED
Lower AI costs boost chip usage demand.
Lower AI model costs from open-source Chinese competition will drive an explosion in usage, significantly boosting demand for the entire AI semiconductor supply chain across South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, the U.S., and China.
SMH LONG
Chinese tech valuations attractive, AI catalyst.
Chinese tech stocks, particularly Alibaba, are attractively valued relative to U.S. peers after years of foreign underweight, and Alibaba stands to benefit from its stake in Moonshot AI and a potential IPO catalyst.
BABA LONG
Central bank jawboning ineffective, short yen/won.
Japanese and Korean central banks' verbal intervention and jawboning are ineffective; market fundamentals and interest rate differentials will continue to force the yen and won weaker, and traders will take the trade into their own hands.
FXY SHORT
KRW SHORT
El Niño benefits Australian thermal coal producers.
El Niño's dry conditions will reduce hydropower availability and increase demand for traditional fossil fuel generation, making Australian thermal coal producers one of the few clear beneficiaries of the weather pattern.
Australian thermal coal producers LONG
Boeing turning corner, strong demand, production ramp.
Boeing is turning the corner after years of missteps; production is accelerating to 47/month on 737 and 8/month on 787, with plans to go higher, underpinned by a massive backlog and strong market demand for aircraft.
BA LONG
MED
04:40
Jul 21
Jul 21
XLM
KBE 1ST
US Brokerage Stocks
EWY
▾
MED
Stellar may join DTCC settlement pilot.
The DTCC may incorporate the Stellar network into its tokenized settlement pilot in 2027, which could serve as a meaningful positive catalyst for XLM even though it remains unconfirmed at this stage.
XLM WATCH
Collateral efficiency lift for bank stocks.
If tokenized collateral and real-time settlement free up large amounts of idle capital currently tied up as clearing-fund collateral, US banks and brokerage houses will enjoy improved capital efficiency and a structural tailwind for their stocks.
KBE LONG
US Brokerage Stocks LONG
Tokenized US rails threaten KOSPI liquidity.
If US tokenized securities infrastructure is completed and opened globally, it could drain trading volumes from smaller equity markets like Korea, mirroring the SK Hynix ADR premium dynamic where liquidity and valuation migrate toward US venues, posing a structural long-term risk for KOSPI.
EWY WATCH
MED
04:40
Jul 21
Jul 21
04:00
Jul 21
Jul 21
042660.KS
005490.KS FLIP
329180.KS
010140.KS 1ST
005930.KS
▾
HIGH
Korean shipbuilders benefit from US naval orders.
US midterm election dynamics and Trump's aggressive push for naval expansion are creating strong order momentum for Korean shipbuilders. The US defense budget allocates $150 billion to shipbuilding, and Korean majors such as HD Hyundai Heavy Industries, Hanwha Ocean, and Samsung Heavy Industries are well-positioned to win contracts for support ships, maintenance, and transport vessels. The sector previously surged after the US Navy Secretary visited Geoje in mid-2024 and again after Trump's election; a recent correction related to Canadian issues provides a renewed opportunity.
042660.KS LONG
329180.KS LONG
010140.KS LONG
POSCO Holdings cheap with earnings turnaround.
POSCO Holdings is a cheap large-cap stock with an earnings turnaround underway, its battery business improving, and rare earth development potential. The CEO has been buying shares amid price weakness, and the company exhibits valuation momentum akin to Japanese value re-rating plays, offering a catalyst-driven value opportunity.
005490.KS LONG
Memory stocks at rock-bottom valuation, buy.
Memory chip makers Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are pricing in a halving of next year's operating profit, implying a near rock-bottom valuation of around 10x earnings even after that cut. Despite concerns about unsustainable 80% margins and slowing DRAM price growth, the stocks have become excessively cheap, and a technical rebound is underway as foreign investors re-enter. This offers a bottom-fishing opportunity, though investors should lower their return expectations.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
HIGH
03:25
Jul 21
Jul 21
3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
10h
SOL
BNO
HYPE
XRP FLIP
ETH
▾
HIGH
Altcoin ETFs attract strong, steady inflows
Altcoin spot ETFs for Solana, XRP and Hyperliquid have shown consistent net inflows since the start of the year — Solana every month except one, XRP every month except March, and Hyperliquid all three months since launch — indicating that overall ETF flows are increasingly more favorable toward altcoins than Bitcoin, suggesting improving investor appetite for altcoins.
SOL LONG
HYPE LONG
XRP LONG
Brent rallying sharply on supply disruption risk
Brent crude oil has risen much more sharply than WTI and Dubai crude, likely reflecting the risk of Houthi blockade of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which could disrupt up to 7% of global oil supply (or 17% including existing Gulf disruptions). Oil prices are climbing steeply again, and this trend deserves close attention as Middle East tensions continue to escalate.
BNO WATCH
Ethereum ETFs seeing strong relative inflows
Ethereum's spot ETF has recorded net inflows for most trading days in July, marking two consecutive weeks of net inflows, with monthly net inflows reaching around $230 million, comparable to Bitcoin's despite Ethereum's ETF being far smaller in size. This indicates relatively stronger demand and a favorable supply-demand backdrop for Ether, with the potential for continued positive price action if significant net inflow continues today and into the week.
ETH LONG
HIGH
03:18
Jul 21
Jul 21
3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
10h
035420.KS FLIP
010950.KS
000660.KS
207940.KS
096770.KS
▾
HIGH
Naver at strong support, AI catalyst ahead
Naver is trading near its yearly low with strong support around 190,000–200,000 won, and the potential meeting with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang regarding an AI data center could act as a catalyst. The downside appears limited.
035420.KS LONG
Korean refiners benefit from structural crude shift
Korean refiners SK Innovation and S-Oil are top picks. Asian refining margins are at record highs due to Russian refinery damage and tight global supply. A structural shift in crude pricing (Dubai becoming cheaper than WTI, OSP turning negative) is reducing feedstock costs for Asian refiners, and lubricant margins are also at all-time highs. The thesis holds as long as oil prices do not spike above $90–100.
010950.KS LONG
096770.KS LONG
Memory stocks are computing power winners
The memory semiconductor sell-off is driven by supply-side factors (ETF leverage unwind, passive fund rebalancing) rather than fundamentals. Samsung Electronics and SK hynix remain extremely undervalued relative to their record earnings, and the price decline should be seen as a buying opportunity rather than a reason to sell.
000660.KS LONG
005930.KS LONG
Samsung Biologics expands into GLP-1 manufacturing
Samsung Biologics' acquisition of a Swiss peptide CDMO company expands its portfolio into the fast-growing GLP-1 drug manufacturing market (e.g., Wegovy, Mounjaro), providing a significant new growth avenue.
207940.KS LONG
HIGH
02:22
Jul 21
Jul 21
3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
11h
005930.KS
000660.KS
EWY
▾
HIGH
Buy and hold Samsung and SK Hynix.
The recent sell-off in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix is driven by technical supply-demand dynamics (excessive crowding into semiconductors, passive fund rebalancing, leverage unwinding) rather than fundamental deterioration. Fundamentals remain strong: AI memory demand is highly price-inelastic, HBM pricing is expected to rise 50-100% next year, and overall earnings are surging. Valuations are extremely cheap (e.g., single-digit P/E versus triple-digit in past bubbles), so selling now would be a mistake. The speaker explicitly states 'no selling' and expects both stocks to eventually reach much higher levels as earnings converge with stock prices.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Korean equities poised for rebound on record earnings.
KOSPI's aggregate net profit is projected to surpass 1,000 trillion won next year, a historic breakout from the previous ceiling of around 200 trillion won. Despite the recent decline, the earnings base is much higher, and the sell-off has been driven by flow dynamics, not fundamentals. After big tech earnings in late July, the Korean market could see a sharp rebound, making it an inopportune time to sell Korean equities broadly.
EWY LONG
HIGH
01:56
Jul 21
Jul 21
3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
12h
010950.KS 1ST
▾
HIGH
Asian refiners re-rate on structural cost edge.
Global refining margins are at all-time highs due to Russian refinery outages, low product inventories, and years of underinvestment. A structural shift has occurred where Dubai crude is now cheaper than WTI and Middle East OSPs have turned negative, giving Asian refiners a cost advantage for the first time in 20 years. This tightness is expected to persist for at least a year because damaged Russian capacity takes over a year to repair. Asian refiners trade at 1x PBR versus 2-5x for US peers, so a valuation re-rating is likely. Korean refiners S-Oil, SK Innovation, and GS are recommended buys.
010950.KS LONG
HIGH
01:32
Jul 21
Jul 21
3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
12h
000660.KS
005930.KS
EWY
▾
HIGH
AI memory cycle intact, buy on fear
The AI semiconductor cycle is not over; the current sell-off is an overdue correction within a bull market. Big Tech's AI CapEx cannot stop due to the US-China AI supremacy competition and solid free cash flow. Long-term supply agreements (LTA) are changing the memory cycle dynamics, making it less cyclical. Upcoming earnings from SK hynix, Samsung Electronics, and US hyperscalers will confirm that CapEx remains robust, relieving current fears. Shareholder return policy announcements during earnings may also be a catalyst.
000660.KS LONG
005930.KS LONG
Record EWY inflows signal a bottom
Foreign investors are aggressively buying the EWY ETF (iShares MSCI South Korea) at record levels, signaling they view the recent lows as a bottom and are re-entering the Korean market. This flows-driven signal suggests the market may rebound.
EWY LONG
HIGH
01:30
Jul 21
Jul 21
EWY
000660.KS
005930.KS
440110.KQ
035420.KS
▾
MED
Won strength spurs foreign equity inflows
A sustained trend of Korean won appreciation will encourage foreign investors to buy into Korean equities, providing a positive catalyst for the KOSPI and the EWY ETF.
EWY LONG
Memory stocks show rebound signs
Memory semiconductor stocks are showing signs of bottoming and potential rebound, with DRAM no longer declining and early positive signals from Micron, Seagate, and SanDisk; SK Hynix is a key beneficiary.
000660.KS LONG
Samsung Foundry benefits from domestic MPU
Samsung SDS's announcement to adopt domestic MPU chips for its AI data center is significant because it will likely be manufactured by Samsung Foundry, signaling an expansion of the Korean AI chip ecosystem and benefiting Samsung Electronics.
005930.KS LONG
Foreign buying boosts small-cap semiconductor equipment
Foreign investors are buying small-cap Korean semiconductor equipment and materials stocks on KOSDAQ, companies like Fadu and Sam CNS are showing earnings turnaround (Fadu turned to profit), and names such as SMCN in testing consumables merit research for potential upside.
440110.KQ LONG
Sam CNS LONG
SMCN LONG
Naver AI factory commercialization imminent
Naver is moving toward commercialization of its AI factory business after meeting with Brookfield Asset Management for potential funding collaboration; the market is likely to catch up to this positive news.
035420.KS LONG
Defense stock LIG Nex1 is oversold
LIG Nex1 (defense & aerospace) has corrected severely along with other defense stocks, but the long-term growth narrative remains strong with expected Saudi defense contract revenue increases in 2027; the stock now offers a buying opportunity.
079550.KS LONG
Hyundai Motor's robotics future intact
Hyundai Motor's temporary production disruption in Turkey for EV line conversion does not alter the long-term growth story driven by its potential dominance in the industrial humanoid robot market, where it could capture 60% share by 2035; the target price cut reflects the stock pullback, not fundamentals.
005380.KS LONG
NVIDIA stability key to market health
NVIDIA's stock stability is critical: if NVIDIA breaks down, it could trigger a downtrend across the market; monitoring NVIDIA is a key indicator for market health.
NVDA WATCH
MED
01:14
Jul 21
Jul 21
005930.KS
000660.KS
229200.KS 1ST
▾
HIGH
Buy Samsung and Hynix on dip
The sell-off in memory chip stocks has been excessive (35‑40% drop), restoring valuations to normal levels. DRAM and NAND shortages persist, fixed contract prices are still rising and will likely continue to do so through at least the first half of next year. Fund flows show investors buying on the dip rather than capitulating, and the previous overheating is now purged. This creates a strong opportunity to accumulate Samsung Electronics and SK hynix.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Buy KOSDAQ 150 ETF now
KOSDAQ has fallen heavily due to rising rates and weak sentiment, but CPI is declining and rates are expected to stabilize in the second half. The current distressed levels are attractive, and the speaker explicitly states one can simply buy the KOSDAQ 150 ETF at these prices.
229200.KS LONG
HIGH
01:12
Jul 21
Jul 21
3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
12h
000660.KS
035420.KS 1ST
005930.KS
066570.KS
▾
MED
Semiconductor-led bounce; worst may be over
The market sell-off was overdone. Samsung Electronics and SK hynix showed strong defense yesterday, and their rebound should lead today's recovery. Spot memory prices are surging, and fixed-price contracts will follow, which should stabilize and lift semiconductor stocks from early/mid August. The worst for memory chips may be passing.
000660.KS LONG
005930.KS LONG
NAVER support strong; cloud catalyst likely
NAVER has a very strong support line around 190,000–200,000 won. It rarely falls significantly below that level, and if it breaks below 200,000 won it would be as unlikely as Samsung at 100,000 won. Its data center and neo-cloud business could be a meaningful catalyst, positioning the stock to rise.
035420.KS LONG
Oversold LG Electronics; robotics catalyst awaited
LG Electronics has given back all its Jensen Huang-related gains and now looks oversold. Earnings were decent, not bad. A faster unveiling of its robotics business could create a momentum reversal. The current pullback may look like a missed opportunity in hindsight.
066570.KS LONG
MED
00:51
Jul 21
Jul 21
005930.KS
010950.KS
078930.KS
096770.KS
010060.KS
▾
HIGH
Kimi 3 fears are an overreaction.
The drop in memory stocks due to the release of China's Kimi 3 AI model is an overreaction; Chinese AI development will likely increase demand for cost-effective memory, keeping supply tight.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Refinery stocks will post excellent Q2 earnings.
Refining margins are very strong and oil prices are rising due to the US-Iran conflict, which will lead to excellent Q2 earnings for refinery stocks.
010950.KS LONG
078930.KS LONG
096770.KS LONG
OCI Holdings will break out upon normalization.
OCI Holdings has strong momentum that is currently suppressed by the weak market, making it likely to break out once the market normalizes.
010060.KS LONG
Refinery stocks are a good defensive play.
Valero Energy is hitting new highs due to strong oil prices, making Korean refinery stocks a good defensive play in the current volatile market.
VLO WATCH
High KOSDAQ valuations will hurt secondary batteries.
The KOSDAQ market's high valuation (17x P/E) compared to KOSPI (5.5x P/E) makes it relatively expensive, which could lead to continued foreign selling and hurt high-valuation secondary battery stocks.
KOSDAQ AVOID
Secondary batteries AVOID
US tariffs on Canada benefit Korean power.
The US imposing 50% tariffs on Canadian products might force US companies to change their import lines, potentially benefiting Korean power equipment companies.
Korean Power Equipment LONG
Use KODEX Semiconductor ETF for dollar-cost averaging.
The KODEX Semiconductor ETF is a good alternative to buying individual Samsung or SK Hynix shares if you have limited capital, allowing for easier dollar-cost averaging.
091160.KS LONG
Alphabet's new chip sustains AI capex.
Alphabet is developing a new AI chip (Frozen V2) to improve token processing efficiency, which will help them manage computing shortages and sustain capex, benefiting Korean memory makers.
GOOGL LONG
High copper prices boost power cable revenues.
Copper prices are hitting historic highs, and power cable companies benefit from escalator clauses that increase their revenue and profit when raw material prices rise.
000500.KS LONG
001440.KS LONG
Samsung Biologics will lead the bio rebound.
Samsung Biologics is trading at a reasonable 20x P/E based on 2028 earnings and is showing strong chart resilience, making it likely to lead any bio sector rebound.
207940.KS LONG
Power shortages make SK Eternix attractive.
The power shortage for data centers is severe and long-term, and SK Eternix is showing strong stock performance despite broader market weakness.
475150.KS LONG
Kumho Tire is a good trading candidate.
Kumho Tire is showing good trading volume and is starting to align its moving averages into a bullish setup, making it a good trading candidate in a weak market.
073240.KS LONG
Cosmetics stocks maintain uptrends despite market drop.
Cosmetics stocks like Manyo Factory and Kolmar Korea are maintaining their uptrends despite the broader market drop, making them good candidates for trading.
161890.KS LONG
439090.KQ LONG
LIG Nex1 is attractive after deep correction.
LIG Nex1 has corrected 40-50% from its peak, and despite a lowered target price, high growth is expected in 2027 due to Cheongung II exports to Saudi Arabia.
079550.KS LONG
Shipbuilding stocks are undervalued and ripe.
Shipbuilding and engine stocks have corrected significantly despite strong earnings and order books, making them undervalued and ripe for a rebound.
082740.KS LONG
042660.KS LONG
329180.KS LONG
077970.KS LONG
Hyundai Motor remains a strong robotics play.
Hyundai Motor's target price was lowered due to temporary production disruptions in Turkey, but it remains a strong long-term play for its robotics business.
005380.KS LONG
Telecom equipment stocks are ripe for rebound.
Telecom equipment stocks have dropped significantly, but earnings are growing and foreigners have been buying recently; keep an eye on them for a rebound.
218410.KQ WATCH
327260.KQ WATCH
Reduce exposure to pharma and biotech stocks.
The pharma and biotech sector is facing risk-off sentiment and potential rate hike headwinds, making it prudent to reduce exposure.
087010.KQ AVOID
141080.KQ AVOID
347850.KQ AVOID
196170.KQ AVOID
Earnings release may trigger Hyundai Motor rebound.
Wait for Hyundai Motor and Kia's earnings release, which could shift market focus back to their robotics value and trigger a rebound.
000270.KS WATCH
HIGH
00:31
Jul 21
Jul 21
Morgan Stanley
13h
EWY 1ST
EWT 1ST
EWJ 1ST
SPY
▾
HIGH
Korea, Taiwan, Japan are big AI beneficiaries.
Asia's semiconductor exports are booming, with Korea, Taiwan, and Japan being the top beneficiaries of US AI capex. These three economies are also part of a multi-year capex super cycle in Asia that includes AI/semiconductors, energy, defense, and industrial supply chain onshoring, supported by strong corporate balance sheets.
EWY LONG
EWT LONG
EWJ LONG
AI capex supports US equity valuations.
AI capex is underpinning US equity valuations and driving strong wealth creation, especially for upper-income households, which has supported consumption and added resilience to the US economy.
SPY LONG
HIGH
00:17
Jul 21
Jul 21
3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
13h
SOX
EWY
UNR 1ST
Korean single-stock leveraged/inverse ETFs
▾
HIGH
US semis oversold, tactical buying opportunity.
The US semiconductor sector has fallen excessively, and major research houses (JPMorgan, Citi, UBS) are now saying the sell-off is overdone relative to fundamentals. The sector is entering an oversold condition, presenting a tactical buying opportunity. The speaker aligns with this view, noting that market sentiment is shifting toward looking for entries, and that this could drive a rebound.
SOX LONG
KOSPI low confirmation week, double bottom watch.
KOSPI index is testing the previous low of 6,448. This week is a low-confirmation week. If the index holds above that low and rebounds, it would form a double bottom pattern, significantly improving sentiment and suggesting a potential trend reversal. The outcome of this test is the near-term focus.
EWY WATCH
Korean semiconductor equipment ETF for capex exposure.
Korean semiconductor equipment stocks are extremely volatile but remain a hot theme driven by Samsung's P5 facility equipment orders, which are in the final supplier selection stage and expected to exceed 10 trillion won. This capex cycle provides strong catalysts. The speaker recommends using an ETF that bundles these equipment stocks rather than picking individual names.
UNR LONG
Avoid single-stock leveraged/inverse ETFs.
Single-stock leveraged and inverse ETFs are extremely dangerous products due to severe volatility decay. Even when the underlying returns to its initial price, these ETFs may not recover. The speaker references data showing a 47.5% loss on a 2x leveraged SK Hynix ETF when the underlying fell only 17.9%, and the corresponding inverse also posted a loss. These products should be avoided, and investors are strongly urged to stop using them.
Korean single-stock leveraged/inverse ETFs AVOID
HIGH
00:04
Jul 21
Jul 21
CNBC
13h
AAPL
NVDA
INTC
FDX
GE
▾
HIGH
Core business bulletproof, AI criticism overblown.
Apple's core iPhone business is bulletproof; the company spent little on AI and the deal with Alphabet to put AI features in the iPhone is a great deal. Criticism from the tech intelligentsia is overblown, and no one is switching to Samsung. The stock is a hold, not being touched.
AAPL LONG
Cheap, dominant data center chipmaker.
Nvidia shares are insanely cheap on next year's earnings estimates. The company is at the heart of the data center, practically invented it, has no real Chinese competitor, and customers insist on Nvidia. The stock is a buy.
NVDA LONG
Triple play CPU, foundry, packaging opportunity.
Intel is a triple play: CPUs needed for new AI agents, foundries to manufacture chips, and high-margin chip packaging. CEO Lip-Bu Tan is expert in packaging, and the foundries are the best hope for US semiconductor renaissance. Wants the stock to sell off on earnings to buy a bigger position.
INTC LONG
Comprehensible non-tech, buy on dips.
FedEx is a high-quality, comprehensible non-tech company that is not subject to Chinese AI rumors. It can be bought with confidence on dips, and today was a day to buy it.
FDX LONG
Record engine order, irrational dip.
GE received its biggest ever order for LEAP engines to power Airbus A320neos through a joint venture, yet the stock fell sharply. This irrational sell-off creates a buying opportunity.
GE LONG
Comprehensible aerospace, buy on dips.
Honeywell Aerospace is a high-quality, comprehensible non-tech aerospace stock that can be bought with confidence on dips, unexposed to Chinese AI risks.
HON LONG
CEO Hock Tan hates losing.
Broadcom is owned because CEO Hock Tan hates to lose and is a fierce competitor, making the stock attractive.
AVGO LONG
Cheap at 19x earnings, buybacks.
AutoZone trades at only 19 times earnings, continues aggressive buybacks, and can make a comeback despite tariff problems. Do not sell the stock down here.
AZO LONG
Rotate out of tech into industrials, healthcare.
It is time to rotate out of tech into other sectors like industrials and healthcare that can make money without the extreme volatility caused by Chinese AI headlines.
XLI LONG
XLV LONG
HIGH
23:55
Jul 20
Jul 20
CNBC
14h
GS
WFC
FDX
BA FLIP
HON
▾
HIGH
Rotate to non-tech, buy on weakness
Turn away from tech and rotate into high-quality, comprehensible non-tech companies that are not subject to AI/China rumors. Names like Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, FedEx, Honeywell Aerospace, Boeing, and GE can be bought confidently on weakness and offer lower volatility.
GS LONG
WFC LONG
FDX LONG
BA LONG
HON LONG
GE LONG
Nvidia data center king, cheap
Nvidia is at the heart of the data center, has no real Chinese competitor, and its machines are the envy of the world. The stock is insanely cheap on future earnings and the company is buying back $80 billion worth of stock.
NVDA LONG
Apple bulletproof despite AI noise
Apple's core iPhone business is bulletproof; users won't switch to Android despite AI concerns. The company didn't overspend on AI, and its deal with Alphabet is hugely beneficial. The stock is not being sold.
AAPL LONG
Intel turnaround, buy on selloff
Intel is a triple play with CPUs needed for AI agents, foundries for manufacturing, and high-margin chip packaging. CEO Lip-Bu Tan saved Cadence and will lead an American semiconductor renaissance. Cramer hopes for a selloff to add to the position.
INTC LONG
AutoZone cheap, buyback, expect comeback
AutoZone trades at only 19 times earnings, continues to buy back stock, and can make a comeback despite some tariff issues. He advises not to sell at these levels.
AZO LONG
Netflix buyback, accumulate on weakness
Netflix has been cut in half, now at 19x earnings, with a historic $4.7B quarterly buyback and $27B remaining authorization. JP Morgan projects solid compound growth. Cramer advises putting a small position on and pyramiding into weakness for a potential big winner.
NFLX LONG
Broadcom winner with strong CEO
Broadcom is owned because CEO Hock Tan hates to lose and is a fierce competitor. Cramer also likes Marvell Technology but avoids overlap, preferring Broadcom.
AVGO LONG
Celestica to fall on data center selloff
Celestica is part of the data center buildout and is going to head lower due to profit-taking after a massive run. The broader AI infrastructure selloff will hit it.
CLS SHORT
Lyft buy at $15 level
Lyft has turned a corner with growing gross bookings, revenue, and over a billion dollars in free cash flow. CEO David Risher is doing a good job, and $15 is a good level to start a position.
LYFT LONG
Chipotle cheap, start small position
Chipotle is down 36% and trading at its lowest P/E in five years. Despite a possible lettuce issue, he recommends putting a quarter position on now.
CMG LONG
Bitcoin bottoming, buy directly
Instead of CleanSpark, just buy Bitcoin directly. Bitcoin seems to have bottomed once again.
BTC LONG
AST SpaceMobile avoid, wait for $40
AST SpaceMobile is losing a fortune, the stock is out of favor, and investors should wait for it to reach $40 before even considering buying.
ASTS AVOID
GM cheap, buy on earnings weakness
General Motors trades at about six times earnings. The stock typically dips on earnings day and then recovers as people realize they sold an incredibly lucrative company for no reason.
GM LONG
3M breakout under CEO Brown
3M is a non-data center industrial, not dependent on AI. CEO Bill Brown is doing good work, and a breakout in the stock is coming.
MMM LONG
Novartis buy on drug-related dip
Novartis is a non-tech healthcare stock. If it gets hit on any particular drug news, you might want to step in and buy, especially on a non-tech day.
NVS LONG
HIGH
23:47
Jul 20
Jul 20
UGA
ULSD 1ST
▾
MED
Refined products remain significantly tighter than crude.
Refined products are significantly tighter than crude oil because of ongoing disruptions to Middle East and Russian product flows, even as crude oil has seen some softness. This tightness keeps gasoline above $4 and diesel above $5 per gallon, and the lack of confidence in Strait of Hormuz/Red Sea transit suggests the constraint will persist.
UGA LONG
ULSD LONG
MED
23:29
Jul 20
Jul 20
3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
14h
005930.KS
000660.KS
035420.KS 1ST
207940.KS 1ST
▾
HIGH
Buy Korean memory semiconductors today.
Memory semiconductor stocks rose overnight despite Nasdaq weakness, and the continued AI infrastructure build-out (Nvidia NCP ecosystem, Brookfield, Microsoft AMD racks, China Galaxy Project) signals sustained demand, making Korean memory semis a buy today.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Naver may surge on Nvidia partnership hopes.
Naver's founder and CEO are meeting Jensen Huang and Brookfield, likely aiming to become an Nvidia Cloud Partner, which would bring early GPU access, technical support, and customer demand, potentially reversing the stock's sharp decline.
035420.KS LONG
Samsung Bio enters obesity drug CDMO.
Samsung Biologics' 2.7 trillion won acquisition of PolyPeptide Group gives it a top-4 global position in peptide CDMO, opening access to the obesity drug market where import demand has already surpassed anticancer drugs.
207940.KS LONG
HIGH
23:00
Jul 20
Jul 20
Market Makers
14h
AUVB11.SA 1ST
▾
MED
ETF de ações brasileiras com filtro de qualidade.
O ETF AUVB11 adota metodologia fundamentalista, selecionando empresas com lucros consistentes, baixo endividamento, margens saudáveis e excluindo setores problemáticos como aviação, carne e varejo, resultando em um portfólio concentrado de empresas perenes de qualidade.
AUVB11.SA LONG
MED
22:57
Jul 20
Jul 20
Market Makers
15h
SPY 1ST
EWZ
QQQ 1ST
▾
HIGH
Buy diversified US indices on AI strength.
Artificial intelligence is not a bubble: demand for memory, chips, and infrastructure far exceeds supply, and major US indices (S&P 500, NASDAQ) are near all-time highs. Companies continue to beat earnings, and recent corrections are technical rather than fundamental. He recommends holding diversified index positions rather than concentrated bets, as technological disruption could hurt individual names. AI will generate far more value than it destroys, sustaining the bull case for US equities.
SPY LONG
QQQ LONG
Fiscal risk requires caution on Brazil.
Brazil's real interest rates are extremely high (8.5%) due to uncontrolled spending growth, creating a dangerous fiscal trajectory. Historically, when global financial conditions reverse, built-up vulnerabilities trigger severe capital flight and economic crises in Brazil (e.g., 2014). He advises extreme caution regarding Brazilian assets, as the country is increasingly vulnerable to an eventual external shock.
EWZ WATCH
HIGH
22:52
Jul 20
Jul 20
3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
15h
000660.KS
AAPL 1ST
▾
HIGH
Memory price drop completed, awaiting rebound.
The AI transformation is still in a very early cycle, comparable to the early days of the internet in 1996. Human attempts to beat AI (like the professional Go player Shin Jin-seo handicapping himself against a PC with four GPUs) reflect denial that will eventually give way to widespread adoption. The current skepticism and controversy about AI being a bubble are actually typical of early-stage innovations, not a peak. This structural trend will drive sustained demand for semiconductors in the long run.
000660.KS LONG
Apple de-rated consumer business, buy now.
Apple is no longer just an IT company but more of a consumer staple business. Its P/E multiple has compressed significantly, making it cheap. The company continues to generate steady earnings, and buying the stock after its de-rating is a sensible approach for portfolio diversification, especially as it recently hit an intraday market cap high.
AAPL LONG
HIGH
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