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Semiconductor supercycle extended by Big Tech capex.
Big Tech capital expenditure is being revalued from a cost to core capital, with Alphabet and other hyperscalers signaling continued massive investment. Memory semiconductor supply is tight (confirmed by Alphabet's CEO and CFO) and HBM demand is structural, not cyclical. Samsung Electronics and SK hynix have secured long-term supply agreements (LTA), and their profitability is improving. Supply deficits will persist into next year, extending the semiconductor supercycle.
Semiconductor supercycle extended by Big Tech capex.
Big Tech capital expenditure is being revalued from a cost to core capital, with Alphabet and other hyperscalers signaling continued massive investment. Memory semiconductor supply is tight (confirmed by Alphabet's CEO and CFO) and HBM demand is structural, not cyclical. Samsung Electronics and SK hynix have secured long-term supply agreements (LTA), and their profitability is improving. Supply deficits will persist into next year, extending the semiconductor supercycle.
Hyundai Motor is transitioning from a hardware-oriented automaker to a software-defined vehicle (SDV) platform company, evidenced by its new 'Pleos Connect' infotainment system. The shift will enable recurring software/subscription revenue, a Tesla-inspired approach with improved physical controls. Although the stock is slow and overlooked, the direction is clear and the company historically rallies quietly after accumulation. Patience is warranted.
KOSPI's forward PER is around 8x, near the historical low, meaning the index is extremely undervalued. With semiconductor momentum and possible foreign inflows from US-Iran talks and Goldman Sachs' 9000 target, reaching 8000 is highly likely next week.
Korean auto stocks like Hyundai and Kia have not risen much compared to other sectors. US raising EU auto tariffs to 25% gives Korean automakers a relative price advantage. Even if Korea is targeted, downside is limited because they haven't rallied.
Semiconductor equipment and material stocks have risen but on pullbacks they become buying opportunities because order momentum and capex cycle are accelerating. Specific name: Hanmi Semiconductor.
MLCC (Multi-Layer Ceramic Capacitor) stocks are benefiting from high factory utilization and rising average selling prices as demand from AI servers, smartphones, and automotive outpaces supply. Samsung Electro-Mechanics, LG InnoTek, and Amotech are the key names, with Samsung Electro-Mechanics being the safest leader in the space.
TES produces equipment for high-stack NAND (HBF) and is developing anti-warping deposition equipment crucial for HBM4 to prevent wafer bending. The company is growing rapidly and should benefit from these advanced packaging trends.
Beneficiaries of Samsung's new Energy TF projects.
Samsung Group formed an Energy TF to build an energy value chain for AI data centers. Samsung C&T and Samsung E&A will benefit from winning these infrastructure and energy projects.
Shipbuilding stocks gain from nuclear submarine talks
South Korea is holding follow-up talks on nuclear submarines and nuclear energy agreements next week, which will benefit shipbuilding and defense stocks. Hyundai Heavy Industries, Hanwha Ocean, and Doosan Energy are the primary beneficiaries. This is a near-term catalyst that is likely to sustain momentum in the shipbuilding sector.
Doosan Enerbility is the top beneficiary of the US push to accelerate SMR (Small Modular Reactor) licensing. The NRC reform announcement and Trump's goal to quadruple nuclear capacity by 2050 provide strong tailwinds. The company has a large order backlog and is well-positioned in nuclear and gas turbine markets.
HL Mando and SL are undervalued auto parts companies that also participate in the robotics value chain through actuators. Their current share prices are attractive given their solid earnings and positioning in the robotics theme.
Hyundai Motor, Kia, and Hyundai Mobis are underperforming because of fund concentration in semiconductors, but the upcoming joint IR on May 18 and the Boston Dynamics listing provide catalysts. Any dip from temporary selling pressure is a buying opportunity.
HL Mando and SL are undervalued auto parts companies that also participate in the robotics value chain through actuators. Their current share prices are attractive given their solid earnings and positioning in the robotics theme.
Hana Micron also posted an earnings surprise in the semiconductor equipment space, indicating that the AI capex cycle is broadening. It is a beneficiary of the overall AI infrastructure investment.
Lee Ju-hyeon has 133 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 133 tickers since May 2026. Win rate 32% across 133 evaluated calls, average return -4.9%. Ranked #840 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 005380.KS.
Lee Ju-hyeonAlpha #840
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