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22:26
Sep 04
Sep 04
ZEC
XMR
MEMECOINS FLIP
HOOD
INTC
▾
HIGH
Zcash has highest upside privacy bet
Zcash is his top single long among monetary assets for far higher upside; it is ripping toward $1,000, benefits from monetary debasement, and shielded ZEC usage is growing as privacy demand rises.
ZEC LONG
Monero benefits from privacy usage
Monero is the only coin actually used for privacy, and among monetary assets he cares about Bitcoin, Zcash and Monero; it should do well as privacy usage grows.
XMR LONG
Memecoins benefit from social trading wave
Social trading is drawing new users into memecoins, and crypto is uniquely able to monetize attention quickly, as shown by an AMC-linked coin going from about $100k to $100m market cap in five hours; he sees a golden age of memecoin trading despite lottery-risk caution.
MEMECOINS LONG
Buy Robinhood as crypto finance winner
Robinhood is the only traditional financial institution taking crypto seriously; its chain, tokenization, RWA and stablecoin businesses can create a huge sustainable revenue stream, and HOOD is a long multibagger he is still holding after the move from $92 to $123.
HOOD LONG
Intel targets 140 by year-end
OpenAI's GPT-6 release is crushing benchmarks and reigniting chip demand; Intel is super bullish and could return to $140 by year-end as the summer liquidity lull ends.
INTC LONG
Rebought Nvidia as core AI leader
He bought back Nvidia because he is bullish on core AI assets; in the next phase of the AI trade he wants leaders, and Nvidia is one of the core positions that can continue to run.
NVDA LONG
Buy perp leaders Hyperliquid and Lighter
Real-revenue crypto applications are winning; Lighter is almost $5, was undervalued and integrated by Robinhood, and in the perps-eating-the-world thesis the trade is to buy the leaders Hyperliquid and Lighter rather than chasing laggards.
HYPE LONG
LIT LONG
Biotech remains megatrend position
He is still holding biotech exposure as a megatrend, specifically ARKG and XBI, and believes the portfolio including biotech, Bitcoin, Zcash, Intel and Nvidia can rise 50-100% over the next six months.
ARKG LONG
XBI LONG
Bitcoin breaks 80k to year-end highs
FOMO's user growth has turned gradual rather than spiky, which suggests the space is building and the rally has room; Bitcoin near $80,000 is still early because most retail attention does not shift until Bitcoin breaks all-time highs, which could take six months to a year.
BTC LONG
HIGH
22:24
Sep 02
Sep 02
ETH FLIP
BNO
BTC
ANDURIL 1ST
PLTR
▾
HIGH
Ethereum narrative second-fastest horse if Bitcoin rises.
Avi says Robinhood chain activity is built on Arbitrum and ultimately filters down to Ethereum. While direct revenue is small, the narrative could coalesce around Ethereum, especially if Solana loses flows, and Ethereum could be the second-fastest horse after Bitcoin if Bitcoin rises.
ETH LONG
Iran's Hormuz leverage fading; oil contained.
Jonah says Iran is trying as hard as possible to shut the Strait of Hormuz but oil is still getting out through bypass pipelines, dredged routes, and the dark fleet. He argues commercial storage is not draining and Iran's leverage over Hormuz is degrading by the day, so the extreme geopolitical oil risk premium is likely to keep fading rather than cause a sustained squeeze higher.
BNO WATCH
No Fed hike; next leg up Bitcoin/gold/equities.
Avi believes Kevin Warsh is jawboning without spine, there will be no September rate hike, and this sets up the next leg higher in Bitcoin and gold. If no hike arrives, he thinks it could produce a bull market across equities, gold, and Bitcoin.
BTC LONG
GLD LONG
SPY LONG
Defense contracts exploding; own Palantir/Anduril.
Avi argues the Iran/Hormuz conflict is forcing the US military to deploy new technology and work more closely with defense contractors, creating another megatrend over the next few years: an explosion in defense contractor contracts and a leveling up of military capabilities, with Palantir and Anduril named as beneficiaries.
ANDURIL LONG
PLTR LONG
Arbitrum dark horse on Robinhood chain fees.
Avi sees Arbitrum as a dark horse because he believes Arbitrum receives 10% of the fees generated by Robinhood chain, and Robinhood chain weekly volume jumped from about 500 million to 1.5 billion, which should drive meaningful fee revenue. He expects Robinhood chain to be larger in two years, accruing value to Arbitrum.
ARB LONG
Buy HOOD for diversified crypto/equities upside.
Avi argues Robinhood is one of the best expressions for the crypto trade because it has multiple ways to win: if equities or AI come back, options volume and crypto activity lift it; if crypto booms while equities stay flat, Robinhood still rises; it also has downside protection from its actual business. He says he has been advocating it for a long time and prefers it over one-way meme coin bets.
HOOD LONG
HIGH
16:15
Sep 01
Sep 01
Crypto capital markets
BTC
Tokenized Equities
AI leaders
HYPE
▾
HIGH
Clarity vote unlocks crypto capital markets.
The key regulatory catalyst for crypto capital markets is not whether the Clarity Act passes but that it comes to a vote. Traditional primes are ready to build crypto capital markets; if it passes they move quickly under federal preemption, and if it fails they still move forward more slowly through state-by-state regulation. Until the vote, institutions are in a holding pattern.
Crypto capital markets WATCH
AI deflation forces printing, supports Bitcoin.
AI-driven productivity is disinflationary and may force continued money printing to keep nominal GDP growing; this means the debasement case for Bitcoin/crypto is not diluted, supporting Bitcoin as a long-term inflation and debasement hedge.
BTC LONG
Tokenized equities and market infrastructure expanding.
Commercial adoption is the real de-risking vector for crypto market structure: NYSE and Nasdaq announced tokenized-equity partnerships this year, and stablecoin/payment market structure is changing, supporting tokenized equities and crypto market infrastructure.
Tokenized Equities LONG
Own AI-age visionary leaders, not cash cows.
In an age of AI-driven disruption, investors cannot rely on slow-growth cash cows; the winning framework is betting on visionary founders or CEOs who can navigate a changing world and monetize over time, making AI-era innovation leaders the structural long.
AI leaders LONG
Hyperliquid leads via revenue and value capture.
Hyperliquid is winning because it combines strong revenue growth, a great business, and direct token value capture; other protocols are starting to copy its model of pairing a strong business with token value accrual, supporting Hyperliquid as a leader.
HYPE LONG
Stablecoin growth creates Treasury demand.
Stablecoin adoption uses US Treasuries as collateral, creating a structural bid for Treasuries; as stablecoins scale, this incremental demand supports US Treasuries.
TLT LONG
HIGH
23:42
Aug 26
Aug 26
BTC
XBI
GLD
SPY
MU
▾
HIGH
Monetary debasement makes Bitcoin and Gold attractive.
Currency debasement and yield curve control are irreversible trends that will drive Bitcoin to $1 million over the next decade, despite near-term resistance at $100K due to Saylor's selling overhang.
BTC LONG
Biotech and uranium sectors will continue outperforming.
Bullish on biotech and uranium as specific sectors that are performing extremely well and will continue to see sustained strength.
XBI LONG
URA LONG
Monetary debasement makes Bitcoin and Gold attractive.
The market has shifted from being driven by AI productivity back to macro fundamentals and monetary debasement, making Bitcoin and Gold attractive as the Treasury intervenes to control yields.
GLD LONG
Bond market intervention makes equities a risk.
Government intervention in the bond market signals underlying economic concerns, making equities a nervous hold for the next three months until yields stabilize.
SPY WATCH
AI and privacy mega-trends support long-term holds.
Unlike previous quarters where Nvidia rallied into earnings and sold off after, it has recently sold off into earnings due to de-risking; a beat will catch offsides traders and trigger a 1-2 day rebound rally across Nvidia, Micron, and Intel.
MU LONG
Ethereum is being outcompeted by other assets.
Ethereum is no longer an attractive asset for a portfolio because it is being outcompeted by other crypto assets and layer-1s.
ETH AVOID
AI and privacy mega-trends support long-term holds.
The successful launch of the Zcash ETF provides easier access to the privacy narrative, and the chart shows strong support and lack of panic selling, setting it up for a move to $1,200-$1,300.
ZEC LONG
Offsides positioning sets up Nvidia earnings rally.
Unlike previous quarters where Nvidia rallied into earnings and sold off after, it has recently sold off into earnings due to de-risking; a beat will catch offsides traders and trigger a 1-2 day rebound rally across Nvidia, Micron, and Intel.
NVDA LONG
SMH LONG
INTC LONG
AI and privacy mega-trends support long-term holds.
Picking mega-trends and accumulating during narrative lulls is the best strategy; AI, privacy, and Bitcoin are mega-trends, making Micron, HYPE, and Zcash solid long-term holds.
HYPE LONG
HIGH
14:47
Aug 24
Aug 24
1000x Podcast
11d
MSTR
LUNA 1ST
DeFi yield strategies
Tokenized Nvidia
Crypto Market
▾
HIGH
Saylor's bitcoin-backed leverage not risky
Michael Saylor's strategy is not analogous to Luna; it is more like a Lombard loan collateralized by Bitcoin. At current leverage levels it does not feel risky, though a 90% Bitcoin drawdown could force selling and exacerbate downside.
MSTR WATCH
Anchor/LUNA failed risk framework
Anchor and LUNA never passed Re7's risk framework and were red-flagged, so the firm avoided exposure. The structure was debt backed by equity that was worth nothing because the underlying activity was worthless.
LUNA AVOID
DeFi yield pays for bank-like roles
DeFi yield is not mainly compensation for crypto risk; it is payment for performing bank-like roles such as market making, liquidity provision, and lending that traditional banks would normally capture. Because DeFi separates the platform from the capital provider, professional liquidity providers can earn yield from onchain economic activity, and Re7 can generate roughly 11-12% consistently with a risk framework built around smart contract risk.
DeFi yield strategies LONG
Tokenized Nvidia yield is attractive
The current AI stock bull market is creating elevated demand for trading and leverage in tokenized equities. Re7 takes the same market-neutral yield approach it previously used with meme coins and applies it to tokenized Nvidia and similar AI assets, earning spreads as a liquidity provider and lender rather than taking directional stock risk.
Tokenized Nvidia LONG
Crypto economy likely to accelerate
He expects the crypto economy to accelerate and says Re7 is more bullish than bearish on the market, which is why they prefer to stay focused on their DeFi risk management edge rather than chase traditional equity strategies.
Crypto Market LONG
RWA tokenized credit lending attractive
Lending stablecoins against tokenized real-world credit and assets is attractive because it brings DeFi yield back to something resembling TradFi credit and expands yield sources beyond native crypto collateral.
RWA LONG
HIGH
15:40
Aug 11
Aug 11
1000x Podcast
24d
UFO
▾
HIGH
Reusable rockets unlock the space economy.
Reusable rockets significantly reduce the cost of accessing space and allow faster launch cadence because a new spacecraft is not rebuilt each time. This opens the space economy to many companies and innovators that previously could not consider space, making ideas economically feasible for the first time. Rideshare payloads now cost a couple hundred thousand to a little over a million dollars, letting garage-stage builders test products in space, which is a transformational change for the space industry.
UFO LONG
HIGH
19:02
Aug 10
Aug 10
1000x Podcast
25d
UFO
▾
HIGH
Space industry entering transformational growth phase
The space industry is in the early stages of a transformational growth phase driven by reusable rockets drastically lowering the cost of access, a new space race among nations for low Earth orbit and the moon, and the strategic militarization of space. Despite a post-SpaceX IPO sell-off, the industry's fundamentals remain strong, and pure-play space companies beyond SpaceX offer diversified long-term opportunity. The UFO ETF provides exposure to companies generating at least 50% of revenues from space, capturing this secular theme.
UFO LONG
HIGH
21:14
Aug 05
Aug 05
1000x Podcast
1mo
COPPER
HOOD
GLD
SILVER FLIP
PALL 1ST
▾
HIGH
Metals poised to rip on flows.
Central banks, including Korea, are rebuilding gold reserves, reversing the prior degrossing. Flows are returning to metals, which have been overlooked. Gold is less sensitive to rates, and metals like gold, silver, copper, and palladium are set to rally strongly over the next 3 months, with gold potentially hitting all-time highs within 6 months.
COPPER LONG
GLD LONG
SILVER LONG
PALL LONG
Robinhood best crypto expression.
Robinhood is the preferred way to express crypto bullishness because crypto trading is much more profitable for Robinhood on a margin basis than stocks or options. It also has equity market tailwinds, providing downside distance if crypto goes sideways.
HOOD LONG
Micron moonshot bet on AI.
Micron is my big risk-on moonshot bet; I bought recently and am still adding. It's a simple way to get AI exposure without overcomplicating. Moonshot book should be concentrated.
MU LONG
Intel still phenomenal hold.
Intel remains a phenomenal hold despite the memory blowup; the AI framework is intact and profit-taking has occurred, making it a good long.
INTC LONG
Crypto looks good for 3-6 months.
Crypto is starting to look attractive for the first time in a while. Bitcoin held 60K, Ethereum held 1550, and some assets like Uniswap are showing resilience. A 3-6 month allocation makes sense as a trade.
BTC LONG
ETH LONG
Avoid crude oil, Trump caps it.
If your asset has not been anointed by the Trump administration, it won't rally. Crude oil is historically targeted by Trump's bearish tweets, so oil will not sustain a rally and is capped.
WTI AVOID
S&P 500 beats wealth managers.
Private wealth management is a scam; they never beat the S&P 500. For wealth preservation, the S&P 500 alone provides all necessary diversification. It's a beautiful environment for indices and bonds.
SPY LONG
HIGH
18:25
Aug 03
Aug 03
1000x Podcast
1mo
XLV 1ST
▾
MED
Long data-rich pharma for AI advantage
Santiago is long pharmaceutical companies that own large proprietary datasets because AI can analyze cross-domain relationships across the data to accelerate drug discovery, and he believes these data-rich pharma companies will gain an edge as AI breaks through academic and scientific bottlenecks.
XLV LONG
MED
21:44
Jul 31
Jul 31
1000x Podcast
1mo
SNDK
INTC
AMZN FLIP
GOOG FLIP
EWY 1ST
▾
HIGH
Buy the memory dip after liquidation
The forced liquidation of Leopold's massive levered memory positions is a technical event, not a fundamental break in the secular AI megatrend. The selling is overdone and capital will eventually flow back into memory stocks, which remain core to AI infrastructure. Avi is using the dip to reallocate from cash and biotech into memory, buying Micron, SanDisk, and Intel (which has national security value) while expecting a possible re-test of lows before a recovery.
SNDK LONG
INTC LONG
MU LONG
Amazon thrives in atoms-over-bits world
Amazon is thriving and 'printing money hand over fist,' succeeding where other Mag 7 members struggle. Its strength in physical atoms (AWS data centers, logistics network) aligns with the broader 'atoms over bits' shift, making it a standout winner as software becomes commoditized.
AMZN LONG
Google's capex kills free cash flow
Google printed its first quarter of negative free cash flow in decades because of massive capex on AI hardware. Analysts are rerating the stock from a high-margin software multiple to a more manufacturing-like profile, and the spending isn't yet boosting the bottom line, driving underperformance.
GOOG AVOID
Avoid South Korean equities after wipeout
A massive portion of South Korean adults (5-10%) were liquidated in the memory-stock blowup, causing a 'Squid Game' style wealth wipeout. This event will likely drag on the Korean economy and equity market, so investors should stay away from South Korean equities.
EWY AVOID
Apple lost vision, missing AI opportunity
Apple has failed to innovate since the iPhone and is completely missing the AI opportunity, showing no vision or competitive effort. Despite having a monopoly on devices in wealthy consumers' pockets, it isn't leveraging that in the new AI landscape, making it a pathetic underperformer in an era where atoms should be an advantage.
AAPL AVOID
Meta stuck in AI purgatory, avoid
Meta is stuck between Apple (not trying) and Google (spending everything and competing). Despite billions of users and an easy sales funnel for consumer AI, it cannot figure out AI despite heavy spending, leaving the stock in a 'weird purgatory limbo' and a very bad situation.
META AVOID
HIGH
18:44
Jul 28
Jul 28
1000x Podcast
1mo
PLTR
NTDOY 1ST
XBI 1ST
TSLA
ACN
▾
HIGH
Ontologies becoming useless, competition fragments attention.
Palantir's core business rests on ontologies being necessary for LLMs to work. As AI models become more capable, the need for ontologies decreases linearly. Competition from Anthropic and OpenAI, each deploying forward-deployed engineers, fragments attention. Trading at 100x sales, Palantir will face significant investor headwinds.
PLTR SHORT
Memory relief and AI IP monetization.
Nintendo stock is down 60% year-on-year due to memory bottlenecks preventing console launches. If memory costs break, the stock could rebound. Additionally, Nintendo's strong IP franchise (Mario) stands to benefit as AI models face copyright enforcement, forcing platforms to pay for IP usage.
NTDOY LONG
AI biotech overhyped, regulation will stifle.
Applying AI to biotech carries extreme tail risk (a single bio-event could trigger bans) and will face heavy national-security regulation. The consensus trade is long biotech on AI hopes, but that optimism is misplaced.
XBI SHORT
SpaceX IPO bearish for Tesla.
A SpaceX IPO would fragment Elon Musk's attention and create a competing product, which is unambiguously bearish for Tesla stock. Investors should monitor this risk.
TSLA WATCH
Accenture layoffs could trigger stock bottom.
Accenture stock has been crushed but headcount remains high. Forced layoffs are likely as management reacts to the share price, which could mark a bottom and create a turnaround opportunity.
ACN WATCH
AI copyright will enrich IP holders.
Companies with core canonical and Lindy intellectual property (IP) will benefit as AI models increasingly rely on copyrighted material. Legal settlements and regulation will force AI firms to pay IP holders, creating a new revenue stream for owners of popular franchises.
DIS LONG
HAS LONG
GAW.L LONG
Speculation surge benefits trading platforms.
As AI reduces productivity gains and jobs, people will increasingly speculate and recycle capital into the attention economy. Trading platforms like Robinhood, Interactive Brokers, and on-chain venues like Hyperliquid will be the 'kingmakers' in this speculative regime.
HOOD LONG
IBKR LONG
HYPE LONG
Sovereign debt crisis bullish for Bitcoin.
The assumption that AI will rescue the global debt bubble is flawed. Without a massive productivity surge, a sovereign margin call becomes likely, making decentralized stores of value like Bitcoin attractive.
BTC LONG
HIGH
23:53
Jul 22
Jul 22
1000x Podcast
1mo
BTC
WTI
LEU
MU
INTC
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin may have bottomed, turn bullish
Bitcoin has corrected and is stabilizing; with markets calming, a rotation back into crypto is likely. Crypto may have bottomed temporarily, and Bitcoin should do well.
BTC LONG
Iran war won't spike oil
The Iran conflict will not cause a sustained spike in oil prices because Trump is market-sensitive and will manage tensions to avoid economic disruption; over time the Strait of Hormuz will be circumvented via east-west pipelines. Oil upside is limited.
WTI AVOID
Centrus Energy a nuclear play
The U.S.-Saudi nuclear deal and broader nuclear buildout are a developing theme. Centrus Energy (Centress), which enriches uranium and supports reactor construction, looks attractive after a pullback. Still under research, but worth watching.
LEU WATCH
Buy memory stocks after correction
Memory stocks have corrected 30–40% from their highs, but AI demand continues to grow (e.g., OpenAI allocating more compute, Kimi model running out of compute). The AI bubble is not over; the Soros model suggests bubbles come back bigger after a correction. Risk/reward is attractive with potential 2–3x upside and limited downside around –30%. Favor Intel and Micron.
MU LONG
INTC LONG
Gold looks phenomenal, buy here
Gold has corrected 26% from highs and is trading sideways at the key $4,000 support level. Central banks are reflexive buyers driven by price; the chart looks strong. Buying gold here with a tight stop around $4,000, targeting $4,800, offers good risk/reward. Gold miners are also a good bet.
GLD LONG
GDX LONG
AI adoption early, buy hyperscalers
Only 2.2% of U.S. households have paid AI subscriptions, comparable to e-commerce at 2% in 2004. This indicates AI adoption is in the first inning, with massive growth ahead. Paid AI will drive revenue to hyperscalers like Microsoft, Meta, and Google.
MSFT LONG
META LONG
GOOGL LONG
HIGH
17:02
Jul 22
Jul 22
1000x Podcast
1mo
MU FLIP
LEU
GLD FLIP
GDX 1ST
BTC FLIP
▾
HIGH
Memory stocks offer asymmetric upside after correction.
AI compute buildout is accelerating, OpenAI and others are doubling down on compute despite model efficiency gains, meaning demand for memory is not over. Memory stocks (Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung, Intel) have corrected 30-40% from highs, creating an asymmetric risk/reward with 2-3x upside vs ~30% downside, making this a good entry point for the next leg of the memory trade.
MU LONG
INTC LONG
000660.KS LONG
005930.KS LONG
Centrus Energy may gain from nuclear build.
Centrus Energy (enrichment and reactor services) could benefit from nuclear reactor buildouts and uranium enrichment demand. The stock has pulled back a lot, and the speaker is researching it as a downstream play on nuclear; no position yet but interest exists.
LEU WATCH
Gold buy with tight stop at $4,000.
Gold has a strong technical setup with $4,000 support holding for weeks. Central banks (including potentially Japan) are accumulating, and gold is a reflexive asset where buying begets buying. Risk/reward is attractive with a tight stop below 4K and a target near 4,800.
GLD LONG
GDX LONG
Crypto may have temporarily bottomed.
The odds of the Clarity Act passing are ticking back up, and crypto may have temporarily bottomed out, providing relief for a significant portfolio holding.
BTC LONG
Biotech sector shows relative strength.
Biotech stocks have held up well during the market drawdown and represent the next stage of portfolio allocation as profits are taken from the memory trade, implying relative strength and potential for gains.
XBI LONG
Energy sector attractive for next allocation.
As part of the next leg after memory, energy is an area to allocate to, suggesting it is attractive for further gains.
XLE LONG
Uranium demand rises on nuclear deals.
The US signed a deal with Saudi Arabia to build nuclear plants, increasing uranium demand. The speaker is bullish on uranium, which he has been for a while via URA ETF.
URA LONG
Hyperscalers benefit from AI adoption wave.
AI adoption is still in its first inning. Paid AI subscription penetration is only 2.2% of US households, mirroring early e-commerce, and will rise dramatically, driving revenue to cloud hyperscalers like Microsoft, Meta, and Google. This is a mega trend with significant long-term upside.
MSFT LONG
META LONG
GOOGL LONG
HIGH
18:39
Jul 20
Jul 20
1000x Podcast
1mo
LIT
▾
MED
All value accrues to Lighter token.
Lighter structured itself as a USC corp with no dual foundation; it committed to never raising equity again after the pre-token round. All future value accrues to the token, meaning any growth or revenue benefits token holders exclusively. The team and remaining investors are fully aligned on the token model.
LIT LONG
MED
16:04
Jul 20
Jul 20
1000x Podcast
1mo
ETH 1ST
LIT
▾
HIGH
Ethereum is DeFi's secure clearing house.
Ethereum is the most secure, stable ledger for DeFi, effectively serving as the on-chain clearing house; it has operated for 10 years with no hiccups and is critical to Lighter's architecture; moving off Ethereum is not a top-100 priority, reflecting high confidence in its continued dominance.
ETH LONG
All value accrues to Lighter token.
Lighter has a unique token-centric structure where all value accrues to the token, not equity, with the team fully committed and no further equity rounds planned. The exchange is technically superior to competitors like Hyperliquid across cost, latency, verifiability, and security, uses custom ZK circuits to slash compute costs to 1%, has high-profile partnerships (Robinhood, Telegram wallet), and is launching on-chain options in Q3, positioning it to capture both retail and institutional flow.
LIT LONG
HIGH
21:10
Jul 15
Jul 15
1000x Podcast
1mo
COIN
HYPE
BTC FLIP
ZEC
HOOD
▾
HIGH
Watch COIN, HOOD on Clarity outcome
The Clarity Act has only a ~25% chance of passing, but if it does it would be very bullish for crypto-native tickers like Coinbase and Robinhood that are harnesses for on-chain activity. If it fails, a period of regulatory limbo and malaise is likely, keeping such stocks from rallying. The asymmetric setup warrants monitoring.
COIN WATCH
Crypto bounce on exhaustion and rotation
Bitcoin sellers are exhausted, Michael Saylor has shored up his balance sheet and doesn't need to sell, and the current rotation out of memory stocks into steady Bitcoin creates a new source of buying. Avi sees a short-term setup for a bounce to $75-80K, and he bought BTC plus leveraged crypto plays that have stronger momentum.
HYPE LONG
BTC LONG
ZEC LONG
HOOD LONG
ETH LONG
HIGH
18:20
Jul 13
Jul 13
1000x Podcast
1mo
BTC
SPCX FLIP
PLTR 1ST
▾
HIGH
Crypto poised for reflexive rally
Crypto has been trading sideways in a choppy bottom. Historically, once momentum shifts, a reflexive rally ignites without a fundamental catalyst, driven by FOMO and momentum chasing, leading to sharp short-term percentage gains.
BTC WATCH
Front-run passive flows in SpaceX token
SpaceX tokenized equity on Binance mirrors crypto dynamics: large upcoming unlock schedules, KOL narratives, and predictable passive index fund flows (e.g., NASDAQ inclusion). These mechanical flows create alpha opportunities for traders who front-run the passive buying and sell after the forced inflows, a playbook learned in crypto.
SPCX LONG
Palantir is a short
Palantir is probably a short at current prices, as mentioned by guest Alex during the Selini Summit, suggesting it is overvalued and due for a correction.
PLTR SHORT
HIGH
17:11
Jul 06
Jul 06
1000x Podcast
2mo
GOOGL
META
CAT
V 1ST
LLY 1ST
▾
MED
Nationalization risk threatens AI model creators
AI model creators like Meta and Google face overlooked risks: state-sponsored IP theft makes their technology available to rivals, possible nationalization would restrict their operations and talent, and if a superhuman trading model emerges, shareholders won't benefit because the engineers will use it privately. These factors are not being priced in, making current valuations potentially fragile.
GOOGL WATCH
META WATCH
Data center overbuild mirrors fiber bubble
The massive surge in data center construction is reminiscent of the 1990s fiber overbuild. Trillions are being spent on compute, but other bottlenecks (power, rare earths, optics) will emerge and new AI techniques are dramatically cutting hardware needs. This may lead to overcapacity and a bust, hurting companies that rode the buildout like Caterpillar.
CAT WATCH
Visa moat prevents AI disruption, benefits
Companies with locked-in distribution, high switching costs, and strong brands like Visa are difficult for AI to disrupt. Instead, they can use AI to dramatically reduce their own costs while maintaining revenue, making them attractive long holdings. This follows a Warren Buffett-style value approach adapted to the AI era.
V LONG
AI accelerates biotech drug discovery
Recent advances in biotech, accelerated by AI-driven drug discovery, are producing breakthroughs like Eli Lilly's new cholesterol treatment. The pace of innovation is so rapid that the FDA is struggling to keep up, creating a bullish environment for biotech companies.
LLY LONG
MED
20:37
Jul 01
Jul 01
1000x Podcast
2mo
SPY
HOOD
005930.KS
BTC
DXY
▾
HIGH
Rotate to indexes from single stocks
The regime of single-name AI stock outperformance may be coming to a close; it's time to rotate from concentrated single-stock positions back into broad market index funds and wait for the next phase.
SPY LONG
QQQ LONG
Robinhood is a diversified crypto proxy
Robinhood is a pure play on crypto recovery that also benefits from prediction markets, options trading, and non-crypto revenue growth, with lock-in from Trump-related accounts providing a further catalyst.
HOOD LONG
Memory stocks beat earnings on analyst under-estimation
Sell-side analysts are structurally discouraged from making bold calls, so they systematically underestimate AI-driven DRAM demand; Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix will keep beating expectations and the pullback to 7.5x forward earnings is a buying opportunity.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Bitcoin is co-opted and less attractive
Bitcoin has been co-opted by Wall Street, faces quantum computing risks, and is not the right place to park capital when real growth is happening elsewhere; investors should not make it their entire portfolio.
BTC AVOID
Strong dollar threatens risk asset longs
A strengthening US dollar (DXY) is a major threat to risk assets because many longs are effectively short-dollar trades; a rallying dollar can mulch P&L across equities and commodities.
DXY WATCH
Israeli property benefits from aliyah demand
Israeli real estate benefits from a secular trend of Jews fleeing rising anti-Semitism globally and parking wealth in Israel, creating sustained demand for apartments in cities like Tel Aviv and Jerusalem.
Israeli residential real estate LONG
Reduce Intel and Micron on elevated risk
Sell-side analysts are structurally discouraged from making bold calls, so they systematically underestimate AI-driven DRAM demand; Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix will keep beating expectations and the pullback to 7.5x forward earnings is a buying opportunity.
MU AVOID
Reduce Intel and Micron on elevated risk
After massive runs, memory stocks like Intel and Micron now carry higher downside risk and increased volatility; he is reducing positions.
INTC AVOID
Biotech benefits from AI tailwinds
Biotech is a downstream beneficiary of AI advances; several names have already rallied 15-20% since the last podcast and he remains very bullish.
ARKG LONG
Reddit benefits from AI data licensing
Reddit is a downstream AI beneficiary because its vast user data is valuable for licensing to AI models; the stock is up strongly and this trend should continue.
RDDT LONG
Zcash superior to Bitcoin on privacy/quantum
Zcash solves the traceability and quantum problems that Bitcoin now faces, which explains its recent outperformance versus BTC and supports a relative-value long in ZEC.
ZEC LONG
HIGH
19:35
Jun 24
Jun 24
1000x Podcast
2mo
ARCG 1ST
ETH FLIP
WLD FLIP
HOOD
GOOGL 1ST
▾
HIGH
Biotech re-rates on AI drug discovery
AI will radically change the biotech industry by enabling cheaper and faster drug discovery, causing the entire sector to rerate higher. Since picking single stocks is hard, the best way to play this is via diversified biotech ETFs, with a 70/30 split between XBI (broad) and ARCG (high-octane).
ARCG LONG
XBI LONG
Short non-revenue crypto, AI takes capital
Cryptocurrencies that do not generate revenue are cooked because the AI trade offers higher volatility and better narratives, sucking capital away. Bitcoin and Ethereum are specifically broken and should be shorted.
ETH SHORT
Short WLD, near highs in downtrend
Worldcoin is oddly trading near its highs of recent weeks while the crypto market is heading lower. This divergence makes it a prime short candidate to play the broad crypto downdraft, targeting a move back to the lows.
WLD SHORT
Long HOOD, short crypto for asymmetry
Robinhood offers asymmetric upside: if crypto does well it will surge, but it can still perform well even if crypto does poorly because it is expanding revenues outside of crypto. Pairing a long in HOOD with a short in crypto captures this asymmetry.
HOOD LONG
Sell hyperscalers as capex shifts downstream
The hyperscalers spent huge on AI capex, driving their stock prices; now cracks are appearing and the AI trade is shifting to downstream suppliers. Therefore, investors should sell the hyperscalers' equity and credit, as they fund this spending, and buy what they are buying. This is a clear capital-flows fade of the over-owned, overextended hyperscaler stocks.
GOOGL SHORT
META SHORT
AMZN SHORT
Short Accenture on AI consulting disruption
As AI automates knowledge work, traditional consulting services will be less in demand. Accenture is a clear short candidate as a representative of this vulnerable consulting industry.
ACN SHORT
Short non-revenue crypto, AI takes capital
Michael Saylor's overextended Bitcoin financing structure (MSTR/STRC) is poorly engineered and likely to implode, forcing selling of Bitcoin and equities. That blowup will create the best long-term buying opportunity in Bitcoin ever, with a price drop to near FTX lows, after which regulatory clarity and the value proposition will drive a massive rally.
BTC SHORT
Memory stocks still not fully priced in
Memory stocks have run hard but are still not fully saturated; most people have not bought them yet, as evidenced by a 13-year-old's portfolio holding only hyperscalers and no memory names. This suggests the memory trade still has room to run, with Micron as a key pure-play even if it is volatile.
MU LONG
HIGH
20:02
Jun 19
Jun 19
1000x Podcast
2mo
INTC
SNDK
GLD
EEM 1ST
DBC 1ST
▾
HIGH
Mag7 capex fuels semiconductor outperformance
Mag7 companies are selling equity and raising debt to fund massive capex for AI data centers, which directly benefits the semiconductor companies they buy from; Intel just signed a deal with Apple, and the entire semiconductor complex is continuously rampaging higher. This dynamic will persist through the summer.
INTC LONG
SNDK LONG
MU LONG
Strong dollar hits gold, Bitcoin, commodities
US exceptionalism is strengthening the dollar, which is unambiguously negative for gold, Bitcoin, and commodities in general. Additionally, Michael Saylor's STRC problems and the structural unwind in Bitcoin reinforce that one should not be touching Bitcoin right now.
GLD AVOID
DBC AVOID
BTC AVOID
Avoid emerging markets, US exceptionalism dominates
The thesis that emerging markets would dominate in 2026 has completely failed; only Korea performed because of its semiconductor industry, while true AI-driven innovation remains concentrated in the United States. This makes EM an unattractive destination for capital.
EEM AVOID
Iran flare-up risk spikes oil, hits equities
The Iran deal is a win for Iran and an untenable agreement that will likely lead to future conflict. With the administration focused on keeping the situation calm through the midterms, a flare-up could occur after the midterms, causing a spike in oil prices and a tumble in equity markets. This is a setup to monitor closely.
WTI WATCH
Monitor Insilico Medicine
Insilico Medicine is a pure-play AI drug discovery company based in Boston but trading on the Hong Kong stock exchange. With AI revolutionizing biotech and the FDA becoming more lenient, this company is a compelling candidate to watch while he conducts deeper research.
Insilico Medicine WATCH
Nuclear renaissance, buy uranium ETF URA
A nuclear revolution is coming in the US over the next 3–5 years driven by the Trump administration and new efficient reactor companies. While uranium commodity prices may not surge because supply can be ramped, the companies and ETFs will see massive revenue growth. URA is well off its highs and could deliver a 3–5x return.
URA LONG
AI biotech megatrend, buy ARKG
AI is finally being applied to physical products and drug discovery, not just software. The FDA under RFK is becoming much more accommodating, as shown by the full U-turn on gene therapy. Avi bought ARKG (ARK Genomic Revolution ETF) with 3% of his portfolio and plans to increase exposure to genomics and biotech as this megatrend plays out.
ARKG LONG
Goldilocks period drives US equities higher
Buy SPY as broad US equities enter a Goldilocks summer setup: markets shrugged off hawkish Fed/rate-hike pricing, Iran/oil fears, and earnings worries, and slowing summer news flow could support a rally into August.
SPY LONG
HOOD growth reaccelerates, layoffs are bullish
Robinhood (HOOD) is performing very well: platform assets up 50% YoY to ~$400B, gold subscribers up 36% in Q1, and they are rolling out crypto trading to all users. The recent 10% workforce cut is bullish because the savings get reallocated to growth areas and share buybacks. HOOD is a better play than Hyperliquid, which is being held back by the crypto complex.
HOOD LONG
HIGH
20:45
Jun 17
Jun 17
1000x Podcast
2mo
SPY
SPCX 1ST
BTC
CL1!
HOOD
▾
HIGH
Buy equities on dips until credit crisis.
Equity markets shrugged off a full-blown war with Iran, proving extreme resilience. The only catalyst that can truly crack this market is a credit crisis or financial engineering failure, not geopolitics. Until credit problems arise, equities are a buy on every selloff. The decline in oil prices post-Iran deal further supports equities by reducing inflation pressure and the risk of rate hikes.
SPY LONG
Long SpaceX until August unlocks.
SpaceX is a low-float, high-fully diluted value trade driven purely by flows, not fundamentals. Index inclusion will force significant buying (estimated $7-10 billion) and retail is FOMO-ing in. The first employee lock-up expires 20-30% of shares starting after the first quarterly earnings report, with no unlocks until August or September. You can be comfortably long until then, but must sell two weeks before unlocks to avoid front-running.
SPCX LONG
Wait for Bitcoin disdain to buy.
Bitcoin has lost mindshare and is in apathy mode, driven by Michael Saylor's credit problem. The real buying opportunity will come when sentiment turns to true disdain—when traditional media gravedances and people question if the Bitcoin era is over. Then it will be time to buy for a long-term target of $1 million.
BTC WATCH
Short crude oil on supply glut.
An ocean of oil is about to hit the market as Iranian oil refills global stocks under the Iran deal. This supply glut will push crude prices lower, which is extremely bearish for inflation. Crude already dropped from above $100 to the $80s and the move should continue.
CL1! SHORT
Robinhood will outperform Bitcoin.
Robinhood (HOOD) is building the everything financial app, making inroads into institutional trading and diversifying away from crypto revenue. It is attacking the traditional financial system, capturing the full lifespan of a consumer, and has multiple ways to benefit regardless of Bitcoin's direction. It will outperform Bitcoin over the next six months.
HOOD LONG
HIGH
21:39
Jun 12
Jun 12
1000x Podcast
2mo
SPCX
NASDAQ Composite
SPY
APT 1ST
URA
▾
HIGH
Bears die; don't short.
SpaceX is a mega-trend asset backed by an Elon Musk company; low float and retail mania mean bears keep dying because people believe in the American dream and will keep buying until the company proves otherwise. Don't short assets that have the potential to conquer the world.
SPCX WATCH
OpenAI IPOs will crash indexes.
When OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs come to market, new supply for the same vertical will cause money to rotate out of existing AI-adjacent index members. Because the IPOs will likely be excluded from major indexes due to being unprofitable, the indexes themselves will go down as money sloshes around. Strict routing correction: classify as avoid, not short, because bearish index-crash/rotation view but no explicit short/puts/short trade on the index.
NASDAQ Composite AVOID
SPY AVOID
Aptos is a complete grift.
Aptos is basically a complete grift from the start, similar to many other L1 infrastructure projects that were primarily money-printing cabals for insiders.
APT AVOID
Buy uranium after sell-off.
Uranium sold off and is now being re-bought. Deploying cash into uranium positions after the sell-off presents an attractive entry point.
URA LONG
SanDisk running highs, longer-term buy.
SanDisk is up ~80x from the recent low of 400, pushing all-time highs, and likely has further upside as a longer-term trade in the semiconductor space.
SNDK LONG
Hyperliquid's pre-IPO venue is bullish.
Hyperliquid efficiently aligned the pre-IPO price with the actual IPO price for SpaceX, proving it is a fantastic liquidity venue for trading assets before they hit public markets. It will democratize access to previously inaccessible private market deals.
HYPE LONG
Hood outperforms Hype, potential 10-bagger.
Robinhood (HOOD) will outperform Hyperliquid (HYPE) over the next 6–12 months because HOOD has a larger, diversified income stream, more institutional backing, and potential lock-in deals like Trump accounts. HOOD could still be a 10-bagger, while HYPE's 10-bagger days are over.
HOOD LONG
XMR continues doing well long-term.
Monero (XMR) will continue to do well over the long run as a privacy coin.
XMR LONG
Intel competitive again, buy.
Intel just signed a massive contract with Google for 3 million TPUs by 2028, signaling their chips are finally competitive. With the stock bouncing off $99 and a potential path to a $1 trillion market cap, Intel is a strong mid-term long trade.
INTC LONG
HIGH
20:56
Jun 10
Jun 10
1000x Podcast
2mo
META
ZEC FLIP
SHY 1ST
SPY FLIP
GLD
▾
MED
Google and Facebook capture AI marketing spend.
AI is cutting engineering budgets and reallocating money to marketing; Google and Facebook are where all marketing spend flows and will continue to flow. They both produce AI and benefit from downstream effects, making them the best buy in the world.
META LONG
GOOGL LONG
Monero and Zcash hedge government seizure.
Crypto's real use case is hiding capital from government overreach; privacy coins like Monero and Zcash allow portable, non-seizable wealth that cannot be frozen without physical force. In a world where future redistribution or authoritarian seizure could occur, these coins retain tremendous value.
ZEC LONG
XMR LONG
Hold cash ahead of rate hikes.
May CPI hit a three-year high, energy and gasoline surging, strong payrolls prevent Fed cuts. December hike odds jumped to 70% and Goldman dropped its cut call. An upcoming hike cycle will slam markets, so holding heavy cash protects capital and keeps dry powder for future buying opportunities.
SHY LONG
Index funds will underperform private assets.
Multi‑trillion‑dollar IPOs of companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX pull returns forward into the private market. Because these firms can stay private longer thanks to abundant private wealth, public index funds will likely deliver lower future returns than in the past, so investors should seek alternatives.
SPY AVOID
Gold to rally, buy on dip.
Gold has corrected because central banks like Turkey are monetizing reserves to defend currencies, but net central bank buying continues. Gold is set for another mega rally once this selling abates; looking for a re‑entry around $3,300–$3,500 per ounce.
GLD WATCH
Uranium long-term on nuclear data centers.
Uranium is a mega‑trend asset because nuclear output will expand for data center buildouts and grid modernization, leading to 5‑10x returns over the next decade. The near‑term chart looks terrible, but the long‑term thesis is intact. Looking to rebid URA below 40, possibly down to 28‑30.
URA LONG
Short Verizon on Starlink disruption.
Starlink could disrupt legacy telcos that struggle with rural coverage; being short Verizon might be a good bet as Starlink becomes a thing.
VZ SHORT
MLPX for inflation‑linked pipeline cash flows.
MLPX is a pipeline MLP ETF providing stable, inflation‑linked cash flows from oil and gas transport. Energy demand shifts driven by data centers and EV adoption guarantee continued need to move energy. The ETF is cheap, has mega dividend yields, and is tax‑efficient, making it a smart long‑term bet.
MLPX LONG
MED
18:43
Jun 04
Jun 04
1000x Podcast
3mo
BOT 1ST
▾
HIGH
RoboStrategy (BOT) for robotics exposure
RoboStrategy (BOT) is a publicly traded vehicle that provides exposure to a portfolio of private robotics companies. It employs an accretive issuance model (issuing shares at a premium to NAV to increase NAV per share) without leverage, aiming to capture the multi-trillion-dollar robotics market. This structure addresses the lack of public market access to high-growth private robotics investments, and the robotics industry is at an inflection point with massive upside.
BOT LONG
HIGH
22:31
Jun 03
Jun 03
1000x Podcast
3mo
ZEC
MSTR
BTC FLIP
XMR
IGV 1ST
▾
HIGH
Long XMR, short ZEC pair
Privacy coins and quantum-resistance narratives are driving interest in Monero and Zcash. XMR has already outperformed ZEC but still has roughly 50% further upside against ZEC, making a long XMR / short ZEC pair attractive.
ZEC SHORT
XMR LONG
Short MSTR, long BTC pair
MicroStrategy trades at 1.2x NAV and as Michael Saylor faces a survival crisis and unwinds positions, the premium will likely compress, potentially to a discount. Pair short MSTR with long BTC (or IBIT) to capture the convergence while remaining notional neutral.
MSTR SHORT
BTC LONG
Short software, AI disrupts sector
Software businesses will be heavily disrupted by AI over the next three years. After a 25% short squeeze rally, the sector offers a compelling short entry as the underlying secular headwinds remain intact.
IGV SHORT
HIGH
20:59
May 29
May 29
1000x Podcast
3mo
BTC FLIP
ZEC FLIP
MU 1ST
HYPE
XMR 1ST
▾
HIGH
Sell Bitcoin now, buy later lower.
Michael Saylor is the only remaining buyer of Bitcoin, his position is unsustainable and reminiscent of the 'eggman' analogy, and the market is illiquid. Bitcoin's underperformance and lack of catalysts justify reducing exposure now, with plans to rebuy at lower levels after Saylor's position blows up.
BTC AVOID
Rotate Zcash gains into Monero.
Zcash has been rallying on the privacy/uncensorable-currency thesis, but Monero is the actually-used asset that has lagged. Rotate gains from Zcash into Monero for relative outperformance.
ZEC AVOID
XMR LONG
Long memory stocks on supercycle.
The memory supercycle is driven by a severe DRAM supply-demand gap (Goldman: most severe in 15 years). Contract prices surged 95% and could rise 130% by end of 2026. Micron, SK Hynix, and Samsung are direct beneficiaries.
MU LONG
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Hyperliquid token long to 150.
Hyperliquid has product-market fit, is printing cash and growing revenue. The market inefficiency was obvious, and the token can still go to 150 by year-end given institutional interest (e.g., ICE CEO taking it seriously).
HYPE LONG
Palantir long on AI-defense narrative.
Palantir has not yet rallied from its October highs but is an AI-defense stock in a hot sector. It is a narrative play that should run to 200 based on market momentum.
PLTR LONG
Short oil on Iran deal.
If a real Iran deal is struck and the Strait of Hormuz reopens, the massive floating oil storage will hit the market, pushing oil prices to $50. Lower oil means lower inflation and a risk-on rally.
WTI SHORT
Robinhood long on diversification.
Robinhood is breaking away from its cryptocurrency revenue dependence through AI agent integration, Trump accounts, and other business lines. Wall Street underestimates this shift, creating a buying opportunity in the stock.
HOOD LONG
Illumina long as narrative momentum.
Illumina rallied 22% purely on retail narrative because it was named as a stock on the Trump China trip. This speculative momentum trade can still work in the current market environment.
ILMN LONG
HIGH
21:24
May 20
May 20
1000x Podcast
3mo
WTI
SPY FLIP
BTC
ZEC
HYPE
▾
HIGH
Oil tank bottoms risk, reduce equity exposure
Operational tank bottoms for crude oil are projected to hit by September, which would send oil to $200, shut down the global economy, and crash the stock market 25%. While I am betting against this outcome, it is a clear and present danger that makes me cautious on equities, reducing my exposure to 8.5/10 invested.
WTI WATCH
SPY AVOID
Bitcoin vulnerable due to Saylor's size
Michael Saylor's massive Bitcoin accumulation via financial engineering is too large for the market to absorb; there is no bid for his size, and his behavior is concerning. Bitcoin is underperforming other assets like Zcash and Hyperliquid, indicating a structural problem. This makes me nervous about Bitcoin and the crypto market as a whole.
BTC AVOID
Zcash long-term 10x potential
Zcash is one of our favorite positions. It is a privacy coin with real use cases. Currently at a fully diluted valuation of $10 billion, it could reach $100 billion over 2-3 years as it competes with Bitcoin as a store of value and a crime coin.
ZEC LONG
Hyperliquid long-term 3-4x
Hyperliquid is the best exchange in the world, better than any TradFi equivalent. It has no KYC, does buybacks, and shares revenue with stakeholders. Over the long term it should be worth triple or quadruple its current value as it captures market share from CME and NASDAQ.
HYPE LONG
Nibble Nvidia on selloff
If Nvidia sells off sharply after earnings, it would be a good time to start nibbling again because the names have been hit over the last few days and the underlying AI trend remains strong.
NVDA LONG
HIGH
21:42
May 13
May 13
1000x Podcast
3mo
BTC FLIP
MU
SPY
ILMN
VXUS
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin weak, avoid for now.
Bitcoin is showing weak price action, unable to break above 82, and the Clarity Act is not providing support. I am staying away for now, having reduced my GBTC position. Despite long-term bullishness, the near-term risk/reward is unattractive.
BTC AVOID
Micron undervalued on memory supercycle.
Memory is in a genuine demand-driven supercycle with a bottleneck. Micron trades at 35x trailing earnings but earnings could triple within a year, putting it at less than 15x forward. DRAM prices are expected to quadruple in 18 months. Micron is a real rally backed by fundamentals, not a meme, and should continue to rise.
MU LONG
Long US equities, short rest world.
The US equity market structurally outperforms the rest of the world due to innovation, liquidity, and brain drain from Europe. The best trade is to go long US equities (SPY) and short international equities (VXUS) as an index-to-index pair, which is low volatility and can be levered up.
SPY LONG
VXUS SHORT
Illumina benefits from China deal.
Illumina (ILMN) is a small genomics company on the list of CEOs traveling with Trump to China. It was banned from selling in China, but if Trump negotiates a deal to allow US chip exports, Illumina could re-enter the Chinese market. The stock hasn't priced this in, making it a short-term trade with asymmetric upside. I bought a small position.
ILMN LONG
HIGH
15:23
May 13
May 13
1000x Podcast
3mo
VXUS 1ST
MU 1ST
SPY
ILMN 1ST
▾
HIGH
Long US short rest of world
The US stock market will persistently outperform the rest of the world due to innovation, brain drain, and redistribution in Europe. A highly levered pair trade of long SPY and short VXUS captures this divergence with low volatility.
VXUS SHORT
SPY LONG
Micron undervalued memory bottleneck rally
Micron is undervalued at 35x trailing earnings because earnings could triple within a year due to a genuine memory commodity bottleneck and highly elastic demand from AI and autonomous coding agents. This is a demand-driven super trend, not a supply shock.
MU LONG
Illumina potential China re-entry trade
Illumina (ILMN) is a small position bet on Trump's China trip leading to a deal that allows the company to re-enter the Chinese market after being blacklisted. The stock has not rallied on this news, offering asymmetric upside.
ILMN LONG
HIGH
22:29
May 06
May 06
1000x Podcast
4mo
000660.KS
INTC
BTC
ZEC
SPY
▾
HIGH
Memory stocks massively underpriced
Korean memory stocks Samsung and SK Hynix are ridiculously underpriced. Forward 12-month memory supply-demand balance is undersupplied by 45-50%, which historically leads to 4-700% profit increases. Even after a 500% rally from lows, another 500% is possible; at least a 50-100% gain from here, making it an easy two-bagger.
000660.KS LONG
005930.KS LONG
Intel CPU demand from agents
Intel is a long because AI agents are driving massive CPU demand. The thesis was not fully priced in when he sold half at $70; he still holds half. CPUs are most cost-efficient for agent orchestration, and Intel is a primary CPU producer.
INTC LONG
Bitcoin inoculated by Saylor sale
Bitcoin is bullish because Michael Saylor's announcement that he may sell some BTC to fund Strategy actually inoculates the market against the risk of a large seller. If Bitcoin holds above $78k, it can quickly move to $90-95k.
BTC LONG
Zcash accumulation on privacy narrative
Zcash is a long because whales are rotating into it on the privacy narrative. The privacy vs. memes call has been working, and Zcash is an accumulation candidate on dips to $400. It offers asymmetric upside as a privacy-focused crypto.
ZEC LONG
Buy SPY to ride AI trend
The S&P 500 (SPY) and computer chip stocks are attractive buys because the Iran war was a temporary supply shock, not a structural trend. Fading the shock and riding the long-term AI productivity trend is the right trade. SPY is a direct expression of this broad market bullishness.
SPY LONG
VVV private AI infrastructure token
VVV is a long because it provides private AI infrastructure (like a private ChatGPT). The token captures value from a real product with growing demand for data privacy. It's a good company building important infrastructure that happens to be crypto-based.
VVV LONG
TON bull on Pavel's return
Toncoin (TON) is a long because Pavel Durov is back directly running the project, pushing aside the mismanaged Ton Foundation. With Telegram integration, TON can retest $7 and beyond. It's one of the easiest trades.
TON LONG
HIGH
18:09
May 05
May 05
1000x Podcast
4mo
BTC
ZEC 1ST
INTC
005930.KS 1ST
000660.KS 1ST
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin long-term sovereign asset.
Michael Saylor's announcement that he might sell some Bitcoin to fund Strategy (MSTR) actually strengthens the market by inoculating it against the fear of a large holder selling. If Bitcoin holds above $78k, the path to $90-95k becomes very likely.
BTC LONG
Zcash long on privacy narrative.
Zcash has a strong privacy narrative and whales are rotating into it. The privacy-versus-memes theme has held up. Avi would accumulate Zcash on dips toward $400 and is very bullish on it as a trade.
ZEC LONG
Intel long on AI agent CPU demand.
Intel benefits from rising demand for CPUs driven by AI agents. Avi bought Intel at an average of $42, sold half at $70 based on an earlier target, but now believes he should have held more given the AI agent thesis. He still holds the remaining half and remains long.
INTC LONG
Memory undersupply drives huge profit growth.
Memory market is undersupplied by 45-50% over the forward 12 months, which historically leads to 4-7x profit surges for memory manufacturers. Samsung and SK hynix are ridiculously underpriced even after large rallies; they could rally another 500% from current levels, and at least 50-100% is an easy two-bagger.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Ton long on Pavel Durov takeover.
Pavel Durov (Telegram founder) is taking direct control of Ton, sidelining the poorly managed Ton Foundation. This makes Ton more useful and directly tied to Telegram. With Pavel now involved, Ton can trade back to $7 (its previous high before the takeover) and has strong upside.
TON LONG
HIGH
18:45
Apr 22
Apr 22
1000x Podcast
4mo
QQQ
SMH
CAR 1ST
BTC
▾
HIGH
Bullish on NASDAQ due to AI and strong economy.
The US economy is strong and growing, tech is an accelerator that improves earnings per share and productivity, and we are in the early phases of building out infrastructure for the AI revolution. The market rally has legs because many investors remain underallocated, and breadth is improving with equal-weight S&P and Russell performing better.
QQQ LONG
Bullish on semiconductor ETFs for AI infrastructure.
Semiconductors are a key part of the AI infrastructure build-out, and the early phases of the AI revolution require massive compute expansion. This drives investment in semiconductor companies, and the sector benefits from the broader market rally and improving breadth.
SMH LONG
Short Avis due to share issuance after squeeze.
Avis is a fantastic short because the short squeeze has pushed the price too high, and the company can issue more shares to raise cash, which will dilute shareholders and bring the price down. The move is playing out, and it could trade around 300 in six months.
CAR SHORT
Bitcoin going up due to flows and reflexive buying.
Bitcoin looks good technically and is underbought. There is a reflexive dynamic with Michael Saylor's STRC product where deposits buy Bitcoin, issuing stock to pay dividends, creating predictable buying pressure. Flows show a lack of sellers, and recent DeFi hacks reallocate capital to Bitcoin as the most decentralized and bulletproof asset.
BTC LONG
HIGH
11:03
Apr 22
Apr 22
1000x Podcast
4mo
SMH
PER 1ST
CAR 1ST
QQQ
BTC
▾
HIGH
Early AI infrastructure buildout supports tech.
We are in the early phases of building out infrastructure for the AI revolution, with low workforce adoption, implying significant expansion potential. This supports continued investment in tech and semiconductor exposure.
SMH LONG
QQQ LONG
PER is sole on-ramp for Hyperliquid access.
PER is the only way for many to access Hyperliquid without going on-chain, creating strong demand for the token as a gateway.
PER LONG
Avis short squeeze unsustainable, will issue stock.
The short squeeze in Avis has pushed the stock to unsustainable levels; the company can issue more stock to capitalize on high prices, which will eventually bring the price down. Suggests scaling into a short position.
CAR SHORT
Reflexive buying dynamic drives Bitcoin higher.
Bitcoin shows a lack of sellers and is staircasing up due to a reflexive dynamic where MicroStrategy (MSTR) issues stock to buy Bitcoin, and the STRC product attracts deposits, creating a self-reinforcing buying loop that could lead to a blowoff top.
BTC LONG
HIGH
04:16
Apr 08
Apr 08
1000x Podcast
5mo
WTI
BTC
STRIPE
GOLD
SPY
▾
The speaker states a 90% chance the Strait of Hormuz situation resolves within weeks, leading to a sharp mean reversion in oil prices, and a 10% chance of prolonged crisis/stagflation. Commodities are mean-reverting, and high prices solve high prices. Political will for a prolonged conflict is low, and an off-ramp will be found. Saudi Arabia has signaled it will max production post-conflict. The high probability scenario is for a sharp oil price decline. The extreme volatility (~$6.50 daily move) and risk of being stopped out make it an unattractive, high-risk trade despite the bearish view. The 10% stagflation scenario where the Strait remains closed, causing oil to spike much higher.
WTI AVOID
Short-term (weeks)
The speaker states crypto has been "beaten down," "nobody is paying attention," and this provides opportunity. He notes resilience (BTC not dropping on war news, ETH/SOL up) and asks, "who's left to sell?" The market's short-term focus on geopolitics has created capital allocation away from long-term trends like crypto. The asset class is showing signs of price exhaustion to the downside (failure to sell off on bad news), indicating a potential bottom. The setup is becoming attractive for a broad resurgence in crypto. It is "watched" for a potential entry point as weakness appears to be ending. Further geopolitical or regulatory shocks could still trigger selling.
BTC WATCH
Short to medium-term
The speaker argues Stripe is "better positioned to capture" the value from on-chain transactions than "pretty much anybody else" and is a "wave you can kind of ride now" in secondary markets. The mega-trend is the growth of efficient, API-based, and ultimately on-chain payments. Stripe owns a dominant share of the current API-based payment stack for commerce and is actively integrating crypto/stablecoin infrastructure (Tempo, Bridge). Stripe is a long-term investment to gain exposure to the convergence of traditional e-commerce payments and crypto/stablecoin rails. Valuation risk in private secondary markets; execution risk in integrating new payment technologies.
STRIPE WATCH
Long-term
The speaker explicitly states he wants to be "as deep in gold as possible" in a scenario where the Fed must cut due to poor employment/manufacturing data but inflation remains high from oil. In a stagflationary scenario (high inflation, muted growth), gold could rally massively as a hedge against dollar pressure and inflation. Gold is a conditional hedge in the portfolio, weighted for a lower-probability outcome. It is "watched" based on incoming employment and inflation data. Gold is behaving as a "risk-on" asset, not a safe-haven; central banks are currently sellers, not buyers, capping its upside in the crisis.
GOLD WATCH
Medium-term
The speaker states he is "dip buying" SPY right now, viewing it as a better-hedged version of MAG7 with less volatility. The core view is that the Iran conflict is transient. If it resolves, the bull market resumes. SPY provides broad exposure to that outcome, specifically the expected rip in tech, with lower single-stock risk. SPY is a preferred vehicle to express the high-probability view that the geopolitical overhang passes and markets rally. A prolonged oil crisis leading to stagflation, which would negatively impact equities.
SPY LONG
Medium-term
The speaker mentions he has "been banging the drum on Intel for a long time" and notes it has "performed extremely well off the lows." Intel is cited as an example of a way to gain exposure to the "mega-trend" of increased spending on compute/AI. It is presented as a long-term holding that can be bought during short-term market distractions like the Iran war. Intel is a long-term buy as a discounted play on the compute/AI spending trend. Company-specific execution risk within the competitive semiconductor industry.
INTC LONG
Long-term
17:30
Apr 07
Apr 07
1000x Podcast
5mo
BTC
WTI
GOLD
STRIPE
SPY
▾
The speaker stated he keeps "coming back to crypto" as an overlooked area, noting Bitcoin's resilience (not falling sharply on war news) and that "nobody is paying attention." Market focus is entirely on short-term oil volatility, capital has fled the asset class, and resilience suggests weak sellers are exhausted. This creates a potential setup for a resurgence once the immediate geopolitical crisis passes. The current distraction provides an opportunity to accumulate exposure to the long-term crypto mega-trend at depressed prices and low attention. A prolonged macro crisis drives a broad-based sell-off in all risk assets, including crypto.
BTC WATCH
Medium-term
The speaker stated that historically, fading oil price spikes during conflicts has been the correct trade (e.g., Ukraine, Iran-Israel 2024). However, he notes this event is different due to force majeure clauses crippling the physical trading community's ability to act as a volatility dampener. Physical traders are being stopped out of hedges, amplifying volatility. The extreme daily moves (~6x normal) mean the market can "remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent." Therefore, direct short positioning in oil futures is excessively risky and should be avoided, despite the fundamental belief that the crisis is transient. The Strait of Hormuz remains shut for a prolonged period, invalidating the mean-reversion thesis and leading to sustained high prices.
WTI AVOID
Short-term
The speaker stated he is "watching gold and silver for another massive rally" and would want to be "as deep in gold as possible" in a specific scenario: if oil stays high but the Fed is forced to cut rates due to poor employment/manufacturing data. This scenario represents a stagflationary outcome (the lower-probability 10% case). In such an environment, with inflation rising and growth faltering, gold would act as a hedge against dollar pressure and policy confusion. Gold is not a core holding in the base case, but is a conditional hedge worth monitoring closely for a shift in macroeconomic data. The high-probability scenario (war ends, oil crashes, tech rallies) plays out, making gold a poor performer. Or, central banks continue selling gold reserves.
GOLD WATCH
Medium-term
The speaker identified Stripe as a prime way to gain exposure to the mega-trend of stablecoin/on-chain payments, comparing its potential to Amazon's role in the early growth of e-commerce. He argues Stripe owns a dominant share of the API-based payment space (the "efficient" segment), which is poised to grow significantly as more commerce moves on-chain. Stripe has already made key crypto acquisitions (Tempo, Bridge). Stripe is uniquely positioned to capture the value from the convergence of traditional and on-chain payments, making it a compelling long-term investment available on secondary markets. The adoption of stablecoins for mainstream commerce is slower than anticipated, or competitors capture more of the value stack.
STRIPE WATCH
Long-term
The speaker stated he is "dip buying" SPY, viewing it as a better-hedged, less volatile version of the Magnificent 7. His core macro view is a 90% probability that the Iran conflict resolves quickly, oil prices collapse, and risk assets rally. SPY provides broad exposure to this anticipated market rebound. The current market downturn caused by war fears is a transient buying opportunity for a core equity holding. The conflict escalates into a prolonged oil supply crisis, causing stagflation and broader market decline.
SPY LONG
Medium-term
12:00
Apr 02
Apr 02
1000x Podcast
5mo
GOLD 1ST
S&P
WTI 1ST
▾
She stated that Ostium traders have been net long gold since January, expressing a stagflation view. Gold serves as a traditional hedge against inflation and uncertainty, which are central to her macro outlook. LONG on gold as a safe-haven asset expected to benefit from persistent inflationary and geopolitical pressures. If inflation is quickly tamed or global stability improves, gold's appeal could diminish.
GOLD LONG
medium-term
She noted that Ostium traders have been lightly short the S&P since January as part of the stagflation trade. Stagflation typically harms equity markets due to rising costs and slowing growth, making short positions logical under her thesis. SHORT on S&P due to the anticipated stagflationary headwinds for equities. If the economy avoids stagflation and enters a robust growth phase, equities could rally strongly.
S&P SHORT
medium-term
Kaledora reported that Ostium traders have been net long oil since January as part of a stagflation trade. Her macro thesis outlines a stagflationary environment with higher inflation and geopolitical risks, which historically supports oil prices. LONG on oil due to the alignment of trader positioning with her stagflation view and the implied validity of the thesis. A rapid resolution of geopolitical tensions or a sharp drop in inflation could undermine oil demand and prices.
WTI LONG
medium-term
12:01
Mar 26
Mar 26
1000x Podcast
5mo
HYPE
COIN FLIP
CANTON
SKY
HOOD
▾
Avi said, "I think that hyperliquid will eat commodities trading." Hyperliquid's 24/7 trading, crypto-native architecture, and ease of use make it superior for trading commodities, especially with rising stablecoin adoption. Long-term growth as crypto merges with traditional finance and institutions adopt on-chain trading for competitive advantage. Regulatory hurdles, failure to add dated futures, or slow stablecoin adoption by institutions.
HYPE LONG
long-term
Avi said for betting on stablecoins, "my answers are Sky, which is a crypto project, it's Circle and it's Coinbase." These companies are positioned to capitalize on stablecoin adoption, which is expected to hot-swap the backend of the financial system and generate yield for holders. Long-term investments as stablecoins grow and integrate into traditional finance, capturing value from intermediaries. Regulatory changes, especially around yield generation for stablecoins, and execution risks.
COIN LONG
SKY LONG
long-term
Jonah said, "I was kind of bearish Canton, now I'm not." Canton may be a contrarian angle that aligns with the themes of crypto and traditional finance merging, offering a strategic investment opportunity. Long opportunity as the project gains traction in the evolving market landscape. Project-specific risks, lack of adoption, or failure to execute on its vision amidst competition.
CANTON WATCH
medium-term to long-term
Avi said, "very constructive on on Robin Hood" for 24/7 trading. Robinhood can benefit from the trend towards 24/7 trading and crypto integration, appealing to modern traders and leveraging its platform. Long-term growth as trading becomes more continuous and accessible, competing with traditional brokers. Competition from crypto-native platforms like Hyperliquid, regulatory challenges, or market downturns.
HOOD LONG
long-term
Avi said, "I'm very bullish on Bitcoin." Bitcoin is a key asset in the crypto supercycle, benefiting from adoption as a store of value and the merging of financial systems. Long-term appreciation as crypto gains mainstream acceptance and serves as a hedge in volatile markets. Market cycles, regulatory changes, or technological disruptions.
BTC LONG
long-term
21:00
Mar 25
Mar 25
1000x Podcast
5mo
XLF 1ST
BTC 1ST
COIN 1ST
▾
Tapiero detailed the "Americanization of crypto," noting U.S. exchange volume share has doubled from 7% to 15% of global volume and could easily reach 50% in 5-10 years due to deep capital markets and regulatory clarity. This trend directly benefits U.S.-domiciled, regulated crypto exchanges and financial infrastructure companies (like Coinbase, Kraken) as volume and value migrate on-chain within the U.S. financial system. U.S.-focused crypto finance companies are primary beneficiaries of a durable, multi-year trend of market share growth and deepening integration. A reversal towards a hostile U.S. regulatory environment or failure of listed companies to execute competitively against offshore rivals.
XLF LONG
long-term
Tapiero forecasts Bitcoin's value will reach $20 trillion (approximately $1 million per BTC) over the next decade, a ~10x from current levels, and states he doesn't see it staying below $50,000 for any demonstrable period. He bases this on Bitcoin's role as "digital gold" and the foundational asset of a digital asset ecosystem whose underlying fundamentals (adoption, stablecoin volume, DeFi revenue) have grown massively while its price has been flat for ~5 years. Bitcoin offers asymmetric long-term upside with controlled downside from current levels, representing a core holding for the "digitization of money and value." A catastrophic macroeconomic or regulatory shock that severs the institutional adoption narrative.
BTC LONG
long-term
Dan Tapiero explicitly stated "Coinbase trading at seven times [revenue] is not... out of whack, coinbase is way too cheap." He contextualizes this by highlighting Coinbase's successful evolution beyond a retail platform and the broader "Americanization" of crypto driving volume to U.S. regulated exchanges. The stock is significantly undervalued relative to its strategic position and revenue growth trajectory within an institutionalizing market. A prolonged crypto bear market severely depressing trading volumes and revenue.
COIN LONG
long-term
03:39
Mar 18
Mar 18
1000x Podcast
5mo
NEAR
HYPE
SKY
CRV
GLXY
▾
Jonah calls Near a "money vacuum" and compares it to a "shitcoin," dismissing its "intents" narrative as irrelevant compared to centralized AI token generation. The thesis is based on hype rather than proven tokenomic demand or revenue; it lacks the fundamental buyback-driven value accrual seen in other assets. AVOID because capital is likely to be lost chasing a narrative that doesn't translate to sustainable value or price appreciation. The "intents" narrative gains unexpected traction and drives substantial, sustained adoption.
NEAR AVOID
long-term
Jonah states Hyperliquid is "going to eat finance" and praises its product, noting it allows retail to trade assets like oil when traditional futures markets are closed. It provides a unique advantage (24/7 trading) that even large institutions currently lack due to regulatory barriers, creating a period of asymmetric opportunity for retail. LONG because its utility drives user adoption and revenue, and it is seen as a leading indicator for trading activity in related assets. Regulatory changes that allow institutions to trade on the platform, eroding the retail edge, or failure to scale.
HYPE LONG
medium-term
Avi is "very bullish on Sky" (Maker Dao rebrand), citing its annualized revenue (~$200-420M), growing TVL ($7.5B), and daily buybacks. If stable coin adoption explodes as predicted, Sky is a pure-play way to gain exposure as a decentralized issuer and beneficiary of that growth, unlike the equity of centralized issuers. LONG because it is a fundamental picks-and-shovels play on the stable coin trend with attractive tokenomics (buybacks) and a first-mover advantage. Failure to grow TVL and revenue, or competitive pressure from other stable coin models.
SKY LONG
long-term
Avi states "Curve is totally cooked" and that he doesn't think anyone is using it for stable coin swaps anymore. The utility for decentralized stable coin swapping has been eroded by more user-friendly centralized options (like Hyperliquid) and widespread availability elsewhere. AVOID because the protocol is seen as obsolete in its core function, with little prospect for a revival in usage or fees. A major resurgence in demand for non-custodial stable coin liquidity that exclusively favors Curve's model.
CRV AVOID
long-term
Jonah identifies Galaxy as a laggard, noting it traded above $40 and is now at ~$23, and questions why it wouldn't rebound with crypto and AI narratives. Its valuation is heavily tied to the success of its Helios AI data center project and broader crypto market performance; a crypto rebound could lift the stock. WATCH because it is a high-risk, reflexive asset that could see a sharp move if sentiment turns, but its fundamental pivot to AI data centers remains unproven. The AI data center initiative fails to monetize effectively, or the company continues to post losses despite a crypto rally.
GLXY WATCH
medium-term
Avi states he is "bullish on Bitcoin," believes sellers are exhausted, and notes it has broken out of its range above $70k. The geopolitical panic failed to cause a deep or sustained dip, and the technical breakout suggests upward momentum is resuming. LONG because the breakout from a multi-week range indicates a likely rally towards $85k-$90k. A failure to hold the breakout, specifically a fall back below $69k, would invalidate the setup and could lead to new lows.
BTC LONG
medium-term
Avi states that post-Iran fears, assets that got hit by both AI and Iran fears—specifically software companies and large-cap tech—will start doing really well. The dissipation of the dominant geopolitical fear is expected to cause a rotation of risk appetite back into growth-oriented tech and software sectors that sold off previously. LONG because the sector is poised for a rebound as the primary "wall of worry" (Iran/oil) recedes, creating a gap before the next fear emerges. A significant escalation in the Iran conflict or a rapid return of "AI fears" that dampen sentiment.
XLK LONG
short-to-medium-term
Avi says "Ethereum looks phenomenal" and attributes its strength to the stable coin adoption narrative. The growing use and revenue from stable coins (like USDC) directly benefit the Ethereum network where they are primarily issued and used. LONG because Ethereum is the primary platform for stable coin activity, which is seen as a major growth driver for crypto. A breakdown in the ETH/BTC ratio or a failure of stable coin adoption to continue accelerating.
ETH LONG
medium-term
Avi states that "once Bitcoin gets rip roaring again... Hood can easily go back to $120," from around $77. Robinhood's trading revenue is highly correlated with crypto market activity; a sustained crypto rally would drive increased user engagement and profitability. LONG as a leveraged, high-beta play on a recovery in retail crypto trading momentum. A failure of crypto markets to sustain their rally, or regulatory pressures impacting Robinhood's crypto operations.
HOOD LONG
medium-term
17:00
Mar 17
Mar 17
1000x Podcast
5mo
SKY 1ST
NEAR 1ST
GLXY
ETH
HYPE
▾
Avi said "I'm very bullish on Sky" (rebrand of Maker Dao), noting it's up this year with strong revenue and TVL ($21B). As a decentralized stablecoin issuer, Sky benefits from the stablecoin adoption trend and has critical mass, making it a pure play. LONG because it's a direct bet on stablecoin growth with attractive fundamentals like daily buybacks and low market cap. Stablecoin adoption stalls, or regulatory issues impact decentralized protocols.
SKY LONG
Medium to long-term (next 6-12 months).
Jonah said "do not touch it with a 10-ft pole" and compared Near to a "money vacuum," citing past crashes and hype-driven narratives. Near's AI narrative (intents) is seen as unconvincing, and oversupply of altcoins crowds out investment merit. AVOID because it lacks sustainable value capture, with high risk of capital loss based on historical performance. If Near delivers on AI promises or gains unexpected adoption, it could outperform, but this is deemed unlikely.
NEAR AVOID
Long-term, but immediate avoidance due to perceived overvaluation.
Avi discussed Galaxy as a laggard trading at $23 (down from $40), with potential if crypto and AI data center narratives rebound. Galaxy's performance is tied to Bitcoin and its Helios data center repurposing for AI, but timing and monetization are uncertain. WATCH because it could offer a spicy trade if conditions improve, but risks remain due to earnings volatility and street skepticism. AI data center delays or continued poor earnings could further depress the stock.
GLXY WATCH
Short to medium-term, depending on crypto and AI trends.
Avi said "Ethereum looks phenomenal" and linked its performance to the stablecoin adoption narrative. Stablecoin growth drives demand for Ethereum as a platform, improving the ETH/BTC ratio and supporting price appreciation. LONG because Ethereum benefits from the stablecoin trade and technical strength, with potential for significant recovery. Stablecoin adoption slows or fails to materialize, or broader crypto sell-off impacts Ethereum.
ETH LONG
Medium-term (next 3-6 months).
Avi stated "we've been hyperlook bulls" and highlighted Hyperliquid's unique ability to trade oil on weekends when traditional markets are closed. This advantage attracts retail traders and could drive adoption, especially with institutional interest pending regulatory whitelisting. LONG because Hyperliquid has a competitive edge in 24/7 trading, potential for growth, and could reach $150-200 in value. Regulatory hurdles delay institutional access, or competitors emerge with similar offerings.
HYPE LONG
Medium-term (next 6-12 months).
Avi stated "Curve is totally cooked" and argued that stablecoin trading is over, with decentralized swaps being less convenient. Curve faces competition from centralized options like Hyperliquid, and its stablecoin (USDS) may not gain significant adoption. AVOID because Curve's utility has diminished, and it's unlikely to recover in a market shifting towards easier trading platforms. If decentralized stablecoin trading resurges or Curve innovates, it could rebound, but this is considered improbable.
CRV AVOID
Medium-term, as trends away from its model.
Avi explicitly stated "I am bullish on Bitcoin" and noted Bitcoin broke out from 66k to 73k, clearing a key resistance level. The breakout indicates exhausted sellers after weeks of failing to make new lows, suggesting bullish momentum and a potential rally. LONG because technical breakout supports upside, with a target of 85-90k, and it's a risk-adjusted bet with a stop below 69k. If Bitcoin fails and trades back below 69k, it could signal a failed breakout and lead to new lows.
BTC LONG
Short to medium-term (next few weeks to months).
Avi mentioned Robin Hood (HOOD) trading at $77, with a low of $70, and said it "can easily go back to 120" as crypto recovers. Increased trading activity from crypto rallies drives revenue for HOOD, making it a leveraged play on market recovery. LONG because HOOD is poised to rebound with crypto momentum, offering significant upside from current levels. Crypto rally falters, or HOOD faces competitive or regulatory pressures.
HOOD LONG
Medium-term (next 6-8 months).
14:00
Mar 11
Mar 11
1000x Podcast
5mo
SPY
URA
MP
GLD
QQQ
▾
if they try to really push down the dollar, it might cause equities to go up... but there's a very significant downside scenario similar to 2025 where because foreigners aren't hedged in their dollar risk... every major equity index in the world is like at all-time high valuations. The incoming administration may attempt to devalue the US Dollar to rebalance global trade. Because foreign investors hold massive, unhedged positions in US equities, a falling dollar will force them to sell their US stock holdings to manage their currency risk, triggering a broad market selloff despite domestic liquidity. WATCH. The global positioning mismatch creates a massive tail risk for US equities if the government actively pursues a weaker dollar policy. The administration abandons the weak dollar policy, or domestic retail and institutional buying absorbs the foreign selling pressure.
SPY WATCH
QQQ WATCH
medium-term
we are going to need to lean back into nuclear energy in order to fund to power these data centers. I mean basically every single grid is tapped out. The AI boom requires massive amounts of electricity that current grids cannot support, forcing a structural pivot back to nuclear energy. Western-based uranium miners will secure larger, long-term supply contracts to feed this demand, ensuring profitability regardless of short-term spot price fluctuations. LONG. Uranium miners are a derivative play on AI data center growth, benefiting from structural energy deficits and a geopolitical push for Western energy self-reliance. Regulatory hurdles for new nuclear plants, timeline delays in data center construction, or alternative energy breakthroughs.
URA WATCH
CCJ LONG
long-term
the US doesn't trust China and needs to establish its own supply line. So specifically US-based rare earth minerals continue to do well. Geopolitical fracturing between the US and China is forcing Western nations to onshore critical supply chains. Companies that mine and process rare earth minerals within the US or allied nations will receive a premium valuation and likely government support as they replace Chinese imports. LONG. US-based rare earth miners are a direct hedge against US-China trade wars and a beneficiary of the onshoring megatrend. China floods the market with cheap rare earths to bankrupt Western competitors, or geopolitical tensions unexpectedly cool down.
MP WATCH
long-term
gold is specifically being stockpiled by central banks as a part of this divestment from US treasuries... if that stops then I think the gold run and the silver run stops. Gold's current rally is driven by the multipolar world thesis and foreign central banks diversifying away from the US Dollar. If the US achieves a clean regime change in Iran, US global hegemony will be re-established, causing foreign capital to flow back into US equities and halting the central bank gold-buying spree. WATCH. Maintain long exposure for now, but be prepared to rotate heavily out of gold and back into US equities if the Middle East conflict resolves with a decisive US strategic victory. The Iran conflict escalates into a messy regional war, accelerating the de-dollarization trend and pushing gold much higher before a rotation is possible.
GLD WATCH
medium-term
Oracle is the only company that is basically levering up really aggressively and pulling all negative returns into the present and pushing all future returns into the or all exponential returns into the future. Larry Ellison is aggressively using the company's balance sheet and capex to build AI infrastructure. Because he owns 40% of the company and they have heavily bought back shares, the public float is incredibly small. The recent stock drawdown has already priced in the heavy capex, creating a bottoming formation before the exponential AI revenue is realized. LONG. Oracle is a high-conviction, leveraged play on AI infrastructure with a tightly controlled float and a founder aggressively aligning the balance sheet for massive future growth. AI capex fails to generate the expected exponential returns, or competitors like xAI outcompete them in the specific infrastructure race Ellison is betting on.
ORCL LONG
medium-term
18:31
Mar 10
Mar 10
1000x Podcast
5mo
BTC
URA
ETH
GLD
SPY 1ST
▾
Bitcoin is going to be extremely valuable um actually specifically because of the return of American strength because Bitcoin is very tied closely to the Trump regime. The current US administration is highly favorable to digital assets. A swift and successful resolution to the Middle East conflict strengthens the administration's political capital globally, which indirectly provides a safer, more supportive regulatory environment for major cryptocurrencies. LONG because geopolitical dips offer cheap entries into crypto assets that are fundamentally supported by the current US political regime. A broader macroeconomic liquidity contraction or unexpected regulatory crackdowns outside the US could suppress digital asset prices.
BTC WATCH
ETH WATCH
medium-term
What I do think is still very valuable, uranium, because we're still going to be pushing forward on energy production. The geopolitical conflict highlights the vulnerability of global energy supply chains. To ensure sovereignty and meet growing power demands, Western nations will accelerate their adoption of nuclear energy, creating a sustained demand shock for uranium. LONG because the macro necessity for secure, baseload energy production makes uranium a resilient mega-trend regardless of short-term geopolitical noise. A major nuclear accident could instantly halt global reactor development and destroy the political will for nuclear energy expansion.
URA WATCH
long-term
I think that gold is a less good investment today than it was yesterday... the whole thesis behind gold is that if we're going into a multipolar world, people are going to want to be less exposed to America. Gold's recent bull run was heavily predicated on the rise of a multipolar world where countries diversify away from the US dollar. With the US successfully dismantling China's allied network (Iran/Venezuela), the multipolar thesis is breaking down, reducing the structural demand for gold. AVOID because the geopolitical landscape is shifting back toward US dominance, undermining the primary macro tailwind for gold. US inflation re-accelerates or the US dollar debases rapidly, driving gold demand regardless of the geopolitical power structure.
GLD AVOID
long-term
I'm very very very bullish on US equities now. I think that money is going to come flooding back in because I think that this war is going to be over very soon. By neutralizing Iran and Venezuela, the US is cutting off China's proxy network and re-establishing unipolar American hegemony. This will cause global capital to flee emerging markets and rotate heavily back into US equities as the premier safe haven and growth engine. LONG because the resolution of the Middle East conflict will solidify US global dominance and trigger massive capital inflows into American markets. The conflict escalates or drags on longer than expected, causing prolonged uncertainty and delayed capital rotation.
SPY LONG
QQQ LONG
medium-term
I've been talking about Ramx since $65. It is now 98. I'm still bullish. I think it's going to 200. As the US aggressively decouples from China and reasserts its own industrial and energy independence, securing domestic and allied supply chains for strategic metals becomes a top priority, driving massive capital into rare earth miners. LONG because rare earth minerals are a critical bottleneck for modern technology and defense, and Western governments will heavily subsidize this sector to break Chinese monopolies. China floods the market with cheap rare earth minerals to bankrupt Western competitors, or new technologies reduce the need for these specific metals.
REMX LONG
long-term
I think we got a good entry on the Tel Aviv stock exchange too. It's off 10 15% on this. It's going to go right back to the highs once this is over. Markets have aggressively priced in existential war risk into Israeli equities. As the conflict resolves with a decisive victory that degrades hostile proxies, the risk premium will vanish, causing a rapid mean-reversion in the local stock market. LONG because the underlying economy remains intact and the current discount is purely driven by temporary kinetic conflict. The war expands into a multi-front, protracted conflict that severely damages domestic infrastructure and economic output.
EIS LONG
short-term
This war gave you a phenomenal entry on Intel. Intel is going to 80 bucks. We're going to be pumping out American chips. Geopolitical conflicts create temporary market dips that offer discounted entries into long-term mega-trends. The US government's mandate to onshore semiconductor manufacturing for national security ensures massive structural support for domestic chipmakers. LONG because transient war fears have temporarily mispriced a company that is central to the US national security and re-industrialization agenda. The company fails to execute on its foundry turnaround strategy or loses further market share to competitors before government subsidies can bridge the gap.
INTC LONG
long-term
The only thing you're looking at on screen when you see $88 a barrel is you're seeing geopolitical risk. This thing is worth 50... if you can find a way to get short oil without getting your nuts blown off, you should do it. The spike in oil prices is entirely driven by transient geopolitical fears regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Because the US and Israel can guarantee maritime transit and the physical market is actually facing a supply glut, the geopolitical premium will evaporate, causing prices to crash back to fundamental levels. SHORT because the underlying physical market is oversupplied and the geopolitical risk premium is artificial and temporary. An unexpected, successful kinetic closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran could cause a massive short squeeze and catastrophic global economic impacts.
USO SHORT
medium-term
13:00
Mar 05
Mar 05
1000x Podcast
6mo
ALTS
HOOD 1ST
GLD 1ST
NVDA 1ST
MSFT 1ST
▾
Flood advises, "I wouldn't short alts down here... I would just not pay attention to them." While he believes most altcoins are "zeros" or "zombie companies," the risk/reward for shorting is poor because they have high beta to BTC and can squeeze 150% randomly. The "Great Alt Short" trade has passed. AVOID. Do not long (most are scams), do not short (squeeze risk). Missing a specific idiosyncratic runner (e.g., a meme coin mania).
ALTS NEUTRAL
short-term
Flood explicitly says, "We've been adding recently [to Robinhood]." He notes HOOD serves the "average everyday American retail." The "App Thesis": Value accrues to the interface that owns the customer. As US regulations potentially open up for perps/crypto derivatives, Robinhood is best positioned to capture that volume because they already own the user base. LONG. A bet on the "super app" aggregation of trading (crypto + stocks + perps). Regulatory delays in allowing perps in the US; competition from DeFi if UX improves.
HOOD LONG
medium-term
Flood says, "If you had to weight long societal unrest, political unrest... you should do that." Avi Felman clarifies, "that's probably the gold trade," and Flood agrees. Political volatility is increasing globally. In times of "societal unrest," capital flees to non-sovereign stores of value. While BTC is the digital version, Gold is the traditional beneficiary of this specific type of fear. LONG. A hedge against political instability and election cycles. High real rates typically hurt gold; easing of geopolitical tensions.
GLD LONG
medium-term
Flood states, "I wouldn't fade AI this year, candidly... the potential upside for AI is infinite." Even for a crypto trader, the capital flows into AI are undeniable. The narrative of "infinite returns" (AGI/Digital God) overrides valuation concerns. If capital must go somewhere, it flows to the sector promising the biggest technological leap. LONG. Momentum trade based on capital flows and narrative dominance. Valuation bubbles; regulatory scrutiny on big tech; diminishing returns on LLM scaling.
NVDA LONG
MSFT LONG
GOOGL LONG
short-term
Flood states, "I am still bullish Bitcoin... good time to rewrite, but definitely still long-term bullish." He notes that if the thesis (monetary debasement) is unchanged, lower prices are better entries. He argues that fiscal deficits and debt structuring make currency debasement inevitable. While the "nation-state adoption" thesis hasn't played out yet, the macro backdrop for a store of value remains intact. LONG. He views current apathy and price drawdowns as an accumulation opportunity. Quantum computing risks (mentioned as a specific idiosyncratic risk to BTC).
BTC LONG
long-term
Flood discusses his firm's massive bet on Hyperliquid (HYPE), noting they were a significant amount of the "hour one, day one volume." He believes the market fundamentally misprices the revenue potential of perp DEXs compared to centralized exchanges (Binance makes ~$20B/year; market priced HYPE as if the sector makes $1B). HYPE captures the "on-chain, tech-native" trader, complementing the HOOD bet. LONG. High conviction bet on decentralized perpetuals gaining market share. Smart contract risk; regulatory crackdowns on DeFi.
HYPE LONG
medium-term
19:44
Feb 23
Feb 23
1000x Podcast
6mo
AAPL 1ST
POLYMARKET
DASH 1ST
URA 1ST
CRM
▾
The "Catrini" article suggests computing will move to the "edge" (local devices) to reduce costs and latency. Apple owns the most valuable "edge" real estate (the iPhone). As AI models run locally on devices rather than in the cloud, the hardware provider becomes the gatekeeper and beneficiary of increased compute usage per person. Apple is the prime beneficiary of the shift to edge computing, yet sold off on the news, creating a buying opportunity. If AI models remain too large to run effectively on consumer hardware.
AAPL LONG
long-term
The market is entering a period of extreme uncertainty and volatility where "hedge funds are moving money around like crazy." In high-volatility environments, you want to own "anti-fragile" assets that benefit from churn and volume, rather than directional bets on the economy. Long volatility-based platforms like Prediction Markets (Polymarket) and high-throughput exchanges (Hyperliquid) that earn fees from uncertainty. Regulatory crackdowns on prediction markets or crypto exchanges.
POLYMARKET WATCH
HYPE LONG
short-term
The "Catrini" thesis argues AI removes friction. Companies like DoorDash and Salesforce exist largely to manage friction or act as a middleman. If AI agents can navigate the web and order food/manage data directly, the "app layer" and "middleman fees" (interchange fees, platform fees) get compressed to zero. Avoid companies whose primary value is acting as a user interface or friction-reducer, as AI agents will bypass them for the cheapest underlying service. These companies successfully integrating AI to lower their own costs and retaining pricing power.
DASH AVOID
CRM AVOID
UBER AVOID
long-term
AI growth is currently bottlenecked by physical constraints: data centers, chips, and specifically energy. While software costs collapse, the demand for the physical inputs required to run AI (electricity) will skyrocket. Utilities and energy producers have pricing power. Long energy majors (Exxon, Chevron), Uranium (nuclear resurgence), and Utilities (Constellation Energy) as they provide the critical infrastructure for the AI buildout. A faster-than-expected efficiency in AI compute reducing energy needs.
URA LONG
XLU LONG
XOM LONG
XLE LONG
CVX LONG
CEG LONG
medium-term
Anthropic recently announced that cloud code can automate COBOL modernization (updating old banking/mainframe code). IBM's business model relies heavily on human consulting and legacy system maintenance (COBOL). If AI automates this "human friction," IBM's moat evaporates. Short "human output" businesses like IBM that charge for services AI can do for free. IBM successfully pivoting to become a dominant AI service provider (unlikely according to speaker).
IBM WATCH
short-term
The hosts agree that if AI causes a credit crisis or deflationary spiral, the government response is predictable. Unlike 2008, the response to a white-collar unemployment crisis will be immediate monetary expansion. The Fed and Treasury will "gang up and start blasting money into the economy." In a scenario of massive liquidity injection to combat deflation, hard assets and debasement hedges perform best. If the deflationary shock is severe enough to crush all asset prices before the printing begins (liquidity crunch).
BTC LONG
GOLD LONG
medium-term
If the AI-driven deflation thesis plays out, the cost of goods and wages will collapse. In a deflationary environment, the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to zero immediately to stimulate the economy. Long duration Treasuries (TLT) rip higher when rates collapse to zero. If the response is inflationary printing (stagflation) rather than pure deflation, bonds could suffer.
TLT LONG
medium-term
The world is undergoing massive structural changes and geopolitical instability. Governments are forced to spend on security regardless of the economic cycle. European defense stocks specifically are highlighted as a "mega trend" with good entry points coming up. Geopolitical de-escalation or cuts in government spending.
ITA LONG
medium-term
13:47
Feb 17
Feb 17
1000x Podcast
6mo
WDAY
INTU
ADBE
TEAM
HYPE
▾
"The revenues from all these companies are basically going to get back in and reinvested in the mega caps... I guarantee you that a lot of people are getting rid of Salesforce because they've just built their own internal tools." AI drastically lowers the barrier to entry for software creation. Companies will stop paying premium subscriptions for "System of Record" software (Salesforce, Atlassian, Intuit, Adobe, Workday) when they can build bespoke internal solutions for a fraction of the cost using AI. This leads to a structural collapse in B2B SaaS revenue. Short legacy B2B SaaS providers on bounces. AI adoption slows down, or these legacy companies successfully pivot to becoming essential AI platforms themselves.
WDAY WATCH
INTU WATCH
ADBE WATCH
TEAM WATCH
CRM SHORT
GOOG LONG
META LONG
AMZN LONG
MSFT LONG
medium-term
"This is the dot com implosion moment where your pets.com goes to zero, but everything else ends up going up... things like Morpho and things like Uniswap... things like Hyperliquid that are generating real capital." The crypto market is bifurcating. Speculative assets with no revenue are entering a deep bear market. However, protocols that generate actual fees and have product-market fit (Hyperliquid, Uniswap, Aerodrome) are currently being dragged down by the broader market beta but represent the "Amazon" opportunities of this cycle. Long high-quality DeFi protocols with real revenue. A prolonged "Crypto Winter" (9-18 months) drags all assets down regardless of fundamentals.
HYPE WATCH
AERODROME LONG
UNI WATCH
long-term
"My take is that there is value at like 60 to 64k per BTC and that's where I would look at accumulating longterm." Despite the lack of a current bullish narrative (Gold decoupling, liquidity pause), price action suggests deep value support in the low 60k region. The "Quantum FUD" is a non-issue fundamentally, as the chain would simply fork to a quantum-resistant version. Accumulate Bitcoin in the $60k-$64k zone; aggressive buy at $52k. Global liquidity crunch or a breakdown of the "digital gold" narrative.
BTC LONG
long-term
"Hype's trading as much volume as Coinbase now... Coinbase is just imploding." Decentralized exchanges like Hyperliquid are eating Coinbase's market share in volume, yet trade at a fraction of the valuation. As on-chain trading becomes superior, Coinbase's centralized dominance erodes. Short Coinbase (or pair trade: Long HYPE / Short COIN). Regulatory crackdowns on DeFi force users back to compliant centralized exchanges.
COIN SHORT
medium-term
07:12
Feb 17
Feb 17
1000x Podcast
6mo
AERODROME 1ST
WDAY
META 1ST
GOOG
TEAM
▾
"Hyperliquid is trading as much volume as Coinbase now... Uniswap are getting bought up by large institutions... these things are actually generating real revenues." This is the "dot-com implosion moment" where 99% of projects die (Pets.com), but the real businesses (Amazon) survive. Protocols generating actual cash flow and volume are being dragged down by the broader crypto bear market, creating a deep value opportunity. Long DeFi protocols with real revenue/volume (Uniswap, Hyperliquid, Aerodrome). Regulatory crackdowns on DeFi interfaces or a prolonged 18-month "crypto winter" that suppresses all assets regardless of quality.
AERODROME LONG
HYPE WATCH
UNI WATCH
long-term
"In the next three years, I guarantee you that a lot of people are getting rid of Salesforce because they've just built their own internal tools." The "SaaS Apocalypse." AI allows companies to build bespoke "System of Record" tools in-house rather than paying expensive per-seat licensing fees. This creates a secular downtrend for B2B SaaS companies that rely on high switching costs that AI is now eroding. Short legacy SaaS providers. (Tactical note: Do not short in the hole; wait for 15-20% rallies/bounces to enter shorts). Institutional inertia; companies may be slower to switch off legacy systems than anticipated.
WDAY WATCH
TEAM WATCH
INTU WATCH
ADBE WATCH
CRM SHORT
medium-term
"The revenues that were going to those companies [SaaS] are going to be absorbed into savings from Google... profit go up." Large tech companies are vertically integrated "Exxon Mobiles of compute." They have the capital to build internal software replacements using AI, cutting out third-party SaaS vendors. This reduces OpEx and increases margins for the Hyperscalers, making them the ultimate beneficiaries of the AI productivity boom. Long Mega Cap Tech as they capture the value previously leaked to SaaS vendors. Regulatory breakup risks or a failure of AI to deliver actual coding productivity gains.
META LONG
GOOG WATCH
MSFT LONG
AMZN LONG
medium-term
"Why bet on some random crypto project... why bet on Layer Zero or Monad... or Sei or Sui or Aptos when you can gamble on [Prediction Markets]?" Retail liquidity is shifting away from "Tech" coins (L1s/Interop) toward pure gambling (Prediction Markets). Without the "casino" aspect of community pumps, these high-valuation infrastructure plays have no buyer of last resort. Avoid generic L1s and "Zombie Chains" as attention shifts to gambling/prediction markets. A specific app breakout on one of these chains attracts liquidity back.
SUI AVOID
ZRO AVOID
MONAD AVOID
APT AVOID
medium-term
"My take is that there is value at like 60 to 64k per BTC... maybe we get down to 52K at which case you really can back up the truck." Bitcoin is currently in a liquidity air-gap. While momentum is down, the fundamental value zone is 60-64k. The "Quantum FUD" is noise because the chain will simply fork to solve it, preserving value for active holders. Accumulate Bitcoin in the low 60s; aggressive buy at 52k. Global liquidity crunch or "Crypto Winter" lasts 18 months (Mike Ippolito thesis).
BTC WATCH
long-term
"Hyperliquid is trading as much volume as Coinbase now... Coinbase is just imploding." Decentralized exchanges (like Hyperliquid) are eating Coinbase's market share in volume, yet trade at a fraction of the valuation. As on-chain trading becomes superior, the centralized incumbent (Coinbase) loses its moat. Short Coinbase as a hedge against Long DeFi. Regulatory moat protects Coinbase; institutional flows (ETFs) continue to favor Coinbase custody.
COIN SHORT
medium-term
08:01
Feb 12
Feb 12
1000x Podcast
6mo
AMZN 1ST
URA
XLI 1ST
MEMECOINS 1ST
ITB 1ST
▾
Avi states, "Capital concentration is the name of the game... Mag 7... going to outperform all other tech companies." While skeptics cite high Capex as a negative, this spending builds an insurmountable moat. The massive productivity gains and infrastructure ownership (data centers) will accrue astronomical capital to these incumbents before any regulatory or AGI-level disruption occurs. Long the incumbents. The "underperformance" due to Capex fears has already played out. Regulatory breakup or a faster-than-expected shift to AGI that breaks the current corporate model.
AMZN LONG
FNGS LONG
GOOGL LONG
medium-term
Avi identifies a "geopolitical mega trend" and notes "Uranium... is going to be very critical to powering the next stage of energy production." The convergence of AI (massive energy demand) and Geopolitics (US isolationism/supply chain security) creates a bottleneck for power and critical minerals. Nuclear (Uranium) and domestic sourcing of Rare Earths are the only viable solutions to power data centers independent of foreign reliance. Long Uranium and Rare Earth miners. Regulatory hurdles for new nuclear plants or environmental pushback on mining.
URA WATCH
REMX LONG
medium-term
Jonah argues against buying raw commodities (like Nat Gas) due to supply gluts, stating one should focus on the "manufactured commodity" or the "machine." Data centers don't need raw gas; they need *electricity* (the manufactured commodity) and physical structures. The alpha is not in the fuel (which is abundant), but in the conversion (Utilities) and the build-out (Construction/Industrials) of the data centers themselves. Long the "Pick and Shovel" plays of the AI build-out (Utilities, Grid, Construction). High interest rates slowing down physical construction projects.
XLI LONG
ITB LONG
XLE LONG
medium-term
Avi says, "If you get a pop for memes that's free money. You just short the [__] out of that." The market regime has shifted fundamentally. We are in a "reality sets in" phase where assets without revenue or utility are repricing to zero. Any rally in speculative assets is simply exit liquidity, not a new bull run. Sell rips / Short rallies in speculative tokens. A sudden return of "mania" retail liquidity (low probability according to speakers).
MEMECOINS SHORT
short-term
Jonah states, "I think the lows are in... when we wicked down to... 60k I think that was it." The market is flushing out "useless" crypto assets (the Dot Com bust phase), but Bitcoin remains the premier "hard asset." The current chop is a transfer of value from impatient retail to institutions. The regulatory backdrop is constructive, and the "washout" creates a clean base for the next leg up. Accumulate at 60k-65k levels. A "real financial crisis" (Lehman style) contagion event that forces a deeper liquidation of all assets.
BTC LONG
long-term
02:35
Feb 03
Feb 03
1000x Podcast
7mo
GOLD
SILVER
ETH
HYPE
URA
▾
Gold fell ~22% in weeks; Silver crashed harder. Volatility has exploded. Second-Order Thinking regarding CTAs (Commodity Trading Advisors). CTAs target specific volatility levels. When Gold was slow/steady, they sized up massively. Now that volatility has spiked, their risk models force them to sell to reduce variance. Jonah estimates they are only "25% of the way" through their forced selling. Do not catch the falling knife. The "unwind" will take weeks as quants systematically reduce exposure. Central banks could step in aggressively to buy the dip earlier than expected.
GOLD AVOID
SILVER AVOID
Short-term (Wait for stabilization)
"ETH really got absolutely nuked on high volume." Unlike Bitcoin (which has a clear support structure at $74k) or Solana (defending $100), Ethereum is showing relative weakness and technical breakdown without clear buyer interest. Capital is better deployed in BTC (safety) or HYPE (growth). An unexpected rotation back into L1s could squeeze shorts.
ETH AVOID
Short-term
Hyperliquid is trading ~$31 (up 50% recently) while the rest of the market nukes. Volumes on the exchange are hitting billions, rivaling traditional finance venues. "Usage is King." In a bear/choppy market, revenue-generating infrastructure outperforms speculative assets. Hyperliquid is capturing market share from both crypto (CEXs) and TradFi (commodities/stocks on-chain). Jonah explicitly mentions selling "out of the money" Bitcoin tax lots to rotate into HYPE. High conviction Long. It is viewed as the "Google/Coinbase" of this cycle—a product with genuine product-market fit regardless of asset prices. Regulatory intervention (though mitigated if Trump administration is lenient) or competition from other DEXs.
HYPE LONG
Medium to Long-term
Uranium (URA) is at $53 and Rare Earths (REMX) at $85. These assets plummeted alongside Gold and Silver during the recent crash. This is a "correlation failure." Retail and algos treated these assets as high-beta plays on Gold. When Gold crashed, these were sold indiscriminately. However, their fundamentals (nuclear energy ramp-up) are uncorrelated to Gold's monetary premium. The sell-off is technical, not fundamental. Buy the "unfairly dragged around" assets. The "Mega Trend" (nuclear/critical minerals) timeline exceeds the short-term volatility of the metals crash. Continued broad market "risk-off" flows could suppress all commodities regardless of fundamentals.
URA LONG
REMX LONG
Long-term (Mega Trend)
Bitcoin retraced from highs to the $74k-$78k range. Avi states, "This is what you wait for... the risk/reward on this trade is great." The $74k level represents a critical support zone (previous "original buy zone"). The market is currently in a "range" structure; buying at the bottom of the range ($74k) with a stop loss just below allows for a high R/R trade targeting a bounce to $90k-$92k. Buy spot or long perps in the $74k-$78k zone. A sustained break below $74k invalidates the range thesis and signals a deeper bear market.
BTC LONG
Short-term (Trade) / Long-term (Allocation)
19:21
Feb 02
Feb 02
1000x Podcast
7mo
HYPE 1ST
SILVER 1ST
URA 1ST
ETH 1ST
GOLD 1ST
▾
Hyperliquid volumes are trending up significantly, trading billions in real-world assets (Silver/Gold) and crypto. The token is up 50% recently despite the market crash. In crypto, "usage is king." Hyperliquid is capturing market share from traditional exchanges (like Nasdaq) and crypto competitors because it is a superior product with no supply overhang. It is transitioning from a "crypto play" to a revenue-generating financial infrastructure play. High conviction Long. Jonah suggests selling underwater Bitcoin positions to harvest tax losses and rotating that capital into HYPE. Regulatory intervention (though Trump administration perceived as favorable); competition from other decentralized exchanges.
HYPE LONG
medium-term
Gold fell 22% rapidly; Silver "nuked." Prices have crossed below the 50-day and likely 100-day moving averages. Volatility has spiked to historic highs. CTAs (systematic funds) manage risk via volatility targeting. When volatility spikes, they *must* reduce position size to keep variance constant. Additionally, crossing moving averages triggers sell signals. Jonah estimates CTAs are only 25% through their required selling. Do not catch the falling knife. The systematic unwind will take weeks/months, not days. Central banks (sovereign buyers) could step in earlier than expected to arrest the price drop.
SILVER AVOID
GOLD AVOID
short-term
Uranium (URA ETF at $53) and Rare Earths (REMX at $85) have sold off aggressively alongside Gold and Silver. This is a correlation dislocation. Retail and algos sold "all metals" blindly. However, Uranium and Rare Earths are driven by a "mega trend" (nuclear energy ramp-up) and are not monetary assets like Gold. The sell-off is a liquidity event, not a fundamental one. Buy the dip. These assets were "unfairly dragged around" and offer a better entry than the crowded precious metals trade. Continued broad market risk-off sentiment could suppress all commodities regardless of fundamentals.
URA LONG
REMX LONG
long-term
Ethereum "got absolutely nuked on high volume" and broke key levels. Unlike Solana (defending $100) or Bitcoin (at long-term support), ETH shows no relative strength or clean support structure. The high-volume sell-off indicates institutional exit or capitulation without a clear floor. Focus capital on BTC or SOL instead. An unexpected rotation back into ETH if the "value" proposition resurfaces.
ETH AVOID
short-term
Bitcoin dropped 40% from highs, piercing the $74k level before bouncing to $78k. Volume on the selling drives is decreasing, signaling seller exhaustion. The 40% drawdown flushes out "tourist" leverage. The $74k-$77k zone represents a high-time-frame support level where risk/reward flips heavily in favor of long-term allocators. The "disgusting" chart scares retail, which is usually a buy signal. Accumulate in the $74k-$77k zone. A sustained break below $74k invalidates the range support; further macro "indigestion" from tariffs.
BTC WATCH
medium-term
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