Calls
27
#103
Alpha Score 89.9
Jonah Van Bourg
Head of Trading, Cumberland / ex-Vitol
Win Rate
55.6%
return
+5.7%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Mar 03
$90.20
-39.2%
The author expresses a negative outlook on oil prices.
Commodities
Long
Feb 02
$32.47
+85.5%
Hyperliquid volumes are trending up significantly, trading billions in real-world assets (Silver/Gold) and crypto. The token is up 50% recently despite the market crash. In crypto, "usage is king." Hyperliquid is capturing market share from traditional exchanges (like Nasdaq) and crypto competitors because it is a superior product with no supply overhang. It is transitioning from a "crypto play" to a revenue-generating financial infrastructure play. High conviction Long. Jonah suggests selling underwater Bitcoin positions to harvest tax losses and rotating that capital into HYPE. Regulatory intervention (though Trump administration perceived as favorable); competition from other decentralized exchanges.
Hyperliquid volumes are trending up significantly, trading billions in real-world assets (Silver/Gold) and crypto. The token is up 50% recently despite the market crash. In crypto, "usage is king." Hyperliquid is capturing market share from traditional exchanges (like Nasdaq) and crypto competitors because it is a superior product with no supply overhang. It is transitioning from a "crypto play" to a revenue-generating financial infrastructure play. High conviction Long. Jonah suggests selling underwater Bitcoin positions to harvest tax losses and rotating that capital into HYPE. Regulatory intervention (though Trump administration perceived as favorable); competition from other decentralized exchanges.
Crypto Assets
Long
Mar 10
$677.95
+9.6%
"I express the trade by buying other stuff that I like when it's selling off for what I consider to be ridiculous, stupid, transient reasons." Geopolitical shocks often cause knee-jerk, indiscriminate sell-offs in broad equities and crypto. If the oil threat is overstated and the US military can maintain order, these risk assets are mispriced and will mean-revert higher once the panic subsides. LONG broad market risk assets on geopolitical dips. The geopolitical situation actually deteriorates into a global economic crisis, causing a sustained bear market in risk assets.
"I express the trade by buying other stuff that I like when it's selling off for what I consider to be ridiculous, stupid, transient reasons." Geopolitical shocks often cause knee-jerk, indiscriminate sell-offs in broad equities and crypto. If the oil threat is overstated and the US military can maintain order, these risk assets are mispriced and will mean-revert higher once the panic subsides. LONG broad market risk assets on geopolitical dips. The geopolitical situation actually deteriorates into a global economic crisis, causing a sustained bear market in risk assets.
Equity Indexes
Long
Feb 12
$66272.17
-2.3%
Jonah states, "I think the lows are in... when we wicked down to... 60k I think that was it." The market is flushing out "useless" crypto assets (the Dot Com bust phase), but Bitcoin remains the premier "hard asset." The current chop is a transfer of value from impatient retail to institutions. The regulatory backdrop is constructive, and the "washout" creates a clean base for the next leg up. Accumulate at 60k-65k levels. A "real financial crisis" (Lehman style) contagion event that forces a deeper liquidation of all assets.
Jonah states, "I think the lows are in... when we wicked down to... 60k I think that was it." The market is flushing out "useless" crypto assets (the Dot Com bust phase), but Bitcoin remains the premier "hard asset." The current chop is a transfer of value from impatient retail to institutions. The regulatory backdrop is constructive, and the "washout" creates a clean base for the next leg up. Accumulate at 60k-65k levels. A "real financial crisis" (Lehman style) contagion event that forces a deeper liquidation of all assets.
Crypto Assets
Long
May 05
$1442000.00
+27.7%
Memory market is undersupplied by 45-50% over the forward 12 months, which historically leads to 4-7x profit surges for memory manufacturers. Samsung and SK hynix are ridiculously underpriced even after large rallies; they could rally another 500% from current levels, and at least 50-100% is an easy two-bagger.
AI Memory
Long
May 05
$231500.00
+10.2%
Memory market is undersupplied by 45-50% over the forward 12 months, which historically leads to 4-7x profit surges for memory manufacturers. Samsung and SK hynix are ridiculously underpriced even after large rallies; they could rally another 500% from current levels, and at least 50-100% is an easy two-bagger.
AI Memory
Long
May 13
$795.37
+6.0%
Micron is undervalued at 35x trailing earnings because earnings could triple within a year due to a genuine memory commodity bottleneck and highly elastic demand from AI and autonomous coding agents. This is a demand-driven super trend, not a supply shock.
AI Memory
Short
May 13
$84.79
+1.7%
The US stock market will persistently outperform the rest of the world due to innovation, brain drain, and redistribution in Europe. A highly levered pair trade of long SPY and short VXUS captures this divergence with low volatility.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 10
$608.48
+14.0%
"I express the trade by buying other stuff that I like when it's selling off for what I consider to be ridiculous, stupid, transient reasons." Geopolitical shocks often cause knee-jerk, indiscriminate sell-offs in broad equities and crypto. If the oil threat is overstated and the US military can maintain order, these risk assets are mispriced and will mean-revert higher once the panic subsides. LONG broad market risk assets on geopolitical dips. The geopolitical situation actually deteriorates into a global economic crisis, causing a sustained bear market in risk assets.
"I express the trade by buying other stuff that I like when it's selling off for what I consider to be ridiculous, stupid, transient reasons." Geopolitical shocks often cause knee-jerk, indiscriminate sell-offs in broad equities and crypto. If the oil threat is overstated and the US military can maintain order, these risk assets are mispriced and will mean-revert higher once the panic subsides. LONG broad market risk assets on geopolitical dips. The geopolitical situation actually deteriorates into a global economic crisis, causing a sustained bear market in risk assets.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 04
$92.16
+36.2%
Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz could trigger market volatility and inflation if prolonged, though potential intervention may mitigate long-term impacts.
Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz could trigger market volatility and inflation if prolonged, though potential intervention may mitigate long-term impacts.
Commodities
Long
Feb 02
$84.81
-14.3%
Uranium (URA ETF at $53) and Rare Earths (REMX at $85) have sold off aggressively alongside Gold and Silver. This is a correlation dislocation. Retail and algos sold "all metals" blindly. However, Uranium and Rare Earths are driven by a "mega trend" (nuclear energy ramp-up) and are not monetary assets like Gold. The sell-off is a liquidity event, not a fundamental one. Buy the dip. These assets were "unfairly dragged around" and offer a better entry than the crowded precious metals trade. Continued broad market risk-off sentiment could suppress all commodities regardless of fundamentals.
Uranium (URA ETF at $53) and Rare Earths (REMX at $85) have sold off aggressively alongside Gold and Silver. This is a correlation dislocation. Retail and algos sold "all metals" blindly. However, Uranium and Rare Earths are driven by a "mega trend" (nuclear energy ramp-up) and are not monetary assets like Gold. The sell-off is a liquidity event, not a fundamental one. Buy the dip. These assets were "unfairly dragged around" and offer a better entry than the crowded precious metals trade. Continued broad market risk-off sentiment could suppress all commodities regardless of fundamentals.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Feb 02
$53.27
-27.3%
Uranium (URA ETF at $53) and Rare Earths (REMX at $85) have sold off aggressively alongside Gold and Silver. This is a correlation dislocation. Retail and algos sold "all metals" blindly. However, Uranium and Rare Earths are driven by a "mega trend" (nuclear energy ramp-up) and are not monetary assets like Gold. The sell-off is a liquidity event, not a fundamental one. Buy the dip. These assets were "unfairly dragged around" and offer a better entry than the crowded precious metals trade. Continued broad market risk-off sentiment could suppress all commodities regardless of fundamentals.
Uranium (URA ETF at $53) and Rare Earths (REMX at $85) have sold off aggressively alongside Gold and Silver. This is a correlation dislocation. Retail and algos sold "all metals" blindly. However, Uranium and Rare Earths are driven by a "mega trend" (nuclear energy ramp-up) and are not monetary assets like Gold. The sell-off is a liquidity event, not a fundamental one. Buy the dip. These assets were "unfairly dragged around" and offer a better entry than the crowded precious metals trade. Continued broad market risk-off sentiment could suppress all commodities regardless of fundamentals.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Jun 24
$235.60
-4.7%
The hyperscalers spent huge on AI capex, driving their stock prices; now cracks are appearing and the AI trade is shifting to downstream suppliers. Therefore, investors should sell the hyperscalers' equity and credit, as they fund this spending, and buy what they are buying. This is a clear capital-flows fade of the over-owned, overextended hyperscaler stocks.
Hyperscalers
Short
Jun 24
$344.21
-0.7%
The hyperscalers spent huge on AI capex, driving their stock prices; now cracks are appearing and the AI trade is shifting to downstream suppliers. Therefore, investors should sell the hyperscalers' equity and credit, as they fund this spending, and buy what they are buying. This is a clear capital-flows fade of the over-owned, overextended hyperscaler stocks.
Hyperscalers
Short
Jun 24
$557.65
-14.8%
The hyperscalers spent huge on AI capex, driving their stock prices; now cracks are appearing and the AI trade is shifting to downstream suppliers. Therefore, investors should sell the hyperscalers' equity and credit, as they fund this spending, and buy what they are buying. This is a clear capital-flows fade of the over-owned, overextended hyperscaler stocks.
Hyperscalers
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Jonah Van Bourg has 27 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 26 tickers since February 2026. Win rate 56% across 27 evaluated calls, average return +5.7%. Ranked #103 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BNO, HYPE, BTC.
