#132 Alpha Score 89.7

Jonah Van Bourg

Head of Trading, Cumberland / ex-Vitol
@jvb_xyz · tracked since Feb 2026
132
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Alpha Score 89.7
Calls
32
Win Rate
53.1%
return
+7.7%
Calls 32 549 Posts tracked · 2.6/day
Calls
7d 1
30d 1
90d 11
Best Calls
HYPE Long +149.9%
CAR Short +72.7%
WTI Long +53.1%
Worst Calls
USO Short -56.4%
CL1! Short -23.9%
ITB Long -17.4%
Most Mentioned
HYPE ×10
BNO ×10
BTC ×9
Recent Calls
ZEC Long 6 days ago
MSFT Long 1 month ago
AMZN Short 2 months ago
Win Rate 53% Long 22 Short 10
Win Rate
7d 55%
30d 55%
90d 76%
Average Return +7.7% Long Return +13.2% Short Return -4.2%
Average Return
7d +3.3%
30d +6.3%
90d +8.0%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Mar 03
$90.20
-56.4%
The author expresses a negative outlook on oil prices.
The author expresses a negative outlook on oil prices.
Commodities
Long
Feb 02
$32.47
+149.9%
Hyperliquid volumes are trending up significantly, trading billions in real-world assets (Silver/Gold) and crypto. The token is up 50% recently despite the market crash. In crypto, "usage is king." Hyperliquid is capturing market share from traditional exchanges (like Nasdaq) and crypto competitors because it is a superior product with no supply overhang. It is transitioning from a "crypto play" to a revenue-generating financial infrastructure play. High conviction Long. Jonah suggests selling underwater Bitcoin positions to harvest tax losses and rotating that capital into HYPE. Regulatory intervention (though Trump administration perceived as favorable); competition from other decentralized exchanges.
Hyperliquid volumes are trending up significantly, trading billions in real-world assets (Silver/Gold) and crypto. The token is up 50% recently despite the market crash. In crypto, "usage is king." Hyperliquid is capturing market share from traditional exchanges (like Nasdaq) and crypto competitors because it is a superior product with no supply overhang. It is transitioning from a "crypto play" to a revenue-generating financial infrastructure play. High conviction Long. Jonah suggests selling underwater Bitcoin positions to harvest tax losses and rotating that capital into HYPE. Regulatory intervention (though Trump administration perceived as favorable); competition from other decentralized exchanges.
Crypto Assets
Long
Mar 10
$677.95
+12.8%
"I express the trade by buying other stuff that I like when it's selling off for what I consider to be ridiculous, stupid, transient reasons." Geopolitical shocks often cause knee-jerk, indiscriminate sell-offs in broad equities and crypto. If the oil threat is overstated and the US military can maintain order, these risk assets are mispriced and will mean-revert higher once the panic subsides. LONG broad market risk assets on geopolitical dips. The geopolitical situation actually deteriorates into a global economic crisis, causing a sustained bear market in risk assets.
"I express the trade by buying other stuff that I like when it's selling off for what I consider to be ridiculous, stupid, transient reasons." Geopolitical shocks often cause knee-jerk, indiscriminate sell-offs in broad equities and crypto. If the oil threat is overstated and the US military can maintain order, these risk assets are mispriced and will mean-revert higher once the panic subsides. LONG broad market risk assets on geopolitical dips. The geopolitical situation actually deteriorates into a global economic crisis, causing a sustained bear market in risk assets.
Equity Indexes
Long
Feb 12
$66272.17
+16.3%
Jonah states, "I think the lows are in... when we wicked down to... 60k I think that was it." The market is flushing out "useless" crypto assets (the Dot Com bust phase), but Bitcoin remains the premier "hard asset." The current chop is a transfer of value from impatient retail to institutions. The regulatory backdrop is constructive, and the "washout" creates a clean base for the next leg up. Accumulate at 60k-65k levels. A "real financial crisis" (Lehman style) contagion event that forces a deeper liquidation of all assets.
Jonah states, "I think the lows are in... when we wicked down to... 60k I think that was it." The market is flushing out "useless" crypto assets (the Dot Com bust phase), but Bitcoin remains the premier "hard asset." The current chop is a transfer of value from impatient retail to institutions. The regulatory backdrop is constructive, and the "washout" creates a clean base for the next leg up. Accumulate at 60k-65k levels. A "real financial crisis" (Lehman style) contagion event that forces a deeper liquidation of all assets.
Crypto Assets
Long
May 13
$795.37
+19.8%
Micron undervalued memory bottleneck rally
Micron is undervalued at 35x trailing earnings because earnings could triple within a year due to a genuine memory commodity bottleneck and highly elastic demand from AI and autonomous coding agents. This is a demand-driven super trend, not a supply shock.
AI Memory
Long
May 05
$1442000.00
+11.9%
Memory undersupply drives huge profit growth.
Memory market is undersupplied by 45-50% over the forward 12 months, which historically leads to 4-7x profit surges for memory manufacturers. Samsung and SK hynix are ridiculously underpriced even after large rallies; they could rally another 500% from current levels, and at least 50-100% is an easy two-bagger.
AI Memory
Long
May 05
$231500.00
+8.2%
Memory undersupply drives huge profit growth.
Memory market is undersupplied by 45-50% over the forward 12 months, which historically leads to 4-7x profit surges for memory manufacturers. Samsung and SK hynix are ridiculously underpriced even after large rallies; they could rally another 500% from current levels, and at least 50-100% is an easy two-bagger.
AI Memory
Long
Jul 22
$347.94
-2.8%
Hyperscalers benefit from AI adoption wave.
AI adoption is still in its first inning. Paid AI subscription penetration is only 2.2% of US households, mirroring early e-commerce, and will rise dramatically, driving revenue to cloud hyperscalers like Microsoft, Meta, and Google. This is a mega trend with significant long-term upside.
Hyperscalers
Long
Jul 22
$629.76
-5.5%
Hyperscalers benefit from AI adoption wave.
AI adoption is still in its first inning. Paid AI subscription penetration is only 2.2% of US households, mirroring early e-commerce, and will rise dramatically, driving revenue to cloud hyperscalers like Microsoft, Meta, and Google. This is a mega trend with significant long-term upside.
Hyperscalers
Long
Jul 22
$389.01
+28.1%
Hyperscalers benefit from AI adoption wave.
AI adoption is still in its first inning. Paid AI subscription penetration is only 2.2% of US households, mirroring early e-commerce, and will rise dramatically, driving revenue to cloud hyperscalers like Microsoft, Meta, and Google. This is a mega trend with significant long-term upside.
Hyperscalers
Short
May 13
$84.79
-3.0%
Long US short rest of world
The US stock market will persistently outperform the rest of the world due to innovation, brain drain, and redistribution in Europe. A highly levered pair trade of long SPY and short VXUS captures this divergence with low volatility.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 10
$608.48
+16.5%
"I express the trade by buying other stuff that I like when it's selling off for what I consider to be ridiculous, stupid, transient reasons." Geopolitical shocks often cause knee-jerk, indiscriminate sell-offs in broad equities and crypto. If the oil threat is overstated and the US military can maintain order, these risk assets are mispriced and will mean-revert higher once the panic subsides. LONG broad market risk assets on geopolitical dips. The geopolitical situation actually deteriorates into a global economic crisis, causing a sustained bear market in risk assets.
"I express the trade by buying other stuff that I like when it's selling off for what I consider to be ridiculous, stupid, transient reasons." Geopolitical shocks often cause knee-jerk, indiscriminate sell-offs in broad equities and crypto. If the oil threat is overstated and the US military can maintain order, these risk assets are mispriced and will mean-revert higher once the panic subsides. LONG broad market risk assets on geopolitical dips. The geopolitical situation actually deteriorates into a global economic crisis, causing a sustained bear market in risk assets.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 04
$92.16
+53.1%
Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz could trigger market volatility and inflation if prolonged, though potential intervention may mitigate long-term impacts.
Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz could trigger market volatility and inflation if prolonged, though potential intervention may mitigate long-term impacts.
Commodities
Long
Feb 02
$84.81
-10.0%
Uranium (URA ETF at $53) and Rare Earths (REMX at $85) have sold off aggressively alongside Gold and Silver. This is a correlation dislocation. Retail and algos sold "all metals" blindly. However, Uranium and Rare Earths are driven by a "mega trend" (nuclear energy ramp-up) and are not monetary assets like Gold. The sell-off is a liquidity event, not a fundamental one. Buy the dip. These assets were "unfairly dragged around" and offer a better entry than the crowded precious metals trade. Continued broad market risk-off sentiment could suppress all commodities regardless of fundamentals.
Uranium (URA ETF at $53) and Rare Earths (REMX at $85) have sold off aggressively alongside Gold and Silver. This is a correlation dislocation. Retail and algos sold "all metals" blindly. However, Uranium and Rare Earths are driven by a "mega trend" (nuclear energy ramp-up) and are not monetary assets like Gold. The sell-off is a liquidity event, not a fundamental one. Buy the dip. These assets were "unfairly dragged around" and offer a better entry than the crowded precious metals trade. Continued broad market risk-off sentiment could suppress all commodities regardless of fundamentals.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Feb 02
$53.27
-16.6%
Uranium (URA ETF at $53) and Rare Earths (REMX at $85) have sold off aggressively alongside Gold and Silver. This is a correlation dislocation. Retail and algos sold "all metals" blindly. However, Uranium and Rare Earths are driven by a "mega trend" (nuclear energy ramp-up) and are not monetary assets like Gold. The sell-off is a liquidity event, not a fundamental one. Buy the dip. These assets were "unfairly dragged around" and offer a better entry than the crowded precious metals trade. Continued broad market risk-off sentiment could suppress all commodities regardless of fundamentals.
Uranium (URA ETF at $53) and Rare Earths (REMX at $85) have sold off aggressively alongside Gold and Silver. This is a correlation dislocation. Retail and algos sold "all metals" blindly. However, Uranium and Rare Earths are driven by a "mega trend" (nuclear energy ramp-up) and are not monetary assets like Gold. The sell-off is a liquidity event, not a fundamental one. Buy the dip. These assets were "unfairly dragged around" and offer a better entry than the crowded precious metals trade. Continued broad market risk-off sentiment could suppress all commodities regardless of fundamentals.
Thematic ETFs
Showing 15 of 32 calls · sorted by mentions

Jonah Van Bourg has 32 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 28 tickers since February 2026. Win rate 53% across 32 evaluated calls, average return +7.7%. Ranked #132 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: HYPE, BNO, BTC.