RE REMX VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF Loading... : Bullish and Bearish Analyst Opinions

Rare earth metals outperform.

Rare earths benefit from US-China rivalry

Brad Setser notes China's dominant refining share for heavy rare earths remains a strategic chokepoint despite lower mineral ownership.

Bullish on critical minerals sector

The article describes a multi-year government-backed secular theme across the rare earth supply chain; a diversified ETF like Global X Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF provides broad exposure to mining

Long REMX as a rare earth/strategic metals ETF, bought on dips as part of megatrend exposure during geopolitical turmoil.

National security supports defense, energy, minerals.

Brad Setser notes Lynas's rare earth refinery in Malaysia historically produced only light rare earths while selling heavy ones to China for processing.

Government floor prices support rare earths investment.

Diversify critical minerals supply chain.

Bullish on non-Chinese critical minerals producers.

Energy diversification favors renewables, nuclear, rare earths.

China's rare earth dominance is a key strength.

Agen mentioned a $12 billion Project Vault investment by Ex-Im Bank and a global ministerial summit to secure critical minerals supply chains through international partnerships. Significant capital inflow and collaborative alliances aim to reduce dependency on single countries, ensuring stable supply for Western economies. Direction LONG because substantial investment and global coordination indicate strong future growth and strategic importance of critical minerals. Supply chain disruptions, mining challenges, or insufficient global coordination could limit effectiveness and growth.

A potential price floor for critical minerals, negotiated by major economic blocs, would create a supportive backdrop for producers' profitability and valuations.

I'm long a lot of critical minerals, REMX... I'm long AIPO, which is the AI infrastructure play. I'm long grid... I'm long pave. The AI revolution requires massive physical infrastructure, from power grids to critical minerals. Investing in the picks and shovels of AI provides a secular growth tailwind regardless of which software companies win. Long infrastructure and critical mineral ETFs to capitalize on the physical buildout of AI. Delays in government infrastructure spending or supply chain bottlenecks could slow down the growth of these sectors.

I've been talking about Ramx since $65. It is now 98. I'm still bullish. I think it's going to 200. As the US aggressively decouples from China and reasserts its own industrial and energy independence, securing domestic and allied supply chains for strategic metals becomes a top priority, driving massive capital into rare earth miners. LONG because rare earth minerals are a critical bottleneck for modern technology and defense, and Western governments will heavily subsidize this sector to break Chinese monopolies. China floods the market with cheap rare earth minerals to bankrupt Western competitors, or new technologies reduce the need for these specific metals.

Avi Felman views geopolitical instability as a generational buying opportunity for megatrend assets like uranium, rare earths, and bitcoin.

"Cobalt... indispensable for electric vehicle batteries... DRC produces nearly three quarters of global supply... Cobalt has become not just a commodity, but a strategic asset." The designation of Cobalt as a "strategic asset" for the US and China implies a floor on demand due to national security stockpiling, regardless of consumer EV cycles. Since pure-play Cobalt miners are rare on US exchanges, the Strategic Metals ETF (REMX) is the most direct instrument to capture the basket of miners extracting these specific battery criticals. LONG. Geopolitical competition ("The race for critical minerals") acts as a tailwind for the strategic metals sector. Substitution risk (battery tech moving away from Cobalt to LFP) or ethical supply chain sanctions blocking DRC exports.

A long on Chinese rare earth stocks is indicated for the market open, driven by government policy support for the sector.

A Pentagon initiative to onshore the supply chain for strategic minerals implies future government funding and contracts, acting as a significant catalyst for domestic producers.

The author is rotating out of energy into crypto and uranium assets to recover portfolio losses.

The author is initiating long positions in uranium and rare earth metals ETFs.

Whitney discusses the "Middle Corridor" (Central Asia) and the "Board of Peace," noting these countries have "dense and rich rare earth mineral content." As global trade routes fracture (Russia blocked, Middle East blocked), the US is forced to develop new supply chains for critical minerals outside of China/Russia/Iran spheres. This directs capital flows to rare earth miners and processors in friendly or neutral jurisdictions. LONG. A geopolitical hedge against supply chain weaponization. Long lead times for mining projects to generate revenue.

Warner mentions that European allies are focused on the President's "crazy folly about trying to take over Greenland." While Warner dismisses it as folly, the Administration's active interest in Greenland—a region rich in rare earth elements and strategic minerals—signals a potential policy push to secure these resources. This focus could drive speculative interest in rare earth miners and Arctic resource plays. WATCH for policy announcements regarding Greenland that could catalyze the Critical Minerals sector. The initiative remains purely rhetorical or fails diplomatically, leading to no material changes for the sector.

Go long rare earth elements as supply shortages are intensifying, suggesting the strategic situation is more bullish for prices than previously believed.

A potential US government policy to set reference prices for critical minerals could act as a price floor or support mechanism, benefiting producers of these materials.

Mullin notes that while SCOTUS limited economic emergency powers for tariffs, the President immediately pivoted to "National Security" tariffs (10% on all countries) to protect industries like steel, aluminum, chips, and rare earth minerals. The pivot to "National Security" justifications allows the administration to bypass Congressional gridlock and maintain protectionist barriers. This directly benefits domestic producers of critical materials (Steel/Aluminum) and strategic tech (Chips) by making foreign imports more expensive. Long domestic industrial and material producers protected by the security thesis. Retaliatory tariffs from trading partners hurting US exporters; potential legal challenges to the "National Security" definition.

"China has banned the export of rare earth minerals to several Japanese companies." This is retaliation for the new US/Global tariffs. China dominates rare earth processing. Banning exports to US allies (Japan) creates an immediate supply shock. This forces price appreciation for the commodity and drives capital toward non-Chinese producers (like MP Materials) as strategic assets. Long Rare Earths (REMX / MP). China reverses policy or finds loopholes; rapid development of alternative battery chemistries.

Busch identifies a "resource war specifically with China" regarding rare earth minerals needed for AI and tech. He mentions China controls 70-80% of supply and the US is pushing for domestic sourcing/recycling. As the US decouples from Chinese supply chains (tariffs/sanctions), domestic producers and non-Chinese miners of rare earths become strategic national security assets. Prices for these assets must rise to incentivize production. Long Rare Earth/Strategic Metals. If China floods the market to bankrupt western competitors (a tactic used previously), prices could collapse temporarily.