'This Is A Crisis': Fund Manager's Explosive Forecast For This Critical Sector | Tomasz Nadrowski

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  May 05, 2026 at 17:03  |  42:17  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Tomasz Nadrowski — CTO, Blockchain Alliance

Summary

Tomasz Nadrowski discusses China's dominance in critical minerals processing and the policy challenges facing the West. He highlights the crisis-like state of gallium, germanium, and antimony due to Chinese export controls, and the urgent need for domestic refining capacity. He concludes that the critical minerals sector is a fantastic long-term investment opportunity driven by military restocking and technological demand.

  • China controls over 80% of processing for many critical minerals.
  • The US has only three new mines permitted in the last 23 years.
  • Export bans on gallium, germanium, and antimony were suspended for 12 months, not lifted.
  • Military stockpiles of precision munitions have been severely depleted in recent conflicts.
  • The speaker expects restocking to accelerate demand for critical minerals.
  • Investment exposure is primarily through pre-production equity in western producers.
  • Korea Zinc is building a large smelter in Tennessee to process byproducts like indium and germanium.
  • The speaker's fund holds positions in 25 different critical mineral commodities.
Trade Ideas
Tomasz Nadrowski CTO, Blockchain Alliance 39:17
Bullish on critical minerals sector
The critical minerals sector is a fantastic investment opportunity due to accelerating demand from military restocking after recent conflicts, AI and defense needs, and the necessity to rebuild stockpiles, leading to scarcity and price appreciation. The west's dependence on Chinese processing and the crisis-like situation with export controls create a structural tailwind for pre-production equity in critical minerals.
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