Avi Felman

Bitcoin retraced from highs to the $74k-$78k range. Avi states, "This is what you wait for... the risk/reward on this trade is great." The $74k level represents a critical support zone (previous "original buy zone"). The market is currently in a "range" structure; buying at the bottom of the range ($74k) with a stop loss just below allows for a high R/R trade targeting a bounce to $90k-$92k. Buy spot or long perps in the $74k-$78k zone. A sustained break below $74k invalidates the range thesis and signals a deeper bear market.

This war gave you a phenomenal entry on Intel. Intel is going to 80 bucks. We're going to be pumping out American chips. Geopolitical conflicts create temporary market dips that offer discounted entries into long-term mega-trends. The US government's mandate to onshore semiconductor manufacturing for national security ensures massive structural support for domestic chipmakers. LONG because transient war fears have temporarily mispriced a company that is central to the US national security and re-industrialization agenda. The company fails to execute on its foundry turnaround strategy or loses further market share to competitors before government subsidies can bridge the gap.

I'm very very very bullish on US equities now. I think that money is going to come flooding back in because I think that this war is going to be over very soon. By neutralizing Iran and Venezuela, the US is cutting off China's proxy network and re-establishing unipolar American hegemony. This will cause global capital to flee emerging markets and rotate heavily back into US equities as the premier safe haven and growth engine. LONG because the resolution of the Middle East conflict will solidify US global dominance and trigger massive capital inflows into American markets. The conflict escalates or drags on longer than expected, causing prolonged uncertainty and delayed capital rotation.

AI growth is currently bottlenecked by physical constraints: data centers, chips, and specifically energy. While software costs collapse, the demand for the physical inputs required to run AI (electricity) will skyrocket. Utilities and energy producers have pricing power. Long energy majors (Exxon, Chevron), Uranium (nuclear resurgence), and Utilities (Constellation Energy) as they provide the critical infrastructure for the AI buildout. A faster-than-expected efficiency in AI compute reducing energy needs.

Avi identifies a "geopolitical mega trend" and notes "Uranium... is going to be very critical to powering the next stage of energy production." The convergence of AI (massive energy demand) and Geopolitics (US isolationism/supply chain security) creates a bottleneck for power and critical minerals. Nuclear (Uranium) and domestic sourcing of Rare Earths are the only viable solutions to power data centers independent of foreign reliance. Long Uranium and Rare Earth miners. Regulatory hurdles for new nuclear plants or environmental pushback on mining.

Avi mentioned Robin Hood (HOOD) trading at $77, with a low of $70, and said it "can easily go back to 120" as crypto recovers. Increased trading activity from crypto rallies drives revenue for HOOD, making it a leveraged play on market recovery. LONG because HOOD is poised to rebound with crypto momentum, offering significant upside from current levels. Crypto rally falters, or HOOD faces competitive or regulatory pressures.

The author highlights Oracle's strategic AI positioning and Hyperliquid's liquidity potential as key investment opportunities.

Illumina (ILMN) is a small position bet on Trump's China trip leading to a deal that allows the company to re-enter the Chinese market after being blacklisted. The stock has not rallied on this news, offering asymmetric upside.

Zcash has a strong privacy narrative and whales are rotating into it. The privacy-versus-memes theme has held up. Avi would accumulate Zcash on dips toward $400 and is very bullish on it as a trade.

The author predicts a structural shift where semiconductor trading operations will scale to match the size and influence of major commodity trading houses, implying significant growth and capital flows into the sector.

Avi said "I'm very bullish on Sky" (rebrand of Maker Dao), noting it's up this year with strong revenue and TVL ($21B). As a decentralized stablecoin issuer, Sky benefits from the stablecoin adoption trend and has critical mass, making it a pure play. LONG because it's a direct bet on stablecoin growth with attractive fundamentals like daily buybacks and low market cap. Stablecoin adoption stalls, or regulatory issues impact decentralized protocols.

I'm very very very bullish on US equities now. I think that money is going to come flooding back in because I think that this war is going to be over very soon. By neutralizing Iran and Venezuela, the US is cutting off China's proxy network and re-establishing unipolar American hegemony. This will cause global capital to flee emerging markets and rotate heavily back into US equities as the premier safe haven and growth engine. LONG because the resolution of the Middle East conflict will solidify US global dominance and trigger massive capital inflows into American markets. The conflict escalates or drags on longer than expected, causing prolonged uncertainty and delayed capital rotation.

The author is rotating out of energy into crypto and uranium assets to recover portfolio losses.

"The revenues that were going to those companies [SaaS] are going to be absorbed into savings from Google... profit go up." Large tech companies are vertically integrated "Exxon Mobiles of compute." They have the capital to build internal software replacements using AI, cutting out third-party SaaS vendors. This reduces OpEx and increases margins for the Hyperscalers, making them the ultimate beneficiaries of the AI productivity boom. Long Mega Cap Tech as they capture the value previously leaked to SaaS vendors. Regulatory breakup risks or a failure of AI to deliver actual coding productivity gains.

"The revenues that were going to those companies [SaaS] are going to be absorbed into savings from Google... profit go up." Large tech companies are vertically integrated "Exxon Mobiles of compute." They have the capital to build internal software replacements using AI, cutting out third-party SaaS vendors. This reduces OpEx and increases margins for the Hyperscalers, making them the ultimate beneficiaries of the AI productivity boom. Long Mega Cap Tech as they capture the value previously leaked to SaaS vendors. Regulatory breakup risks or a failure of AI to deliver actual coding productivity gains.