#230 Alpha Score 82.0

Avi Felman

Principal, GoldenTree Asset Management
@AviFelman · tracked since Jan 2026
230
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Alpha Score 82.0
Calls
68
Win Rate
48.5%
return
+3.9%
Calls 68 1718 Posts tracked · 7.9/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 2
90d 14
Best Calls
HYPE Long +100.1%
ZEC Long +92.0%
INTC Long +89.3%
Worst Calls
WTI Short -62.8%
ETH Short -52.7%
ACN Short -44.1%
Most Mentioned
BTC ×27
INTC ×18
HOOD ×12
Recent Calls
CARDS Long 1 week ago
PALL Long 3 weeks ago
GDX Long 1 month ago
Win Rate 49% Long 56 Short 12
Win Rate
7d 50%
30d 56%
90d 56%
Average Return +3.9% Long Return +8.0% Short Return -14.9%
Average Return
7d +0.5%
30d +0.8%
90d +7.1%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 03
$77774.80
-0.7%
Bitcoin retraced from highs to the $74k-$78k range. Avi states, "This is what you wait for... the risk/reward on this trade is great." The $74k level represents a critical support zone (previous "original buy zone"). The market is currently in a "range" structure; buying at the bottom of the range ($74k) with a stop loss just below allows for a high R/R trade targeting a bounce to $90k-$92k. Buy spot or long perps in the $74k-$78k zone. A sustained break below $74k invalidates the range thesis and signals a deeper bear market.
Bitcoin retraced from highs to the $74k-$78k range. Avi states, "This is what you wait for... the risk/reward on this trade is great." The $74k level represents a critical support zone (previous "original buy zone"). The market is currently in a "range" structure; buying at the bottom of the range ($74k) with a stop loss just below allows for a high R/R trade targeting a bounce to $90k-$92k. Buy spot or long perps in the $74k-$78k zone. A sustained break below $74k invalidates the range thesis and signals a deeper bear market.
Crypto Assets
Long
Mar 10
$46.90
+89.3%
This war gave you a phenomenal entry on Intel. Intel is going to 80 bucks. We're going to be pumping out American chips. Geopolitical conflicts create temporary market dips that offer discounted entries into long-term mega-trends. The US government's mandate to onshore semiconductor manufacturing for national security ensures massive structural support for domestic chipmakers. LONG because transient war fears have temporarily mispriced a company that is central to the US national security and re-industrialization agenda. The company fails to execute on its foundry turnaround strategy or loses further market share to competitors before government subsidies can bridge the gap.
This war gave you a phenomenal entry on Intel. Intel is going to 80 bucks. We're going to be pumping out American chips. Geopolitical conflicts create temporary market dips that offer discounted entries into long-term mega-trends. The US government's mandate to onshore semiconductor manufacturing for national security ensures massive structural support for domestic chipmakers. LONG because transient war fears have temporarily mispriced a company that is central to the US national security and re-industrialization agenda. The company fails to execute on its foundry turnaround strategy or loses further market share to competitors before government subsidies can bridge the gap.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Mar 17
$77.21
+34.4%
Avi mentioned Robin Hood (HOOD) trading at $77, with a low of $70, and said it "can easily go back to 120" as crypto recovers. Increased trading activity from crypto rallies drives revenue for HOOD, making it a leveraged play on market recovery. LONG because HOOD is poised to rebound with crypto momentum, offering significant upside from current levels. Crypto rally falters, or HOOD faces competitive or regulatory pressures.
Avi mentioned Robin Hood (HOOD) trading at $77, with a low of $70, and said it "can easily go back to 120" as crypto recovers. Increased trading activity from crypto rallies drives revenue for HOOD, making it a leveraged play on market recovery. LONG because HOOD is poised to rebound with crypto momentum, offering significant upside from current levels. Crypto rally falters, or HOOD faces competitive or regulatory pressures.
Brokers
Long
Feb 23
$53.44
-17.5%
AI growth is currently bottlenecked by physical constraints: data centers, chips, and specifically energy. While software costs collapse, the demand for the physical inputs required to run AI (electricity) will skyrocket. Utilities and energy producers have pricing power. Long energy majors (Exxon, Chevron), Uranium (nuclear resurgence), and Utilities (Constellation Energy) as they provide the critical infrastructure for the AI buildout. A faster-than-expected efficiency in AI compute reducing energy needs.
AI growth is currently bottlenecked by physical constraints: data centers, chips, and specifically energy. While software costs collapse, the demand for the physical inputs required to run AI (electricity) will skyrocket. Utilities and energy producers have pricing power. Long energy majors (Exxon, Chevron), Uranium (nuclear resurgence), and Utilities (Constellation Energy) as they provide the critical infrastructure for the AI buildout. A faster-than-expected efficiency in AI compute reducing energy needs.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 10
$678.06
+12.3%
I'm very very very bullish on US equities now. I think that money is going to come flooding back in because I think that this war is going to be over very soon. By neutralizing Iran and Venezuela, the US is cutting off China's proxy network and re-establishing unipolar American hegemony. This will cause global capital to flee emerging markets and rotate heavily back into US equities as the premier safe haven and growth engine. LONG because the resolution of the Middle East conflict will solidify US global dominance and trigger massive capital inflows into American markets. The conflict escalates or drags on longer than expected, causing prolonged uncertainty and delayed capital rotation.
I'm very very very bullish on US equities now. I think that money is going to come flooding back in because I think that this war is going to be over very soon. By neutralizing Iran and Venezuela, the US is cutting off China's proxy network and re-establishing unipolar American hegemony. This will cause global capital to flee emerging markets and rotate heavily back into US equities as the premier safe haven and growth engine. LONG because the resolution of the Middle East conflict will solidify US global dominance and trigger massive capital inflows into American markets. The conflict escalates or drags on longer than expected, causing prolonged uncertainty and delayed capital rotation.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 29
$965.51
-3.8%
Long memory stocks on supercycle.
The memory supercycle is driven by a severe DRAM supply-demand gap (Goldman: most severe in 15 years). Contract prices surged 95% and could rise 130% by end of 2026. Micron, SK Hynix, and Samsung are direct beneficiaries.
AI Memory
Long
May 05
$431.00
+92.0%
Zcash long on privacy narrative.
Zcash has a strong privacy narrative and whales are rotating into it. The privacy-versus-memes theme has held up. Avi would accumulate Zcash on dips toward $400 and is very bullish on it as a trade.
Crypto Assets
Long
Jun 19
$36.86
+27.0%
AI biotech megatrend, buy ARKG
AI is finally being applied to physical products and drug discovery, not just software. The FDA under RFK is becoming much more accommodating, as shown by the full U-turn on gene therapy. Avi bought ARKG (ARK Genomic Revolution ETF) with 3% of his portfolio and plans to increase exposure to genomics and biotech as this megatrend plays out.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 03
$2006.46
+20.2%
The author is rotating out of energy into crypto and uranium assets to recover portfolio losses.
The author is rotating out of energy into crypto and uranium assets to recover portfolio losses.
Crypto Assets
Long
Feb 12
$87.20
-12.6%
Avi identifies a "geopolitical mega trend" and notes "Uranium... is going to be very critical to powering the next stage of energy production." The convergence of AI (massive energy demand) and Geopolitics (US isolationism/supply chain security) creates a bottleneck for power and critical minerals. Nuclear (Uranium) and domestic sourcing of Rare Earths are the only viable solutions to power data centers independent of foreign reliance. Long Uranium and Rare Earth miners. Regulatory hurdles for new nuclear plants or environmental pushback on mining.
Avi identifies a "geopolitical mega trend" and notes "Uranium... is going to be very critical to powering the next stage of energy production." The convergence of AI (massive energy demand) and Geopolitics (US isolationism/supply chain security) creates a bottleneck for power and critical minerals. Nuclear (Uranium) and domestic sourcing of Rare Earths are the only viable solutions to power data centers independent of foreign reliance. Long Uranium and Rare Earth miners. Regulatory hurdles for new nuclear plants or environmental pushback on mining.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 22
$380.34
+4.4%
Gold buy with tight stop at $4,000.
Gold has a strong technical setup with $4,000 support holding for weeks. Central banks (including potentially Japan) are accumulating, and gold is a reflexive asset where buying begets buying. Risk/reward is attractive with a tight stop below 4K and a target near 4,800.
Commodities
Long
Mar 17
$41.23
+100.1%
Avi stated "we've been hyperlook bulls" and highlighted Hyperliquid's unique ability to trade oil on weekends when traditional markets are closed. This advantage attracts retail traders and could drive adoption, especially with institutional interest pending regulatory whitelisting. LONG because Hyperliquid has a competitive edge in 24/7 trading, potential for growth, and could reach $150-200 in value. Regulatory hurdles delay institutional access, or competitors emerge with similar offerings.
Avi stated "we've been hyperlook bulls" and highlighted Hyperliquid's unique ability to trade oil on weekends when traditional markets are closed. This advantage attracts retail traders and could drive adoption, especially with institutional interest pending regulatory whitelisting. LONG because Hyperliquid has a competitive edge in 24/7 trading, potential for growth, and could reach $150-200 in value. Regulatory hurdles delay institutional access, or competitors emerge with similar offerings.
Crypto Assets
Long
May 29
$371.52
+33.3%
Rotate Zcash gains into Monero.
Zcash has been rallying on the privacy/uncensorable-currency thesis, but Monero is the actually-used asset that has lagged. Rotate gains from Zcash into Monero for relative outperformance.
Crypto Assets
Long
May 05
$1.84
-12.9%
Ton long on Pavel Durov takeover.
Pavel Durov (Telegram founder) is taking direct control of Ton, sidelining the poorly managed Ton Foundation. This makes Ton more useful and directly tied to Telegram. With Pavel now involved, Ton can trade back to $7 (its previous high before the takeover) and has strong upside.
Crypto Assets
Long
Apr 08
$421.13
+29.5%
The author predicts a structural shift where semiconductor trading operations will scale to match the size and influence of major commodity trading houses, implying significant growth and capital flows into the sector.
The author predicts a structural shift where semiconductor trading operations will scale to match the size and influence of major commodity trading houses, implying significant growth and capital flows into the sector.
Thematic ETFs
Showing 15 of 68 calls · sorted by mentions

Avi Felman has 68 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 63 tickers since January 2026. Win rate 49% across 68 evaluated calls, average return +3.9%. Ranked #230 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BTC, INTC, HOOD.