Aerospace and defense is breaking out today. Given the market's sector rotation, this area is ripe to trade higher and offers alpha opportunities for the rest of the year.
After oil prices recede meaningfully, metals and mining stocks (including gold miners and industrial miners) will benefit from lower input costs and resume their bull market. The debasement trade is not cancelled, just waiting for oil to stop dominating attention.
The Strait of Hormuz is permanently impaired due to the Iran conflict, and even a peace deal will not fully restore oil flows. Supply constraints, draining SPR, and maxed-out refineries will force oil prices higher, potentially spiking to $200. The flat price is suppressed by speculative disinterest, but physical tightness builds. He is long energy stocks and expects oil to grind higher.
Rare earth metals will be the winning sector for the year. China has weaponized the periodic table, resource nationalism is rising, and the sector has already outperformed within mining. Scramble for supply and geopolitical tensions support further upside.