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Next edition in 283 min Nov 12, 23:00 - Nov 13, 09:00 Lisbon
Premarket Alpha
Daily Alpha Premarket Alpha by Buzzberg Research

What matters before the open

Samsung is reportedly in talks to acquire data-center cooling maker Modine, whose shares jumped more than 28% after hours; Samsung told BofA it has seen no order cuts, and Cerebras's CEO expects memory shortages and price increases to continue through 2028

Main narratives

day change
01

Samsung is reportedly in talks to acquire data-center cooling maker Modine, whose shares jumped more than 28% after hours

Per Bloomberg, Samsung is in talks to acquire Modine, a maker of cooling systems for data centers, according to sources. @svtrivo adds that Modine has a market cap of about $5.6B, that talks could wrap in the coming weeks though nothing is finalized and another bidder could emerge, and that Modine shares jumped more than 28% after hours. The post says Modine's data center revenue rose 95% year over year last quarter.

02

Samsung told BofA it has seen no order cuts, and Cerebras's CEO expects memory shortages and price increases to continue through 2028

Per @pequityresearch, Samsung Electronics told BofA in an investor meeting that it has seen no cut in orders in relation to concerns of a US AIDC slowdown after the midterms. Per the same account, Cerebras CEO Andrew Feldman said the company expects memory shortages and price increases to continue through 2028, raising competitors' costs and limiting supply.

03

Broadcom jumped about 5.5% to a $1.74 trillion market cap as X voices pitched ASIC vendors as possible beneficiaries of Huang's exit

@svtrivo says Broadcom jumped about 5.5% to $1.74T on November 12 while Nvidia closed at $4.00T. @liwei_twcapital argues that if Huang's exit leads to sourcing issues at Nvidia, Broadcom and other ASIC vendors could gain market share. According to @damnang2's sources, Broadcom is already well positioned to secure supply for 2027 and 2028. Bloomberg reported that AMD and Broadcom gained on expectations of possible share shifts.

04

Applied Materials guided Q1 FY2027 revenue to $11.1 billion after Q4 FY2026 revenue rose 53% to $10.41 billion

Per @PhotonCap, Applied Materials reported Q4 FY2026 revenue of $10.41B, up 53% year over year, with adjusted EPS up 92% to $4.16 and adjusted gross margin up 2.5 percentage points to 50.6%. FY2026 revenue rose 21% to $34.45B. Guidance for Q1 FY2027 is revenue of $11.1B plus or minus $0.5B and adjusted EPS of $4.35 plus or minus $0.20.

Themes of the session

?
Z-score shows how far this edition's mention count is above or below the theme's own average across 20 comparable earlier editions. +2.7σ means mentions are 2.7 standard deviations above that average — simply, the theme is being mentioned much more often than usual. It measures attention, not bullishness or expected return. Themes need at least 8 posts; gold begins at +2σ, and σ is hidden when history is too thin.
Crypto Assets +3.2σ
114 posts 51 voices base 36.9
AI Compute +1.7σ
261 posts 121 voices base 80.0
Cybersecurity +1.7σ
8 posts 5 voices base 4.3
Retail & Mobility +1.6σ
17 posts 14 voices base 9.3
NeoCloud +1.5σ
66 posts 37 voices base 35.9
AI ASIC +1.3σ
26 posts 20 voices base 15.8
Hyperscalers +0.9σ
77 posts 36 voices base 44.9
Chip Manufacturing & Equipment +0.8σ
35 posts 29 voices base 23.2
Grid Equipment +0.8σ
10 posts 11 voices base 7.0
Clean Energy +0.7σ
10 posts 8 voices base 7.1
Software & SaaS +0.6σ
17 posts 10 voices base 13.3
Pharma & Biotech +0.6σ
13 posts 11 voices base 9.8
Banks +0.5σ
8 posts 6 voices base 6.2
AI Hardware +0.4σ
12 posts 12 voices base 10.1
Positioning Market Radar →

Buying / adding

3 positions · 4 voices

Selective / waiting

2 positions · 2 voices

Fading / not buying

3 positions · 4 voices

CIA and FMG

Rooster Global Portfolio Mastery Club is selling CIA, and selling FMG from its Sumo portfolio while holding RIO.

Substack - Rooster Global Portfolio Mastery Club
SELLING CIA
Substack - Rooster Global Portfolio Mastery Club
SELLING CIA
YouTube
21 videos · 36h 04m Bloomberg and TBPN treated Huang's exit as a governance and key-person shock, while CNBC focused on Nvidia's roughly $400 billion of ecosystem commitments and Washington weighed export controls. Open the desk →
X
1878 posts Strong X voices split on Nvidia after Huang: Jukan warns neoclouds could turn to AMD or TPUs if support fades, while Jiahan Jim Liu says IREN, NBIS and CRWV need no more Nvidia funding. Open the desk →
Reddit
531 threads Reddit split between Nvidia dip buyers and put buyers, while separate posts covered Cisco's neocloud-free AI guide and hyperscaler capex outrunning revenue. Open the desk →
Substack
10 letters Noah Smith and Brad DeLong argue US reindustrialization should be pursued mainly for national-security reasons, while Rooster Global said it is a good time to deploy spare cash or switch into copper, gold and silver shares and ETFs. Open the desk →