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05:52
Aug 05
Aug 05
USD/INR
▾
HIGH
Rupee to weaken on capital flow risks
Anubhuti Sahay is extremely cautious on the Indian rupee. The CNR scheme that has supported capital inflows expires in September; after that, momentum in capital flows is likely to weaken and weigh on the rupee. Oil price uncertainty and lack of visibility on a meaningful turnaround in portfolio and FDI flows over the next 6–12 months add to downside risks. Unless the government and RBI announce new substantive measures to attract capital, the rupee should trade at weaker levels by year-end, with a year-end USD/INR forecast of 96 and risk of even weaker trading.
USD/INR LONG
HIGH
05:30
Aug 05
Aug 05
010950.KS 1ST
Korean Financial Holding Companies
005930.KS
000660.KS
005380.KS FLIP
▾
HIGH
S-Oil Shaheen project to boost earnings.
S-Oil's Shaheen project is nearing completion, which will drive a significant earnings increase. Despite the stock having already risen, it is not the only beneficiary of the oil price decline theme, and the project catalyst supports further upside.
010950.KS LONG
Korean financials cheap defensive value.
Financial holding companies have been beaten down alongside the market, offering value and defensive characteristics. Including them in the defensive portion of a barbell portfolio is sensible.
Korean Financial Holding Companies LONG
Samsung Electronics deeply undervalued, normalized cheap.
Samsung Electronics is trading at a forward P/E of 4.0, extremely low even after normalizing earnings over 2028-2030 to smooth the cycle. The market is over-discounting cycle risk, and the implied sustainable ROE of 20-25% supports a much higher valuation. If shareholder return rises to 50%, dividend yield could reach 6-7%, making it a compelling buy.
005930.KS LONG
SK Hynix extremely cheap, sustainable ROE.
SK Hynix trades at a forward P/E of 3.8, even cheaper than Samsung, and despite the recent ADR-driven volatility and an earnings miss, the long-term sustainable ROE is 15-20%. The stock is deeply undervalued and should be a core holding as the memory cycle eventually turns.
000660.KS LONG
Hyundai Motor cheap robot play.
Hyundai Motor has fallen a lot and is a cheap way to play the robotics theme, which could be the next market leadership. It provides exposure to the robotics upcycle while being already depressed.
005380.KS LONG
NAVER benefits from data center boom.
NAVER is attracting attention because of its data center expansion and foreign capital inflows, moving up alongside the US hyperscalers. It belongs to the AI core allocation as a domestic beneficiary of the AI data center build-out.
035420.KS LONG
Robotics sector set to lead.
The robotics sector is set to be the next market leader. Full deployment of humanoid robots like Atlas is still about two years away, but the market tends to front-run such secular themes. Allocating a portion to Korean robotics stocks now makes sense within the growth sleeve.
Korean robotics stocks LONG
Korean shipbuilders cheap, earnings rebound.
Korean shipbuilding stocks are expected to deliver strong earnings even though their valuations are not low. Prices have fallen substantially, creating an attractive cyclical/defensive entry point for a barbell portfolio.
Korean Shipbuilding Stocks LONG
Oil decline beneficiaries worth watching.
Falling oil prices are easing inflation and can reduce the equity discount rate. Korean oil price decline beneficiaries are worth monitoring as a thematic opportunity; they could perform well as oil stabilizes or declines further.
Korean oil price decline beneficiary stocks WATCH
US stocks unattractive vs bonds.
With the S&P 500 forward P/E around 21-22, the equity expected return is below 0.5%, while the 10-year Treasury yield is at 4.7%. This makes US equities unattractive relative to bonds, and the market is not attractive until rates stabilize.
SPY AVOID
HIGH
04:39
Aug 05
Aug 05
EZ-Link Technology
Qualcomm Technology
MiniMax 1ST
KC 1ST
TFSi Optical
▾
HIGH
Buy Chinese domestic optical suppliers.
Under a potential US ban on Chinese optical transceivers, companies focused on China's domestic substitution (EZ-Link Technology, Qualcomm Technology) and upstream/midstream optical component makers (TFSi Optical) are better positioned because they are less reliant on US hyperscaler demand and benefit from domestic market growth.
EZ-Link Technology LONG
Qualcomm Technology LONG
TFSi Optical LONG
Long Chinese AI software stocks.
US policy not restricting open-weight AI models benefits Chinese AI software companies, creating room to run; MiniMax is a direct beneficiary as an open-weight model provider, with stock up on the news.
MiniMax LONG
Buy China cloud and data centers.
Cloud and data centers are the top preferred subsector in China internet, driven by token growth and anticipated CapEx uplift in 2H as domestic chip supply increases; hyperscalers like Alibaba, GDS, VNet, Kingsoft Cloud poised to benefit from 45% cloud revenue growth.
KC LONG
GDS LONG
BABA LONG
VNET LONG
Avoid Chinese optical hardware stocks.
The hardware space, particularly Chinese optical component makers, looks threatened by the geopolitical environment, making them unattractive.
Zhongji Innolight AVOID
Long Indian Rupee.
INR is expected to remain stable or strengthen due to RBI's strong reserve position from NRI inflows and active intervention, supporting a positive outlook despite upcoming rate hikes.
Indian rupee LONG
HIGH
03:25
Aug 05
Aug 05
Asia semiconductor sector
SPCX 1ST
TOPIX 1ST
TSM FLIP
Chinese optical transceiver sector
▾
HIGH
Hyperscaler AI spend boosts Asian chips
Hyper-scalers are still spending aggressively on the AI buildout, pushing the Philadelphia SOX index higher. This feeds through to Asian chipmakers, especially in Korea, aided by improved risk appetite and cleaned-up positioning after a bad July.
Asia semiconductor sector LONG
SpaceX vision faces near-term challenges
SpaceX faces multiple challenges: the huge AI capex burden is not fully appreciated, competition to Starlink from Amazon and others is coming, terrestrial carriers will fight back, and the space-data-centre vision is a long way off with difficult execution. The stock still reflects a great vision but near-term risks are high.
SPCX AVOID
Japan equities benefit from restructuring and growth
Japan offers broad non-tech opportunities supported by corporate restructuring, rising wages, pricing power, and government infrastructure investment. The economy is normalizing, and active managers can find value beyond the concentrated tech names. Short‑term oil headwinds are manageable.
TOPIX LONG
Taiwan tech strong, TSMC premium up
Taiwan tech is enjoying very strong leads from AMD and other names; TSMC’s valuation premium has returned to the top of its range around 17%, and the sharp recovery suggests the market is looking rosy for the island’s semiconductor champion.
TSM LONG
Avoid Chinese opticals on U.S. ban risk.
Avoid Chinese optical transceiver names: a planned U.S. ban would hurt Chinese component suppliers and create heavy selling pressure, but the source does not make an explicit shorting/puts call.
Chinese optical transceiver sector AVOID
Toyota undervalued with big buyback
Toyota’s Q1 profit dipped only slightly, and management signalled the stock is undervalued with a ¥1 trillion buyback. Strong hybrid demand and the weaker yen help offset rising costs, so fundamentals remain solid.
TM LONG
Chinese platform companies become AI winners
Historic Chinese e-commerce companies are transforming into multi-service platforms, growing through cloud and proprietary AI models. Those that can do multiple things across platforms will be the long‑term winners, even as Chinese AI models disrupt costs.
KWEB LONG
Honda guidance at risk from earthquake
Honda’s first‑quarter results may be strong, but the full‑year outlook is at risk because a factory was closed for three weeks after an earthquake. That disruption is likely to force a guidance cut.
HMC AVOID
HIGH
03:20
Aug 05
Aug 05
MSTR 1ST
▾
MED
Korean tax arbitrage flows boost MSTR.
If Korea implements crypto capital gains tax while stocks remain tax-free, Korean investors seeking tax-efficient Bitcoin exposure will shift from direct crypto trading to US-listed Strategy (the company formerly known as MicroStrategy, ticker MSTR), which holds Bitcoin as a corporate treasury asset. This tax arbitrage flow will boost demand for MSTR shares.
MSTR LONG
MED
03:12
Aug 05
Aug 05
INTC
MU
PLTR 1ST
ARM FLIP
AMD
▾
HIGH
US CPU semiconductor trend rising
The AI industry is shifting toward CPU as a key enabler, with ARM, AMD, and Intel representing the US CPU top trio. As AI agents become widespread, CPU will gain importance, making a concentrated bet on the US CPU semiconductor theme attractive.
INTC LONG
ARM LONG
Memory sell-off is a buy opportunity
Wall Street issued a flood of target price upgrades for SK Hynix after the July plunge, with RBC targeting $200 and Cantor Fitzgerald $300. Memory oversupply fears are overblown; the sharp sell-off created a buying opportunity, and memory semiconductors are poised to rebound strongly.
MU LONG
AI winner but stretched valuation
Palantir's strong Q2 results with 150% US commercial revenue growth prove AI demand is materializing beyond government contracts, breaking the bearish narrative. The company shows both rapid growth and expanding margins (operating margin from 46% to 62%), positioning it as an AI winner. However, the trailing P/E of 138x and forward P/E still high make current valuation very rich, prompting partial profit-taking.
PLTR LONG
CPU trend makes AMD the leader
AMD has both GPU and CPU, with little doubt about its positioning. It withstood the July correction well, and CPU is becoming the dominant theme in AI, with CPU expected to be the protagonist of this earnings season. AMD is the de facto leader of the semiconductor group, and its CPU direction should be followed.
AMD LONG
China optical ban benefits US makers
The US is drafting legislation to ban Chinese optical transceiver imports, directly benefiting US manufacturers. Companies like Lumentum and Marvell surged on this news, as they stand to capture market share from Chinese leader Zhongji Innolight.
LITE LONG
MRVL LONG
MLCC price rise lifts Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Samsung Electro-Mechanics is rallying strongly on rising MLCC (multilayer ceramic capacitor) prices. The component price increase is directly boosting the stock, and the trend is expected to continue.
009150.KS LONG
Memory sell-off is a buy opportunity
Korean memory makers (SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics) are undervalued because the market demands proof of earnings stability through a downcycle before granting a re-rating. They have long-term contracts and widening technology gaps in HBM, but they need to demonstrate resilience in a downturn. If they show steady profits in the next downcycle, a multiple expansion similar to TSMC could happen.
000660.KS LONG
KOSPI likely bottomed, buy Korea
Using a 'retracement ratio' analysis, KOSPI has already given back about 52% of its prior massive rally, which aligns with historical patterns from other countries that experienced 3x index runs. Combined with the observation that KOSPI touched the level of Korea's export value, this indicates a solid bottom has been established. Exports remain strong, suggesting the downside is limited and it is a buying opportunity.
EWY LONG
Wait for Hyundai breakout above 430K
Hyundai Motor is trying to form a bottom, but it needs to break above 430,000-450,000 KRW to confirm a trend reversal. Until then, it remains in a downtrend with lower highs and lows. Buying should be deferred until the breakout, though preferred shares may be considered for dividends.
005380.KS WATCH
Memory re-rating needs downcycle proof
Korean memory makers (SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics) are undervalued because the market demands proof of earnings stability through a downcycle before granting a re-rating. They have long-term contracts and widening technology gaps in HBM, but they need to demonstrate resilience in a downturn. If they show steady profits in the next downcycle, a multiple expansion similar to TSMC could happen.
005930.KS WATCH
KOSDAQ rebounds to 900 on clean-out
KOSDAQ has experienced a massive credit liquidation (margin debt halved), creating an 'empty house' effect. With heavy selling exhausted, a rebound to the 900 point level is likely, driven by biotech and oversold conditions. This catch-up move can outperform KOSPI in the near term.
KOSDAQ Index LONG
Alteogen leads biotech recovery
Alteogen is leading the biotech rebound on KOSDAQ, rising 8% and breaking key resistance. The biotech sector was crushed and is now recovering from extreme oversold levels, with Alteogen as a prime beneficiary. If the stock can hold its gains, it could retest higher bands.
196170.KQ LONG
Favor Microsoft and Alphabet as safest
Among US hyperscalers, Microsoft and Alphabet have the strongest credit profiles and ability to fund massive AI capex via cheap, long-dated debt. While others face cash flow strain, these two can sustain investment and are the safest ways to bet on the AI buildout. They are the likely last-standing winners in an AI capex cycle that could strain weaker balance sheets.
MSFT LONG
GOOGL LONG
Chinese robot theme via parts ETF
China is aggressively building a humanoid robot ecosystem, with Unitree IPO as a milestone. Rather than picking individual winners, the best approach is to invest in the supply chain via the KODEX TIGER China Humanoid Robot ETF, which has high exposure to component makers that will benefit regardless of which robot company succeeds.
KODEX China Humanoid Robot ETF LONG
HIGH
03:00
Aug 05
Aug 05
MU
000660.KS
STX
196170.KQ
009150.KS FLIP
▾
HIGH
Memory supply-demand gap drives prices up
Elon Musk pointed out that memory production grows only 20% per year while demand grows 200% per year, so price increases are natural. This supply-demand imbalance supports a bullish view on memory semiconductor stocks.
MU LONG
000660.KS LONG
STX LONG
Keytruda SC sales beat boosts Alteogen royalties
Keytruda SC (subcutaneous) sales far exceeded US analyst guidance, indicating faster-than-expected penetration. This significantly boosts Alteogen's royalty revenue, potentially reaching 700-800 billion won annually. Additional deals with Sanofi's Dupixent and AstraZeneca's Imfinzi for SC formulation provide further milestone income, supporting a very positive outlook.
196170.KQ LONG
Robot deregulation and Ibiden boost Korean parts
Samsung Electro-Mechanics and LG Innotek are benefiting from robot regulation deregulation (robot rule-free) and positive news flow around Tesla sweeping orders. Moreover, Japanese substrate maker Ibiden reported outstanding earnings, signaling strong semiconductor substrate demand that will also benefit these two companies.
009150.KS LONG
Ibiden's HBM substrate demand lifts Samsung Electronics
Ibiden's excellent earnings and plans to build two additional factories—one for NVIDIA and one for semiconductor substrates—signal strong HBM-related demand. This directly hints at rising HBM business for Samsung Electronics, which should benefit from the expanding AI substrate ecosystem.
005930.KS LONG
Ibiden's superb earnings and capacity expansion
Ibiden itself delivered outstanding results and is expanding two factories to meet demand from NVIDIA and semiconductor substrates. This strongly positive earnings and capacity boost makes Ibiden a compelling investment.
4062.T LONG
Strong results and nuclear outlook for Daewoo E&C
Daewoo Engineering & Construction posted clean, strong results, raised its order target, and the key driver is expected to be good performance in nuclear power plant projects. Additionally, domestic housing supply expansion needs are creating a favorable backdrop.
047040.KS LONG
Pipeline advances and more tech transfer ahead
LigaChem Bio is passing through the darkest hour before dawn. Its pipeline is progressing well, and there is a high likelihood of additional technology transfer deals from existing partnered companies. The stock is maintaining support around 220,000 won, and the development stage is clearly advancing.
141080.KQ LONG
DB HiTek beats consensus on operating profit
DB HiTek surged over 10% after reporting operating profit of 105.2 billion won, which beat consensus estimates. The strong earnings surprise drove the price jump.
000990.KS LONG
CMTX: limited downside, open upside to 135k
CMTX reported solid earnings with an operating margin of 32.5%. Despite the target price being lowered from a high valuation multiple, the downside appears limited and the upside remains open. The stock is around 80,000 won, while the revised target price still indicates 135,000 won, offering significant potential upside.
CMTX LONG
NAVER and SKT bought as AI factory plays
Foreign and institutional investors heavily bought NAVER and SK Telecom together, viewing the two companies as AI factory-related plays. If the market continues to recognize them as such, they are likely to move in tandem with other AI infrastructure themes.
035420.KS LONG
017670.KS LONG
US market steady rise on macro tailwinds
The US market keeps steadily rising. The recent surge was driven by Hormuz reopening hopes, AI infrastructure investment expansion, falling oil prices (WTI to $75), and lower bond yields. The S&P 500 hit a new high, and the overall backdrop remains positive.
SPY LONG
HIGH
02:51
Aug 05
Aug 05
BTC FLIP
ALTCOINS FLIP
▾
HIGH
Crypto regulatory failure drags Bitcoin lower.
The likely failure of the Clarity Act (STABLE Act) is a major headwind for digital assets. The Senate is running out of time for a cloture vote this week, and Democratic senators are adding fresh ethical demands related to President Trump’s memecoin, making passage remote. Even Senator Lummis, a strong crypto advocate, admitted the bill is likely dead if cloture doesn't happen this week. This regulatory setback, combined with persistent negative Coinbase premium and falling stablecoin market cap, keeps US crypto investor sentiment weak and prevents Bitcoin from rallying alongside equities.
BTC AVOID
VC dumping altcoins signals prolonged weakness.
Major VC firm Spartan Group has sold all recently unlocked altcoin positions on-chain, suggesting professional investors expect further downside. The swift liquidation of DeFi tokens like Pendle, Silo, and EtherFi signals that even high-quality alts are being dumped and that the market may remain depressed for an extended period.
ALTCOINS AVOID
HIGH
02:21
Aug 05
Aug 05
005930.KS 1ST
000660.KS 1ST
MSFT 1ST
KODEX China Humanoid Robot ETF
GOOGL 1ST
▾
HIGH
Korean memory stocks poised for AI rally
Korean memory semiconductor stocks such as Samsung Electronics and SK hynix will recover as the AI rally resumes. The three overhangs — demand, supply, and rates/liquidity — are being resolved: big tech capex and cloud revenue growth confirm solid AI demand; Chinese memory maker CXMT's expansion is limited by EUV equipment restrictions, low yields, and insufficient bit supply to meet even domestic demand, so global high-end memory supply remains tight; and US political dynamics with upcoming midterm elections plus softening employment data support interest rate stabilization, creating a favorable environment for tech. The market has already priced in worst fears and is building a bottom, with the three confirmations driving a staircase rebound toward prior highs.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Microsoft and Alphabet are safe AI winners
Microsoft and Alphabet are the safest long-term AI investments because their top-tier credit ratings and ability to issue even 100-year bonds show they can fund the AI arms race longer than competitors, making them likely ultimate winners. Their leverage ratios remain low relative to earnings, and robust cloud growth already demonstrates AI monetization, so credit risk is manageable.
MSFT LONG
GOOGL LONG
Korean robot parts ETF plays China robotics
The KODEX China Humanoid Robot ETF offers exposure to Chinese humanoid robot supply chain component makers, which are set to benefit regardless of which robot manufacturer ultimately wins. Unitree's upcoming IPO will renew interest in the sector, and these component companies have a history of supplying Tesla as well, positioning them for both Chinese and global demand. The ETF has a high weighting in component makers, making it an efficient way to capture this theme.
KODEX China Humanoid Robot ETF LONG
HIGH
01:46
Aug 05
Aug 05
Chinese semiconductor equipment stocks
CXMT
▾
HIGH
Buy Chinese semiconductor equipment stocks
China's government is directing massive capital into new economy sectors via IPO approvals, while domestic funds have a historically high 43% allocation to electronics. This policy push, combined with extreme capex growth in semiconductor equipment and localization, makes Chinese semiconductor equipment stocks a clear buy as the expansion cycle will continue.
Chinese semiconductor equipment stocks LONG
Watch CXMT for STAR 50 inclusion
CXMT's potential inclusion in the STAR 50 index (likely in December, not September) would trigger passive fund and pension fund inflows, creating a catalyst for the stock. Monitoring this event is worthwhile.
CXMT WATCH
HIGH
01:36
Aug 05
Aug 05
AAPL
MSFT
AMZN 1ST
NVDA
AMD
▾
HIGH
Core portfolio in US big tech quality
US large-cap tech platforms like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Nvidia have historically delivered strong annual returns (around 20-27% for Amazon and Apple, even higher for Nvidia as it opens new areas), providing a solid core. Allocating 70-80% of a portfolio to these quality names ensures stable base returns, while the remaining 20-30% can go to higher-risk innovative companies.
AAPL LONG
MSFT LONG
AMZN LONG
NVDA LONG
AMD data center GPU growth momentum
AMD is showing strong growth momentum in data center GPUs, with data center revenue growing 107% and overall sales growth accelerating (31.7% in Q1 2025, then 50% in the next quarter). While Nvidia is the safer quality play, AMD’s momentum makes it an attractive case for growth-oriented allocation.
AMD LONG
Watch Korean memory stocks for TSMC-like re-rating
Korean memory semiconductor stocks (Samsung Electronics and SK hynix) could experience a massive re-rating similar to TSMC if they demonstrate margin stability through a downcycle. Currently trading at very low multiples (~3.5x P/B), a move toward TSMC’s 20x multiple would drive enormous upside. However, this requires confirmation that HBM-led margins can smooth out the cycle and that the companies can act as a semi-cartel, which will take another 1-2 years to prove.
005930.KS WATCH
000660.KS WATCH
Near-term rebound in KOSPI and KOSDAQ
KOSPI and KOSDAQ are showing bullish technical reversal signals. The Kosdaq experienced three consecutive upside circuit breakers for the first time ever, a possible trend inflection point. Weekly charts show long lower shadows similar to past rebounds (e.g., April 2025 tariff crash), and this week’s action of absorbing early selling and pushing higher supports a continuation of the rebound in the near term.
EWY LONG
KOSDAQ Index LONG
HIGH
01:30
Aug 05
Aug 05
005930.KS
000660.KS
Korean semiconductor equipment/materials sector
EWJ 1ST
BAC 1ST
▾
HIGH
Memory cycle extends into year-end/Q1.
AI memory demand will remain strong at least through year-end or Q1 next year because hyperscalers must advance to NVIDIA's Rubin architecture before stopping. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix still have fundamental strength and technical support at last week's low, so investors holding the actual shares should not sell unless that low is broken. The memory cycle peak is conservatively in December or Q1, giving ample time for stock price rebounds.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Watch Korean semiconductor equipment for rebound.
Semiconductor equipment/materials (소부장) stocks on KOSDAQ could rebound after Samsung and SK Hynix finish their correction. Global funds are already flowing into Korean semiconductor equipment names, and the sector deserves close watching for a potential second-wave bounce.
Korean semiconductor equipment/materials sector WATCH
Japanese semiconductor equipment gets big inflows.
Japan's semiconductor equipment/materials sector is attracting massive global capital inflows. Because Japan is a strong player in semiconductor equipment, investors should pay attention to the large-scale foreign buying happening there.
EWJ LONG
US banks rally on rate hikes.
US banks like Bank of America are hitting new highs regardless of market drops, driven by rate-hike beneficiary dynamics. Investors should include rate-hike beneficiaries in their portfolios, and US bank stocks are a clear expression of that theme.
BAC LONG
Watch US consumer cyclicals on tariff easing.
If the US midterm elections lead to a release of tariff-related money, US consumer discretionary stocks such as GM could benefit for a few months. The sector should be watched closely for a potential catalyst-driven move.
GM WATCH
XLY WATCH
Korean banks rise quietly on rate hikes.
Korean rate-hike beneficiaries (banks/financials) have been quietly performing well. The speaker confirmed that these stocks are showing a good price trend, aligning with the broader theme of favouring rate-hike beneficiaries in portfolios.
Korean financials/bank stocks LONG
HIGH
01:28
Aug 05
Aug 05
KOSDAQ 1ST
131970.KQ 1ST
031980.KQ 1ST
475150.KS 1ST
GNC Energy
▾
HIGH
KOSDAQ recovery to 900, outperform KOSPI
KOSDAQ has seen margin loan balances roughly halve, creating oversold conditions and an 'empty house' effect. With single-stock concentration easing and the market starting to broaden beyond semiconductors, KOSDAQ can recover to the 900 mid-early range, outperforming KOSPI during this phase. A 20% portfolio allocation to KOSDAQ through ETFs or stocks is warranted until that target is reached.
KOSDAQ LONG
KOSDAQ equipment stocks benefit from AI capex
AI capex expansion cycles are beginning, and front-end semiconductor equipment and materials companies on KOSDAQ are seeing significant inclusion in recent active ETFs. Stocks like Doosan Tesna and PSK Holdings benefit directly from increased fab equipment spending as foundries and memory makers invest in new lines. This sector is now the first priority for KOSDAQ outperformance ideas.
131970.KQ LONG
031980.KQ LONG
Korean data center energy infra stocks rally
Domestic AI data center construction is accelerating, with SK Group and others building facilities and generating 14GW of potential demand. Energy infrastructure plays related to these data centers, such as SK Eternix and GNC Energy, have already shown sharp recoveries and are well-positioned for sequential rotation as news flow supports the theme.
475150.KS LONG
GNC Energy LONG
KOSDAQ robotics stocks thrive on captive demand
KOSDAQ robotics stocks like Robotis and Rainbow Robotics remain among the top market-cap names and show signs of a turnaround. Robotis is expected to achieve its first profit in four years, driven by captive demand from Samsung Electronics and group affiliates, while Rainbow Robotics benefits from similar backed demand and ongoing humanoid robot development. These stocks are worth watching as the diffusion theme expands into robotics.
108490.KQ LONG
277810.KQ LONG
After KOSDAQ 900, rotate to KOSPI memory
After KOSDAQ recovers to the 900 area, the market will likely rotate back to KOSPI memory stocks, which are still earning well and can resume leadership. Samsung Electronics and SK hynix have already posted strong earnings that provide a downside buffer, and the liquidity rotation out of KOSDAQ into KOSPI memory names should drive the next leg up.
005930.KS WATCH
000660.KS WATCH
HIGH
00:49
Aug 05
Aug 05
009150.KS FLIP
005930.KS
000660.KS
006360.KS
047040.KS
▾
HIGH
Growing camera demand benefits module suppliers.
The importance of cameras is growing rapidly for robots and autonomous driving, which will benefit major camera module suppliers and potentially lead to a re-evaluation of the sector.
009150.KS LONG
091700.KQ LONG
097520.KS LONG
Supplier-driven memory market ensures strong earnings.
CXMT's memory expansion is not a threat because it is a supplier-driven market where major players are also expanding and capacity is sold out until next year. Q3 earnings consensus for Samsung is strong, and PC DRAM/NAND prices are hitting record highs.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Undervalued construction stocks have multiple growth momentums.
Construction stocks are heavily undervalued and possess multiple strong momentums, including semiconductor clusters, data centers, nuclear power plants, domestic housing supply, and potential rebuilding projects.
006360.KS LONG
047040.KS LONG
000720.KS LONG
375500.KS LONG
Biotech rebounds on obesity drugs and policies.
Beaten-down biotech stocks are rebounding, driven by expectations for obesity drug CDMO contracts and upcoming Kosdaq boosting policies like the clinical phase 3 specialized fund.
196170.KQ LONG
141080.KQ LONG
298380.KQ LONG
087010.KQ LONG
Positive long-term view on energy sector.
Maintains a positive long-term view on the energy sector. While solar is the fastest to deploy, nuclear power will move heavily and steadily over the long term.
034020.KS LONG
051600.KS LONG
Hyundai Motor Group offers comfortable low valuations.
Changing to a positive view on Hyundai Motor Group. If the market turns, these are comfortable stocks to buy due to low valuations and re-evaluation of their robot momentum.
005380.KS LONG
000270.KS LONG
012330.KS LONG
Gold is a good long-term diversification asset.
For wealthy investors, allocating 10-15% to gold is recommended as it has dropped significantly from its peak and maintains a long-term upward trend.
GLD LONG
CPU sector gains importance alongside GPUs.
Nvidia's ambition to control CPUs highlights the importance of the CPU sector, making CPU-focused ETFs and companies like Intel attractive.
US CPU Semiconductor Top 10 ETF LONG
INTC LONG
SI companies benefit from data center growth.
SI companies are undervalued despite solid earnings. They play a crucial role in designing and building domestic data centers, with strong growth in cloud and AI segments.
LG CNS LONG
018260.KS LONG
Securities firms offer strong earnings and returns.
Securities firms reported overwhelmingly good Q2 earnings, trade at very low PERs, and have high expectations for large-scale shareholder returns like buybacks and cancellations.
016360.KS LONG
005940.KS LONG
Strong earnings support US market breakout.
The US market remains strong, breaking out of its box range, driven by solid corporate earnings and forward P/E ratios that are still below the 5-year average.
SPY LONG
QQQ LONG
Data center construction drives Caterpillar's strong earnings.
Caterpillar reported strong earnings and positive guidance, benefiting from the heavy machinery required for digging ground to build new data centers.
CAT LONG
US optical companies benefit from China restrictions.
US restrictions on Chinese optical transceivers due to security concerns will directly benefit US optical communication companies.
GLW LONG
COHR LONG
LITE LONG
Domestic optical firms benefit from US bans.
The US is drafting a bill to ban Chinese optical transceivers in AI data centers, creating significant substitution benefits for domestic optical communication companies.
327260.KQ LONG
081580.KQ LONG
010170.KQ LONG
368770.KQ LONG
138080.KQ LONG
425430.KQ LONG
US tariffs on China boost Korean polysilicon.
The US is considering tariffs and minimum import prices on Chinese polysilicon, which will benefit Korean companies that have secured US supply chains, aided by potential Democratic policy momentum.
010060.KS LONG
009830.KS LONG
Massive CAPEX increases drive semiconductor equipment demand.
AMD's massive CAPEX increase signals strong upcoming equipment orders. Companies with diversified clients across Samsung, SK, Micron, and China are preferred.
095610.KQ LONG
064760.KQ LONG
Water shortages highlight need for renewable energy.
Water shortages in Europe for traditional thermal and nuclear power plants highlight the growing necessity of renewable energy and overall energy infrastructure investments.
298040.KS LONG
000500.KS LONG
336260.KS LONG
006340.KS LONG
000150.KS LONG
RFHIC preferred due to continuous institutional buying.
RFHIC benefits from the US ban on Chinese optical transceivers and shows continuous institutional buying, making it a preferred pick in the telecom equipment sector.
218410.KQ LONG
SK is a dark horse for SMR.
SK and SK Innovation invested in Bill Gates' TerraPower, making SK a strong dark horse for SMR momentum, especially if Gates visits Korea to discuss energy.
034730.KS LONG
AI factory recognition attracts foreign and institutional buying.
NAVER and SK Telecom are being recognized as AI factory-related companies, attracting joint net buying from foreigners and institutions.
035420.KS LONG
017670.KS LONG
Growing SOCAM demand benefits specialized substrate suppliers.
Demand for SOCAM substrates is growing rapidly, directly benefiting specialized suppliers like TLB and Simmtech.
356860.KQ LONG
222800.KQ LONG
HIGH
00:49
Aug 05
Aug 05
KQ
KS 1ST
▾
HIGH
Palantir surge boosts domestic AI software stocks.
Korean biotech stocks, led by LigaChem Bio, are returning to previous technical bands after being severely depressed. This recovery is critical for KOSDAQ's continued rally, and holding these levels could open significant upside.
KQ LONG
Domestic AI infra diverging from US highs.
The AI infrastructure sector is diverging: US names like Eaton are making new highs while Korean AI infrastructure stocks (transformers, LS Electric) are still bottoming, creating an attractive value opportunity as hyperscaler investment continues.
KS LONG
HIGH
00:30
Aug 05
Aug 05
BOVA11.SA
EWZ 1ST
▾
HIGH
Brazil heading for debt crisis
Brazil's public debt has risen rapidly under President Lula, and with real interest rates well above economic growth, a classic Latin American debt crisis can arrive quickly unless urgent fiscal reform is enacted. Political barriers, including Lula's electoral skill and division of the right, further darken the fiscal outlook.
BOVA11.SA SHORT
EWZ SHORT
HIGH
00:14
Aug 05
Aug 05
EWY
005930.KS
000660.KS
009150.KS
▾
HIGH
KOSPI rebound to 7,000–7,500 range
The KOSPI has formed a bottom around 5,400 after historic July volatility and is set for a short-term rebound toward 7,000–7,500. The speaker bought aggressively at the low and now targets that range for profit-taking, driven by normalization of leveraged positions, stabilization in U.S. markets, and easing geopolitical risks.
EWY LONG
Samsung, SK hynix deeply undervalued AI plays
HSBC states Samsung Electronics trades at around 8x EPS with its AI premium completely ignored, while SK hynix is similarly undervalued relative to TSMC despite AI memory dominance. DRAM prices are rising 10–15% QoQ, supporting the memory upcycle and making both stocks deeply attractive.
005930.KS LONG
000660.KS LONG
Tesla camera supply lifting Samsung Electro-Mechanics, LG Innotek
Samsung Electro-Mechanics is benefiting from MLCC price increases, and LG Innotek surged on rumors of supplying Tesla’s cameras. Both companies are linked to Tesla’s camera supply chain and seeing positive momentum.
009150.KS LONG
HIGH
23:54
Aug 04
Aug 04
23:49
Aug 04
Aug 04
CNBC
8h
XLK
IGV FLIP
CLS FLIP
GEV
PINS 1ST
▾
HIGH
Tech forced selling over, bounce continues
The forced selling from the collapse of the Situational Awareness hedge fund has cleared out weak hands and created a clearing event. Tech stocks are now free to rebound because there is no longer a seller overhang. Big tech names are still too low and will continue higher.
XLK LONG
Software short squeeze just beginning
Software stocks were heavily shorted by the collapsed hedge fund and were kept down artificially. With the shorts running out of force, these stocks were left way too cheap and have nowhere to go but up as short positions unwind and fundamentals re-assert.
IGV LONG
Celestica incredible operator, buy it
Celestica is a buy because it is an incredible operator that excels in hardware platforms, supply chains, and cloud connectivity. Cramer reads every conference call and is impressed by their execution; he suggests buying some now and hoping for a pullback to add more.
CLS LONG
GE Vernova quarter was terrific, buy
GE Vernova did not miss earnings; it had a terrific quarter. The company is putting on more machines to generate more gigawatt power, and the stock is expensive for good reason. Cramer thinks it is a terrific situation and the stock can continue to go higher.
GEV LONG
Pinterest quarter strong, post-sell-off opportunity
Pinterest reported a very strong quarter with beats on revenue, earnings, free cash flow, and users, with growth led by Gen Z. After-hours selling on inline guidance is unjustified and has created a good opportunity in one of the best independent web properties.
PINS LONG
Robinhood winning site, growth continues
Robinhood has a winning platform because it consistently adds new products loved by users and is opening more and more accounts. The blockchain/tokenized stock feature will not matter much, but the core business momentum will drive the stock.
HOOD LONG
Northwest Energy is a winning stock that can be put in a portfolio as a long-term hold. It has recently pulled back, presenting an attractive entry point.
Northwest Energy LONG
Origin Bank cheap at 13x earnings
Origin Bank is a great regional bank that continues to expand its presence and deliver value. It trades at an attractive 13 times earnings, making it a compelling value play.
OBK LONG
Regular index buying captures best days
Most of the year's biggest gains happen on just a few days, and it is impossible to predict when they will occur. Therefore, investors should force themselves to regularly buy into an index fund regardless of price to ensure they capture those critical seven days.
SPY LONG
HIGH
23:31
Aug 04
Aug 04
000660.KS
009150.KS
034020.KS
▾
HIGH
SK Hynix seen doubling on supply shortage.
Multiple US investment banks have initiated analyst coverage on SK Hynix with strong buy ratings and target prices as high as $320, implying over 100% upside from current levels. The reports highlight a supply shortage that could persist until 2028, driven by AI demand. The recent stock weakness was due to technical supply factors, not fundamentals, creating a buying opportunity.
000660.KS LONG
Samsung Electro-Mechanics, LG Innotek win Tesla robotaxi cameras.
Samsung Electro-Mechanics and LG Innotek have secured an exclusive deal to supply all camera modules for Tesla's fully autonomous Cybercab robotaxi, which relies solely on vision with no other sensors. This validates their world-class camera module technology for high-stakes autonomous driving and positions them for substantial volume if Tesla meets its 2 million annual production target, with downstream robotics applications via Optimus.
009150.KS LONG
Doosan Enerbility gas turbines ordered for US data centers.
Doosan Enerbility's gas turbines are being adopted by US big tech companies for AI data center power generation. After an initial trial, the company has received strong follow-on orders, reflecting Elon Musk/Tesla's pattern of aggressively deploying Korean suppliers once proven, and signaling a major new revenue stream from the AI infrastructure buildout.
034020.KS LONG
HIGH
23:12
Aug 04
Aug 04
AMD FLIP
▾
MED
AMD guidance disappoints high expectations
AMD's third quarter revenue outlook of $13 billion +/- $300 million disappointed against bullish expectations. The stock had rallied 140% year-to-date but failed to clear a higher bar, and the AI infrastructure space is under pressure after the report, indicating a near-term negative direction.
AMD SHORT
MED
22:47
Aug 04
Aug 04
SX6P 1ST
DAX Index
CAC 40 Index
SMG 1ST
SPCX
▾
HIGH
European equities rally sustainable on AI.
European equity markets (Stoxx 600, DAX, CAC) are hitting record highs on a strong earnings season with 17% earnings growth, positive revisions breadth, and fresh capital inflows; the AI semiconductor value chain across Europe and East Asia provides a sustainable tailwind.
SX6P LONG
DAX Index LONG
CAC 40 Index LONG
Scotts Miracle-Gro growth algorithm underway.
ScottsMiracle-Gro is executing a new growth algorithm targeting 5-8% annual EPS growth, driven by low household penetration, digital marketing pivot, indoor gardening expansion, new grocery channel wins, and natural/organic products; management expects to outperform conservative guidance.
SMG LONG
SpaceX high-reward long-term investment opportunity.
SpaceX is a high-risk/high-reward long-term investment; Starlink is in early innings with massive consumer and military demand, the Nvidia partnership for orbital data centers could be transformative, and the stock trading below IPO price offers an attractive entry for patient investors.
SPCX LONG
Generac data center power business booming.
Generac's commercial and industrial data center backup generator business is booming with a $1.6 billion backlog, plans to triple capacity to ~$4 billion, and the potential to double the entire commercial segment next year, riding the massive AI data center build-out.
GNRC LONG
HIGH
22:46
Aug 04
Aug 04
CNBC
9h
AIFD
TCW Power ETF
FLXR
CLLO
▾
HIGH
Active AI ETF for multi-sector outperformance
AI is a long-term structural theme spanning multiple sectors, and active management via TCW's AIFD ETF can outperform by selecting across industries, building on a track record from a converted mutual fund.
AIFD LONG
Active power infrastructure ETF for outperformance
Power and infrastructure demands driven by electrification and AI form a decades-long structural theme, and TCW's actively managed Power ETF offers broad cross-sector exposure without requiring daily subsector tinkering, aiming for long-term outperformance.
TCW Power ETF LONG
Active multi-sector bond ETF with 5.44% yield
With rates higher for longer and continued volatility, active fixed income management in the FLXR ETF allows dynamic duration management, capitalizes on attractive securitized market spreads, and delivers a strong total return with a 5.44% SEC yield for income-focused investors.
FLXR LONG
Short-duration CLO ETF for quality yield
CLLO ETF offers exposure to high-quality collateralized loan obligations with short duration, making it attractive for advisers seeking higher return potential while managing rate sensitivity in a higher-for-longer environment.
CLLO LONG
HIGH
22:45
Aug 04
Aug 04
CNBC
9h
FLXR 1ST
CLLO 1ST
▾
HIGH
Active multi-sector fixed income with high yield
Active multi-sector fixed income ETF (FLXR) is attractive in a higher-for-longer rate environment where inflation concerns persist. The active management can rotate into undervalued sectors like securitized assets while credit spreads are tight, delivering both strong total return and an appealing 5.44% SEC yield for investors seeking steady income.
FLXR LONG
High quality, short duration CLO ETF
The CLO ETF (CLLO) offers high quality exposure with higher returns and very short duration, making it an attractive tool for advisors seeking to add income while managing interest-rate sensitivity in a rising-rate environment.
CLLO LONG
HIGH
22:41
Aug 04
Aug 04
EWY
000660.KS
▾
HIGH
KOSPI bottom confirmed by retracement and exports
The recent KOSPI drop retraced about 52% of the prior rally, matching historical patterns of similar rallies where the retracement averaged 45-50%, suggesting the sell-off has exhausted. Additionally, the KOSPI has fallen to a level that corresponds to the current export amount, which historically acted as a firm floor (akin to a PBR of 1). Given that exports are stable and unlikely to decline further, this low is likely the real bottom, implying limited further downside and a buying opportunity.
EWY LONG
Watch SK Hynix for re-rating on earnings stability
SK Hynix is attempting to break out of the historical value trap by moving toward a TSMC-like stable-profit model. Through technology leadership in HBM, customization, and long-term contracts, the company aims to reduce earnings volatility. However, re-rating requires proof that it can defend margins during a down cycle. The stock is in a 'proof time' phase: if it demonstrates resilient earnings like TSMC, multiples could expand significantly. Investors should watch for evidence of this shift.
000660.KS WATCH
HIGH
22:41
Aug 04
Aug 04
CNBC
9h
powered 1ST
AIFD 1ST
THNQ 1ST
▾
HIGH
Multi-decade power infrastructure theme, active management.
Power infrastructure and grid modernization driven by AI energy needs represent a multi-decade structural demand theme. The TCW Power ETF (powered) offers actively managed, multisector exposure to this theme for long-term outperformance, allowing a core overweight without daily tinkering.
powered LONG
Long-term structural AI demand, active outperformance.
The AI revolution is a very long-term structural theme, and the TCW AI ETF (AIFD) provides active management to outperform by investing broadly across multiple sectors, so investors can allocate a portion of core equity to this theme without having to micromanage subsectors.
AIFD LONG
AI thematic ETFs replace sector overweights.
Thematic AI ETFs offer cross-sector exposure to artificial intelligence (impacting tech, utilities, industrials) and are increasingly being used by advisers as a 5% overweight alternative instead of narrow technology sector ETFs like the Technology Select Sector SPDR.
THNQ LONG
HIGH
22:37
Aug 04
Aug 04
AMZN 1ST
MSFT 1ST
META 1ST
GOOGL 1ST
SPY
▾
HIGH
AI data center capex is a bubble.
The massive AI data center capex by Google, Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon, projected at $725B in 2026, represents an irrational bubble fueled by artificially low interest rates; it will lead to entrepreneurial errors and unprofitable data centers.
AMZN AVOID
MSFT AVOID
META AVOID
GOOGL AVOID
US stock market is a bubble.
The U.S. stock market is in the end stage of a long and vast bubble, with near-zero real interest rates fueling a blowoff top; expected returns over the next 10 years are zero or negative, with a risk of a crash.
SPY AVOID
Bond returns will be negative real.
Real returns on both corporate and government bonds will be zero or negative over the next several years, with likely price decreases, making bonds unattractive.
TLT AVOID
IEF AVOID
Real estate prices likely to fall.
Real estate and land prices are likely to decrease, with low expected returns due to overinvestment, leading to a decline in transactions and values.
VNQ AVOID
Diesel and jet fuel will surge.
The war in the Persian Gulf and global underinvestment in fossil fuels will cause diesel and jet fuel prices to rise significantly, with potential shortages, adversely affecting transportation and farming.
UCO LONG
CRAK LONG
Agricultural commodities will rise sharply.
Fertilizer shortages and high diesel prices will diminish crop production globally, leading to significantly higher agricultural and food prices.
DBA LONG
Gold and silver are bottoming out.
The precious metals selloff after the hawkish Fed chair nomination and Iran attack was politically driven; the market is now bottoming out, implying a recovery in gold and silver.
GLD LONG
SLV LONG
HIGH
22:27
Aug 04
Aug 04
Fernando Ulrich
10h
BTC 1ST
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin's worst is over; buy now.
O hack da Coldcard, somado a outras notícias negativas e ao baixo sentimento do mercado, sinaliza que o pior já passou para o Bitcoin. O evento pode ser um marcador de fundo do ciclo, à semelhança do colapso da FTX, embora o volume roubado seja menor. Com os bitcoins abatidos e longe da euforia, é um momento propício para comprar, pois não estamos mais na fase de euforia e os preços se seguraram apesar das más notícias.
BTC LONG
HIGH
22:19
Aug 04
Aug 04
AMD
WUXAY 1ST
BTC 1ST
AAPL
MSFT
▾
HIGH
Strong data center growth provides solid upward momentum.
AMD's data center revenue more than doubled year-over-year, and the company expects strong continued growth through 2027. While it is a latecomer compared to Nvidia, its growth momentum in the GPU and AI accelerator space is very strong, making it an attractive growth play despite short-term after-hours stock volatility.
AMD LONG
Strong earnings and irreplaceable position in GLP-1.
WuXi AppTec reported a 20% earnings beat for Q2, driven by strong growth in its CMO and CDMO businesses. The company holds a 25% market share in the global GLP-1 (obesity) drug supply chain, and its US revenue portion has increased to 77% despite US sanctions, demonstrating its irreplaceable market position.
WUXAY LONG
Holding key moving averages suggests a positive setup.
Bitcoin is maintaining the $64,000 level and holding its 200-week moving average, which indicates a positive long-term technical setup. If the price can successfully settle above $65,000, it is likely to resume a clear upward trend.
BTC LONG
Allocate 70% to quality tech and 30% to innovation.
Investors should allocate 70% of their portfolio to high-quality, dominant big tech platforms like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia for steady returns, and 30% to high-growth innovation companies like Palantir. Innovation stocks should ideally be purchased during major market corrections when they are heavily discounted.
AAPL LONG
MSFT LONG
NVDA LONG
PLTR LONG
Margin defense in downcycles is needed for re-rating.
Unlike TSMC, which commands a 90% monopoly in advanced nodes and maintains stable high margins, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix still rely heavily on commodity memory for 80% of their profits. To achieve a TSMC-like valuation re-rating, they must prove they can defend margins during the next downcycle using HBM and long-term agreements.
005930.KS WATCH
000660.KS WATCH
Activist stake and solid earnings support upward potential.
Orion is attractive due to its solid earnings recovery, high dividend merit, and a recent 5% stake acquisition by Silchester International. As an activist fund known for demanding enhanced shareholder returns, Silchester's involvement could act as a strong catalyst for the stock.
271560.KS LONG
Buy during deep corrections as a defensive play.
Nongshim is a classic defensive stock that tends to perform well during market crises or geopolitical tensions. Investors should buy it during deep corrections with a 'farmer's mindset' and sell during sudden spikes driven by temporary themes, such as character collaborations.
004370.KS LONG
HIGH
22:17
Aug 04
Aug 04
Morgan Stanley
10h
SKYY
Off-grid data center power generation
▾
MED
Hyperscaler capex strong, risks to upside
Hyperscaler AI capex will remain elevated this year and next, with risks skewed to the upside. Federal policy remains supportive despite local opposition, because the US-China AI race creates strong national security incentives to keep facilitating the buildout. The 'conditional buildout' means companies will offer local concessions but overall spending continues, benefiting the hyperscalers driving data center investment.
SKYY LONG
Off-grid power for data centers growing
As local moratoria and political pushback focus on electricity costs, data centers will increasingly need to go off-grid to avoid consumer backlash. This structural shift creates a growing opportunity in off-grid power solutions for data centers, driven by the power bottleneck and community resistance.
Off-grid data center power generation WATCH
MED
22:12
Aug 04
Aug 04
SPCX FLIP
PLTR
SPY
SMH
FND 1ST
▾
HIGH
Lockup unlocks will drive SPCX below $100
SpaceX faces heavy lockup expirations starting two days after the report, with trillions of shares scheduled to unlock every five weeks through December. Even if only a small fraction of insiders sell, the flood of supply will likely push the stock below $100, making current levels unattractive.
SPCX AVOID
Palantir is a dominant AI enterprise winner
Palantir is becoming one of the leading companies helping enterprises and governments monetize their data with AI. The non-traditional sales model works, and their blockbuster quarter with 93% revenue growth proves corporations are choosing Palantir over handing their alpha directly to large language model providers. The stock's extreme valuation can persist as earnings catch up.
PLTR LONG
Healthy melt-up rally to continue year-end
The current rally is one of the healthiest in decades, featuring earnings beats in every sector, rotation among leadership, broad participation across styles and sizes, rising revenue growth, and analyst upgrades. The July momentum crash flushed out excess leverage and reset the bull market, setting up a midsummer melt-up that will drive substantial year-end chasing.
SPY LONG
Buy semiconductor dip, record ETF inflows
The recent semiconductor sell-off was driven by a concentrated hedge fund margin call, not deteriorating fundamentals. Investors correctly bought the dip, sending record inflows into semiconductor ETFs like SMH; the AI acceleration that Gavin Baker and others report remains intact, making the sector a buy.
SMH LONG
Floor & Decor breaking out, priced for worst
Floor & Decor has been crushed 70% due to the housing ice age, but all bad news is priced in. Comparable sales are becoming less bad, and the stock has broken violently above its 200-day moving average. History shows that buying 'less bad' situations after extreme sell-offs can lead to outsized returns when the cycle even slightly improves, without needing a housing boom.
FND LONG
HIGH
22:08
Aug 04
Aug 04
3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
10h
LITE
AMD
PLTR
SPY FLIP
KS 1ST
▾
HIGH
Chinese optics ban benefits Lumentum, Marvell.
The U.S. preparing to ban Chinese optical transceivers is a direct catalyst for U.S. optical communication stocks like Lumentum and Marvell, which already rallied on the news and offer continued momentum.
LITE LONG
MRVL LONG
AMD leads semis with CPU, GPU strength.
AMD is the leading semiconductor stock with both GPU and CPU exposure. The CPU cycle is set to be the main character this earnings season, and AMD's strong resilience during the July sell-off confirms its leadership. Despite after-hours disappointment, AMD remains critically important and can recover once management addresses capex and guidance concerns.
AMD LONG
Palantir commercial revenue boom drives rally.
Palantir's commercial revenue surged 150%, validating that AI model diversification and open-weight trends increase demand for Palantir's decision-optimization platform. The company is well-positioned as an AI winner, and even Michael Burry closed his Palantir puts, signaling near-term upside.
PLTR LONG
S&P 500 all-time high, bull intact.
S&P 500 hit a new all-time high, confirming that the July sell-off was a reset, not the end of the bull market. Excessive leverage has been cleaned out, and momentum indicators suggest room for further upside, with Societe Generale targeting 8000.
SPY LONG
Memory chips are a post-selloff buy opportunity.
Memory semiconductors, especially SK hynix and Micron, became a buying opportunity after the July decline. Wall Street issued a wave of target price upgrades, citing AI demand tailwinds and attractive valuations.
KS LONG
MU LONG
Caterpillar benefits from AI data center power.
Caterpillar delivered strong earnings and highlighted AI data center backup power as a new growth driver, while also having capacity for share buybacks, driving the stock sharply higher.
CAT LONG
Kratos earnings explode on drone demand.
Kratos Defense, a drone company, reported EPS up 91% year-over-year, reflecting the rising importance of drones in modern warfare, and the stock surged on the results.
KTOS LONG
Alteogen gains on Keytruda sales growth.
Alteogen benefits from Merck's Keytruda sales growth (up 5% YoY) and Merck's continued focus on obesity drug development, creating a positive setup for the Korean biotech linked to Keytruda technology.
KQ LONG
Arista Networks rebound on cheap valuation.
Arista Networks delivered good earnings and had been unfairly undervalued, leading to a sharp after-hours rebound. The stock's cheap valuation relative to peers creates a buying opportunity.
ANET LONG
HIGH
21:59
Aug 04
Aug 04
21:01
Aug 04
Aug 04
TSLA
▾
MED
Tesla energy storage set for huge demand
A merger of Tesla and SpaceX would create huge synergies across chips, memory, compute, and especially energy, making the combined entity nearly irresistible to Elon Musk and possibly the largest firm in the world overnight, though regulatory hurdles and a potential forced divestiture of Tesla's Shanghai factory are major risks.
TSLA LONG
MED
21:00
Aug 04
Aug 04
20:49
Aug 04
Aug 04
SPCX FLIP
▾
HIGH
SpaceX is a compelling long-term investment. Starship is approaching reusability and massive scale, the company is building orbital data centers (Star Mine) with Nvidia GPUs that will expand Starlink's capabilities beyond connectivity, Starlink itself has huge untapped consumer backup and global internet markets and a nascent but critical military drone guidance application with no competitor, xAI's compute investment will pay off because demand far exceeds supply, and the stock currently trades below its IPO price, offering individual investors an attractive discount.
SPCX LONG
HIGH
20:48
Aug 04
Aug 04
SPCX
▾
HIGH
Accelerating growth and margin improvement ahead.
The company is likely to deliver accelerating top-line growth over the next three to four quarters, driven by a $47.5 billion backlog including large deals like Anthropic paying $1.25 billion/month and Google over $2 billion, plus improving margins. That growth-and-margin-improvement story is what investors favor, even though the valuation remains elevated.
SPCX LONG
HIGH
20:45
Aug 04
Aug 04
MUB 1ST
XLRE 1ST
PAVE 1ST
W
▾
HIGH
Muni bonds offer attractive yields now.
With higher interest rates offering attractive tax-equivalent yields, moving away from cash into municipal bonds provides an incremental 275-300 basis points of yield for clients in high-tax states like California, Illinois, and the Tri-State area.
MUB LONG
Overweight infrastructure, underweight real estate.
Commercial real estate faces headwinds from higher rates and potential Treasury market disruptions, making an underweight in real estate and an overweight in infrastructure the appropriate allocation.
XLRE AVOID
PAVE LONG
Wayfair's initiatives drive market share gains.
Wayfair achieved 9% US revenue growth, the highest post-Covid, driven by self-help initiatives including the Wayfair rewards program, new brick-and-mortar stores, and luxury brand Perigold, gaining market share in a flat home furnishings category with confidence in reaching 20% growth.
W LONG
HIGH
20:37
Aug 04
Aug 04
Bitcoin ETFs
▾
MED
Bitcoin ETF case strengthened after hack.
The cold storage Bitcoin heist shakes faith in self-custody and makes a stronger argument for gaining Bitcoin exposure through ETFs rather than holding physical Bitcoin in cold wallets.
Bitcoin ETFs LONG
MED
20:21
Aug 04
Aug 04
SPCX 1ST
▾
HIGH
Lockup share flood to pressure SpaceX.
The impending lockup expiry will add up to 911 million shares to SpaceX's float, and with short interest already over 200 million shares, this flood of new supply is likely to exert downward pressure on the stock regardless of earnings results.
SPCX AVOID
HIGH
20:20
Aug 04
Aug 04
CNBC
12h
SPY
XLK
▾
HIGH
Earnings momentum drives S&P higher
The equity market is going higher, with S&P 500 year-end forecast of 8250. Fabulous earnings momentum continues, the economy is resilient, forward earnings are at an all-time record high and expected to exceed $400 a share by year-end, supporting a multiple expansion and an S&P above 8000.
SPY LONG
IT sector cheap, growth buying opportunity
Information technology sector is on sale, trading at the same multiple as the overall market, which is unusual for growth stocks. The sector looks nothing like the 1999-2000 tech bubble, earnings are strong, and the recent pullback created an attractive entry point for market weighting the sector.
XLK LONG
HIGH
20:00
Aug 04
Aug 04
Wealthion
12h
Short-term U.S. Treasuries
GLD
WTI 1ST
XLE
Value stocks
▾
HIGH
Hide in short-term Treasuries.
In an environment of potential rate hikes, market stress, and an unwinding AI bubble, hiding out in short-term U.S. Treasury securities is a prudent strategy. Warren Buffett holds $400 billion in short-term Treasuries, and following his lead is probably not a terrible idea to earn yield while protecting capital.
Short-term U.S. Treasuries LONG
Gold will rally after consolidation.
Gold got ahead of itself earlier this year but has now corrected back close to fair value relative to real interest rates. He has added back to his position because real rates will eventually fall when the Fed makes a dovish pivot. The gold bull market is in a consolidation phase that typically precedes another strong move higher.
GLD LONG
Oil and energy sector are undervalued.
The oil price is near an all-time low relative to the broader commodity complex and relative to gold and silver. Fundamental factors, geopolitical shifts, deglobalization, and inflationary dynamics all support higher oil prices. Oil is poised to move steadily higher toward an intrinsic value of over $100 per barrel, making the energy sector the most attractive in the stock market.
WTI LONG
XLE LONG
Rotate into value stocks.
The momentum factor has suffered a historic break after an unprecedented surge, similar to the end of the dot-com bubble. This is driving a rotation into value stocks, which historically serve as a safe haven during such shifts. Value is starting to do really well, and defensive sectors are leading.
Value stocks LONG
AI bubble is bursting.
The AI bubble is in its final blowoff and the beginning of the end. Speculative levered capital from Korean retail traders, crypto bros, and momentum hedge funds that drove AI hardware stocks is now impaired. Hyperscaler earnings quality has deteriorated dramatically with negative free cash flow, rising depreciation charges, and questionable mark-ups. The circular financing that supported the AI buildout may break when loss-making AI startups like Anthropic and OpenAI struggle to raise public capital.
AI and Semiconductor Equities AVOID
Watch 10-year yield breaking higher.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is the most important chart in the world as the risk-free rate underpinning all assets. A breakout to new highs would signal a bond market vote of no confidence in the Fed's inflation fight, creating significant problems for equities and the financing of the AI buildout. He is watching this yield closely as the key warning signal.
10-year U.S. Treasury Yield WATCH
HIGH
19:34
Aug 04
Aug 04
CRAK
Diesel crack spread
▾
HIGH
Diesel supply crunch keeps prices high.
A global diesel supply crunch exists because Persian Gulf refineries cannot export, Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries, and lower Chinese refinery runs have tightened supply. Diesel prices have stayed high even during crude oil pullbacks and US-Iran truces, threatening to raise transportation costs further in the fall. This points to continued high diesel prices.
CRAK LONG
Refinery margins to stay high.
Refinery margins, not crude oil, have been the dominant driver of diesel price gains this time. With the diesel supply squeeze, those margins are likely to stay elevated even if oil prices come down, making long diesel crack spreads attractive.
Diesel crack spread LONG
HIGH
19:24
Aug 04
Aug 04
WTI 1ST
CRAK
UGA
▾
HIGH
Massive crude supply disruption, high upside potential.
12% of global crude oil supply is off the market, twice the scale of the 1970s oil shocks. Oil prices have risen only 100% so far, so if the conflict drags out, the upside potential is very large.
WTI LONG
Watch diesel, gasoline prices for market impact.
The big thing to watch in oil markets is not WTI or Brent crude, but the price of diesel and gasoline. Those refined products directly impact corporate earnings, the Fed's path, and overall consumers.
CRAK WATCH
UGA WATCH
HIGH
19:18
Aug 04
Aug 04
AMD 1ST
▾
MED
AMD benefits from AI data center CPUs
AMD, though a distant second in AI GPUs, has a technology advantage in servers for inference workloads, and data center buildouts require a proportionate number of CPUs, where AMD has a strong product. This CPU tailwind is a point of differentiation from Nvidia, even as Nvidia begins to offer CPUs.
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