Calls
21
#557
Alpha Score 56.4
Mark Cranfield
Cross Asset Strategist, Bloomberg
Win Rate
57.1%
return
+1.9%
Loading charts...
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Jun 26
$87.35
+6.3%
Core PCE at 4% is far too high for the Fed's comfort, making a rate hike likely. This will push up long-end Treasury yields and hurt bond prices, with the long end of the curve set to dislike it significantly.
Bonds & Rates
Long
May 07
$91.68
+4.0%
Japan's equity market has underperformed Korea and Taiwan in the AI-driven rally, but with dollar-yen likely to settle between 150-160 and the Japanese authorities capping yen weakness, Japanese exporters are in a great position, making Japan a catch-up trade. The weak but stable yen and relatively cheap valuations support further gains.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 06
$268250.00
-2.7%
There is a rotation from US mega-cap tech stocks to Asian tech leaders like Samsung and TSMC, as strong AI earnings and the global search for diversification drive outperformance. Asian tech companies are now challenging the Mag7, and investors are moving capital to the Far East.
AI Memory
Long
Aug 24
$76875.00
+0.5%
Major governments are not reining in fiscal deficits, making long-term bonds unattractive and less reliable as equity hedges. Until fiscal discipline returns, investors will need alternative hedges such as gold and crypto, plus some equity exposure.
Crypto Assets
Long
Aug 24
$426.69
-6.9%
Major governments are not reining in fiscal deficits, making long-term bonds unattractive and less reliable as equity hedges. Until fiscal discipline returns, investors will need alternative hedges such as gold and crypto, plus some equity exposure.
Commodities
Short
Jul 22
$56.22
-2.0%
The yen is structurally weak due to persistent carry trade advantage for USD, Bank of Japan being well behind the curve, and markets no longer fearing intervention; dollar-yen could march higher toward 200 like the 1980s.
FX & Currencies
Long
Jun 30
$2692000.00
-37.1%
Chipmakers like Nvidia, Micron, Samsung and SK hynix have insatiable demand for AI chips from hyperscalers, with an estimated $1 trillion in spending over the next few years. Profitability remains extremely strong, and upcoming quarterly earnings should revive the market. There is no near-term disconnect between spending and profits, so the sector remains attractive.
AI Memory
Short
Jun 26
$2641000.00
+35.9%
The AI semiconductor capex cycle may be nearing a peak, with Samsung and SK Hynix planning their own massive spending, raising doubts about sustainable profits. Korean retail investors are highly leveraged and nervous, and the negative feedback loop from Apple's price hikes could further pressure chip demand, making Korean chipmakers and the KOSPI vulnerable to a selloff.
AI Memory
Short
Jun 26
$331000.00
+21.1%
The AI semiconductor capex cycle may be nearing a peak, with Samsung and SK Hynix planning their own massive spending, raising doubts about sustainable profits. Korean retail investors are highly leveraged and nervous, and the negative feedback loop from Apple's price hikes could further pressure chip demand, making Korean chipmakers and the KOSPI vulnerable to a selloff.
AI Memory
Long
Jun 25
$1234.00
-24.8%
Micron's blowout earnings and guidance show memory chip supply remaining tighter for longer due to AI infrastructure demand, with only a handful of suppliers. Gross margins above 80% and strong pricing power imply sustained high profitability for memory chip stocks.
AI Memory
Long
May 11
$190.20
-8.1%
The AI trade is transforming South Korea and Taiwan, with U.S. retail investors gaining direct access to Korean stocks, driving momentum that is hard to derail. Foreign investors are still underweight these markets despite strong performance, leaving room for further inflows. The Korean won and Taiwan dollar remain cheap, and the overall backdrop of contained oil prices and low interest rates supports continued upside.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 06
$394.41
+5.1%
There is a rotation from US mega-cap tech stocks to Asian tech leaders like Samsung and TSMC, as strong AI earnings and the global search for diversification drive outperformance. Asian tech companies are now challenging the Mag7, and investors are moving capital to the Far East.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Aug 20
$35.68
-0.9%
Stronger Asian currencies will help the region's markets, and investors may rotate into lagging underdog markets like Japan, Hong Kong, and China as they look for better value beyond Korea and Taiwan.
Equity Indexes
Short
Aug 19
$717.51
+1.4%
The outlook for AI companies is getting cloudy as they may have to cut prices to compete, leading to thinner profit margins despite massive investments. This will cause NASDAQ contracts to underperform against the S&P 500.
Equity Indexes
Long
Aug 19
$767.45
-0.7%
The outlook for AI companies is getting cloudy as they may have to cut prices to compete, leading to thinner profit margins despite massive investments. This will cause NASDAQ contracts to underperform against the S&P 500.
Equity Indexes
Showing 15 of 21 calls · sorted by mentions
Choose a mentions count to open ticker posts.
Mark Cranfield has 21 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 17 tickers since February 2026. Win rate 57% across 21 evaluated calls, average return +1.9%. Ranked #557 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: TLT, USD/JPY, 005930.KS.
