Calls
13
#450
Alpha Score 55.6
Mark Cranfield
Cross Asset Strategist, Bloomberg
Win Rate
61.5%
return
+0.2%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 06
$268250.00
-4.9%
There is a rotation from US mega-cap tech stocks to Asian tech leaders like Samsung and TSMC, as strong AI earnings and the global search for diversification drive outperformance. Asian tech companies are now challenging the Mag7, and investors are moving capital to the Far East.
AI Memory
Long
Jun 30
$2692000.00
-31.6%
Chipmakers like Nvidia, Micron, Samsung and SK hynix have insatiable demand for AI chips from hyperscalers, with an estimated $1 trillion in spending over the next few years. Profitability remains extremely strong, and upcoming quarterly earnings should revive the market. There is no near-term disconnect between spending and profits, so the sector remains attractive.
AI Memory
Short
Jun 26
$2641000.00
+30.3%
The AI semiconductor capex cycle may be nearing a peak, with Samsung and SK Hynix planning their own massive spending, raising doubts about sustainable profits. Korean retail investors are highly leveraged and nervous, and the negative feedback loop from Apple's price hikes could further pressure chip demand, making Korean chipmakers and the KOSPI vulnerable to a selloff.
AI Memory
Short
Jun 26
$331000.00
+23.0%
The AI semiconductor capex cycle may be nearing a peak, with Samsung and SK Hynix planning their own massive spending, raising doubts about sustainable profits. Korean retail investors are highly leveraged and nervous, and the negative feedback loop from Apple's price hikes could further pressure chip demand, making Korean chipmakers and the KOSPI vulnerable to a selloff.
AI Memory
Long
Jun 25
$1234.00
-31.7%
Micron's blowout earnings and guidance show memory chip supply remaining tighter for longer due to AI infrastructure demand, with only a handful of suppliers. Gross margins above 80% and strong pricing power imply sustained high profitability for memory chip stocks.
AI Memory
Long
May 07
$91.68
+3.1%
Japan's equity market has underperformed Korea and Taiwan in the AI-driven rally, but with dollar-yen likely to settle between 150-160 and the Japanese authorities capping yen weakness, Japanese exporters are in a great position, making Japan a catch-up trade. The weak but stable yen and relatively cheap valuations support further gains.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 06
$394.41
+0.8%
There is a rotation from US mega-cap tech stocks to Asian tech leaders like Samsung and TSMC, as strong AI earnings and the global search for diversification drive outperformance. Asian tech companies are now challenging the Mag7, and investors are moving capital to the Far East.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Jun 30
$194.97
+3.8%
Chipmakers like Nvidia, Micron, Samsung and SK hynix have insatiable demand for AI chips from hyperscalers, with an estimated $1 trillion in spending over the next few years. Profitability remains extremely strong, and upcoming quarterly earnings should revive the market. There is no near-term disconnect between spending and profits, so the sector remains attractive.
AI Compute
Short
Jun 26
$205.00
+21.3%
The AI semiconductor capex cycle may be nearing a peak, with Samsung and SK Hynix planning their own massive spending, raising doubts about sustainable profits. Korean retail investors are highly leveraged and nervous, and the negative feedback loop from Apple's price hikes could further pressure chip demand, making Korean chipmakers and the KOSPI vulnerable to a selloff.
Equity Indexes
Short
Jun 26
$87.35
+3.3%
Core PCE at 4% is far too high for the Fed's comfort, making a rate hike likely. This will push up long-end Treasury yields and hurt bond prices, with the long end of the curve set to dislike it significantly.
Bonds & Rates
Long
May 11
$97.15
+0.6%
The AI trade is transforming South Korea and Taiwan, with U.S. retail investors gaining direct access to Korean stocks, driving momentum that is hard to derail. Foreign investors are still underweight these markets despite strong performance, leaving room for further inflows. The Korean won and Taiwan dollar remain cheap, and the overall backdrop of contained oil prices and low interest rates supports continued upside.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 11
$190.20
-15.2%
The AI trade is transforming South Korea and Taiwan, with U.S. retail investors gaining direct access to Korean stocks, driving momentum that is hard to derail. Foreign investors are still underweight these markets despite strong performance, leaving room for further inflows. The Korean won and Taiwan dollar remain cheap, and the overall backdrop of contained oil prices and low interest rates supports continued upside.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 05
$84.96
-0.6%
The 30-year Treasury yield is at 5% now, but as economic growth slows and the Fed needs to cut rates, long-term yields will likely fall, making the current level attractive for bond buyers who can benefit from price appreciation as yields decline.
Bonds & Rates
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Mark Cranfield has 13 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 9 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #450 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: 005930.KS, 000660.KS, TSM.
