China Optical Stocks Drop on Reports of US Ban | The China Show | 8/5/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 05, 2026 at 04:39  |  1:33:20  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Sean Chen — Tech Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
Anthony Stevens — Bloomberg Market Producer
Ronald Keung — Head of Asia Internet Research, Goldman Sachs
Andrew Bhandari — Chief India Economist and Strategist, HSBC
Dave Angle — Chief North Asia Correspondent, Bloomberg
Reva Goujon — Director, Rhodium Group
Mayumi Negishi — Asia Tech Editor, Bloomberg

Summary

The show discusses a potential US ban on Chinese optical data center components causing a sell-off in stocks like Zhongji Innolight, while Goldman Sachs analysts express bullish views on China's cloud and AI software sectors. HSBC economists present a positive outlook on the Indian rupee, and Samsung's memory ambitions are analyzed. US-China AI competition scorecard is also examined.

  • US drafts ban on Chinese optical transceivers for data centers, hitting Zhongji Innolight shares.
  • Bloomberg Intelligence says ban could be entity-based or origin-based, potentially benefiting domestic substitution plays.
  • Goldman Sachs upgrades price targets on MiniMax and Z.AI, preferring cloud/data center stocks like GDS, VNet, Alibaba, Kingsoft Cloud.
  • AI momentum lifts Asian tech, but Chinese hardware faces geopolitical headwinds.
  • HSBC expects RBI to hold rates but hike later; positive on INR due to strong reserve buffer.
  • Samsung unveils next-generation 3D memory roadmap to compete in HBM.
  • Rhodium Group report shows US leads in chips but China leads in critical materials and AI models.
Ideas
Sean Chen Tech Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 8:19
Buy Chinese domestic optical suppliers.
Under a potential US ban on Chinese optical transceivers, companies focused on China's domestic substitution (EZ-Link Technology, Qualcomm Technology) and upstream/midstream optical component makers (TFSi Optical) are better positioned because they are less reliant on US hyperscaler demand and benefit from domestic market growth.
Anthony Stevens Bloomberg Market Producer 11:08
Long Chinese AI software stocks.
US policy not restricting open-weight AI models benefits Chinese AI software companies, creating room to run; MiniMax is a direct beneficiary as an open-weight model provider, with stock up on the news.
Anthony Stevens Bloomberg Market Producer 11:08
Avoid Chinese optical hardware stocks.
The hardware space, particularly Chinese optical component makers, looks threatened by the geopolitical environment, making them unattractive.
Ronald Keung Head of Asia Internet Research, Goldman Sachs 36:22
Buy China cloud and data centers.
Cloud and data centers are the top preferred subsector in China internet, driven by token growth and anticipated CapEx uplift in 2H as domestic chip supply increases; hyperscalers like Alibaba, GDS, VNet, Kingsoft Cloud poised to benefit from 45% cloud revenue growth.
Andrew Bhandari Chief India Economist and Strategist, HSBC 88:46
Long Indian Rupee.
INR is expected to remain stable or strengthen due to RBI's strong reserve position from NRI inflows and active intervention, supporting a positive outlook despite upcoming rate hikes.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published August 05, 2026, features Sean Chen, Anthony Stevens, Ronald Keung, Andrew Bhandari discussing EZ-Link Technology, Qualcomm Technology, TFSi Optical, MiniMax, Zhongji Innolight, KC, GDS, BABA, VNET, Indian rupee. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Sean Chen, Anthony Stevens, Ronald Keung, Andrew Bhandari  · Tickers: EZ-Link Technology, Qualcomm Technology, TFSi Optical, MiniMax, Zhongji Innolight, KC, GDS, BABA, VNET, Indian rupee