Daily Alpha · X
· Midday Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
Gavin Baker listed a mistranslation of Hock Tan's comments among misunderstood AI newsflow, Paradis Labs said KOSPI selling was about 95% tech, and an analyst relayed by Jonah Lupton sees CXMT's added capacity staying in China.
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Bank results
JPMorgan missed with adjusted EPS of $5.75 versus $5.94 expected and fell 2.8% premarket, while Goldman beat with EPS of $17.01 versus $13.02.
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Market Radar →Gavin Baker lists a mistranslation of Hock Tan's comments among misunderstood AI newsflow
Baker says volatility on misunderstood newsflow seems endemic to AI, listing DeepSeek, Liberation Day, Kimi, gross-to-net confusion for Anthropic and OpenAI, and a mistranslation of Hock Tan's comments yesterday.
Volatility on misunderstood newsflow seems endemic to AI: Deepseek. Liberation Day. Kimi. SALP. Gross to net confusion for Anthropic.
He puts the Hock Tan remark in a series of misunderstood AI newsflow.
Source →Physical AI + Humanoids are the next progression of AI.
$NVDA CES 2025 projections and Elon's prediction on $TSLA + 1 Billion humanoids in the next decade, seems to be speeding up. New statement from Unitree CEO after testing GPT-6 on their humanoid program was that: - In August, before GPT-6's release, Wang said the industry could take two to three years at its fastest pace, or as long as a decade, to reach its "ChatGPT moment" - Now, OpenAI's GPT-6 model prompted expectations that a breakthrough could happen "within 1 or 2 years" - He defined that moment as robots being able to complete around 80 per cent of tasks in 80 per cent of unfamiliar environments using voice or text commands. - "It's possible that, say, a GPT-7 model released next year could directly crack the problems of embodied intelligence" - "The whole embodied intelligence industry has been shaken up after the release of GPT-6" Just looking at some benchmarks on robotic…
Physical AI + Humanoids are the next progression of AI.Source →
Paradis Labs says KOSPI selling was about 95% concentrated in tech
Citing GS and JPM, Paradis says Korean institutions and retail were net buyers on the dip, but their buying could not offset heavy tech selling from foreign investors, mainly in SK Hynix and Samsung.
This has now been confirmed via GS & JPM. - Korean institutions and retail investors were net-buyers on today's dip.
Paradis says the sell-off is not Korean investors' fault.
Watch Foreign net selling of SK Hynix and Samsung.
Source →Labubu Trader puts Anthropic's ARR at roughly $85B ahead of Wednesday's investor event
The trader says sell-side expects $100-120B by the end of 2026 and some buy-side over $120B, which seems too high, and says investors will probably be disappointed by 2027-2030 guidance.
Anthropic’s ARR is roughly $85B right now, which is good.
The trader would wait to see if SOXX holds 530-535 before chasing a short toward $500.
Watch SOXX at 530-535 after Wednesday's event.
Source →An analyst relayed by Jonah Lupton says CXMT's capacity doubling only satisfies China demand
Per the analyst, CXMT hopes to double capacity over the next two years, which is only enough for China demand, leaving almost no excess supply to sell outside China. The post adds CXMT is about two years from HBM3 and nowhere near HBM4.
Analyst says $CXMT is is hoping to double capacity over next 2 years which is only enough to satisfy China
The post argues CXMT can overcharge desperate Chinese customers, so selling outside China at lower prices makes no sense.
Watch CXMT's HBM3 timeline.
Source →