Daily Alpha · Reddit
· Post-Market Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
Posters disclosed buys in Reddit, Vistra and midstream names, and NVDA holders argued over whether data-center delays mean chip oversupply.
Themes on this desk
NVDA oversupply debate
One NVDA commenter says delayed data centers mean chip oversupply and higher inference prices but argues Nvidia is unaffected; another calls oversupply fears overblown because growth was supply-constrained; a third sees support at 200-201 a
Highest engagement
by score · day changeA poster bought Reddit at $92 after its 29% drop
The author bought a starter RDDT position at $92 and argues logged-in and app users carry most of Reddit's monetization, not logged-out search traffic.
I bought RDDT at $92 after the 29% drop.
The author lays out a $140 base case.
Watch Logged-in user growth, which the author names as the evidence for adding.
Source →A poster is buying Vistra's dip at a forward P/E of 12
The author argues Vistra's data-center power demand outweighs regulatory risk and is buying the dip at a forward P/E of 12.
Brutal day for VST - is it a buy here?
The author judges demand to outweigh regulatory risk.
Source →An r/investing analysis doubts Anthropic's floated $1.5T-$2T valuation
The author argues Anthropic's floated $1.5T-$2T valuation is unlikely to pay off and expects margins to compress.
Anthropic S-1 filing - our analysis This is our interpretation of Anthropic's S1 filing. Anthropic’s S-1 shows three separate economics:Source →
A dividend investor added EPD and WES and started MPLX
The author topped off EPD and WES units and started a new MPLX position, calling midstream names cash-flow juggernauts on sale.
Midstream's on sale! I topped off my units in EPD and WES and started a new position in MPLX today.
It is a disclosed buy into midstream weakness.
Source →A poster says the market is overreacting and is buying STRL
The author argues the market is overreacting to the Democratic wins and their data-center implications, and is buying beaten-down picks-and-shovels names like STRL while avoiding hyperscalers.
The market is MASSIVELY overreacting to the Democrat victory and implications on AI data centers The market has to understand
The author is buying the picks-and-shovels selloff while avoiding the hyperscalers.
Source →Most argued
by comments per upvoteA bullish LUNR post points to a Nov 7 NASA CLPS 2.0 award and Nov 12 earnings
The author's bullish Intuitive Machines thesis cites a NASA CLPS 2.0 contract award decision on Nov 7 and Nov 12 earnings with a revenue jump.
My Regarded DD for LUNR - (NASA Contracts, Earnings and RIP Sir Patrick Stewart) Nov 7 - NASA will release
The thesis rests on two dated catalysts.
Watch NASA CLPS 2.0 award on Nov 7 and earnings on Nov 12.
Source →A trader reports a $26k gain on CAT and CBRS trades, including CBRS puts
The author reports a $26k gain on CAT and CBRS, including puts on CBRS, arguing its valuation rests on commitments and that datacenter buildouts will slow.
CAT + CBRS $26k gain, AI is Fuk Bought puts on CBRS because it looked like I eat more potato
The author expects NVDA and SPCX to fall next.
Source →An APP holder flags a 27,924-contract put open-interest wall at the $200 strike
The author holds APP shares and calls but flags a large Nov 20 $200 put open-interest wall, and floats selling covered calls and buying puts.
27,924 massive put open interest wall on $APP at 200$ strike check my post history for position, riding 1,200 shares
It flags a large put position at the $200 strike.
Watch APP against the $200 strike into the Nov 20 expiry.
Source →A poster argues cutting AI spending would not fix Google's Search monetization
The author argues that cutting AI spending would not fix weaker Search monetization at Google, and would value GOOGL on lower Search margins and continued capex.
I'm not sure Google cutting AI spendings would make the stock a better buy Right off the bat!
It pushes back on the idea that lower capex makes Google a better buy.
Source →