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· Post-Market Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
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SemiAnalysis sees the 2027 datacenter build as largely insulated and the 2028 pipeline exposed to state approvals
Much of 2027 US datacenter capacity is already under construction or permitted, while the 2028 pipeline depends on approvals in states with governor races, especially Texas and Georgia. The likely outcome is stricter terms and higher costs rather than a wholesale halt.
Rapidan's McNally expects US-Iran escalation after the midterms and a rising oil risk premium
McNally's base case is military escalation between the US and Iran following the midterms, with refined products rather than crude the tight part of the market. Crude flows have recovered, but with materially higher freight and insurance costs.
Morgan Stanley's Wilson says the correction is in its late stage but may not be finished
The equity correction that began in June is in its late stage, but the high-quality S&P 500 may still need one more decline or volatility spike. AI financing, the midterms and tightening liquidity are the clearing events.
Jeff Snider says private-credit stress is spilling into public credit
Snider argues the credit cycle is a slow, multi-year process rather than a repeat of 2008, while an energy shock and a fragile economy raise the odds of a credit crunch. Andrew Sarna says AI demand remains strong near term but capex and debt issuance are becoming hard to digest.
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GLD +0.7% · SKYY -8.1% · DBC +0.6% · QQQ -5.8% · LQD +0.1%Tom Lee argues the blue wave is net positive for stocks and expects a tech-led rebound
Lee sees divided government pushing negotiation and reducing pressure on the Fed, keeping the AI and tech trade intact after a knee-jerk data-center selloff. He expects a strong tech-led rebound into year-end, with financials also attractive.