Daily Alpha · Reddit
· Premarket Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
Reddit split on the election: one r/StockMarket post warns of new AI data-center regulation after the change in Washington, another argues the results were already priced.
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by score · day changer/StockMarket warns new AI data-center regulation could hurt AI growth after the election
The author expects new AI data-center regulation, along with credit-market stress, to threaten AI and hyperscaling growth. They flag NVDA as the most promising AI asset at 25x P/E and say higher-priced fresh AI positions need re-evaluation.
Cheers to a change in Washington, but WATCH OUT for the falling knife in the markets First, I think for
The author sees regulation and credit stress as threats to AI growth.
Watch New AI data-center regulation and credit-market stress.
Source →r/StockMarket argues the election result was the base case and already priced
The author argues the election results were the base case and already priced, and that Democrats will not meaningfully slow the AI data-center buildout. Gridlock plus overblown AI fears mean the market and AI stocks rip higher, in their view.
Do people really think these election results haven’t already been priced by the market?
This is the opposing read to the regulation-risk camp.
Watch Whether AI stocks recover after the election.
Source →r/ValueInvesting expects Reddit's growth to decelerate sharply
The author argues growth will decelerate because logged-out DAU is non-monetizable, as management confirmed, and logged-in US ARPU has already climbed to $79. Significant AI deals would be needed to push ARPU higher.
$RDDT aka Reddit growth is likely to decelerate significantly. The stock's decline is due to 2 factors:
The stock's decline reflects declining DAU and the non-monetizable logged-out base, per the author.
Watch Reddit DAU trends and any major AI licensing deals.
Source →Palantir passed all five of one author's Q3 checks and the stock fell anyway
The author reports Palantir's Q3 beat across revenue, EPS, US commercial growth, guidance and margin, but the stock fell anyway on a ~140x earnings multiple. They flag lagging contract growth as the key repeatability question.
PALANTIR Earnings: Karp Goes 5 for 5.
At about 140x earnings, a clean beat was not enough to lift the stock.
Watch Palantir's contract growth.
Source →r/biotech_stocks asks to be talked out of buying SMMT after phase 3 data
The post cites strong global phase 3 data, AstraZeneca's $2 billion investment, US sales hiring, and institutional buying.
SMMT convince me not to buy My main points 1. Data looked great on the global phase 3 trial 2.
The author lists trial data, a partner investment and hiring as reasons to own SMMT.
Watch SMMT's US sales hiring and further institutional buying.
Source →Most argued
by comments per upvoter/pennystocks makes a bull case for PEW near cash value
PEW, an online firearms retailer, trades near cash value, with a recent all-cash acquisition, a new e-commerce network, a fulfillment-center build-out and a tight share structure.
PEW is going to run $PEW is an online firearms retailer that’s been in business 15 years trading near cash
The author sees the stock trading near its cash value.
Watch Progress on PEW's fulfillment-center build-out.
Source →A Reddit post cites firsthand construction-software demand of 3-5 data-center spin-ups per day
The author argues the AI bubble narrative was a manufactured dip-buying opportunity, citing firsthand construction-software demand of 3-5 data-center spin-ups per day and expecting demand to triple.
No bubble   Don’t say I didn’t fucking tell you, but these motherfuckers played you.
The author reads this demand as bullish for semiconductors and tech.
Watch Data-center construction starts.
Source →OCC consolidated GME1 options into GME; the author counts 620,465 contracts
The author documents the OCC's consolidation of adjusted GME1 options into standard GME options and flags concentrated long-dated open interest as a data event to monitor, without a directional call.
GME1 → GME: The OCC Just Consolidated an Options Class With 620,465 Reported Contracts. Here's What I Found: # TL;DR:
Concentrated long-dated open interest now sits in the standard GME options class.
Watch GME long-dated open interest after the consolidation.
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