Daily Alpha · Reddit
· Midday Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
A r/wallstreetbets post argued contracted data-center landlords such as Applied Digital are mispriced, while a r/ValueInvesting checklist found NBIS, IREN, RKLB, ASTS, CRWV and CBRS each wanting.
Themes on this desk
Crash hedges
r/wallstreetbets commenters leaned bearish: one planned SPX puts at the European open, another is positioning long oil, long VIX and short the S&P 500, and a third said Russell, QQQ and Dow have rolled over.
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by score · day changeA commenter tells Take-Two holders to sell before GTA6 over piracy risk
The author advises holders of Take-Two shares for the GTA6 pump to sell, arguing the game will be pirated to PC.
Whoever is holding taketwo shares for the gta6 pump sell it, cause the game is gonna get pirated to pc
It is a bearish view on the GTA6 release catalyst.
Watch GTA6's launch.
Source →Applied Digital is undervalued against its financed 600MW pipeline, a r/wallstreetbets poster argues
The author argues AI infrastructure bears are mispricing contracted datacenter landlords, with Applied Digital undervalued relative to its financed 600MW pipeline and long-term hyperscale leases.
The market is pricing in large default risk on ai infrastructure comparing it to fibre optic.
The post says the market is pricing large default risk on AI infrastructure, comparing it to fibre optic.
Watch Applied Digital's progress on its financed 600MW pipeline.
Source →A four-part checklist finds NBIS, IREN, RKLB, ASTS, CRWV and CBRS each wanting
The author applies a quality, cash-flow, debt and valuation checklist to six heavily hyped growth stocks and cites losses, leverage, customer concentration, dilution or valuation against each.
I've written 140 posts here and never one on NBIS, IREN, RKLB, ASTS, CRWV or CBRS.
It is a bearish read on six heavily hyped growth stocks.
Source →Walmart trades at a 43x trailing P/E versus Nvidia's 27x
The post contrasts Walmart's 43x trailing P/E with Nvidia's 27x after chip stocks fell eight straight sessions, asking whether investors are overpaying for safety.
Walmart now trades at a higher P/E than Nvidia:
It frames the gap as a question of whether investors are overpaying for safety.
Source →Netflix trades at a lower P/E than Coca-Cola ahead of earnings
The author notes Netflix trades below Coca-Cola's P/E despite faster revenue growth and asks whether it is cheap or cheap for a reason.
Netflix now trades at a lower P/E than Coca-Cola.
Netflix reports tomorrow, per the post.
Watch Netflix's earnings report.
Source →Most argued
by comments per upvoteBeammwave's digital beamforming proposals are advancing in the 3GPP 6G standard, a DD post argues
The author is bullish on Beammwave AB, arguing its proposals advancing in 3GPP's 6G standard could make its patents standard-essential and drive licensing revenue.
[DD] Beammwave 3GPP Update: Digital beamforming moving into the global 6G standard \*\*Key Developments\*\* 1.
Standard-essential patents could create a licensing revenue stream, per the post.
Watch 3GPP 6G standardization decisions on digital beamforming.
Source →GME warrant expiration could bring GMEW and GME call pricing together near $32
The author analyzes GME share, warrant and options volume and flags the upcoming warrant expiration and a possible convergence between GMEW warrant and GME call pricing if GME reaches $32.
Volume: shares vs warrants vs calls I recently wrote a post, now deleted for unknown reddit reasons, where I mentioned
Warrant and option pricing could converge into expiration, per the post.
Watch GME relative to $32 into the warrant expiration.
Source →A poster sold Meta after a 40% gain over moatless AI spending
The author sold Meta after a 40% profit, arguing its heavy AI spending lacks moats and the Muse-driven excitement may be a passing trend.
Why I sold Meta after a 40% profit The business itself is great, obviously.
The author ties the exit to moatless AI spending and Muse-driven excitement that may be a passing trend.
Source →Micron's HBM spot prices and contract revenue are different signals, a r/Semiconductors post argues
The author argues Micron's HBM spot prices should not be extrapolated into contract revenue and points to realized pricing and margin disclosures to monitor.
Micron's 26 supply agreements show why HBM spot prices and contract revenue are different signals HBM spot quotes and supplier
The post title cites Micron's 26 supply agreements as the reason the two signals differ.
Watch Micron's realized HBM pricing and margin disclosures.
Source →Optics or copper into GTC: a poster sees Nvidia as steadier than pure-play optical names
The author weighs copper versus optics in AI data-center interconnects, seeing Nvidia as structurally steadier and pure-play optical names as higher-upside and higher-volatility.
Optics or Copper Into GTC: Buy the Dip or Wait for Proof?
The author plans to scale in only after support holds or a volume-backed breakout.
Watch Whether support holds or a volume-backed breakout appears before scaling in.
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