US Inflation Print on Deck, Bond Selloff Intensifies

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 11, 2026 at 10:45  |  1:12:08  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Ben Sharples — Reporter, Bloomberg
Julian LaForge — Chief Market Strategist, Barclays Private Bank
Camille de Cazale — Head of Strategy and Economics Europe, BNP Paribas
Mark Cudmore — Executive Editor, Bloomberg Live / Macro Strategist
Rinehart — US Equity CIO at 91
Matt Bloxham — Head of Research, The Block
Ven Ram — Markets Live Reporter/Strategist, Bloomberg
Tom Mackenzie — Anchor, Bloomberg
Oliver Crook — Chief European Correspondent, Bloomberg
Tony Al Zewde — Foreign Trade Minister, UAE
Chloe Miller — Bloomberg

Summary

Markets awaited the August US CPI report and next week's Fed meeting against a sharp global bond selloff and elevated oil prices. Middle East escalation and Houthi attacks kept energy in focus, while the ECB delivered a hawkish hike and the UAE announced investment in Germany. Guests favored technology and energy, flagged fiscal and term-premium risks in bonds, and highlighted EM equities, gold, and selective AI infrastructure names.

  • Global bond selloff intensifies, with US 10-year yields near 5% and 30-year yields elevated.
  • Oil and refined products rise on Middle East supply fears, keeping Brent above $100.
  • US CPI and the Fed decision are key near-term events; markets are divided on whether the Fed hikes.
  • ECB hikes and signals more tightening may be possible; UK GDP surprises higher.
  • AI remains the dominant market narrative as OpenAI discusses slowing frontier development.
  • Equity guests are overweight technology and energy, with energy used as an inflation hedge.
  • Rinehart favors AI infrastructure, Broadcom, TSMC, EM equities, gold, healthcare and staples, while avoiding software.
  • UAE announces a €40 billion investment plan in Germany across energy, AI and defense.
Ideas
Ben Sharples Reporter, Bloomberg 14:28
Oil may rise further on conflict.
Middle East escalation and Houthi attacks on Saudi-linked shipping are disrupting the Red Sea workaround and tightening oil markets; if there is no resolution around Hormuz and the Persian Gulf, prices could be pushed even further after both benchmarks topped $100, feeding inflation.
Julian LaForge Chief Market Strategist, Barclays Private Bank 18:57
Overweight tech as earnings continue.
Overweight technology because earnings should continue to deliver and AI remains the market's driving force; while earnings broadening is encouraging, you cannot be in this market without technology exposure.
Julian LaForge Chief Market Strategist, Barclays Private Bank 19:08
Energy hedges inflation; oil to $120.
Overweight energy as a geopolitical and inflation hedge with positive carry and dividends, effectively paid insurance; he sees oil prices going back to $120 or more.
Julian LaForge Chief Market Strategist, Barclays Private Bank 20:17
Avoid consumer on oil margin risk.
Higher oil prices are a risk for consumer companies; the consumer side was the weak spot in earnings, so he wants to steer clear of that area.
Camille de Cazale Head of Strategy and Economics Europe, BNP Paribas 30:27
Long-end Treasuries vulnerable to more repricing.
Inflation is well above target and the two-year Treasury yield is about 100bp above fed funds, showing the Fed is behind; if the Fed holds rates next week it risks credibility, and long-end yields could rise further, with 5% on the 10-year and 5.5% on the 30-year plausible.
Camille de Cazale Head of Strategy and Economics Europe, BNP Paribas 33:00
French spreads widen on fiscal worries.
French spreads are widening because the French economy disappointed over the summer and the deficit is likely to be higher than targeted, with higher rates and commodity prices adding to pressure across the board.
Mark Cudmore Executive Editor, Bloomberg Live / Macro Strategist 42:41
Stocks go higher despite higher yields.
Structurally bullish on stocks: higher yields are volatility but not likely to derail equities because rates are high alongside strong growth and earnings; he thinks stocks still go higher next year.
Rinehart US Equity CIO at 91 52:05
Broadcom, TSMC cheap with robust earnings.
Large AI infrastructure behemoths like Broadcom and TSMC remain interesting: their multiples are relatively low while earnings growth is still robust.
Rinehart US Equity CIO at 91 52:13
Software is a graveyard.
Software is a graveyard; AI disruption and the intersection of software with traditional staples has made quality as a factor disastrous, and he is cautious on that area.
Rinehart US Equity CIO at 91 54:00
Gold diversifies against monetary debasement.
Gold is an interesting diversifier because monetary debasement is likely to continue.
Rinehart US Equity CIO at 91 54:28
Staples, healthcare offer diversification.
Traditional staple and healthcare-related areas have been discarded by the market but may offer diversification over the next couple of months.
Rinehart US Equity CIO at 91 55:47
Multi-year AI infrastructure buildout remains early.
The AI infrastructure buildout is in the early stages of a multi-year movement; while growth will not be linear, many businesses can compound at high double-digit rates for a long period.
Rinehart US Equity CIO at 91 57:06
EM equities early bull market.
EM equities are in the early stages of a bull market: this year EM earnings should outpace developed markets, EM central banks have been ahead, dollar appreciation is ending, and large asset owners have talked about EM but not yet shifted allocations, so flows may still come.
Matt Bloxham Head of Research, The Block 64:30
Oracle cloud AI pivot progressing.
Oracle's pivot from legacy database software into AI cloud infrastructure is going well; cloud infrastructure revenue growth beat expectations, it did not raise CapEx more than planned, and it delivered the $20 billion fund raising, though funding and delivery questions remain.
Matt Bloxham Head of Research, The Block 65:47
Adobe's AI-first shift is working.
Adobe is successfully shifting to an AI-first software company: it is still growing double digits, has positive momentum, and a billion subscribers with a freemium model, even if the latest growth slightly undershot market expectations.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published September 11, 2026, features Ben Sharples, Julian LaForge, Camille de Cazale, Mark Cudmore, Rinehart, Matt Bloxham discussing WTI, XLK, XLE, XLY, TLT, French Government Bonds (OATs), SPY, AVGO, TSM, IGV, GLD, XLV, XLP, AIQ, EEM, ORCL, ADBE. 15 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Ben Sharples, Julian LaForge, Camille de Cazale, Mark Cudmore, Rinehart, Matt Bloxham  · Tickers: WTI, XLK, XLE, XLY, TLT, French Government Bonds (OATs), SPY, AVGO, TSM, IGV, GLD, XLV, XLP, AIQ, EEM, ORCL, ADBE