A frightening sharp decline is extremely hard even for stock experts - Chesley Investment Advisory Executive Director Park Se-ik

A frightening sharp decline is extremely hard even for stock experts l Chesley Investment Advisory Executive Director Park Se-ik [Womae Sinbak / 26.09.11.Fri]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 11, 2026 at 10:00  |  21:50  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist

Summary

Park Se-ik uses anecdotes about veteran investors to illustrate how dangerous sharp declines and leverage can be, then moves to current market views. He discusses AI and memory semiconductor valuations, arguing that commodity semiconductors may fall sharply while HBM remains firm. He also comments on bank profitability, equity allocation during selloffs, and Samsung Electronics buyback patterns.

  • Park Se-ik recounts stress-management stories from experienced investors during sharp declines.
  • A veteran investor lost most of his capital after switching to 2x leverage and facing margin calls.
  • Park says NVIDIA, Samsung Electronics, and SK hynix P/E levels require watching whether earnings are structural or cyclical.
  • He sees commodity/legacy semiconductors as vulnerable to roughly halving by next year, while HBM should be firmer.
  • A quoted analyst says deposit mix shifts may hurt bank profitability; Park says bank stocks are not attractive now.
  • Park advises increasing equity exposure during sharp selloffs and raising cash when markets are overheated.
  • Park notes Samsung Electronics historically has not risen during buybacks but often rises after buybacks end.
  • The video is mainly educational and risk-management focused, with several market-specific observations.
Ideas
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 18:41
Watch semiconductor earnings versus low P/E
Park says NVIDIA, Samsung Electronics, and SK hynix have seen P/E ratios compress even as earnings rise, leaving the market unsure whether the improvement is structural or cyclical. Over the next year, the key is whether forward earnings keep rising; if they do, the market can re-rate the stocks higher, but if growth breaks, low P/E alone will not prevent share price declines.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 19:16
Commodity memory falls, HBM stays firm
Park views the memory cycle as half cyclical and half structural: commodity/legacy semiconductors are still cyclical and could be roughly halved from current prices by around this time next year, while HBM prices should be firmer because commodity memory has become relatively expensive and will likely fall more sharply, leaving HBM more stable over the next two to three years.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 19:16
Commodity memory falls, HBM stays firm
Park views the memory cycle as half cyclical and half structural: commodity/legacy semiconductors are still cyclical and could be roughly halved from current prices by around this time next year, while HBM prices should be firmer because commodity memory has become relatively expensive and will likely fall more sharply, leaving HBM more stable over the next two to three years.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 20:36
Deposit shift hurts bank profitability
Park cites an analyst's point that low-cost demand deposits are falling while higher-rate time deposits are rising, which can hurt bank profitability. He concludes that putting money back into bank stocks after the market decline is not attractive.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 20:36
Buy equities during sharp selloffs
Park argues that after a sharp market decline, investors should increase equity exposure because stocks are effectively on sale; when markets are overheated, they should sell stocks and raise cash. He contrasts this with moving money back into banks now, which he views as the wrong move.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published September 11, 2026, features Park Se-ik discussing NVDA, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, SMH, HBM, KBE, Korean equities. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Se-ik  · Tickers: NVDA, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, SMH, HBM, KBE, Korean equities