ZAR South African Rand Loading... : Bullish and Bearish Analyst Opinions
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16:10
Sep 03
Sep 03
South African rand has more upside.
South African rand is a favored carry currency for clients because it has more room to outperform, is well diversified by commodities, and benefits from ticking commodity prices.
HIGH
22:01
Aug 24
Aug 24
Short dollar, own EM carry currencies.
Treasury buyback intervention transfers pressure from rates to currency markets, making the dollar the short-term loser; emerging-market carry currencies are attractive because their central banks fought inflation more aggressively and real yields in Brazil, Mexico, Colombia and South Africa are attractive.
HIGH
15:51
Aug 12
Aug 12
Author notes the rand's strength as best-performing EM currency despite dismal South African.
Author notes the rand's strength as best-performing EM currency despite dismal South African data, with foreigners buying local bonds, but makes no directional call.
20:00
Jun 30
Jun 30
Dollar losing to key emerging market currencies.
The US dollar is not strong across the board. Against key emerging market currencies like the Brazilian real and South African rand, long-term devaluation trends have broken. USD/BRL shows a head and shoulders top with a downside target of 4.6. USD/ZAR similarly broke down from a rising wedge. De-dollarization and commodity trade flows are strengthening these currencies.
MED
08:31
May 15
May 15
Dollar long, commodity currencies short
The dollar is strengthening as a haven asset, supported by higher oil prices benefiting the US as a net producer, rising treasury yields, and growing expectations that the Fed will hike rather than cut rates. This is putting pressure on commodity currencies such as the Australian dollar and South African rand, which are declining as risk is taken off the table.
MED
07:24
Mar 06
Mar 06
Short African frontier currencies (using ZAR as a proxy) as higher oil prices are expected.
Short African frontier currencies (using ZAR as a proxy) as higher oil prices are expected to pressure their economies and lead to devaluation.
MED
09:06
Mar 05
Mar 05
Sustained higher oil prices resulting from conflict in the Middle East may fuel inflation.
Sustained higher oil prices resulting from conflict in the Middle East may fuel inflation in South Africa, the finance minister says https://t.co/vJUF1Y94NY
07:43
Feb 26
Feb 26
South Africa's budget shows the deficit narrowing to 3.7% and debt-to-GDP peaking at 77.3% (lower than expected). The Finance Minister is anchoring debt. This marks a credible fiscal "turning point" after years of deterioration. The market is rewarding this discipline with a stronger Rand and lower yields. Potential credit rating upgrades provide a future catalyst. LONG ZAR and South African Equities/Bonds. Execution risk on the budget targets or global risk-off sentiment hitting Emerging Markets.
05:16
Feb 24
Feb 24
Options market positioning is heavily skewed bearish on the South African Rand.
Options market positioning is heavily skewed bearish on the South African Rand, indicating a high probability that its recent rally is overextended and due for a reversal.
MED
08:05
Feb 19
Feb 19
BCA Research is underweight South Africa, citing that investment is leading to low productivity gains and the potential GDP growth trajectory is "unsustainable." While other EMs (like Mexico) are favored for local debt plays, South Africa's structural economic issues make its currency and assets vulnerable, especially if commodity prices (Platinum/Iron Ore) decline as predicted. SHORT South African exposure (ZAR). A sudden boom in commodity prices or unexpected structural reforms in South Africa.
About ZAR Analyst Coverage
Buzzberg tracks ZAR (South African Rand) across 4 sources. 4 bullish vs 2 bearish calls from 8 analysts. Sentiment: predominantly bullish (20%). 10 total trade ideas tracked. Past 7 days: 1 bullish. Latest voices: Jayati Bharadwaj, Ed Al-Hussainy, Joe Weisenthal.