TOPIX Tokyo Stock Price Index Loading... : Bullish and Bearish Analyst Opinions

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20:34
May 21
Jonathan Garner Chief Asia and Emerging Markets Equity Strategist, Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley
Overweight Japan equities over EM.
Japan equities are preferred over EM due to strong exposure to the capex super cycle, AI/tech diffusion, and other themes, with a TOPIX target of 4,300 implying ~12% upside. EM earnings growth is narrow, making Japan the core of any Asia portfolio.
TOPIX
HIGH
06:05
May 20
Jonathan Garner Chief Asia and Emerging Markets Equity Strategist, Morgan Stanley Bloomberg Markets
TOPIX target 4,300 over 12 months.
Japanese equities (TOPIX) have upside to a target of 4,300 over the next 12 months because earnings growth, particularly in AI-related capex upstream sectors, remains strong enough to overcome rising nominal and real yields. Japan's earnings revisions are the most positive globally, and the fiscal position is stronger than perceived.
TOPIX 1ST
HIGH
02:37
May 14
AltayCap Value investor, Istanbul. Free writeups
The author speculates that Japan's Nikkei and Topix indices may perform well once the Hormuz issue is resolved, but expresses uncertainty about the outcome.
TOPIX
HIGH
04:36
Mar 02
Jesper Koll Chief Strategist, WisdomTree Bloomberg Markets
Japan is a major energy importer. Oil at $100 adds ~0.5% to Japanese CPI. Higher energy prices act as a tax on the Japanese economy, crushing corporate margins and consumer spending. The BOJ hiking rates into a supply-side shock is the "wrong policy," leaving the economy vulnerable. SHORT Japanese Equities (broad indices). A rapidly weakening Yen (JPY) could artificially prop up exporter earnings in local currency terms.
07:53
Feb 26
Winnie Hsu Reporter, Bloomberg (Tokyo) Bloomberg Markets
The BOJ Governor stated they will look at the impact of the December hike to determine the next one, which the market interprets as "reinforcing bets on further tightening." Higher rates benefit Japanese banks (net interest margins). Consequently, the Topix (heavy on financials) is outperforming the Nikkei (heavy on tech/exporters who dislike strong Yen). LONG JPY and Japanese Financials. BOJ reverses course or delays hikes; global deflation.
06:04
Feb 19
The Nikkei is trading at 24x forward earnings (historically high) and the Topix is trading >20% above its 200-day moving average. Historically, a 15% deviation from the moving average triggers a pullback; we are now at 20%. Valuation is no longer the attraction; the market is priced for perfection. AVOID or SHORT for a technical correction. The "cheap Japan" thesis is dead; investors are now buying expensive growth. Continued foreign inflows (largest since October) could keep prices irrational longer than solvent.
22:55
Dec 13
1. THE FACT: The Japanese Topix Index is shown in a chart. 2. THE BRIDGE: The speaker states "The index does not care what I think or what you think. It is going a lot higher." 3. THE VERDICT: Long the Japanese Topix Index.

About TOPIX Analyst Coverage

Buzzberg tracks TOPIX (Tokyo Stock Price Index) across 4 sources. 4 bullish vs 1 bearish calls from 6 analysts. Sentiment: predominantly bullish (43%). 7 total trade ideas tracked.