Hiroyuki Sano 0.3 2 ideas

The Nikkei is trading at 24x forward earnings (historically high) and the Topix is trading >20% above its 200-day moving average. Historically, a 15% deviation from the moving average triggers a pullback; we are now at 20%. Valuation is no longer the attraction; the market is priced for perfection. AVOID or SHORT for a technical correction. The "cheap Japan" thesis is dead; investors are now buying expensive growth. Continued foreign inflows (largest since October) could keep prices irrational longer than solvent.