#613 Alpha Score 18.0

AltayCap

Value investor, Istanbul. Free writeups
@altaycapital · tracked since Apr 2026
613
BUZZBERG Alpha Score combines three things: realized average return, confidence in the sample size, idea volume, and speaker reputation. Speakers with only a few calls are pulled closer to the platform average; speakers with many evaluated ideas keep more of their own return. Reputation only boosts: 5.0 or lower is neutral, while scores above 5 add weight. Scores are normalized to 0-100; 100 is best. Read the FAQ
Alpha Score 18.0
Calls 14 701 Posts tracked · 13.8/day
Calls
7d 1
30d 9
90d 14
Best Calls
000660.KS long +29.7%
XLP short +4.6%
CHTR short +3.4%
Worst Calls
2201.T long -11.1%
5983.T long -10.1%
4816.T long -8.9%
Most Mentioned
000660.KS ×1
XLP ×1
CHTR ×1
Recent Calls
RDI short 2 days ago
CHTR short 1 week ago
XLP short 2 weeks ago
Win Rate 50% Long 11 Short 3
Win Rate
7d 40%
30d 40%
90d
Average Return -0.7% Long Return -1.7% Short Return +2.9%
Average Return
7d -2.1%
30d -3.8%
90d
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Jun 01
$1.23
+0.8%
Short RDI — negative EBITDA with no path to profitability; real estate asset sales (the bull catalyst) only extend the runway for a structurally bleeding, sub-scale business with incompetent management rather than fixing the core economics.
Short RDI — negative EBITDA with no path to profitability; real estate asset sales (the bull catalyst) only extend the runway for a structurally bleeding, sub-scale business with incompetent management rather than fixing the core economics.
Consumer
Short
May 24
$145.15
+3.4%
Short CHTR on intensifying competition from Starlink and price compression in cable broadband, evidenced by a personal rate cut with added mobile line.
Short CHTR on intensifying competition from Starlink and price compression in cable broadband, evidenced by a personal rate cut with added mobile line.
Other
Short
May 20
$85.90
+4.6%
Author sees margin improvement potential in Japan business as upside catalyst while maintaining a short position on consumer staples ETF XLP.
Author sees margin improvement potential in Japan business as upside catalyst while maintaining a short position on consumer staples ETF XLP.
Consumer
Long
May 18
$2600.00
-8.9%
Long Toei Animation on attractive EV/EBIT valuation; the stock is becoming compelling on this metric.
Long Toei Animation on attractive EV/EBIT valuation; the stock is becoming compelling on this metric.
Consumer
Long
May 18
$4160.00
-8.7%
Buy Fujii Sangyo as the -14% sell-off on weak guidance is overdone; management's guidance is historically conservative, creating a mean-reversion opportunity at cheap multiples.
Buy Fujii Sangyo as the -14% sell-off on weak guidance is overdone; management's guidance is historically conservative, creating a mean-reversion opportunity at cheap multiples.
Other
Long
May 16
$14800.00
-10.1%
Buy Iwabuchi (5983.T) for real estate value uplift of 18bn+ JPY above land book and forecasted 124% shareholder returns including buyback, backed by fund position disclosure.
Buy Iwabuchi (5983.T) for real estate value uplift of 18bn+ JPY above land book and forecasted 124% shareholder returns including buyback, backed by fund position disclosure.
Other
Long
May 15
$1819000.00
+29.7%
Buy SK Hynix as severe memory supply constraints and insatiable hyperscaler demand drive a multi-year earnings ramp, with the speaker owning a position via SK Square.
Buy SK Hynix as severe memory supply constraints and insatiable hyperscaler demand drive a multi-year earnings ramp, with the speaker owning a position via SK Square.
AI/Semi
Long
May 14
$890.00
-7.0%
Buy TYO 8046 as a deeply undervalued net-net with a clear catalyst: a progressive dividend policy, higher floor dividend, and explicit payout ratio target signal management commitment to shareholder returns, supporting re-rating.
Buy TYO 8046 as a deeply undervalued net-net with a clear catalyst: a progressive dividend policy, higher floor dividend, and explicit payout ratio target signal management commitment to shareholder returns, supporting re-rating.
Other
Long
May 08
$10060.00
+2.4%
Buy Solekia for deep value: reported earnings massively exceeded guidance, and forward forecast appears conservative, suggesting further upside despite weak shareholder returns.
Buy Solekia for deep value: reported earnings massively exceeded guidance, and forward forecast appears conservative, suggesting further upside despite weak shareholder returns.
Other
Long
Apr 24
$952.30
-2.1%
Buy Sanrio (8136) on continued sell-off as long-term interest in the stock becomes attractive at lower prices, though the speaker has not yet committed.
Buy Sanrio (8136) on continued sell-off as long-term interest in the stock becomes attractive at lower prices, though the speaker has not yet committed.
Consumer
Long
Apr 22
$4529.00
+0.4%
Buy Japanese rail stocks (e.g., 9042) because they are undervalued and their high net debt and real estate exposure make them a leveraged beneficiary of rising inflation. (25 words)
Buy Japanese rail stocks (e.g., 9042) because they are undervalued and their high net debt and real estate exposure make them a leveraged beneficiary of rising inflation. (25 words)
Other
Long
Apr 20
$1583.00
+3.3%
Buy Art Vivant as an activist investor with a 40% stake is pushing for control, while the stock trades below the failed management buyout price, offering a clear valuation catalyst with a highly locked-up float.
Buy Art Vivant as an activist investor with a 40% stake is pushing for control, while the stock trades below the failed management buyout price, offering a clear valuation catalyst with a highly locked-up float.
Consumer
Long
Apr 16
$3025.00
-7.2%
Long Keihin (9312.T) and other Japanese logistics stocks based on a valuation thesis that they are trading below intrinsic value, implying a mean reversion trade as the market corrects this mispricing.
Long Keihin (9312.T) and other Japanese logistics stocks based on a valuation thesis that they are trading below intrinsic value, implying a mean reversion trade as the market corrects this mispricing.
Other
Long
Apr 13
$2827.00
-11.1%
Buy Morinaga due to its cheap valuation multiples, strong net cash position, consistent top and bottom-line growth, and expanding US market exposure through the Hi-Chew brand.
Buy Morinaga due to its cheap valuation multiples, strong net cash position, consistent top and bottom-line growth, and expanding US market exposure through the Hi-Chew brand.
Consumer
Showing 14 of 14 picks · sorted by mentions