Buzzberg Cup Live
#281 Alpha Score 72.3

AltayCap

Value investor, Istanbul. Free writeups
@altaycapital · tracked since Jan 2026
281
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Alpha Score 72.3
Calls
24
Win Rate
50.0%
return
+1.6%
Calls 24 853 Posts tracked · 4.3/day
Calls
7d 1
30d 1
90d 14
Best Calls
OPRA Long +51.8%
8136.T Long +26.5%
7523.T Long +20.2%
Worst Calls
MCD Long -18.5%
CAAP Long -16.4%
CMCSA Long -14.6%
Most Mentioned
6417 ×3
5918 ×3
4816.T ×3
Recent Calls
2652.T Long 3 days ago
4816 Long 5 days ago
5842 Long 1 week ago
Win Rate 50% Long 20 Short 4
Win Rate
7d 53%
30d 41%
90d 0%
Average Return +1.6% Long Return +2.2% Short Return -1.4%
Average Return
7d -0.7%
30d -1.6%
90d -6.1%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 18
$2600.00
+6.8%
Long Toei Animation on attractive EV/EBIT valuation; the stock is becoming compelling on this metric.
Long Toei Animation on attractive EV/EBIT valuation; the stock is becoming compelling on this metric.
Gaming & Entertainment
Long
Jan 01
$34.16
+7.6%
Increase ORR position based on strong 2025 performance, now a top holding indicating sustained conviction.
Increase ORR position based on strong 2025 performance, now a top holding indicating sustained conviction.
Thematic ETFs
Long
May 08
$10060.00
+1.9%
Buy Solekia for deep value: reported earnings massively exceeded guidance, and forward forecast appears conservative, suggesting further upside despite weak shareholder returns.
Buy Solekia for deep value: reported earnings massively exceeded guidance, and forward forecast appears conservative, suggesting further upside despite weak shareholder returns.
AI Software
Long
Apr 20
$1583.00
+20.2%
Buy Art Vivant as an activist investor with a 40% stake is pushing for control, while the stock trades below the failed management buyout price, offering a clear valuation catalyst with a highly locked-up float.
Buy Art Vivant as an activist investor with a 40% stake is pushing for control, while the stock trades below the failed management buyout price, offering a clear valuation catalyst with a highly locked-up float.
Retail & Mobility
Long
Jul 16
$460.00
+0.4%
Buy Mandarake (2652.T) as author's highest-conviction anime-adjacent bet; collectibles/secondhand/authentication exposure rides a two-year collectibles boom at a reasonable valuation, with the authentication business as an additional growth driver.
Buy Mandarake (2652.T) as author's highest-conviction anime-adjacent bet; collectibles/secondhand/authentication exposure rides a two-year collectibles boom at a reasonable valuation, with the authentication business as an additional growth driver.
Retail & Mobility
Short
Jun 04
$216.77
-10.1%
Short TTWO just before GTA6 launch as a "sell the news" trade; structural bearish backdrop includes $7.3B accumulated deficit, declining retained earnings, and ~$339M paid to two executives since 2016 (~1/7th of peak cumulative profit), suggesting capital misallocation and deteriorating fundamentals.
Short TTWO just before GTA6 launch as a "sell the news" trade; structural bearish backdrop includes $7.3B accumulated deficit, declining retained earnings, and ~$339M paid to two executives since 2016 (~1/7th of peak cumulative profit), suggesting capital misallocation and deteriorating fundamentals.
Gaming & Entertainment
Short
Jun 01
$1.23
-5.7%
Short RDI — negative EBITDA with no path to profitability; real estate asset sales (the bull catalyst) only extend the runway for a structurally bleeding, sub-scale business with incompetent management rather than fixing the core economics.
Short RDI — negative EBITDA with no path to profitability; real estate asset sales (the bull catalyst) only extend the runway for a structurally bleeding, sub-scale business with incompetent management rather than fixing the core economics.
Gaming & Leisure
Long
May 30
$7960.00
-0.8%
Buy Somar (8152.T) — undisclosed West Virginia plant expansion talk represents a positive catalyst not yet reflected in financials; author added to position on this thesis and notes the expansion news predates full disclosure to the market.
Buy Somar (8152.T) — undisclosed West Virginia plant expansion talk represents a positive catalyst not yet reflected in financials; author added to position on this thesis and notes the expansion news predates full disclosure to the market.
Construction & Infrastructure
Short
May 24
$145.15
+9.3%
Short CHTR on intensifying competition from Starlink and price compression in cable broadband, evidenced by a personal rate cut with added mobile line.
Short CHTR on intensifying competition from Starlink and price compression in cable broadband, evidenced by a personal rate cut with added mobile line.
Telecom Operators
Short
May 20
$85.90
+0.9%
Author sees margin improvement potential in Japan business as upside catalyst while maintaining a short position on consumer staples ETF XLP.
Author sees margin improvement potential in Japan business as upside catalyst while maintaining a short position on consumer staples ETF XLP.
Thematic ETFs
Long
May 18
$4160.00
-1.9%
Buy Fujii Sangyo as the -14% sell-off on weak guidance is overdone; management's guidance is historically conservative, creating a mean-reversion opportunity at cheap multiples.
Buy Fujii Sangyo as the -14% sell-off on weak guidance is overdone; management's guidance is historically conservative, creating a mean-reversion opportunity at cheap multiples.
Construction & Infrastructure
Long
May 16
$14800.00
-5.4%
Buy Iwabuchi (5983.T) for real estate value uplift of 18bn+ JPY above land book and forecasted 124% shareholder returns including buyback, backed by fund position disclosure.
Buy Iwabuchi (5983.T) for real estate value uplift of 18bn+ JPY above land book and forecasted 124% shareholder returns including buyback, backed by fund position disclosure.
Construction & Infrastructure
Long
May 15
$1819000.00
+1.3%
Buy SK Hynix as severe memory supply constraints and insatiable hyperscaler demand drive a multi-year earnings ramp, with the speaker owning a position via SK Square.
Buy SK Hynix as severe memory supply constraints and insatiable hyperscaler demand drive a multi-year earnings ramp, with the speaker owning a position via SK Square.
AI Memory
Long
May 14
$890.00
-0.7%
Buy TYO 8046 as a deeply undervalued net-net with a clear catalyst: a progressive dividend policy, higher floor dividend, and explicit payout ratio target signal management commitment to shareholder returns, supporting re-rating.
Buy TYO 8046 as a deeply undervalued net-net with a clear catalyst: a progressive dividend policy, higher floor dividend, and explicit payout ratio target signal management commitment to shareholder returns, supporting re-rating.
Construction & Infrastructure
Long
Apr 24
$952.30
+26.5%
Buy Sanrio (8136) on continued sell-off as long-term interest in the stock becomes attractive at lower prices, though the speaker has not yet committed.
Buy Sanrio (8136) on continued sell-off as long-term interest in the stock becomes attractive at lower prices, though the speaker has not yet committed.
Retail & Mobility
Showing 15 of 24 calls · sorted by mentions

AltayCap has 24 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 24 tickers since January 2026. Win rate 50% across 24 evaluated calls, average return +1.6%. Ranked #281 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: 6417, 5918, 4816.T.