#464 Alpha Score 63.7

AltayCap

Value investor, Istanbul. Free writeups
@altaycapital · tracked since Jan 2026
464
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Alpha Score 63.7
Calls
39
Win Rate
56.8%
return
+2.3%
Calls 39 1045 Posts tracked · 4.3/day
Calls
7d 2
30d 7
90d 16
Best Calls
4234.T Long +46.4%
OPRA Long +45.8%
8136.T Long +38.3%
Worst Calls
RDI Short -65.9%
CAAP Long -22.3%
MCD Long -20.4%
Most Mentioned
6417 ×3
ORR ×3
4816.T ×3
Recent Calls
5458.T Long 1 day ago
NKE Short 3 weeks ago
7521.T Long 3 weeks ago
Win Rate 57% Long 34 Short 5
Win Rate
7d 48%
30d 42%
90d 41%
Average Return +2.3% Long Return +4.5% Short Return -11.6%
Average Return
7d +0.1%
30d -1.4%
90d -3.7%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 18
$2600.00
+16.9%
Long Toei Animation on attractive EV/EBIT valuation; the stock is becoming compelling on this metric.
Long Toei Animation on attractive EV/EBIT valuation; the stock is becoming compelling on this metric.
Gaming & Entertainment
Long
Jan 01
$34.16
+12.8%
Increase ORR position based on strong 2025 performance, now a top holding indicating sustained conviction.
Increase ORR position based on strong 2025 performance, now a top holding indicating sustained conviction.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Aug 23
$8930.00
+6.5%
Buy Sk Kaken on consistent profitability
Buy 4628.T (Sk Kaken) for attractive risk-adjusted reward supported by a $760m market cap, consistent profitability since at least 1995, and no quarters of operating loss.
Chemicals
Short
Aug 07
$41.62
+8.4%
NKE short: expensive, losing ground to ASICS
Remain short NKE as valuation looks stretched without a material recovery in sales or profits; anecdotal evidence of packed ASICS/Onitsuka Tiger stores in Japan suggests Nike is losing consumer mindshare to competitors.
Retail & Mobility
Long
Jul 29
$2873.00
+5.8%
Buy Katakura Industries (3001.T) — after backing out ¥22bn net cash and ¥42bn securities, the adjusted EV is only ¥36bn against ¥136bn fair market value of rental real estate, implying the core RE asset trades at roughly 74% discount to FMV.
Buy Katakura Industries (3001.T) — after backing out ¥22bn net cash and ¥42bn securities, the adjusted EV is only ¥36bn against ¥136bn fair market value of rental real estate, implying the core RE asset trades at roughly 74% discount to FMV.
REITs
Short
Jun 04
$216.77
-0.4%
Short TTWO just before GTA6 launch as a "sell the news" trade; structural bearish backdrop includes $7.3B accumulated deficit, declining retained earnings, and ~$339M paid to two executives since 2016 (~1/7th of peak cumulative profit), suggesting capital misallocation and deteriorating fundamentals.
Short TTWO just before GTA6 launch as a "sell the news" trade; structural bearish backdrop includes $7.3B accumulated deficit, declining retained earnings, and ~$339M paid to two executives since 2016 (~1/7th of peak cumulative profit), suggesting capital misallocation and deteriorating fundamentals.
Gaming & Entertainment
Long
May 08
$10060.00
+7.4%
Buy Solekia for deep value: reported earnings massively exceeded guidance, and forward forecast appears conservative, suggesting further upside despite weak shareholder returns.
Buy Solekia for deep value: reported earnings massively exceeded guidance, and forward forecast appears conservative, suggesting further upside despite weak shareholder returns.
AI Software
Long
Apr 20
$1583.00
+18.6%
Buy Art Vivant as an activist investor with a 40% stake is pushing for control, while the stock trades below the failed management buyout price, offering a clear valuation catalyst with a highly locked-up float.
Buy Art Vivant as an activist investor with a 40% stake is pushing for control, while the stock trades below the failed management buyout price, offering a clear valuation catalyst with a highly locked-up float.
Retail & Mobility
Long
Sep 01
$1407.00
-0.1%
5458.T top steel subsidiary pick; strategic owners.
Favor 5458 as a long: top listed steel-subsidiary pick, citing Nippon Steel's 30.7% and Mitsui's 16.65% strategic ownership.
Construction & Infrastructure
Long
Aug 31
$24.66
+0.9%
Long Sony as GTA6 beneficiary
Buy/overweight Sony as a better GTA6 beneficiary; non-gaming businesses and the PlayStation platform are attractive even with mixed first-party and Columbia concerns.
Gaming & Entertainment
Long
Aug 13
$1918.00
+5.9%
Sankyo: 5.2% yield, buybacks, 2.2x EV/EBIT
Buy Sankyo (6417) — revised dividend policy guarantees 5.2% yield (greater of 5% DoE or 50% net income), combined with aggressive buybacks retiring half of outstanding shares in recent years, all at a deeply cheap 2.2x EV/EBIT valuation.
Gaming & Leisure
Long
Aug 07
$2735.00
-0.3%
Musashi MBO likely as founders age out
Author holds a legacy long position in this Japanese nanocap net-net and sees an eventual MBO as the key catalyst, driven by two aging key executive-shareholders (82 and 83 years old); not recommending adding at current levels but maintains existing exposure.
Retail & Mobility
Long
Aug 06
$730.00
+46.4%
Added 4234.T on 123% OP revision, 3954 stake upside
Buy Sun A Kaken (4234.T): author added to position as Q1 operating profit was revised up 123%, and 4234 holds a large stake in 3954.T which surged limit-up — creating a potential NAV catch-up catalyst for 4234.
Chemicals
Long
Aug 02
$21.30
+2.6%
Author holds PDX, prefers it among MLPs
Author holds an ongoing long position in PDX entered during the COVID crash, views it as the better-managed name among MLP vehicles despite a partial transition toward credit exposure; no exit planned.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Aug 02
$42.88
+1.9%
Author holds TYG since COVID crash
Author discloses an ongoing long position in TYG (MLP closed-end fund) entered during the COVID crash, currently held with significant unrealized gains; no near-term exit planned.
Oil & Gas
Showing 15 of 39 calls · sorted by mentions

AltayCap has 39 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 39 tickers since January 2026. Win rate 57% across 37 evaluated calls, average return +2.3%. Ranked #464 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: 6417, ORR, 4816.T.