Daily Alpha · Reddit
· Midday Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
Reddit split on Nvidia between a disclosed share buy and a long-dated put, while other posts covered Applied Digital financing, Zeta's results and oil majors.
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Nvidia buys versus puts
One r/wallstreetbets author disclosed buying 100 Nvidia shares at $178, while another listed a $100 put expiring 3/1/2027.
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by score · day changeIntegrated oil companies are down about 20% while refinery strikes persist, one commenter argues
The commenter argues integrated oil companies are irrationally down about 20% while Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries persist.
Yep. If oil slides back to the high $60s, 100% full port oil. This is nonsensical.
The commenter would go full-port long oil if crude slides back to the high $60s.
Watch Crude prices approaching the high $60s.
Source →Louisiana bonds could fund up to $4.6 billion for Applied Digital's Delta Forge 1
A proposed Louisiana revenue-bond structure could finance a substantial portion of APLD's 300 MW Delta Forge 1 campus, where Meta is the tenant, reducing the need to issue new shares. The author cautions the $4.6 billion is only a proposed maximum authorization.
APLD BIG NEWS. Delta Forge 1 in Boyce, LA (where Meta is the tenant) may have over $4.6 billion in
The campus carries about $7.5 billion of contracted hyperscaler revenue, per the post.
Watch Final approval and size of the bond authorization.
Source →Zeta Global posts its 21st consecutive beat-and-raise quarter
Zeta's Q3 showed 46% revenue growth, first positive GAAP EPS and raised FY26 and Q4 guidance.
$ZETA Q3 26 earnings - 21st consecutive BEAT & RAISE $ZETA reported its Q3 earnings an they are (once again)
The author highlights a Rule of 71 result.
Watch Q4 results against the raised guidance.
Source →S&P forward P/E of 17.7 conflicts with a Shiller CAPE near 40
The author contrasts a forward P/E of 17.7, driven by a roughly 34% jump in EPS estimates, with a CAPE of about 40 against a 30-year average near 29.
Is this a real dip? Forward P/E says cheap, CAPE says ~40 Forward P/E on the S&P is 17.7, lowest
The pullback of 4-6% was mostly in AI names, per the post.
Watch Revisions to S&P 500 EPS estimates.
Source →AMD trader's low-ball 400-share limit buy fills; argues dip buyers will step in below the 200-day EMA
The author reports a filled 400-share AMD buy order on a low-ball limit and argues dip buyers will support the stock below its 200-day EMA.
Technical Analysis for AMD 11/10-----Pre-Market So I have a general rule. When the market gives you a gift------take it.
The author had sold a 400-share lot into the prior run-up.
Watch Whether AMD holds dip-buying support near its 200-day EMA.
Source →Most argued
by comments per upvoteTempus AI bull case rests on a healthcare data moat and 33% revenue growth
The author cites Tempus AI's data moat, pharma partnerships, 33% revenue growth and positive adjusted EBITDA, and discloses a meaningful position.
Tempus AI Deep Dive: Palantir of Healthcare?
The author acknowledges valuation, dilution and reimbursement risks.
Watch Reimbursement and dilution developments.
Source →Cocoa recovery to $6,000-$7,000 argued on supply fundamentals
The author cites El Nino risk, an Ivory Coast production decline, port arrivals down 45% and a StoneX deficit forecast.
Cocoa heading back to $6,000 to $7,000 soon Cocoa heading back to $6,000 to $7,000 soon?
The author sees a recovery toward $6,000-$7,000 before the end of 2026 as conceivable.
Watch Ivory Coast port arrivals.
Source →