Daily Alpha · Reddit
· Post-Market Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
Reddit posters disputed Goldman's CoreWeave compute-price assumption, argued Adobe has lost its moat to free software, and flagged an Entergy rider tied to a Meta data center; Netflix drew a weekly-put buyer and a recovery argument before its report.
Themes on this desk
Netflix into earnings
Before the report, one commenter loaded up on weekly NFLX puts and another called Netflix a garbage company in a saturated market, while a third argued any earnings drop would recover on ad revenue growth.
SpaceX pre-earnings bets
One poster planned to put $100,000 into SPCX with two limit orders before earnings, and another reported being heavily leveraged long SPCX and TSLA.
Highest engagement
by score · day changeOKLO and SMR called extremely overvalued as pre-revenue nuclear names
The author argues OKLO and SMR are extremely overvalued, pre-revenue and years from revenue, with OKLO's market cap over $5 billion.
Small modular reactors likely are the future of nuclear power, but the valuations on companies like OKLO and SMR we're
The author says rising rates make their debt servicing a further liability.
Source →Poster disputes Goldman's CoreWeave report on compute pricing
The author criticizes Goldman's CoreWeave report for assuming compute prices stay at current levels for five years.
Goldman’s CRWV report is a joke:
The author argues the debt-funded model lacks a margin of safety against demand or supply shocks.
Source →Adobe bear plans puts on open-source erosion of its moat
The author argues Adobe has lost its moat to free software and plans a put-based bearish trade around expected negative headlines into early to mid November.
ADBE - Playing AI Moat Collapse Adobe has lost their moat to free software.
The thesis rests on open-source software eroding Adobe's moat.
Watch Negative headlines into early to mid November.
Source →If you are in baton rouge and you want to keep the power cost dow please read
Author claims Entergy's proposed Storm Resilient Rider program hides costs for a Meta data center project and will raise Baton Rouge bills about 6% per quarter, urging public opposition at an October 26 meeting.
If you are in baton rouge and you want to keep the power cost dow please read If you areSource →
Rep. Laurel Lee filed a ~$50K Nokia purchase
The post notes a ~$50K Nokia purchase by Rep. Laurel Lee, who sits on the Energy and Commerce committee, with NOK trading about 14% below her 9/18 entry.
Well, well, well — Rep. Laurel Lee just filed a ~$50K purchase of $NOK (Nokia) — This is interesting bc:
The poster says Lee's Energy and Commerce committee oversees policy affecting Nokia.
Source →Most argued
by comments per upvoteGE Aerospace raised its annual cash-flow forecast despite a 14% quarterly decline
The author notes GE Aerospace's Q3 free cash flow fell 14% but grew 13% over nine months, and the company raised its full-year forecast.
GE Aerospace raises its annual cash flow forecast despite a 14% decline this quarter GE Aerospace reported today, and the
The author questions whether the implied Q4 target is achievable.
Watch GE Aerospace's Q4 free cash flow against the implied target.
Source →MSCI beat Q3 earnings and revenue, but free cash flow dropped
The author attributes MSCI's free-cash-flow decline to higher interest on buyback debt and rising capex.
MSCI Q3 2026; Earnings and Revenue Beat. But FCF drop? MSCI just released its Q3 2026 Results Revenue:
The author argues MSCI and SPGI look undervalued as non-AI compounders.
Source →SK Hynix bull points to a 3x forward PE
The author argues SK Hynix is deeply undervalued at 3x forward PE.
SK Hynix seems criminally undervalued at 3x forward PE SK Hynix seems criminally undervalued at 3x forward PE...where the f
The author expects a re-rating on long-term non-cancellable HBM4 contracts.
Source →CRMD bull cites an upcoming CMS ruling and expected Rezzayo approval
The author cites an upcoming CMS ruling, expected FDA priority-review approval for Rezzayo in a large market, and a debt-free balance sheet with about $250 million of cash.
CRMD: will come back ​ CMS is expected to issue its ruling shortly, and there’s a solid chance that revenue
The author expects CRMD to come back.
Watch The CMS ruling.
Source →Poster's BellRing model is 3x as sensitive to pricing as to volume
A per-bottle valuation argues BellRing's gross profit is far more sensitive to net pricing than volume, with a probability-weighted value of $10.50 versus a ~$9.40 stock price.
BellRing Brands ($BRBR): My valuation is 3x as sensitive to pricing as to volume A 10% net price cut on
The author names two near-term catalysts.
Watch November FY2027 EBITDA guidance and February Q1 price/mix.
Source →