ASML CEO Weighs in After Strong Results; Chips are Up, Bags are Down | The Opening Trade 1/28/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 28, 2026 at 12:19  |  1:35:38  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Christophe Fouquet — CEO, ASML Holding NV
Anna Edwards — Anchor, Bloomberg TV (London)
Beata Manthey — Head of European Equity Strategy, Citi
Mark Cudmore — Executive Editor, Bloomberg Live / Macro Strategist
Sam Fazeli — Senior Pharmaceutical Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
Angelina Lai — CIO Asia & Middle East, St. James's Place
Craig Trudell — Reporter, Bloomberg News
Chloe Meley — Reporter, Bloomberg
Robert Kaplan — Vice Chair, Goldman Sachs; former President, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Guy Johnson — Anchor, Bloomberg
Virgilio Bento — Founder and CEO, Sword Health
Tom Mackenzie — Anchor, Bloomberg

Summary

European markets were split as ASML's record bookings and upbeat AI outlook lifted chip stocks while LVMH's disappointing results dragged luxury lower. The dollar weakened after President Trump welcomed its decline, gold hit another record, and investors awaited the Fed decision. Guests debated AI demand sustainability, emerging-market and European equity allocation, dollar direction, and company-specific risks in Tesla and LVMH.

  • ASML reported record fourth-quarter bookings and a $12 billion buyback, lifting European chip stocks.
  • ASML's CEO said AI demand looks sustainable and customers are aggressively adding capacity.
  • LVMH fell after weak fashion and leather, watches, and wines and spirits results, with a cautious 2026 outlook.
  • The dollar slid after President Trump's weak-dollar comments; gold hit another record.
  • SK Hynix beat estimates on AI memory demand, and South Korea's market value surpassed Germany's.
  • Citi's Beata Manthey favored emerging markets, Korea, Taiwan, South Africa, European domestic sectors, and semiconductors over software.
  • Analysts discussed Fed decision risks, pharma FX pressure, Tesla's robotaxi narrative, and SpaceX IPO chatter.
Ideas
Christophe Fouquet CEO, ASML Holding NV 3:13
ASML sees sustainable AI-driven order boom.
ASML delivered record Q4 bookings and a strong 2026 outlook because AI demand has become clearer and sustainable. Customers are aggressively building capacity, driving demand across ASML's advanced and less advanced systems, and management is returning cash via buybacks and dividends.
Anna Edwards Anchor, Bloomberg TV (London) 16:48
SK Hynix benefits from AI memory prices.
South Korea's stock-market surge is driven mainly by SK Hynix and memory chips. As hyperscalers and data-center builders demand more memory, prices are rising and suppliers like SK Hynix are benefiting.
Mark Cudmore Executive Editor, Bloomberg Live / Macro Strategist 40:15
Structurally bearish dollar, not a trigger.
Cudmore remains structurally bearish on the dollar due to long-term U.S. policy and debasement risks, although he does not see Trump's latest weak-dollar comments as a fresh near-term sell trigger.
Chloe Meley Reporter, Bloomberg 42:43
Gold record supports gold miners.
Gold is hitting records as investors seek safe-haven assets, which is a positive backdrop for gold miners that have already rallied strongly. Further upside depends on how much more the precious-metals rally can extend.
Beata Manthey Head of European Equity Strategy, Citi 51:27
Avoid internationally exposed European consumer stocks.
International demand for European consumer and internationally exposed companies is still weak, while tariff risk and euro strength pressure earnings delivery. This cracks the international EPS story even as the domestic story improves.
Beata Manthey Head of European Equity Strategy, Citi 53:52
Emerging markets are top global pick.
Emerging markets are Citi's top global pick. The AI trade is broadening beyond the U.S. into EM, and a weaker dollar/diversification push is driving U.S. investors to seek opportunities there.
Beata Manthey Head of European Equity Strategy, Citi 55:56
Buy European industrials, resources, banks.
Europe's domestic story should strengthen as fiscal stimulus and issuance begin to flow. Citi's top European sector picks are industrials, basic resources, and banks, with industrials at the crossroads of AI adoption and fiscal spending.
Beata Manthey Head of European Equity Strategy, Citi 56:10
Prefer semis over software in Europe.
The AI trade remains alive and is broadening. Within European technology, Citi is bullish semiconductors but much less constructive on software.
Beata Manthey Head of European Equity Strategy, Citi 56:10
Prefer semis over software in Europe.
The AI trade remains alive and is broadening. Within European technology, Citi is bullish semiconductors but much less constructive on software.
Beata Manthey Head of European Equity Strategy, Citi 57:38
Korea, Taiwan, South Africa top EM picks.
Within Asia/emerging markets, Citi's top country recommendations are Korea, Taiwan, and South Africa. Korea and Taiwan are levered to the broadening AI hardware cycle, while South Africa offers gold exposure.
Beata Manthey Head of European Equity Strategy, Citi 58:35
European mid-caps benefit from fiscal stimulus.
Citi still sees a domestic smaller/mid-cap European equity story. Although it fizzled late last year, mid-caps should benefit as German fiscal spending starts to expand, and their earnings prospects may outpace the DAX.
Beata Manthey Head of European Equity Strategy, Citi 59:45
UK defense stocks offer cheap exposure.
UK equities are cheaper than other regions, and Citi likes basic resources, banks, industrials, and defense within the UK. The FTSE 100 has the highest share of defense stocks, making it a targeted way to play defense spending.
Angelina Lai CIO Asia & Middle East, St. James's Place 69:03
LVMH faces cautious outlook and weak sales.
LVMH's key fashion and leather goods unit saw holiday sales fall, and management gave a cautious 2026 outlook. Wines and spirits were especially weak, with cognac demand in crisis, while jewelry was only a partial bright spot.
Craig Trudell Reporter, Bloomberg News 84:59
Tesla fundamentals weak, robotaxi hopes uncertain.
Tesla's earnings and sales trends are deteriorating while the stock remains buoyant on hopes for robotaxis and humanoid robots. Progress on those future drivers is uncertain, leaving the valuation exposed.
Sam Fazeli Senior Pharmaceutical Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 88:57
Weak dollar, IRA pressure pharma.
European pharma faces pressure from U.S. IRA drug-price negotiation, profit-taking after a strong run, and a weaker dollar that hurts companies reporting in U.S. dollars. The weaker dollar is generally a headwind for pharma.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published January 28, 2026, features Christophe Fouquet, Anna Edwards, Mark Cudmore, Chloe Meley, Beata Manthey, Angelina Lai, Craig Trudell, Sam Fazeli discussing ASML, 000660.KS, USD, GDX, European consumer stocks, EEM, European industrials, European basic resources, EUFN, SMH, European Software, EWY, EWT, EZA, European Mid-Caps, UK Defense Stocks, LVMH, TSLA, European pharma. 15 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Christophe Fouquet, Anna Edwards, Mark Cudmore, Chloe Meley, Beata Manthey, Angelina Lai, Craig Trudell, Sam Fazeli  · Tickers: ASML, 000660.KS, USD, GDX, European consumer stocks, EEM, European industrials, European basic resources, EUFN, SMH, European Software, EWY, EWT, EZA, European Mid-Caps, UK Defense Stocks, LVMH, TSLA, European pharma